BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arizona
Class: 1A Class Rank: 109 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (1-8) Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength = 70.81
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Neutral L 82.61 16 24 1A 46 ( 10- 2) Brigham Young 11.98 -19.98
2 09/11/2021 Home L 61.29 14 38 1A 50 ( 11- 1) San Diego St -9.34 -14.66
3 09/18/2021 Home L 61.20 19 21 1B 59 ( 5- 6) Northern Arizona -9.43 7.43
4 09/25/2021 Away L * 72.64 19 41 1A 30 ( 10- 2) Oregon 2.02 -24.02
5 10/09/2021 Home L * 70.99 16 34 1A 31 ( 8- 4) UCLA 0.36 -18.36
6 10/16/2021 Away L * 45.64 0 34 1A 90 ( 4- 8) Colorado -24.98 -9.02
7 10/22/2021 Home L * 74.22 16 21 1A 71 ( 4- 8) Washington 3.59 -8.59
8 10/30/2021 Away L * 77.43 34 41 1A 74 ( 4- 7) Southern Cal 6.80 -13.80
9 11/06/2021 Home W * 87.58 10 3 1A 66 ( 4- 7) California 16.96 -9.96
10 11/13/2021 Home L * 84.86 29 38 1A 12 ( 9- 3) Utah 14.24 -23.24
11 11/19/2021 Away L * 62.86 18 44 1A 57 ( 7- 5) Washington St -7.77 -18.23
12 11/27/2021 Away L * 68.38 15 38 1A 47 ( 8- 4) Arizona St -2.24 -20.76
Averages 70.81 17.2 31.4
Best game: 87.58 = 7 point win over California
Worst game: 45.64 = 34 point loss to Colorado
Team stdev: 11.92