BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Ursinus

Class: 3 Class Rank: 49 Conference: Centennial Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength =   67.63

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2021 Home    W    68.29  42   6    3 198 (  0- 10) Alvernia                1.44 *   34.56                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L *  69.22  21  49    3   6 ( 10-  2) Johns Hopkins           2.38    -30.38                      
  3 09/18/2021 Away    W *  96.18  42  35    3   9 ( 11-  1) Muhlenberg             29.33    -22.33                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W *  87.83  28   0    3  61 (  6-  5) Franklin & Marshall    20.98      7.02                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    L *  40.66  23  62    3  14 (  9-  2) Susquehanna           -26.19    -12.81                      
  6 10/16/2021 Away    W *  54.72  18  14    3 163 (  2-  8) McDaniel              -12.12     16.12                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    W *  76.97  34   7    3 145 (  3-  7) Moravian               10.12     16.88                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W *  60.85  42  21    3 182 (  1-  9) Gettysburg             -6.00     27.00                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W *  71.60  44   7    3 185 (  1-  9) Juniata                 4.75     32.25                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    L *  58.93  20  27    3  72 (  4-  6) Dickinson              -7.91      0.91                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L    59.34  23  31    3  59 (  8-  3) Lycoming               -7.51     -0.49                      
      Averages              67.69  30.6 23.5

Best game:   96.18 = 7 point win over Muhlenberg
Worst game:  40.66 = 39 point loss to Susquehanna
Team stdev:  15.54