BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 64 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 156.41
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 167.69 66 3 1B 99 ( 1- 10) VMI 10.34 * 52.66
2 09/15/2018 Home L 138.36 24 49 1A 36 ( 7- 5) Miami FL -18.99 -6.01
3 09/22/2018 Home W 171.57 63 44 1A 72 ( 7- 5) Nevada 14.22 4.78
4 09/29/2018 Away L 152.98 27 49 1A 16 ( 12- 2) Fresno St -4.37 -17.63
5 10/06/2018 Home W * 148.13 52 36 1A 123 ( 3- 9) Bowling Green -9.22 25.22
6 10/13/2018 Away L * 153.49 26 28 1A 79 ( 7- 6) Eastern Michigan -3.86 1.86
7 10/20/2018 Home L * 139.70 17 31 1A 61 ( 10- 3) Buffalo -17.65 3.65
8 10/25/2018 Away W * 177.12 51 24 1A 93 ( 7- 5) Western Michigan 19.77 7.23
9 10/31/2018 Home W * 170.75 45 13 1A 114 ( 4- 8) Ball St 13.40 18.60
10 11/07/2018 Away L * 132.68 15 38 1A 77 ( 8- 5) Northern Illinois -24.67 1.67
11 11/15/2018 Away W * 161.29 56 34 1A 115 ( 2- 10) Kent St 3.94 18.06
12 11/23/2018 Home W * 174.44 51 13 1A 119 ( 1- 11) Central Michigan 17.09 20.91
13 12/21/2018 Neutral 1A 88 ( 8- 4) Florida Int'l 5.71
Averages 157.35 41.1 30.2
Best game: 177.12 = 27 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 132.68 = 23 point loss to Northern Illinois
Team stdev: 15.33