BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan

Class: 1A Class Rank: 24 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  168.35

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   168.56  33  17   1A  70 (  4-  7) Florida                 0.21     15.79                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   160.38  36  14   1A 105 (  4-  8) Cincinnati             -7.96     29.96                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   161.32  29  13   1A  91 (  5-  7) Air Force              -7.03     23.03                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 186.58  28  10   1A  28 (  7-  6) Purdue                 18.23     -0.23                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    L * 161.72  10  14   1A  25 ( 10-  3) Michigan St            -6.62      2.62                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 170.37  27  20   1A  44 (  5-  7) Indiana                 2.02      4.98                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 158.79  13  42   1A   1 ( 11-  2) Penn State             -9.56    -19.44                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 167.80  35  14   1A  86 (  4-  8) Rutgers                -0.55     21.55                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 178.23  33  10   1A  55 (  5-  7) Minnesota               9.89     13.11                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 180.62  35  10   1A  64 (  4-  8) Maryland               12.28     12.72                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 169.05  10  24   1A   6 ( 13-  1) Wisconsin               0.71    -14.71                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    L * 171.54  20  31   1A   2 ( 12-  2) Ohio State              3.20    -14.20                      
 13 01/01/2018 Neutral L   153.55  19  26   1A  46 (  9-  4) South Carolina        -14.79      7.79                      
      Averages             168.35  25.2 18.8

Best game:  186.58 = 18 point win over Purdue
Worst game: 153.55 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev:   9.41