BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 69 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (0-2) Overall: (1-4) Overall Strength =  163.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   168.17  62   0   1B 123 (  0-  6) VMI                     3.39 *   58.61                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   166.80  13  29   1A  19 (  4-  1) Michigan                2.01    -18.01                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 171.40  24  28   1A  26 (  6-  0) San Diego St            6.61    -10.61                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 146.18  38  56   1A  73 (  3-  2) New Mexico            -18.61      0.61                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   171.37  45  48   1A  42 (  5-  0) Navy                    6.59     -9.59                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home      *                  1A  99 (  2-  3) UNLV                             13.02             
  7 10/20/2017 Away      *                  1A 100 (  1-  5) Nevada                           10.34             
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  45 (  4-  2) Colorado St                      -9.96             
  9 11/04/2017 Home                         1A  66 (  4-  2) Army                              0.83             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  94 (  3-  2) Wyoming                          11.29             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  57 (  3-  2) Boise St                         -6.12             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  61 (  3-  3) Utah St                          -0.24             
      Averages             164.78  36.4 32.2

Best game:  171.40 = 4 point loss to San Diego St
Worst game: 146.18 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  10.59