BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    2.24

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
12/22/2018   1A   39 (10- 2) Army                   1A   60 ( 8- 4) Houston               156.17   -5.57  67%  -2.49  58%   1.49  55%
12/22/2018   1A   68 ( 6- 6) Wake Forest            1A   59 ( 8- 5) Memphis               153.42    2.13  57%   4.13  63%  -1.22  54%
12/18/2018   1A   77 ( 8- 5) Northern Illinois      1A   75 (10- 3) Alabama-Birmingham    153.01    0.36  51%   0.85  53%  -3.20  60%
12/22/2018   1A   61 (10- 3) Buffalo                1A   86 ( 9- 3) Troy                  151.98   -5.61  67%  -2.64  58%  -0.63  52%
12/19/2018   1A   73 ( 7- 5) San Diego St           1A   38 ( 8- 4) Ohio U.               148.28    9.16  76%   7.82  73%  24.94  97%
12/20/2018   1A   89 ( 8- 4) Marshall               1A   94 ( 7- 5) South Florida         147.56   -0.95  53%  -0.95  53%  -3.77  62%
12/21/2018   1A   64 ( 7- 5) Toledo                 1A   88 ( 8- 4) Florida Int'l         146.04   -5.71  67%  -7.54  72% -15.82  89%
12/22/2018   1A  100 ( 7- 5) Louisiana Tech         1A   99 ( 8- 5) Hawaii                144.37    0.28  51%   1.01  53%   1.12  54%
12/21/2018   1A   93 ( 7- 5) Western Michigan       1A   57 ( 6- 6) Brigham Young         142.98   11.34  81%   9.80  78%  18.74  93%