BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  Central Washington       2   1 ( 8- 0) 156.86   2   5   3   6   4   4
  2  Minn St-Mankato          2   1 ( 8- 0) 152.10   1  13  10   8  15   1
  3  Midwestern St            2   1 ( 6- 0) 151.85   7  11  12   1   2  21
  4  Assumption               2   1 ( 7- 0) 151.40   3   6   7   3   8  16
  5  Indiana PA               2   1 ( 8- 0) 150.96  17  20  21   7   1   5
  6  Indianapolis             2   1 ( 8- 0) 149.46  15  16  19   5   6   6
  7  Ashland                  2   1 ( 7- 1) 149.30   4   2   1  14   3  20
  8  Winona St                2   1 ( 8- 0) 148.71  11  14  13   4   9   8
  9  TAMU-Commerce            2   1 ( 6- 1) 144.76   8   4   4  13   7  28
 10  Ferris St                2   1 ( 6- 1) 144.39   5   3   5  15   5  43
 11  NW Missouri St           2   1 ( 8- 0) 143.64  28  27  31  11  11   2
 12  Fort Hays St             2   1 ( 8- 0) 143.48  21  28  43  10  10   3
 13  Grand Valley St          2   1 ( 6- 2) 140.70   6   1   2  18  16  38
 14  Findlay                  2   1 ( 7- 1) 139.70  13   8   8  28  13  13
 15  Shepherd                 2   1 ( 7- 0) 139.39  36  37  32   2  20  12
 16  Virginia St              2   1 ( 7- 0) 137.88  27  31  34  12  17   9
 17  Humboldt St              2   1 ( 6- 1) 136.82  12  12  14  21  12  30
 18  Wingate                  2   1 ( 7- 0) 135.81  57  55  42   9  19  11
 19  Shippensburg             2   1 ( 7- 1) 134.43  18  17  18  37  43   7
 20  Sioux Falls              2   1 ( 7- 1) 133.55  24  34  46  20  21  10
 21  West Alabama             2   1 ( 6- 2) 130.86  10   7  11  88  22  34
 22  Eastern New Mexico       2   1 ( 6- 1) 130.17  51  50  50  16  14  29
 23  West Georgia             2   1 ( 6- 2) 128.70   9   9   6  86  35  40
 24  Bowie St                 2   1 ( 7- 1) 127.96  43  18  24  47  42  17
 25  West Chester             2   1 ( 6- 2) 127.86  19  19  26  30  24  46
 26  Kutztown                 2   1 ( 6- 2) 127.80  23  22  25  39  29  33
 27  Azusa Pacific            2   1 ( 5- 3) 127.62  14  10   9  53  36  59
 28  Colorado Mesa            2   1 ( 7- 1) 126.40  29  35  29  36  64  14
 29  Tiffin                   2   1 ( 5- 3) 125.97  26  26  23  33  18  65
 30  Minnesota-Duluth         2   1 ( 6- 2) 125.85  41  40  30  19  31  47
 31  Central Missouri         2   1 ( 6- 2) 125.51  31  32  22  29  30  45
 32  Bemidji St               2   1 ( 6- 2) 124.02  35  36  33  43  75  15
 33  Arkansas Tech            2   1 ( 6- 2) 123.92  20  21  15 118  27  32
 34  LIU Post                 2   1 ( 5- 2) 123.27  37  38  37  22  32  63
 35  Slippery Rock            2   1 ( 6- 2) 122.60  53  53  63  31  23  41
 36  Notre Dame OH            2   1 ( 6- 2) 122.36  58  56  61  17  59  37
 37  St Cloud St              2   1 ( 6- 2) 122.25  44  52  58  34  55  18
 38  Catawba                  2   1 ( 6- 2) 121.83  33  29  38  69  53  24
 39  Colorado St-Pueblo       2   1 ( 6- 2) 121.19  40  24  27  59  77  36
 40  Delta St                 2   1 ( 6- 2) 121.12  30  33  48  99  28  35
 41  Bloomsburg               2   1 ( 6- 2) 120.45  64  70  67  45  44  23
 42  Northwood                2   1 ( 5- 3) 120.32  38  49  56  27  25  69
