BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 22 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (7-2) Overall Strength =  173.48

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   168.17  35  10   1A 104 (  2-  7) Bowling Green          -5.32     30.32                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   168.79  28  14   1A  77 (  5-  4) Western Michigan       -4.69     18.69                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   167.05  18  38   1A   1 (  8-  1) Notre Dame             -6.44    -13.56                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 183.02  17  10   1A  12 (  6-  3) Iowa                    9.53     -2.53                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 180.29  14  10   1A  19 (  7-  2) Michigan                6.81     -2.81                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 169.77  30  27   1A  46 (  4-  5) Minnesota              -3.72      6.72                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 168.74  17   9   1A  48 (  3-  6) Indiana                -4.75     12.75                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 165.06  31  39   1A  27 (  6-  3) Northwestern           -8.43      0.43                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 190.47  27  24   1A   4 (  7-  2) Penn State             16.98    -13.98                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A   2 (  7-  2) Ohio State                      -18.75             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  62 (  4-  5) Maryland                         15.03             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  70 (  4-  5) Rutgers                          13.75             
      Averages             173.48  24.1 20.1

Best game:  190.47 = 3 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 165.06 = 8 point loss to Northwestern
Team stdev:   8.84