BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 75 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =  120.90

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   122.08  24  52   1A  88 (  7-  6) Louisiana Tech          1.18    -29.18                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   112.98  10  23   1B  69 ( 11-  2) Grambling St           -7.92     -5.08                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W * 117.21  35  28   1B  96 (  2-  9) Lamar                  -3.69     10.69                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    L * 103.64  20  49   1B  36 (  6-  5) SE Louisiana          -17.26    -11.74                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 128.92  10  14   1B  44 (  8-  4) Nicholls St             8.02    -12.02                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    L * 140.07  36  40   1B  20 ( 12-  2) Sam Houston St         19.17    -23.17                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    L * 114.97  17  45   1B  11 ( 10-  2) Central Arkansas       -5.93    -22.07                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 117.66  10   7   1B 102 (  1- 10) Houston Baptist        -3.24      6.24                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 121.14  26  23   1B  78 (  2-  9) Abilene Christian       0.24      2.76                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 117.05  24  44   1B  37 (  9-  2) McNeese St             -3.85    -16.15                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 134.17  38  21   1B  76 (  4-  7) Stephen F. Austin      13.27      3.73                      
      Averages             120.90  22.7 31.5

Best game:  140.07 = 4 point loss to Sam Houston St
Worst game: 103.64 = 29 point loss to SE Louisiana
Team stdev:  10.22