 43  California PA            2   1 ( 6- 2) 119.64  70  72  83  54  37  22
 44  Ouachita Baptist         2   1 ( 6- 2) 118.72  46  45  36 125  34  26
 45  Angelo St                2   1 ( 3- 4) 118.18  22  23  41  25  39 111
 46  McKendree                2   1 ( 5- 3) 117.69  61  47  47  44  54  52
 47  New Haven                2   1 ( 5- 2) 117.00  90  89  88  24  38  51
 48  Southern Arkansas        2   1 ( 6- 2) 116.64  54  54  69 126  33  25
 49  Tarleton St              2   1 ( 5- 3) 116.62  69  69  82  35  41  61
 50  North Alabama            2   1 ( 3- 4) 116.14  16  15  17  92  40 114
 51  Florida Tech             2   1 ( 5- 3) 115.90  25  39  28 130  47  48
 52  Washburn                 2   1 ( 5- 3) 115.42  50  64  57  62  50  58
 53  Fairmont St              2   1 ( 5- 3) 115.08  76  76  64  23  71  66
 54  SE Oklahoma St           2   1 ( 6- 2) 114.96  68  67  90 119  26  31
 55  Edinboro                 2   1 ( 5- 3) 114.90  73  80  60  57  46  57
 56  Upper Iowa               2   1 ( 5- 3) 114.56  81  83  91  32  48  55
 57  Carson-Newman            2   1 ( 5- 3) 113.78  56  48  52  68  60  73
 58  Ohio Dominican           2   1 ( 4- 3) 113.60  39  43  40  81  68  68
 59  Harding                  2   1 ( 5- 3) 113.29  45  46  20 138  51  53
 60  Saginaw Valley St        2   1 ( 4- 4) 112.89  59  60  49  71  66  72
 61  West Florida             2   1 ( 5- 2) 112.81  62  61  62 120  49  39
 62  Valdosta St              2   1 ( 3- 3) 112.52  34  25  16 127  52  92
 63  Missouri S&T             2   1 ( 5- 3) 112.27  71  71  68  80  79  42
 64  Hillsdale                2   1 ( 4- 4) 112.15  49  41  35  66  61  94
 65  Bentley                  2   1 ( 4- 3) 111.77  79  82  73  48  62  74
 66  SW Baptist               2   1 ( 4- 3) 111.66  72  62  66  58  78  71
 67  West Virginia St         2   1 ( 5- 3) 110.63  99 100 103  26  86  56
 68  Stonehill                2   1 ( 4- 3) 110.62  91  90  87  41  57  79
 69  Arkansas-Monticello      2   1 ( 5- 3) 109.78  63  63  55 142  58  49
 70  Wayne St MI              2   1 ( 3- 5) 109.55  48  57  65  42  45 127
 71  Albany St GA             2   1 ( 5- 3) 109.53  47  58  76 112  72  67
 72  Chadron St               2   1 ( 5- 3) 109.04  74  74  81  79 102  54
 73  TAMU-Kingsville          2   1 ( 3- 5) 108.73  65  68  59  40  56 119
 74  Tuskegee                 2   1 ( 6- 2) 108.62  82  99 118 114  91  19
 75  Emporia St               2   1 ( 4- 3) 108.61  77  78  75  83  85  64
 76  North Greenville         2   1 ( 4- 4) 108.13  52  51  39  97  63 100
 77  Mercyhurst               2   1 ( 4- 4) 108.11  75  75  79  90  69  77
 78  Central Oklahoma         2   1 ( 4- 4) 107.92  67  66  70  70  90  89
 79  Wayne St NE              2   1 ( 4- 4) 107.89  89  88  85  56  81  85
 80  Michigan Tech            2   1 ( 3- 5) 107.78  55  65  72  63  65 108
 81  Newberry                 2   1 ( 4- 4) 107.06  60  59  51 116  94  82
 82  Gannon                   2   1 ( 3- 5) 106.56  42  42  45  93  70 120
 83  Colorado Mines           2   1 ( 4- 4) 106.34  66  44  53  98 116  86
 84  Missouri Western         2   1 ( 4- 4) 106.26  80  79  54  94 106  76
