BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 51 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (7-0) Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength =   89.59

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/07/2019 Home    W    84.06  50  40    3 106 (  6-  3) St Norbert             -5.36     15.36                      
  2 09/14/2019 Away    W    84.19  48  22    3 189 (  1-  9) Elmhurst               -5.23     31.23                      
  3 09/21/2019 Away    L    87.49  32  34    3  63 (  9-  2) Hope                   -1.94     -0.06                      
  4 10/05/2019 Home    W *  85.90  62  35    3 173 (  6-  4) Eureka                 -3.52     30.52                      
  5 10/12/2019 Home    W *  81.38  63  27    3 212 (  5-  5) Concordia IL           -8.05 *   44.05                      
  6 10/19/2019 Away    W *  75.27  24   7    3 187 (  5-  5) Concordia WI          -14.15     31.15                      
  7 10/26/2019 Home    W *  81.37  56  14    3 227 (  1-  9) Rockford               -8.06 *   50.06                      
  8 11/02/2019 Home    W *  69.06  27  25    3 137 (  7-  3) Benedictine IL        -20.36     22.36                      
  9 11/09/2019 Away    W * 104.17  62   7    3 204 (  2-  8) Wisconsin Lutheran     14.75 *   40.25                      
 10 11/16/2019 Away    W * 125.60  70  14    3 144 (  4-  6) Lakeland               36.18     19.82                      
 11 11/23/2019 Away    L   105.16  47  51    3   9 ( 12-  2) St John's MN           15.74    -19.74                      
      Averages              89.42  49.2 25.1

Best game:  125.60 = 56 point win over Lakeland
Worst game:  69.06 = 2 point win over Benedictine IL
Team stdev:  16.10