BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 33 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (8-0) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength =   89.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Away    L    83.66  34  38    3  48 (  6-  4) Hope                   -7.19      3.19                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W    88.33  49  16    3 145 (  4-  6) Franklin               -2.52 *   35.52                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    W *  85.71  56   7    3 222 (  3-  7) Concordia IL           -5.15 *   54.15                      
  4 09/24/2022 Away    W *  88.67  70   7    3 230 (  1-  9) Rockford               -2.18 *   65.18                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W *  86.37  62  17    3 196 (  4-  6) Wisconsin Lutheran     -4.48 *   49.48                      
  6 10/15/2022 Away    W *  95.75  72  13    3 221 (  2-  8) Eureka                  4.89 *   54.11                      
  7 10/22/2022 Home    W *  82.49  28   6    3 131 (  7-  3) St Norbert             -8.36     30.36                      
  8 10/29/2022 Away    W *  74.26  20  13    3 120 (  7-  3) Benedictine IL        -16.60     23.60                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    W * 109.78  68   0    3 184 (  3-  7) Lakeland               18.93 *   49.07                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    W *  91.18  42   0    3 172 (  8-  3) Concordia WI            0.32 *   41.68                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    W   106.45  33  28    3  13 (  8-  3) UW-Whitewater          15.60    -10.60                      
 12 11/26/2022 Away    W   109.88  48  26    3  31 ( 11-  1) Alma                   19.03      2.97                      
 13 12/03/2022 Away    L    78.57  17  45    3   6 ( 13-  0) Wartburg              -12.28    -15.72                      
      Averages              90.86  46.1 16.6

Best game:  109.88 = 22 point win over Alma
Worst game:  74.26 = 7 point win over Benedictine IL
Team stdev:  11.52