 85  Virginia Union           2   1 ( 5- 3) 105.98  87 103 105 100  74  62
 86  WV Wesleyan              2   1 ( 4- 4) 105.07 108 106 104  38  99  88
 87  Western Oregon           2   1 ( 2- 6) 104.70  32  30  44  75  76 149
 88  Winston-Salem St         2   1 ( 5- 3) 103.96 103 107 117 117 100  44
 89  Pittsburg St             2   1 ( 3- 4) 103.73  85  73  86  82  96  96
 90  Lenoir-Rhyne             2   1 ( 3- 4) 103.64  78  81  84  91  73 103
 91  Miles                    2   1 ( 5- 3) 103.26 100 105 114 128  92  50
 92  Limestone                2   1 ( 4- 4) 103.19  94  92  98 103  82  87
 93  Virginia-Wise            2   1 ( 4- 4) 103.11 116 113 120  46 112  80
 94  Tusculum                 2   1 ( 4- 4) 103.05  84  85  89 122 104  70
 95  South Dakota Tech        2   1 ( 4- 4) 101.94  86  84  92 107 127  81
 96  Benedict                 2   1 ( 5- 2) 101.85 120 119 116 137 114  27
 97  Charleston WV            2   1 ( 3- 4) 101.57 112 110 108  55 117  90
 98  West Texas A&M           2   1 ( 3- 5) 101.30  97 102 124  49  67 122
 99  Augustana SD             2   1 ( 3- 5) 100.91 101  97  80  65 105 117
100  Minn St-Moorhead         2   1 ( 3- 5) 100.57  98  95 106  73 109 101
101  Fort Valley St           2   1 ( 4- 3) 100.10 110 104  94 132 101  75
102  Southern Conn St         2   1 ( 2- 5)  99.59 109  98 101  67  87 123
103  Pace                     2   1 ( 3- 4)  99.13 132 137 137  60  83  93
104  Millersville             2   1 ( 3- 5)  98.42 107 111  93 106  93 104
105  Black Hills St           2   1 ( 4- 4)  98.22 114 122 110 108 129  83
106  Western New Mexico       2   1 ( 2- 6)  97.89 102  96  97  64  84 141
107  Northern Michigan        2   1 ( 1- 6)  97.73  83  77  71  95  98 136
108  Glenville St             2   1 ( 3- 5)  97.66 121 120 113  52 123 113
109  Clark Atlanta            2   1 ( 4- 4)  97.61  96  94  95 146 122  84
110  Northern St SD           2   1 ( 3- 5)  97.27 128 127 126  50  80 128
111  Henderson St             2   1 ( 4- 4)  97.11 106 108 119 150  97  78
112  Urbana                   2   1 ( 3- 5)  96.72 126 124 125  51 121 112
113  Truman St                2   1 ( 2- 6)  96.49  88  87  77  74 125 139
114  Dixie St                 2   1 ( 3- 5)  96.36 104  93  74 104 136 116
115  Merrimack                2   1 ( 2- 5)  95.94 118 121 121  77 108 118
116  Fayetteville St          2   1 ( 4- 4)  95.88 133 131 122 101 111  91
117  Lindenwood               2   1 ( 2- 6)  94.52  92  86  78 102 126 138
118  Fort Lewis               2   1 ( 3- 5)  94.49 117 114 111 110 132 106
119  Texas-Permian Basin      2   1 ( 2- 6)  93.90 130 129  96  89 110 124
120  NW Oklahoma St           2   1 ( 3- 5)  93.57  93  91 107 147  89 130
121  American Int'l           2   1 ( 2- 5)  93.22 138 136 133  87 107 115
122  Nebraska-Kearney         2   1 ( 3- 5)  92.11 131 130 139 111 115 105
123  Mars Hill                2   1 ( 2- 6)  91.89  95 101 115 113 113 142
124  SW Minnesota St          2   1 ( 2- 6)  91.59 113 118 131  76 118 143
125  Southern Nazarene        2   1 ( 3- 5)  90.76 125 123 109 148  88 129
126  East Stroudsburg         2   1 ( 2- 6)  90.71 123 117 136  85 103 145
127  West Liberty             2   1 ( 2- 6)  90.53 137 138 129  61 134 135
