BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


California

Class: 1A Class Rank: 50 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (2-7) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  159.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    W   161.57  35  30   1A  66 (  3-  9) North Carolina          2.57      2.43                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   166.03  33  20   1B   5 ( 11-  3) Weber St                7.04      5.96                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   161.39  27  16   1A  62 (  6-  6) Mississippi             2.39      8.61                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 156.06  20  30   1A  19 ( 11-  3) Southern Cal           -2.94     -7.06                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 146.61  24  45   1A  31 (  7-  6) Oregon                -12.39     -8.61                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 149.60   7  38   1A   9 ( 10-  3) Washington             -9.39    -21.61                      
  7 10/13/2017 Home    W * 195.02  37   3   1A  37 (  9-  4) Washington St          36.02     -2.02                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 158.21  44  45   1A  45 (  7-  6) Arizona                -0.79     -0.21                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 138.69  28  44   1A  71 (  5-  7) Colorado              -20.31      4.31                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home    W * 148.13  37  23   1A 122 (  1- 11) Oregon St             -10.86     24.86                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 169.85  14  17   1A  15 (  9-  5) Stanford               10.86    -13.86                      
 12 11/24/2017 Away    L * 156.79  27  30   1A  56 (  6-  7) UCLA                   -2.21     -0.79                      
      Averages             159.00  27.8 28.4

Best game:  195.02 = 34 point win over Washington St
Worst game: 138.69 = 16 point loss to Colorado
Team stdev:  14.35