BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alvernia

Class: 3 Class Rank: 193 Conference: Middle Atlantic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =   44.10

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2022 Home    L    55.50  27  59    3  29 (  9-  2) Ursinus                 8.63 *  -40.63                      
  2 09/10/2022 Away    W    29.03  38  35    3 227 (  0- 10) Oberlin               -17.84     20.84                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L *  60.38  18  40    3  52 (  8-  3) Stevenson              13.51 *  -35.51                      
  4 10/01/2022 Home    L *  38.49   6  32    3 117 (  5-  6) Lebanon Valley         -8.37    -17.63                      
  5 10/08/2022 Home    L *  49.73  14  35    3  85 (  7-  3) Wilkes                  2.86    -23.86                      
  6 10/15/2022 Away    W *  63.00  19  16    3 144 (  3-  7) Widener                16.14    -13.14                      
  7 10/22/2022 Away    L *  37.37  10  42    3 112 (  4-  6) Lycoming               -9.49    -22.51                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    L *  40.81  14  41    3 100 (  8-  3) King's PA              -6.06    -20.94                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    W *  54.06  21  14    3 189 (  0- 10) Albright                7.20     -0.20                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    L *  40.30   7  31    3 119 (  6-  5) FDU-Florham            -6.56    -17.44                      
      Averages              46.87  17.4 34.5

Best game:   63.00 = 3 point win over Widener
Worst game:  29.03 = 3 point win over Oberlin
Team stdev:  11.23