BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 88 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (6-2) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength = 118.61
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/07/2019 Away W 138.90 42 35 1B 53 ( 5- 7) Indiana St 20.29 -13.29
2 09/14/2019 Away W 122.98 34 31 1B 101 ( 7- 5) Robert Morris PA 4.37 -1.37
3 09/21/2019 Home L 111.37 31 35 1B 99 ( 6- 5) Duquesne -7.24 3.24
4 10/05/2019 Home W * 127.38 56 28 1B 123 ( 3- 9) Jacksonville FL 8.77 19.23
5 10/12/2019 Away W * 114.44 41 28 1B 124 ( 1- 11) Valparaiso -4.17 17.17
6 10/19/2019 Away L * 89.22 21 38 1B 115 ( 7- 4) Stetson -29.39 12.39
7 10/26/2019 Home L * 119.32 38 50 1B 31 ( 9- 3) San Diego 0.71 -12.71
8 11/02/2019 Away W * 114.97 49 35 1B 125 ( 5- 7) Morehead St -3.64 17.64
9 11/09/2019 Home W * 124.62 59 35 1B 118 ( 4- 7) Marist 6.01 17.99
10 11/16/2019 Away W * 135.05 46 29 1B 103 ( 6- 5) Drake 16.44 0.56
11 11/23/2019 Home W * 106.48 51 38 1B 126 ( 3- 9) Butler -12.13 25.13
Averages 118.61 42.5 34.7
Best game: 138.90 = 7 point win over Indiana St
Worst game: 89.22 = 17 point loss to Stetson
Team stdev: 13.82