BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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East Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 107 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  141.06

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   138.32  14  34   1B   3 ( 11-  0) James Madison           1.50    -21.50                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   130.12  20  56   1A  35 (  7-  5) West Virginia          -6.71    -29.29                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   124.55  17  64   1A  17 (  9-  3) Virginia Tech         -12.27 *  -34.73                      
  4 09/24/2017 Away    W * 144.62  41  38   1A 113 (  3-  9) Connecticut             7.80     -4.80                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 130.02  31  61   1A  41 (  9-  2) South Florida          -6.80    -23.20                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L * 124.30  10  34   1A  83 (  6-  6) Temple                -12.52    -11.48                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L * 135.43  21  63   1A  13 ( 11-  0) Central Florida        -1.39 *  -40.61                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    W   156.98  33  17   1A 101 (  4-  9) Brigham Young          20.15     -4.15                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 135.90  27  52   1A  56 (  7-  4) Houston                -0.92    -24.08                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 141.59  24  31   1A  76 (  5-  7) Tulane                  4.76    -11.76                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 167.71  48  20   1A 104 (  4-  8) Cincinnati             30.88     -2.88                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    L * 112.35  13  70   1A  38 ( 10-  1) Memphis               -24.48 *  -32.52                      
      Averages             136.83  24.9 45.0

Best game:  167.71 = 28 point win over Cincinnati
Worst game: 112.35 = 57 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev:  14.91