BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 99 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  112.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   104.63  10  13   1B 112 (  2-  9) Robert Morris PA       -7.69      4.69                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   126.41  25  23   1B  57 (  3-  8) SE Missouri St         14.09    -12.09                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   120.92  23  28   1B  52 (  7-  4) Duquesne                8.59    -13.59                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L *  86.53  28  34   1B 123 (  4-  7) Morehead St           -25.79     19.79                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 115.88   7  23   1B  28 ( 10-  3) San Diego               3.56    -19.56                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 127.63  20  10   1B  82 (  7-  4) Drake                  15.30     -5.30                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L *  97.73   7  17   1B 105 (  6-  5) Campbell              -14.59      4.59                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 117.37  48  22   1B 122 (  2-  9) Davidson                5.05     20.95                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    W * 113.15  27  22   1B 103 (  6-  5) Butler                  0.83      4.17                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home    W * 115.14  36  17   1B 118 (  4-  7) Marist                  2.82     16.18                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 110.14   7   8   1B 108 (  6-  5) Valparaiso             -2.18      1.18                      
      Averages             112.32  21.6 19.7

Best game:  127.63 = 10 point win over Drake
Worst game:  86.53 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev:  12.23