BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =  161.66

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   177.04  60   7   1B  69 (  7-  2) North Carolina Centr   13.67 *   39.33                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   192.39  41  17   1A  27 (  6-  3) Northwestern           29.02     -5.02                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   163.21  34  20   1A  86 (  1-  8) Baylor                 -0.16     14.16                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 166.78  27  17   1A  84 (  1-  8) North Carolina          3.41      6.59                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 148.24   6  31   1A  16 (  8-  0) Miami FL              -15.13     -9.87                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 153.52  21  28   1A  68 (  6-  3) Virginia               -9.85      2.85                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 156.47  10  17   1A  38 (  3-  5) Florida St             -6.90     -0.10                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 152.29  17  24   1A  64 (  4-  5) Pittsburgh            -11.08      4.08                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 160.40   3  24   1A  15 (  7-  2) Virginia Tech          -2.97    -18.03                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away                         1A  61 (  7-  2) Army                             -1.56             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  26 (  4-  4) Georgia Tech                     -7.35             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  23 (  5-  4) Wake Forest                     -13.62             
      Averages             163.37  24.3 20.6

Best game:  192.39 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 148.24 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  13.90