BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 24 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 141.92
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 127.84 24 62 1A 43 ( 7- 5) Arizona -14.07 -23.93
2 09/09/2017 Home L 136.13 20 38 1B 4 ( 8- 4) Western Illinois -5.79 -12.21
3 09/23/2017 Away W * 145.93 28 10 1B 66 ( 1- 10) Cal Poly SLO 4.01 13.99
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 156.00 48 20 1B 48 ( 3- 7) Northern Colorado 14.08 13.92
5 10/07/2017 Home W 167.44 37 16 1B 9 ( 6- 5) Illinois St 25.52 -4.52
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 144.71 42 20 1B 77 ( 0- 11) Portland St 2.80 19.20
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 153.50 45 31 1B 25 ( 5- 6) UC-Davis 11.58 2.42
8 10/28/2017 Home W * 161.49 37 17 1B 17 ( 7- 4) Sacramento St 19.58 0.42
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 142.56 15 17 1B 20 ( 7- 4) Montana 0.65 -2.65
10 11/11/2017 Home W * 141.01 37 36 1B 23 ( 5- 6) Montana St -0.91 1.91
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 124.03 20 48 1B 10 ( 9- 2) Southern Utah -17.88 -10.12
12 11/25/2017 Home L 102.35 10 41 1B 32 ( 10- 2) San Diego -39.56 8.56
Averages 141.92 30.2 29.7
Best game: 167.44 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 102.35 = 31 point loss to San Diego
Team stdev: 17.86