BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 107 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 140.40
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home L 138.04 14 34 1B 2 ( 12- 0) James Madison 1.89 -21.89
2 09/09/2017 Away L 129.37 20 56 1A 36 ( 7- 5) West Virginia -6.77 -29.23
3 09/16/2017 Home L 123.87 17 64 1A 16 ( 9- 3) Virginia Tech -12.27 * -34.73
4 09/24/2017 Away W * 143.92 41 38 1A 114 ( 3- 9) Connecticut 7.77 -4.77
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 129.31 31 61 1A 41 ( 9- 2) South Florida -6.83 -23.17
6 10/07/2017 Home L * 123.47 10 34 1A 83 ( 6- 6) Temple -12.68 -11.32
7 10/14/2017 Away L * 134.55 21 63 1A 13 ( 12- 0) Central Florida -1.59 * -40.41
8 10/21/2017 Home W 156.11 33 17 1A 102 ( 4- 9) Brigham Young 19.96 -3.96
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 135.19 27 52 1A 56 ( 7- 4) Houston -0.96 -24.04
10 11/11/2017 Home L * 141.17 24 31 1A 74 ( 5- 7) Tulane 5.02 -12.02
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 166.98 48 20 1A 105 ( 4- 8) Cincinnati 30.83 -2.83
12 11/25/2017 Away L * 111.77 13 70 1A 38 ( 10- 2) Memphis -24.38 * -32.62
Averages 136.15 24.9 45.0
Best game: 166.98 = 28 point win over Cincinnati
Worst game: 111.77 = 57 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev: 14.89