BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Auburn

Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Conference: Southeastern Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  154.91

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    W   166.68  42  16   1B   7 (  7-  4) Mercer                 11.76     14.24                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   148.01  24  16   1A  89 (  7-  4) San Jose St            -6.90     14.90                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    L   140.45  12  41   1A   5 ( 10-  2) Penn State            -14.46    -14.54                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W * 155.35  17  14   1A  50 (  6-  6) Missouri                0.43      2.57                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    L * 159.67  17  21   1A  12 (  9-  4) LSU                     4.76     -8.76                      
  6 10/08/2022 Away    L * 151.58  10  42   1A   1 ( 13-  0) Georgia                -3.34    -28.66                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    L * 150.93  34  48   1A  21 (  8-  4) Mississippi            -3.98    -10.02                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    L * 140.97  27  41   1A  37 (  6-  6) Arkansas              -13.94     -0.06                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    L * 160.07  33  39   1A  18 (  8-  4) Mississippi St          5.16    -11.16                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    W * 154.43  13  10   1A  43 (  5-  7) Texas A&M              -0.48      3.48                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W   173.98  41  17   1A  65 (  8-  5) Western Kentucky       19.06      4.94                      
 12 11/26/2022 Away    L * 156.85  27  49   1A   8 ( 10-  2) Alabama                 1.93    -23.93                      
      Averages             154.91  24.8 29.5

Best game:  173.98 = 24 point win over Western Kentucky
Worst game: 140.45 = 29 point loss to Penn State
Team stdev:   9.69