BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 155.99
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2018 Home W 177.67 34 14 1A 39 ( 10- 2) Army 21.81 -1.81
2 09/08/2018 Away W 177.45 21 7 1A 44 ( 8- 5) Northwestern 21.60 -7.60
3 09/15/2018 Away W 170.63 40 27 1A 69 ( 6- 6) Baylor 14.78 -1.78
4 09/22/2018 Home W 148.84 55 13 1B 104 ( 5- 6) North Carolina Centr -7.02 * 49.02
5 09/29/2018 Home L * 133.24 14 31 1A 84 ( 6- 6) Virginia Tech -22.62 5.62
6 10/13/2018 Away W * 177.53 28 14 1A 46 ( 7- 5) Georgia Tech 21.68 -7.68
7 10/20/2018 Home L * 142.47 14 28 1A 53 ( 7- 5) Virginia -13.38 -0.62
8 10/27/2018 Away L * 151.93 45 54 1A 52 ( 7- 6) Pittsburgh -3.92 -5.08
9 11/03/2018 Away W * 175.84 20 12 1A 36 ( 7- 5) Miami FL 19.99 -11.99
10 11/10/2018 Home W * 151.93 42 35 1A 92 ( 2- 9) North Carolina -3.92 10.92
11 11/17/2018 Away L * 161.47 6 35 1A 2 ( 13- 0) Clemson 5.62 * -34.62
12 11/24/2018 Home L * 101.25 7 59 1A 68 ( 6- 6) Wake Forest -54.61 2.61
13 12/27/2018 Neutral 1A 49 ( 8- 4) Temple -4.05
Averages 155.85 27.2 27.4
Best game: 177.67 = 20 point win over Army
Worst game: 101.25 = 52 point loss to Wake Forest
Team stdev: 22.99