BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 60 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 155.99
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2017 Home W 167.41 47 13 1B 33 ( 8- 4) Elon 10.80 23.20
2 09/09/2017 Away W 159.44 37 24 1A 95 ( 3- 9) Nevada 2.82 10.18
3 09/16/2017 Home W 145.50 54 51 1A 93 ( 2- 10) Tulsa -11.12 14.12
4 09/23/2017 Away L 149.82 30 52 1A 16 ( 10- 3) Miami FL -6.79 -15.21
5 10/07/2017 Home W * 152.13 20 15 1A 82 ( 5- 7) Eastern Michigan -4.48 9.48
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 169.71 30 10 1A 89 ( 8- 5) Central Michigan 13.10 6.90
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 167.03 48 21 1A 100 ( 7- 7) Akron 10.41 16.59
8 10/26/2017 Away W * 164.77 58 17 1A 128 ( 2- 10) Ball St 8.16 * 32.84
9 11/02/2017 Home W * 161.28 27 17 1A 67 ( 8- 5) Northern Illinois 4.67 5.33
10 11/08/2017 Away L * 132.27 10 38 1A 58 ( 9- 4) Ohio U. -24.35 -3.65
11 11/14/2017 Unknown W * 168.44 66 37 1A 106 ( 2- 10) Bowling Green 11.83 17.17
12 11/24/2017 Home W * 174.55 37 10 1A 80 ( 6- 6) Western Michigan 17.93 9.07
13 12/02/2017 Neutral W * 159.37 45 28 1A 100 ( 7- 7) Akron 2.76 14.24
14 12/23/2017 Neutral L 120.86 0 34 1A 63 ( 9- 4) Appalachian St -35.75 1.75
Averages 156.61 36.4 26.2
Best game: 174.55 = 27 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 120.86 = 34 point loss to Appalachian St
Team stdev: 15.25