BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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California

Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (2-7) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  148.76

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    W   162.51  34  13   1B   9 (  6-  5) UC-Davis               13.76      7.24                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   140.12  20  14   1A 106 (  5-  7) UNLV                   -8.64     14.64                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L   155.57  17  24   1A  25 (  8-  4) Notre Dame              6.82    -13.82                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W * 164.55  49  31   1A  67 (  5-  7) Arizona                15.80      2.20                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    L * 141.54   9  28   1A  33 (  7-  5) Washington St          -7.22    -11.78                      
  6 10/15/2022 Away    L * 125.43  13  20   1A 117 (  1- 11) Colorado              -23.33     16.33                      
  7 10/22/2022 Home    L * 152.91  21  28   1A  24 ( 10-  2) Washington              4.15    -11.15                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    L * 144.74  24  42   1A  17 (  9-  3) Oregon                 -4.02    -13.98                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    L * 161.55  35  41   1A  15 ( 11-  2) Southern Cal           12.80    -18.80                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    L * 137.59  10  38   1A  16 (  9-  3) Oregon St             -11.17    -16.83                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W * 149.03  27  20   1A  80 (  3-  9) Stanford                0.27      6.73                      
 12 11/25/2022 Home    L * 149.53  28  35   1A  29 (  9-  3) UCLA                    0.77     -7.77                      
      Averages             148.76  23.9 27.8

Best game:  164.55 = 18 point win over Arizona
Worst game: 125.43 = 7 point loss to Colorado
Team stdev:  11.59