BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 38 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (8-0) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength =   70.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Away    L    86.36  33  39    3  10 ( 11-  1) St John's MN           14.49    -20.49                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    L    46.49   7  64    3   1 ( 11-  0) North Central         -25.39    -31.61                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    W *  91.15  70   0    3 220 (  3-  7) Concordia IL           19.28 *   50.72                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W *  76.84  70  20    3 202 (  2-  8) Rockford                4.97 *   45.03                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    W *  79.89  70  29    3 201 (  3-  7) Wisconsin Lutheran      8.01     32.99                      
  6 10/16/2021 Home    W *  68.66  49   7    3 218 (  2-  8) Eureka                 -3.21 *   45.21                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    W *  81.31  25   7    3  94 (  5-  5) St Norbert              9.43      8.57                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W *  69.92  63  41    3 128 (  8-  2) Benedictine IL         -1.96     23.96                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    W *  82.59  38  20    3  79 (  8-  2) Lakeland               10.71      7.29                      
 10 11/13/2021 Away    W *  60.19  39  28    3 155 (  6-  4) Concordia WI          -11.68     22.68                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L    60.76  31  63    3   7 ( 10-  2) Wheaton               -11.11    -20.89                      
      Averages              73.11  45.0 28.9

Best game:   91.15 = 70 point win over Concordia IL
Worst game:  46.49 = 57 point loss to North Central
Team stdev:  13.33