BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 114 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (6-2) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength = 103.37
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2022 Away W 100.64 22 20 ZZ 3 ( 0- 11) Robert Morris -2.72 4.72
2 09/10/2022 Away L 98.72 16 49 1B 29 ( 7- 4) Youngstown St -4.65 -28.35
3 09/17/2022 Home W 129.53 46 3 2 109 ( 4- 6) Kentucky St 26.17 16.83
4 10/01/2022 Home W * 108.19 27 14 1B 125 ( 3- 8) Drake 4.82 8.18
5 10/08/2022 Away L * 76.37 0 31 1B 107 ( 7- 4) Butler -26.99 -4.01
6 10/15/2022 Away W * 109.81 24 7 1B 127 ( 4- 7) Marist 6.45 10.55
7 10/22/2022 Home W * 94.75 23 20 1B 126 ( 4- 6) Stetson -8.62 11.62
8 10/29/2022 Home W * 101.04 31 24 1B 121 ( 5- 7) Valparaiso -2.33 9.33
9 11/05/2022 Away W * 101.25 52 28 1B 130 ( 1- 10) Presbyterian -2.11 26.11
10 11/12/2022 Home W * 108.69 49 27 1B 128 ( 2- 9) Morehead St 5.32 16.68
11 11/19/2022 Away L * 108.03 23 24 1B 97 ( 8- 4) Davidson 4.66 -5.66
Averages 103.37 28.5 22.5
Best game: 129.53 = 43 point win over Kentucky St
Worst game: 76.37 = 31 point loss to Butler
Team stdev: 12.81