BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Towson

Class: 1B Class Rank: 68 Conference: Colonial Athletic Association Record: (3-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =   62.53

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    W    77.21  31   0   1B 124 (  2-  9) Morgan St              13.96     17.04                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L *  50.93  14  26   1B  69 (  3-  8) New Hampshire         -12.32      0.32                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    L    65.23   7  35   1B   1 ( 10-  1) North Dakota St         1.97    -29.97                      
  4 09/25/2021 Neutral L    60.97  21  48   1A  50 ( 11-  1) San Diego St           -2.28    -24.72                      
  5 10/09/2021 Home    W *  71.18  21  14   1B  53 (  5-  6) Stony Brook             7.92     -0.92                      
  6 10/16/2021 Home    W *  83.31  28   7   1B  62 (  7-  4) Rhode Island           20.05      0.95                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    L *  47.64  14  40   1B  41 (  6-  5) William & Mary        -15.62    -10.38                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W *  74.52  38  24   1B  78 (  2-  9) Albany NY              11.27      2.73                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    L *  64.12  17  28   1B  35 (  6-  5) Richmond                0.87    -11.87                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L *  44.47  14  37   1B  44 (  6-  5) Elon                  -18.79     -4.21                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  48.23  10  56   1B   5 ( 10-  1) James Madison         -15.02    -30.98                      
      Averages              62.53  19.5 28.6

Best game:   83.31 = 21 point win over Rhode Island
Worst game:  44.47 = 23 point loss to Elon
Team stdev:  13.29