BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Dakota St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 1 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (10-1) Overall Strength =  168.37

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   151.87  72   7   1B 124 (  2-  9) Mississippi Valley S  -13.69 *   78.69                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   174.62  40  13   1B  17 (  7-  4) Eastern Washington      9.07     17.93                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    W   160.83  56   0   1B 113 (  2-  9) Robert Morris PA       -4.72 *   60.72                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 158.40  38  11   1B  44 (  3-  8) Missouri St            -7.16 *   34.16                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 171.41  52   0   1B  92 (  0- 11) Indiana St              5.86 *   46.14                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 159.33  27  24   1B   6 (  6-  5) Youngstown St          -6.22      9.22                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 167.69  24  12   1B   4 (  8-  3) Western Illinois        2.14      9.86                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 167.95  30  14   1B   7 (  7-  4) Northern Iowa           2.39     13.61                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 151.23  21  33   1B   2 (  9-  2) South Dakota St       -14.32      2.32                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 192.30  49  14   1B   5 (  7-  4) South Dakota           26.74      8.26                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 165.46  20   7   1B   9 (  6-  5) Illinois St            -0.09     13.09                      
 12 12/02/2017 Home                         1B  47 (  9-  2) San Diego                        38.82             
      Averages             165.55  39.0 12.3

Best game:  192.30 = 35 point win over South Dakota
Worst game: 151.23 = 12 point loss to South Dakota St
Team stdev:  11.60