BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Toledo

Class: 1A Class Rank: 60 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength =  155.99

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   167.41  47  13   1B  33 (  8-  4) Elon                   10.80     23.20                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   159.44  37  24   1A  95 (  3-  9) Nevada                  2.82     10.18                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   145.50  54  51   1A  93 (  2- 10) Tulsa                 -11.12     14.12                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L   149.82  30  52   1A  16 ( 10-  3) Miami FL               -6.79    -15.21                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 152.13  20  15   1A  82 (  5-  7) Eastern Michigan       -4.48      9.48                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 169.71  30  10   1A  89 (  8-  5) Central Michigan       13.10      6.90                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 167.03  48  21   1A 100 (  7-  7) Akron                  10.41     16.59                      
  8 10/26/2017 Away    W * 164.77  58  17   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St                 8.16 *   32.84                      
  9 11/02/2017 Home    W * 161.28  27  17   1A  67 (  8-  5) Northern Illinois       4.67      5.33                      
 10 11/08/2017 Away    L * 132.27  10  38   1A  58 (  9-  4) Ohio U.               -24.35     -3.65                      
 11 11/14/2017 Unknown W * 168.44  66  37   1A 106 (  2- 10) Bowling Green          11.83     17.17                      
 12 11/24/2017 Home    W * 174.55  37  10   1A  80 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       17.93      9.07                      
 13 12/02/2017 Neutral W * 159.37  45  28   1A 100 (  7-  7) Akron                   2.76     14.24                      
 14 12/23/2017 Neutral L   120.86   0  34   1A  63 (  9-  4) Appalachian St        -35.75      1.75                      
      Averages             156.61  36.4 26.2

Best game:  174.55 = 27 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 120.86 = 34 point loss to Appalachian St
Team stdev:  15.25