BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 76 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (0-5) Overall: (1-7) Overall Strength =  160.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   162.95  30  35   1A  42 (  4-  4) California              4.23     -9.23                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 158.90  35  47   1A  36 (  5-  3) Louisville              0.18    -12.18                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   177.22  53  23   1A 117 (  2-  5) Old Dominion           18.50     11.50                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 156.37  17  27   1A  60 (  4-  4) Duke                   -2.35     -7.65                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 154.75   7  33   1A  20 (  4-  2) Georgia Tech           -3.97    -22.03                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   168.25  10  33   1A   2 (  6-  1) Notre Dame              9.54 *  -32.54                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 154.46  14  20   1A  68 (  5-  2) Virginia               -4.26     -1.74                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 136.85   7  59   1A  17 (  6-  1) Virginia Tech         -21.87 *  -30.13                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1A  14 (  6-  0) Miami FL                        -21.02             
 10 11/09/2017 Away      *                  1A  64 (  3-  5) Pittsburgh                       -6.43             
 11 11/18/2017 Home                         1B  22 (  6-  2) Western Carolina                 12.58             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  18 (  6-  1) North Carolina St               -20.93             
      Averages             158.72  21.6 34.6

Best game:  177.22 = 30 point win over Old Dominion
Worst game: 136.85 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  11.76