BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Lafayette

Class: 1B Class Rank: 101 Conference: Patriot League Record: (2-4) Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength =   54.98

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L    70.62  14  35   1A  38 (  9-  3) Air Force              13.47 *  -34.47                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L    52.64   3  24   1B  41 (  6-  5) William & Mary         -4.52    -16.48                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    L    51.56  13  19   1B  69 (  3-  8) New Hampshire          -5.60     -0.40                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W    69.88  24  14   1B  71 (  3-  7) Pennsylvania           12.73     -2.73                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    L *  59.21  41  42   1B  66 (  6-  5) Fordham                 2.05     -3.05                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    W *  62.36  27   0   1B 125 (  1- 10) Bucknell                5.20     21.80                      
  7 10/16/2021 Away    L    57.89   3  30   1B  14 (  8-  2) Harvard                 0.74    -27.74                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    W *  52.60  24  23   1B 121 (  2-  8) Georgetown DC          -4.55      5.55                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    L *  52.13  10  35   1B  33 ( 10-  2) Holy Cross             -5.03    -19.97                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L *  44.82  13  20   1B 105 (  5-  6) Colgate               -12.33      5.33                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  46.75  10  17   1B 118 (  3-  8) Lehigh                -10.40      3.40                      
      Averages              56.40  16.5 23.5

Best game:   70.62 = 21 point loss to Air Force
Worst game:  44.82 = 7 point loss to Colgate
Team stdev:   8.53