BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 116 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 141.97
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2019 Away L 152.95 24 38 1A 35 ( 8- 5) Kentucky 10.98 -24.98
2 09/14/2019 Home W 165.78 45 0 1B 79 ( 4- 8) Murray St 23.81 21.19
3 09/21/2019 Away W 154.45 41 35 1A 98 ( 4- 8) Colorado St 12.48 -6.48
4 09/28/2019 Home W 161.19 28 21 1A 63 ( 7- 6) Brigham Young 19.21 -12.21
5 10/05/2019 Home W * 158.98 31 24 1A 75 ( 7- 6) Western Michigan 17.01 -10.01
6 10/12/2019 Away L * 114.37 7 20 1A 128 ( 3- 9) Bowling Green -27.60 14.60
7 10/19/2019 Away L * 115.40 14 52 1A 85 ( 5- 7) Ball St -26.57 -11.43
8 10/26/2019 Home W * 147.11 37 34 1A 99 ( 6- 7) Eastern Michigan 5.13 -2.13
9 11/05/2019 Home W * 148.36 35 33 1A 94 ( 7- 6) Kent St 6.39 -4.39
10 11/13/2019 Home L * 138.82 28 31 1A 115 ( 5- 7) Northern Illinois -3.15 0.15
11 11/20/2019 Away L * 137.25 30 49 1A 68 ( 8- 5) Buffalo -4.72 -14.28
12 11/29/2019 Away L * 109.01 7 49 1A 86 ( 8- 6) Central Michigan -32.96 -9.04
Averages 141.97 27.2 32.2
Best game: 165.78 = 45 point win over Murray St
Worst game: 109.01 = 42 point loss to Central Michigan
Team stdev: 19.43