BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Central Arkansas

Class: 1B Class Rank: 28 Conference: ASUN Conference Record: (3-2) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  129.92

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2022 Home    L   116.88  14  27   1B  25 (  5-  6) Missouri St           -11.12     -1.88                      
  2 09/10/2022 Away    L   108.93   3  59   1A  21 (  8-  4) Mississippi           -19.08 *  -36.92                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    W   126.57  31  16   1B  92 (  1- 10) Idaho St               -1.43     16.43                      
  4 09/24/2022 Away    L   129.53  27  35   1B  18 (  9-  3) SE Missouri St          1.52     -9.52                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W * 158.15  49  20   1B  32 (  7-  4) Austin Peay            30.14     -1.14                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    L   111.13  49  52   1B  72 (  7-  3) Lindenwood            -16.88     13.88                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    W * 149.32  51  24   1B  51 (  5-  6) Kennesaw St            21.32      5.68                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    W * 145.01  64  29   1B  81 (  1- 10) North Alabama          17.00     18.00                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    L * 101.59  14  42   1B  38 (  7-  5) Eastern Kentucky      -26.42     -1.58                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    W   150.91  34   7   1B  58 (  6-  5) Stephen F. Austin      22.91      4.09                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    L * 110.04  17  40   1B  19 (  9-  2) Jacksonville St       -17.96     -5.04                      
      Averages             128.01  32.1 31.9

Best game:  158.15 = 29 point win over Austin Peay
Worst game: 101.59 = 28 point loss to Eastern Kentucky
Team stdev:  19.93