BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 170 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =   69.19

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    81.30  30  33    3 109 (  8-  3) Curry                  12.11    -15.11                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    83.01  31  10    3 200 (  6-  4) Castleton              13.82      7.18                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  68.62  26  42    3 107 (  6-  4) Worcester St           -0.57    -15.43                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  76.36  31  29    3 145 (  2-  8) Bridgewater St MA       7.18     -5.18                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  72.07  24  17    3 187 (  2-  8) Mass Maritime           2.88      4.12                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  78.48  16  32    3  43 ( 10-  1) Framingham St           9.29    -25.29                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  54.98  21  33    3 193 (  2-  7) Westfield St          -14.21      2.21                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L *  69.76  34  55    3  80 (  7-  3) Western Conn St         0.57    -21.57                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L *  67.42   7  24    3  72 (  9-  2) Plymouth St            -1.77    -15.23                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L *  39.88   0  38    3 127 (  4-  6) UMass-Dartmouth       -29.31     -8.69                      
      Averages              69.19  22.0 31.3

Best game:   83.01 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  39.88 = 38 point loss to UMass-Dartmouth
Team stdev:  13.12