BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 91 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (5-3) Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 57.81
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/11/2021 Home W 58.45 17 10 1B 107 ( 1- 10) Eastern Illinois -0.07 7.07
2 09/18/2021 Away L 34.73 3 55 1B 9 ( 8- 4) Southern Illinois -23.78 -28.22
3 09/25/2021 Home W * 54.46 63 43 1B 128 ( 2- 9) Presbyterian -4.05 24.05
4 10/02/2021 Away L * 54.75 38 45 1B 77 ( 7- 4) Morehead St -3.76 -3.24
5 10/09/2021 Away W * 73.48 28 10 1B 113 ( 2- 8) Drake 14.96 3.04
6 10/16/2021 Home L * 50.98 17 20 1B 98 ( 5- 5) Marist -7.53 4.53
7 10/23/2021 Away L * 44.92 28 45 1B 73 ( 4- 7) Valparaiso -13.60 -3.40
8 10/30/2021 Home W * 54.20 38 31 1B 119 ( 3- 8) Butler -4.32 11.32
9 11/06/2021 Away W * 80.38 41 13 1B 115 ( 3- 7) Stetson 21.87 6.13
10 11/13/2021 Home W * 71.74 38 29 1B 61 ( 8- 3) Davidson 13.22 -4.22
Averages 57.81 31.1 30.1
Best game: 80.38 = 28 point win over Stetson
Worst game: 34.73 = 52 point loss to Southern Illinois
Team stdev: 13.86