BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 163.15
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 172.17 60 7 1B 71 ( 7- 4) North Carolina Centr 8.33 * 44.67
2 09/09/2017 Home W 190.50 41 17 1A 26 ( 10- 3) Northwestern 26.66 -2.66
3 09/16/2017 Home W 160.47 34 20 1A 84 ( 1- 11) Baylor -3.37 17.37
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 166.57 27 17 1A 66 ( 3- 9) North Carolina 2.72 7.28
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 142.13 6 31 1A 16 ( 10- 3) Miami FL -21.71 -3.29
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 148.13 21 28 1A 68 ( 6- 7) Virginia -15.71 8.71
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 156.30 10 17 1A 32 ( 7- 6) Florida St -7.54 0.54
8 10/21/2017 Home L * 149.22 17 24 1A 51 ( 5- 7) Pittsburgh -14.62 7.62
9 10/28/2017 Away L * 152.85 3 24 1A 17 ( 9- 4) Virginia Tech -11.00 -10.00
10 11/11/2017 Away L 153.82 16 21 1A 57 ( 10- 3) Army -10.02 5.02
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 184.34 43 20 1A 36 ( 5- 6) Georgia Tech 20.50 2.50
12 11/25/2017 Away W * 177.81 31 23 1A 23 ( 8- 5) Wake Forest 13.97 -5.97
13 12/26/2017 Neutral W 175.63 36 14 1A 67 ( 8- 5) Northern Illinois 11.79 10.21
Averages 163.84 26.5 20.2
Best game: 190.50 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 142.13 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 15.18