BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fitchburg St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 166 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-4) Overall: (3-5) Overall Strength = 74.57
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2017 Away L 83.05 30 33 3 115 ( 7- 1) Curry 8.48 -11.48
2 09/09/2017 Away W 81.48 31 10 3 204 ( 4- 4) Castleton 6.91 14.09
3 09/16/2017 Away L * 71.16 26 42 3 110 ( 5- 3) Worcester St -3.40 -12.60
4 09/23/2017 Home W * 80.48 31 29 3 135 ( 2- 6) Bridgewater St MA 5.91 -3.91
5 09/30/2017 Away W * 73.68 24 17 3 196 ( 1- 7) Mass Maritime -0.89 7.89
6 10/06/2017 Home L * 77.70 16 32 3 51 ( 7- 1) Framingham St 3.13 -19.13
7 10/14/2017 Away L * 57.16 21 33 3 199 ( 2- 7) Westfield St -17.40 5.40
8 10/28/2017 Away L * 71.83 34 55 3 78 ( 7- 1) Western Conn St -2.74 -18.26
9 11/04/2017 Home * 3 74 ( 8- 1) Plymouth St -15.80
10 11/11/2017 Home * 3 152 ( 2- 6) UMass-Dartmouth -0.84
Averages 74.57 26.6 31.4
Best game: 83.05 = 3 point loss to Curry
Worst game: 57.16 = 12 point loss to Westfield St
Team stdev: 8.34