BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Towson

Class: 1B Class Rank: 15 Conference: Colonial Athletic Association Record: (5-3) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  140.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Away    W   143.87  36  10   1B  93 (  4-  7) Morgan St               3.35     22.65                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   126.73  20  51   1A  68 (  6-  6) Wake Forest           -13.79    -17.21                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    W * 147.95  45  35   1B  31 (  5-  6) Villanova               7.43      2.57                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    W   148.44  44  27   1B  44 (  5-  6) The Citadel             7.92      9.08                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    W * 161.54  52  28   1B  16 (  7-  5) Stony Brook            21.02      2.98                      
  6 10/13/2018 Home    W * 137.59  29  13   1B  68 (  4-  6) William & Mary         -2.93     18.93                      
  7 10/20/2018 Away    W * 153.90  56  28   1B  76 (  3-  8) Albany NY              13.38     14.62                      
  8 10/27/2018 Away    L * 136.78  36  40   1B  21 (  7-  5) Delaware               -3.74     -0.26                      
  9 11/03/2018 Home    L * 130.95  28  35   1B  17 ( 10-  4) Maine                  -9.57      2.57                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    W * 170.90  41  10   1B  25 (  6-  5) Elon                   30.38      0.62                      
 11 11/17/2018 Home    L * 129.38  17  38   1B   5 (  9-  4) James Madison         -11.14     -9.86                      
 12 11/24/2018 Home    L    98.22  10  31   1B  79 (  9-  4) Duquesne              -42.30     21.30                      
      Averages             140.52  34.5 28.8

Best game:  170.90 = 31 point win over Elon
Worst game:  98.22 = 21 point loss to Duquesne
Team stdev:  18.81