BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 108 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-9) Overall: (2-10) Overall Strength =  139.73

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   122.08  24  21   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St               -21.02     24.02                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   147.71  20   7   1A 113 (  6-  7) Western Kentucky        4.61      8.39                      
  3 09/15/2017 Away    L   140.03  23  47   1A  41 ( 10-  2) South Florida          -3.07    -20.93                      
  4 09/29/2017 Home    L * 129.29   6  28   1A  74 (  4-  8) Nebraska              -13.81     -8.19                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 146.01  16  45   1A  14 (  8-  5) Iowa                    2.91 *  -31.91                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L * 135.80  24  35   1A  86 (  4-  8) Rutgers                -7.30     -3.70                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 152.93  17  24   1A  55 (  5-  7) Minnesota               9.83    -16.83                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 164.36  10  24   1A   6 ( 13-  1) Wisconsin              21.26 *  -35.26                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 149.58  10  29   1A  28 (  7-  6) Purdue                  6.48    -25.48                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 148.67  14  24   1A  44 (  5-  7) Indiana                 5.57    -15.57                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 149.24  14  52   1A   2 ( 12-  2) Ohio State              6.14 *  -44.14                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    L * 131.50   7  42   1A  26 ( 10-  3) Northwestern          -11.60    -23.40                      
      Averages             143.10  15.4 31.5

Best game:  164.36 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 122.08 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev:  11.75