BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 89 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-3) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =  150.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   165.54  62   0   1B 119 (  0- 11) VMI                    13.14 *   48.86                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   160.41  13  29   1A  19 (  8-  2) Michigan                8.01    -24.01                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 157.42  24  28   1A  49 (  8-  2) San Diego St            5.02     -9.02                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 126.02  38  56   1A 113 (  3-  7) New Mexico            -26.38      8.38                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   160.45  45  48   1A  56 (  6-  3) Navy                    8.05    -11.05                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 148.68  34  30   1A 102 (  4-  6) UNLV                   -3.72      7.72                      
  7 10/20/2017 Away    W * 153.35  45  42   1A  95 (  2-  8) Nevada                  0.95      2.05                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 175.74  45  28   1A  74 (  6-  5) Colorado St            23.34     -6.34                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L   136.26   0  21   1A  61 (  8-  2) Army                  -16.14     -4.86                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 140.12  14  28   1A  67 (  7-  3) Wyoming               -12.28     -1.72                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  40 (  8-  2) Boise St                        -16.49             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  73 (  5-  5) Utah St                          -2.76             
      Averages             152.40  32.0 31.0

Best game:  175.74 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 126.02 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  14.88