BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Navy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 94 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength = 76.28
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Home L 42.40 7 49 1A 55 ( 7- 5) Marshall -33.43 -8.57
2 09/11/2021 Home L 66.25 3 23 1A 38 ( 9- 3) Air Force -9.58 -10.42
3 09/25/2021 Away L * 85.62 20 28 1A 35 ( 11- 1) Houston 9.79 -17.79
4 10/02/2021 Home W * 85.25 34 30 1A 65 ( 8- 4) Central Florida 9.42 -5.42
5 10/09/2021 Home L * 79.68 24 31 1A 43 ( 8- 4) SMU 3.85 -10.85
6 10/14/2021 Away L * 64.66 17 35 1A 82 ( 6- 6) Memphis -11.17 -6.83
7 10/23/2021 Home L * 91.41 20 27 1A 5 ( 12- 0) Cincinnati 15.58 -22.58
8 10/29/2021 Away W * 87.27 20 17 1A 75 ( 6- 6) Tulsa 11.44 -8.44
9 11/06/2021 Away L 75.90 6 34 1A 6 ( 11- 1) Notre Dame 0.07 -28.07
10 11/20/2021 Home L * 77.32 35 38 1A 68 ( 7- 5) East Carolina 1.49 -4.49
11 11/27/2021 Away W * 83.32 38 14 1A 128 ( 3- 9) Temple 7.49 16.51
12 12/11/2021 Neutral 1A 37 ( 8- 3) Army -14.93
Averages 76.28 20.4 29.6
Best game: 91.41 = 7 point loss to Cincinnati
Worst game: 42.40 = 42 point loss to Marshall
Team stdev: 14.01