BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 38 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (8-0) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength = 70.94
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Away L 86.36 33 39 3 10 ( 11- 1) St John's MN 14.49 -20.49
2 09/11/2021 Away L 46.49 7 64 3 1 ( 11- 0) North Central -25.39 -31.61
3 09/18/2021 Home W * 91.15 70 0 3 220 ( 3- 7) Concordia IL 19.28 * 50.72
4 09/25/2021 Home W * 76.84 70 20 3 202 ( 2- 8) Rockford 4.97 * 45.03
5 10/02/2021 Away W * 79.89 70 29 3 201 ( 3- 7) Wisconsin Lutheran 8.01 32.99
6 10/16/2021 Home W * 68.66 49 7 3 218 ( 2- 8) Eureka -3.21 * 45.21
7 10/23/2021 Away W * 81.31 25 7 3 94 ( 5- 5) St Norbert 9.43 8.57
8 10/30/2021 Home W * 69.92 63 41 3 128 ( 8- 2) Benedictine IL -1.96 23.96
9 11/06/2021 Away W * 82.59 38 20 3 79 ( 8- 2) Lakeland 10.71 7.29
10 11/13/2021 Away W * 60.19 39 28 3 155 ( 6- 4) Concordia WI -11.68 22.68
11 11/20/2021 Away L 60.76 31 63 3 7 ( 10- 2) Wheaton -11.11 -20.89
Averages 73.11 45.0 28.9
Best game: 91.15 = 70 point win over Concordia IL
Worst game: 46.49 = 57 point loss to North Central
Team stdev: 13.33