BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home field advantage = 2.31
Composite = weighted composite of 6 subrankings: 3 based on win/loss-only models and 3 based on game-margin models
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Composite Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
12/02/2017 1A 4 (12- 0) Wisconsin 1A 3 (10- 2) Ohio State 180.52 -13.46 86% 0.22 51% 3.73 62% -3.61 61%
12/02/2017 1A 2 (10- 2) Auburn 1A 6 (11- 1) Georgia 179.22 4.54 64% -3.37 61% 0.30 51% -5.06 66%
12/02/2017 1A 7 (11- 1) Oklahoma 1A 10 (10- 2) TCU 174.41 -9.51 78% -3.73 62% -4.32 63% -10.97 81%
12/02/2017 1A 14 (10- 1) Miami FL 1A 5 (11- 1) Clemson 169.46 5.34 66% 6.47 70% 8.51 75% 3.38 61%
12/01/2017 1A 21 (10- 2) Southern Cal 1A 15 ( 9- 3) Stanford 168.78 -3.49 61% 4.46 64% 2.88 59% 0.10 50%
12/02/2017 1A 38 (10- 1) Memphis 1A 13 (11- 0) Central Florida 160.69 12.65 84% 13.89 87% 10.39 80% -5.66 67%
12/02/2017 1A 59 ( 9- 3) Fresno St 1A 44 ( 9- 3) Boise St 154.65 3.47 61% 7.15 72% 6.04 69% 17.83 92%
12/02/2017 1A 71 ( 9- 2) Troy 1A 72 ( 7- 3) Arkansas St 148.92 -8.94 76% 1.81 56% 2.60 58% -2.61 58%
12/02/2017 1A 96 ( 4- 7) Massachusetts 1A 106 ( 7- 4) Florida Int'l 140.33 13.62 86% -1.93 56% -2.63 58% -7.84 73%
12/02/2017 1A 92 ( 9- 3) North Texas 1A 52 ( 9- 3) Florida Atlantic 139.14 8.73 76% 14.95 88% 14.98 88% 11.87 83%
12/02/2017 1A 88 ( 7- 5) Akron 1A 46 (10- 2) Toledo 138.95 24.09 97% 13.76 86% 15.37 89% 17.62 92%
12/02/2017 1A 114 ( 3- 8) Idaho 1A 116 ( 6- 4) Georgia St 135.22 17.93 92% 2.02 56% 1.69 55% 1.03 53%
12/02/2017 1A 119 ( 2- 9) Georgia Southern 1A 123 ( 2- 9) Coastal Carolina 131.81 -2.06 57% -1.44 55% -2.53 58% -8.96 76%
12/02/2017 1A 121 ( 4- 7) South Alabama 1A 108 ( 5- 6) New Mexico St 130.21 10.78 81% 9.41 77% 7.92 74% 9.55 78%
12/02/2017 1A 122 ( 5- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette 1A 89 ( 7- 4) Appalachian St 123.47 18.60 93% 16.15 90% 18.25 93% 17.69 92%
12/02/2017 1A 122 ( 5- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette 1A 39 ( 5- 6) Florida St 115.57 28.40 99% 33.07 100% 34.04 100% 32.88 100%
12/02/2017 1B 5 ( 8- 4) Northern Iowa 1B 2 ( 9- 2) South Dakota St 149.22 13.66 86% 7.58 73% 7.92 74% 14.01 87%
12/02/2017 1B 8 (10- 2) Weber St 1B 10 ( 9- 2) Southern Utah 149.21 -0.93 53% -0.72 52% -3.33 60% 3.31 60%
12/02/2017 1B 7 ( 8- 4) South Dakota 1B 22 (10- 1) Sam Houston St 137.31 7.84 73% -8.71 76% -12.56 84% -9.31 77%
12/02/2017 1B 15 (10- 2) Stony Brook 1B 3 (11- 0) James Madison 134.17 23.52 97% 17.34 92% 18.41 93% 18.66 93%
12/02/2017 1B 28 (11- 1) Kennesaw St 1B 12 (10- 1) Jacksonville St 134.08 -3.60 61% 9.31 77% 9.02 76% -2.66 58%
12/02/2017 1B 13 ( 8- 4) Furman 1B 39 ( 9- 2) Wofford 131.24 4.33 64% -9.06 77% -7.86 73% -11.82 83%
12/02/2017 1B 30 ( 8- 4) New Hampshire 1B 11 (10- 1) Central Arkansas 130.25 21.01 95% 13.81 86% 12.72 84% 16.18 90%
12/02/2017 1B 80 ( 7- 4) Alcorn St 1B 72 (10- 1) Grambling St 122.06 19.14 94% 3.16 60% 0.84 53% 5.53 67%
12/02/2017 1B 32 (10- 2) San Diego 1B 1 (10- 1) North Dakota St 118.96 23.27 97% 31.93 99% 31.09 99% 23.79 97%
12/02/2017 2 3 (10- 3) Harding 2 4 (11- 1) Ferris St 143.94 10.90 81% 1.50 55% 0.42 51% -9.02 76%
12/02/2017 2 10 (11- 1) TAMU-Commerce 2 5 (13- 0) Minn St-Mankato 134.90 13.84 87% 8.19 74% 4.37 64% 8.43 75%
12/02/2017 2 17 (11- 1) Assumption 2 11 (12- 0) Indiana PA 133.93 13.10 85% 8.01 74% -1.48 55% 2.68 58%
12/02/2017 2 29 ( 9- 2) Minnesota-Duluth 2 19 ( 8- 3) Central Missouri 126.49 -8.28 75% 3.35 61% 2.55 58% -7.68 73%
12/02/2017 2 39 ( 6- 5) Washburn 2 32 ( 6- 4) Angelo St 121.10 11.92 83% 2.16 57% 6.22 69% 15.26 89%
12/02/2017 2 36 ( 7- 4) Pittsburg St 2 1 ( 8- 3) Arkansas Tech 117.08 18.60 93% 25.12 98% 22.32 96% 16.35 90%
12/02/2017 2 34 ( 9- 3) West Florida 2 15 (10- 2) West Alabama 115.70 13.16 85% 10.04 79% 13.08 85% -3.35 61%
12/02/2017 2 22 ( 7- 4) Central Oklahoma 2 66 ( 6- 5) Tarleton St 108.58 -6.04 69% -13.83 87% -14.20 87% -12.41 84%
12/02/2017 3 6 (12- 0) Brockport St 3 3 (12- 0) Delaware Valley 117.05 1.08 53% 4.91 65% 0.65 52% 0.10 50%
12/02/2017 3 10 (11- 1) Frostburg St 3 5 (12- 0) Mount Union 102.00 16.75 91% 11.66 82% 18.19 93% 11.48 82%
12/02/2017 3 12 (11- 1) St Thomas 3 1 (12- 0) Mary Hardin-Baylor 98.65 23.67 97% 29.98 99% 22.93 97% 17.63 92%
12/02/2017 3 18 (12- 0) Wartburg 3 4 (11- 0) UW-Oshkosh 96.51 8.50 75% 16.80 91% 14.90 88% 12.48 84%
12/02/2017 NA 1 (13- 0) Morningside NA 3 (12- 0) St Francis IN 114.48 -4.47 64% -0.05 50% -9.17 77% -11.93 83%
12/02/2017 NA 5 (12- 0) Southern Oregon NA 2 (11- 0) Reinhardt 106.89 3.29 60% 10.19 79% 10.57 80% 10.91 81%