BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 101 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (2-3) Overall: (3-5) Overall Strength =  121.09

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   120.73  10  13   1B 106 (  2-  5) Robert Morris PA       -0.36     -2.64                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   136.03  25  23   1B  56 (  2-  5) SE Missouri St         14.94    -12.94                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   132.74  23  28   1B  43 (  6-  1) Duquesne               11.65    -16.65                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L *  94.60  28  34   1B 121 (  3-  5) Morehead St           -26.49     20.49                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 117.07   7  23   1B  52 (  5-  2) San Diego              -4.02    -11.98                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 130.53  20  10   1B  98 (  4-  3) Drake                   9.44      0.56                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 112.84   7  17   1B  96 (  5-  3) Campbell               -8.25     -1.75                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 124.17  48  22   1B 124 (  2-  5) Davidson                3.08     22.92                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1B 105 (  5-  3) Butler                            4.62             
 10 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1B 118 (  3-  5) Marist                           17.16             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B 111 (  3-  4) Valparaiso                        5.30             
      Averages             121.09  21.0 21.2

Best game:  136.03 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  94.60 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev:  13.33