BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 72 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  155.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Neutral L   148.32   3  42   1A   4 ( 11-  2) Alabama                -6.49 *  -32.51                      
  2 09/07/2019 Home    W   168.25  45  13   1B  40 (  9-  3) North Carolina A&T     13.43     18.57                      
  3 09/14/2019 Away    W   171.75  41  18   1A 102 (  4-  8) Middle Tennessee St    16.94      6.06                      
  4 09/27/2019 Away    W * 196.49  45  10   1A  51 (  8-  5) Virginia Tech          41.68     -6.68                      
  5 10/05/2019 Home    L * 149.73  30  33   1A  74 (  8-  5) Pittsburgh             -5.08      2.08                      
  6 10/12/2019 Home    W * 158.62  41  23   1A 114 (  3-  9) Georgia Tech            3.81     14.19                      
  7 10/19/2019 Away    L * 131.11  14  48   1A  44 (  9-  5) Virginia              -23.70    -10.30                      
  8 10/26/2019 Away    L * 164.59  17  20   1A  34 (  7-  6) North Carolina          9.77    -12.77                      
  9 11/09/2019 Home    L   145.43   7  38   1A  14 ( 11-  2) Notre Dame             -9.38    -21.62                      
 10 11/16/2019 Home    L * 107.20   6  49   1A  83 (  5-  7) Syracuse              -47.61      4.61                      
 11 11/23/2019 Away    L * 149.17  27  39   1A  54 (  8-  5) Wake Forest            -5.64     -6.36                      
 12 11/30/2019 Home    W * 167.09  27  17   1A  60 (  6-  7) Miami FL               12.28     -2.28                      
      Averages             154.81  25.2 29.2

Best game:  196.49 = 35 point win over Virginia Tech
Worst game: 107.20 = 43 point loss to Syracuse
Team stdev:  22.32