128  Adams St                 2   1 ( 3- 5)  90.49 129 134 148 109 128 110
129  Davenport                2   1 ( 1- 7)  90.47 105 109 100 105  95 160
130  St Augustine's           2   1 ( 3- 5)  87.87 145 139 127 141 124 107
131  Concord                  2   1 ( 2- 6)  87.80 141 140 143  72 138 133
132  Quincy                   2   1 ( 3- 5)  87.33 154 155 164  78 139  98
133  Morehouse                2   1 ( 3- 5)  87.05 135 132 123 154 142  97
134  Elizabeth City St        2   1 ( 4- 4)  86.81 156 160 159 135 143  60
135  Concordia-St Paul        2   1 ( 1- 7)  86.61 122 116 102  84 135 162
136  Chowan                   2   1 ( 3- 5)  86.02 148 141 144 140 131 109
137  St Anselm                2   1 ( 1- 6)  85.67 149 144 141  96 120 137
138  Lock Haven               2   1 ( 1- 7)  85.57 111 126  99 129 133 156
139  Walsh                    2   1 ( 2- 6)  84.86 143 145 146 123 130 131
140  Shaw                     2   1 ( 3- 5)  84.22 144 150 154 134 147  99
141  Clarion                  2   1 ( 1- 7)  84.21 115 112 112 133 137 158
142  UNC-Pembroke             2   1 ( 1- 6)  83.91 119 115 135 139 145 144
143  SW Oklahoma St           2   1 ( 2- 6)  83.03 127 128 132 155 119 147
144  William Jewell           2   1 ( 1- 7)  82.32 134 133 128 124 141 155
145  Minot St                 2   1 ( 1- 7)  81.64 142 143 140 115 148 146
146  East Central OK          2   1 ( 2- 6)  81.44 136 135 130 158 146 126
147  Kentucky St              2   1 ( 2- 6)  80.18 147 151 145 143 144 132
148  Kentucky Wesleyan        2   1 ( 2- 5)  77.66 158 164 163 153 156  95
149  Alderson Broaddus        2   1 ( 2- 6)  77.50 160 156 153 151 164 102
150  New Mexico Highlands     2   1 ( 2- 6)  77.44 146 161 160 149 155 121
151  Mary                     2   1 ( 1- 7)  75.70 157 148 150 121 151 154
152  Lincoln MO               2   1 ( 1- 6)  74.74 162 158 157 131 161 140
153  Johnson C. Smith         2   1 ( 1- 7)  73.79 153 152 156 144 154 152
154  Western St CO            2   1 ( 1- 7)  72.57 161 157 151 152 158 150
155  Malone                   2   1 ( 1- 6)  72.31 159 154 155 157 166 125
156  Lane                     2   1 ( 1- 7)  71.18 151 149 149 156 160 153
157  Lake Erie                2   1 ( 1- 6)  70.64 165 166 166 145 163 134
158  Central St OH            2   1 ( 1- 7)  70.64 155 153 142 161 162 148
159  Mississippi College      2   1 ( 0- 8)  69.16 124 125 134 165 149 168
160  Seton Hill               2   1 ( 0- 8)  68.51 139 142 138 164 157 164
161  Cheyney                  2   1 ( 1- 7)  67.06 168 168 168 136 152 151
162  Shorter                  2   1 ( 0- 8)  65.88 152 147 147 166 150 161
163  Simon Fraser             2   1 ( 0- 7)  65.53 163 167 167 159 140 159
164  Missouri Southern        2   1 ( 0- 8)  64.73 140 159 162 160 153 169
165  Northeastern St OK       2   1 ( 0- 8)  61.72 166 162 158 163 159 165
166  Minnesota-Crookston      2   1 ( 0- 8)  58.46 167 163 165 162 165 166
167  Oklahoma Baptist         2   1 ( 0- 8)  57.71 150 146 152 168 169 167
168  Livingstone              2   1 ( 0- 8)  56.47 164 165 161 167 167 163
169  Lincoln PA               2   1 ( 0- 8)  43.95 169 169 169 169 168 157