BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 80 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (5-3) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength = 121.79
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 115.66 49 28 1B 122 ( 2- 9) Robert Morris PA -6.13 27.13
2 09/08/2018 Away L 119.49 21 40 1B 29 ( 9- 4) SE Missouri St -2.30 -16.70
3 09/15/2018 Away L 118.70 26 31 1B 79 ( 9- 4) Duquesne -3.09 -1.91
4 09/22/2018 Home W * 123.61 42 21 1B 111 ( 6- 5) Davidson 1.82 19.18
5 09/29/2018 Away L * 103.31 17 28 1B 97 ( 5- 6) Marist -18.48 7.48
6 10/06/2018 Home W * 134.46 53 20 1B 116 ( 2- 9) Valparaiso 12.67 20.33
7 10/13/2018 Away L * 125.85 34 36 1B 55 ( 9- 3) San Diego 4.06 -6.06
8 10/20/2018 Home L * 114.54 17 28 1B 64 ( 7- 4) Drake -7.25 -3.75
9 10/27/2018 Away W * 117.43 38 28 1B 114 ( 4- 7) Butler -4.36 14.36
10 11/10/2018 Home W * 136.99 63 20 1B 124 ( 3- 8) Morehead St 15.20 27.80
11 11/17/2018 Away W * 129.66 34 7 1B 119 ( 2- 8) Jacksonville FL 7.87 19.13
Averages 121.79 35.8 26.1
Best game: 136.99 = 43 point win over Morehead St
Worst game: 103.31 = 11 point loss to Marist
Team stdev: 9.69