BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 184 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (0-1) Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength =   47.38

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    50.98  30  33    3 145 (  3-  0) Curry                   3.38     -6.38                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    50.65  31  10    3 210 (  1-  2) Castleton               3.05     17.95                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  40.52  26  42    3 116 (  2-  1) Worcester St           -7.08     -8.92                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home      *                   3 128 (  0-  3) Bridgewater St MA               -10.20             
  5 09/30/2017 Away      *                   3 186 (  1-  1) Mass Maritime                    -0.76             
  6 10/06/2017 Home      *                   3  47 (  3-  0) Framingham St                   -27.17             
  7 10/14/2017 Away      *                   3 228 (  0-  3) Westfield St                     17.25             
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                   3 106 (  2-  0) Western Conn St                 -16.40             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                   3 113 (  2-  1) Plymouth St                     -12.32             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                   3 191 (  1-  1) UMass-Dartmouth                   2.97             
      Averages              47.38  29.0 28.3

Best game:   50.98 = 3 point loss to Curry
Worst game:  40.52 = 16 point loss to Worcester St
Team stdev:   5.95