BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Navy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 97 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-10) Overall Strength = 146.41
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Away L 130.12 41 59 1A 99 ( 8- 5) Hawaii -15.57 -2.43
2 09/08/2018 Home W * 158.38 22 21 1A 59 ( 8- 5) Memphis 12.68 -11.68
3 09/15/2018 Home W 137.12 51 21 1B 101 ( 3- 8) Lehigh -8.57 * 38.57
4 09/22/2018 Away L * 148.23 30 31 1A 96 ( 5- 7) SMU 2.53 -3.53
5 10/06/2018 Away L 130.25 7 35 1A 65 ( 5- 7) Air Force -15.45 -12.55
6 10/13/2018 Home L * 152.24 17 24 1A 49 ( 8- 4) Temple 6.55 -13.55
7 10/20/2018 Home L * 142.18 36 49 1A 60 ( 8- 4) Houston -3.52 -9.48
8 10/27/2018 Neutral L 152.39 22 44 1A 7 ( 12- 0) Notre Dame 6.70 -28.70
9 11/03/2018 Away L * 126.29 0 42 1A 33 ( 10- 2) Cincinnati -19.40 -22.60
10 11/10/2018 Away L * 161.34 24 35 1A 18 ( 12- 0) Central Florida 15.64 -26.64
11 11/17/2018 Home W * 149.75 37 29 1A 101 ( 3- 9) Tulsa 4.06 3.94
12 11/24/2018 Away L * 152.84 28 29 1A 87 ( 7- 6) Tulane 7.14 -8.14
13 12/08/2018 Neutral L 152.91 10 17 1A 39 ( 10- 2) Army 7.21 -14.21
Averages 145.70 25.0 33.5
Best game: 161.34 = 11 point loss to Central Florida
Worst game: 126.29 = 42 point loss to Cincinnati
Team stdev: 11.41