BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Lafayette

Class: 1B Class Rank: 94 Conference: Patriot League Record: (4-2) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  117.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Away    L   124.08  17  30   1B  38 (  5-  7) William & Mary          6.25    -19.25                      
  2 09/07/2019 Away    L   134.96  21  24   1B  35 ( 11-  3) Monmouth NJ            17.14    -20.14                      
  3 09/14/2019 Home    L   103.28  40  56   1B  77 (  7-  5) Sacred Heart          -14.55     -1.45                      
  4 09/21/2019 Away    L   112.08   7  36   1B  21 (  9-  5) Albany NY              -5.75    -23.25                      
  5 09/28/2019 Home    L   117.29  24  28   1B  71 (  5-  5) Pennsylvania           -0.54     -3.46                      
  6 10/11/2019 Away    L   113.99   3  28   1B  26 (  8-  2) Princeton              -3.84    -21.16                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    L * 117.90  10  14   1B  82 (  5-  6) Georgetown DC           0.08     -4.08                      
  8 10/26/2019 Home    W * 114.75  21  17   1B 104 (  3-  8) Bucknell               -3.07      7.07                      
  9 11/02/2019 Home    W * 120.71  38  34   1B  92 (  4-  8) Fordham                 2.88      1.12                      
 10 11/09/2019 Away    W * 133.86  23  20   1B  57 (  7-  6) Holy Cross             16.04    -13.04                      
 11 11/16/2019 Home    L * 100.37   0  16   1B  96 (  4-  8) Colgate               -17.45      1.45                      
 12 11/23/2019 Away    W * 120.63  17  16   1B  97 (  4-  7) Lehigh                  2.80     -1.80                      
      Averages             117.83  18.4 26.6

Best game:  134.96 = 3 point loss to Monmouth NJ
Worst game: 100.37 = 16 point loss to Colgate
Team stdev:  10.36