BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Urbana

Class: 2 Class Rank: 142 Conference: Mountain East Conference Record: (4-6) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =   81.48

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Home    W *  81.53  21  19    2 139 (  3-  8) West Liberty            0.05      1.95                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L *  72.42   7  45    2  48 (  9-  2) Fairmont St            -9.06    -28.94                      
  3 09/13/2018 Home    W    64.13  27  19    2 167 (  0- 11) Lake Erie             -17.34     25.34                      
  4 09/20/2018 Home    W * 104.79  42  10    2 151 (  1- 10) WV Wesleyan            23.31      8.69                      
  5 09/27/2018 Away    W * 103.67  20  14    2  93 (  6-  5) Charleston WV          22.19    -16.19                      
  6 10/06/2018 Home    L *  68.63   0  17    2 124 (  4-  6) Virginia-Wise         -12.85     -4.15                      
  7 10/13/2018 Away    L *  79.77  14  45    2  46 ( 13-  1) Notre Dame OH          -1.71    -29.29                      
  8 10/20/2018 Home    L *  74.54  21  44    2  78 (  7-  3) Shepherd               -6.94    -16.06                      
  9 10/27/2018 Away    L *  76.81  21  28    2 141 (  5-  6) Glenville St           -4.67     -2.33                      
 10 11/03/2018 Home    L *  86.30  28  31    2 109 (  6-  5) West Virginia St        4.82     -7.82                      
 11 11/10/2018 Away    W *  83.65  31  24    2 155 (  2-  9) Concord                 2.17      4.83                      
      Averages              81.48  21.1 26.9

Best game:  104.79 = 32 point win over WV Wesleyan
Worst game:  64.13 = 8 point win over Lake Erie
Team stdev:  12.98