BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 22 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  168.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   173.23  35  28   1A  28 (  7-  6) Purdue                  5.14      1.86                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W * 168.57  47  35   1A  66 (  3-  9) North Carolina          0.48     11.52                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L * 153.37  21  47   1A   4 ( 12-  2) Clemson               -14.73    -11.27                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   165.67  42   3   1A 125 (  2- 10) Kent St                -2.42 *   41.42                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W   163.03  55  10   1B  81 (  3-  8) Murray St              -5.06 *   50.06                      
  6 10/05/2017 Away    L * 157.12  25  39   1A  21 (  9-  4) North Carolina St     -10.97     -3.03                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 160.36  42  45   1A  30 (  7-  6) Boston College         -7.73      4.73                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 171.00  31  28   1A  32 (  7-  6) Florida St              2.91      0.09                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 159.81  32  42   1A  23 (  8-  5) Wake Forest            -8.28     -1.72                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 167.44  38  21   1A  68 (  6-  7) Virginia               -0.65     17.65                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 199.22  56  10   1A  61 (  4-  8) Syracuse               31.13     14.87                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W   181.97  44  17   1A  69 (  7-  6) Kentucky               13.88     13.12                      
 13 12/30/2017 Neutral L   164.40  27  31   1A  27 (  9-  4) Mississippi St         -3.70     -0.30                      
      Averages             168.09  38.1 27.4

Best game:  199.22 = 46 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 153.37 = 26 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:  11.93