BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 14 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-0) Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength = 154.02
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 139.51 24 62 1A 37 ( 3- 2) Arizona -14.51 -23.49
2 09/09/2017 Home L 148.88 20 38 1B 5 ( 4- 1) Western Illinois -5.14 -12.86
3 09/23/2017 Away W * 153.16 28 10 1B 69 ( 0- 6) Cal Poly SLO -0.86 18.86
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 160.05 48 20 1B 63 ( 2- 3) Northern Colorado 6.03 21.97
5 10/07/2017 Home W 168.50 37 16 1B 26 ( 4- 1) Illinois St 14.48 6.52
6 10/14/2017 Away * 1B 46 ( 0- 5) Portland St 11.92
7 10/21/2017 Home * 1B 16 ( 3- 3) UC-Davis 2.43
8 10/28/2017 Home * 1B 30 ( 2- 3) Sacramento St 9.30
9 11/04/2017 Away * 1B 20 ( 4- 2) Montana 2.07
10 11/11/2017 Home * 1B 10 ( 2- 3) Montana St -2.69
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 37 ( 3- 2) Southern Utah 8.39
Averages 154.02 31.4 29.2
Best game: 168.50 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 139.51 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev: 10.99