BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas-Monticello

Class: 2 Class Rank: 69 Conference: Great American Conference Record: (6-5) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =  102.82

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Away    L *  82.27  35  49    2  99 (  3-  8) SW Oklahoma St        -20.55      6.55                      
  2 09/08/2018 Home    W * 106.58  44  36    2  74 (  4-  7) NW Oklahoma St          3.76      4.24                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    L *  89.35  27  29    2 115 (  3-  8) East Central OK       -13.46     11.46                      
  4 09/22/2018 Home    L *  94.00   7  21    2  43 (  6-  5) SE Oklahoma St         -8.82     -5.18                      
  5 09/29/2018 Home    L *  99.79  21  47    2   9 (  9-  3) Harding                -3.03    -22.97                      
  6 10/06/2018 Away    W * 115.23  34  16    2 107 (  3-  8) Arkansas Tech          12.41      5.59                      
  7 10/13/2018 Away    W * 117.73  35  12    2  98 (  3-  8) Southern Nazarene      14.91      8.09                      
  8 10/20/2018 Home    W *  98.29  45  37    2  97 (  5-  6) Oklahoma Baptist       -4.53     12.53                      
  9 10/27/2018 Home    L *  99.59  10  35    2   7 ( 12-  1) Ouachita Baptist       -3.23    -21.77                      
 10 11/03/2018 Away    W * 112.08  24  17    2  68 (  5-  6) Henderson St            9.27     -2.27                      
 11 11/10/2018 Home    W * 113.64  20  17    2  31 (  8-  4) Southern Arkansas      10.82     -7.82                      
 12 12/01/2018 Neutral L   105.25  22  30    2  30 (  8-  4) Emporia St              2.44    -10.44                      
      Averages             102.82  27.0 28.8

Best game:  117.73 = 23 point win over Southern Nazarene
Worst game:  82.27 = 14 point loss to SW Oklahoma St
Team stdev:  10.96