BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    2.24

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
12/15/2018   1A   17 (11- 2) Fresno St              1A   43 ( 7- 5) Arizona St            157.50  -10.59  80% -10.09  79%  -2.57  58%
12/15/2018   1A   80 ( 7- 5) Eastern Michigan       1A   78 ( 9- 3) Georgia Southern      153.48    0.24  51%   0.25  51%   1.81  56%
12/15/2018   1A   40 (10- 2) Appalachian St         1A   75 ( 8- 5) Middle Tennessee St   149.45   -8.40  74% -10.03  78%  -2.70  58%
12/15/2018   1A   23 (10- 2) Utah St                1A   70 ( 9- 3) North Texas           148.41  -14.07  86% -14.21  87% -26.38  98%
12/15/2018   1A   92 ( 7- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette    1A   89 ( 6- 6) Tulane                146.52    3.16  60%   2.83  59%   1.21  54%
12/14/2018   1B    4 (10- 2) South Dakota St        1B    1 (13- 0) North Dakota St       153.96   17.01  91%   9.86  78%   9.95  78%
12/15/2018   1B   15 (10- 3) Maine                  1B    2 (11- 2) Eastern Washington    130.67   19.87  94%  19.20  93%  20.69  95%
12/15/2018   1B   73 ( 5- 6) Prairie View A&M       1B  104 ( 5- 6) North Carolina Centr  102.46  -13.78  86% -14.00  86% -13.09  85%
12/15/2018    2    4 (15- 0) Ferris St               2    1 (13- 0) Valdosta St           130.73    6.11  68%   2.39  57%  -0.75  52%
12/14/2018    3    3 (14- 0) Mount Union             3    1 (14- 0) Mary Hardin-Baylor    117.64    6.44  69%   6.33  69%   6.94  71%
12/15/2018   NA    1 (14- 0) Morningside            NA    5 (13- 1) Benedictine KS         99.07  -13.74  86% -19.27  93% -17.22  91%