BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan

Class: 1A Class Rank: 4 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =  179.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Away    L   169.63  17  24   1A   7 ( 12-  0) Notre Dame             -9.85      2.85                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W   191.64  49   3   1A  93 (  7-  5) Western Michigan       12.16 *   33.84                      
  3 09/15/2018 Home    W   169.75  45  20   1A  96 (  5-  7) SMU                    -9.73 *   34.73                      
  4 09/22/2018 Home    W * 201.73  56  10   1A  55 (  4-  8) Nebraska               22.25     23.75                      
  5 09/29/2018 Away    W * 166.45  20  17   1A  44 (  8-  5) Northwestern          -13.03     16.03                      
  6 10/06/2018 Home    W * 179.57  42  21   1A  47 (  5-  7) Maryland                0.09     20.91                      
  7 10/13/2018 Home    W * 185.31  38  13   1A  41 (  7-  5) Wisconsin               5.83     19.17                      
  8 10/20/2018 Away    W * 180.13  21   7   1A  35 (  7-  5) Michigan St             0.66     13.34                      
  9 11/03/2018 Home    W * 207.08  42   7   1A  12 (  9-  3) Penn State             27.60      7.40                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    W * 179.15  42   7   1A 103 (  1- 11) Rutgers                -0.33 *   35.33                      
 11 11/17/2018 Home    W * 167.07  31  20   1A  56 (  5-  7) Indiana               -12.40     23.40                      
 12 11/24/2018 Away    L * 156.22  39  62   1A  10 ( 12-  1) Ohio State            -23.26      0.26                      
 13 12/29/2018 Neutral                      1A  17 (  9-  3) Florida                           7.15             
      Averages             179.48  36.8 17.6

Best game:  207.08 = 35 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 156.22 = 23 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev:  15.06