BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Connecticut

Class: 1A Class Rank: 114 Conference: Division I FBS Independents Record: (2-1) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =  134.61

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2022 Away    L   125.28  20  31   1A 111 (  6-  6) Utah St                -7.31     -3.69                      
  2 09/03/2022 Home    W   124.85  28   3   1B 109 (  2-  9) Central Conn St        -7.74 *   32.74                      
  3 09/10/2022 Home    L   117.13  14  48   1A  52 (  7-  5) Syracuse              -15.46    -18.54                      
  4 09/17/2022 Away    L   120.10   0  59   1A   3 ( 13-  0) Michigan              -12.49 *  -46.51                      
  5 09/24/2022 Away    L   125.27  10  41   1A  55 (  8-  4) North Carolina St      -7.32    -23.68                      
  6 10/01/2022 Home    W   152.38  19  14   1A  63 (  9-  4) Fresno St              19.79    -14.79                      
  7 10/08/2022 Away    W   141.43  33  12   1A 130 (  4-  8) Florida Int'l           8.84     12.16                      
  8 10/15/2022 Away    L   132.46  21  25   1A 112 (  5-  7) Ball St                -0.13     -3.87                      
  9 10/29/2022 Home    W   144.65  13   3   1A 103 (  3-  9) Boston College         12.06     -2.06                      
 10 11/04/2022 Home    W * 135.28  27  10   1A 131 (  1- 11) Massachusetts           2.69     14.31                      
 11 11/12/2022 Home    W * 143.73  36  33   1A  85 (  8-  4) Liberty                11.14     -8.14                      
 12 11/19/2022 Away    L * 128.53  17  34   1A  81 (  5-  6) Army                   -4.06    -12.94                      
      Averages             132.59  19.8 26.1

Best game:  152.38 = 5 point win over Fresno St
Worst game: 117.13 = 34 point loss to Syracuse
Team stdev:  10.98