BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home field advantage = 2.24
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
12/22/2018 1A 39 (10- 2) Army 1A 60 ( 8- 4) Houston 156.17 -5.57 67% -2.49 58% 1.49 55%
12/22/2018 1A 68 ( 6- 6) Wake Forest 1A 59 ( 8- 5) Memphis 153.42 2.13 57% 4.13 63% -1.22 54%
12/18/2018 1A 77 ( 8- 5) Northern Illinois 1A 75 (10- 3) Alabama-Birmingham 153.01 0.36 51% 0.85 53% -3.20 60%
12/22/2018 1A 61 (10- 3) Buffalo 1A 86 ( 9- 3) Troy 151.98 -5.61 67% -2.64 58% -0.63 52%
12/19/2018 1A 73 ( 7- 5) San Diego St 1A 38 ( 8- 4) Ohio U. 148.28 9.16 76% 7.82 73% 24.94 97%
12/20/2018 1A 89 ( 8- 4) Marshall 1A 94 ( 7- 5) South Florida 147.56 -0.95 53% -0.95 53% -3.77 62%
12/21/2018 1A 64 ( 7- 5) Toledo 1A 88 ( 8- 4) Florida Int'l 146.04 -5.71 67% -7.54 72% -15.82 89%
12/22/2018 1A 100 ( 7- 5) Louisiana Tech 1A 99 ( 8- 5) Hawaii 144.37 0.28 51% 1.01 53% 1.12 54%
12/21/2018 1A 93 ( 7- 5) Western Michigan 1A 57 ( 6- 6) Brigham Young 142.98 11.34 81% 9.80 78% 18.74 93%