BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Michigan
Class: 1A Class Rank: 4 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength = 179.24
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Away L 169.63 17 24 1A 7 ( 12- 0) Notre Dame -9.85 2.85
2 09/08/2018 Home W 191.64 49 3 1A 93 ( 7- 5) Western Michigan 12.16 * 33.84
3 09/15/2018 Home W 169.75 45 20 1A 96 ( 5- 7) SMU -9.73 * 34.73
4 09/22/2018 Home W * 201.73 56 10 1A 55 ( 4- 8) Nebraska 22.25 23.75
5 09/29/2018 Away W * 166.45 20 17 1A 44 ( 8- 5) Northwestern -13.03 16.03
6 10/06/2018 Home W * 179.57 42 21 1A 47 ( 5- 7) Maryland 0.09 20.91
7 10/13/2018 Home W * 185.31 38 13 1A 41 ( 7- 5) Wisconsin 5.83 19.17
8 10/20/2018 Away W * 180.13 21 7 1A 35 ( 7- 5) Michigan St 0.66 13.34
9 11/03/2018 Home W * 207.08 42 7 1A 12 ( 9- 3) Penn State 27.60 7.40
10 11/10/2018 Away W * 179.15 42 7 1A 103 ( 1- 11) Rutgers -0.33 * 35.33
11 11/17/2018 Home W * 167.07 31 20 1A 56 ( 5- 7) Indiana -12.40 23.40
12 11/24/2018 Away L * 156.22 39 62 1A 10 ( 12- 1) Ohio State -23.26 0.26
13 12/29/2018 Neutral 1A 17 ( 9- 3) Florida 7.15
Averages 179.48 36.8 17.6
Best game: 207.08 = 35 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 156.22 = 23 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev: 15.06