BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 131 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-2) Overall: (3-3) Overall Strength =   80.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    81.43  30  33    3 106 (  4-  1) Curry                   1.19     -4.19                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    89.19  31  10    3 195 (  3-  2) Castleton               8.94     12.06                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  68.72  26  42    3 117 (  3-  3) Worcester St          -11.53     -4.47                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  83.57  31  29    3 116 (  1-  5) Bridgewater St MA       3.32     -1.32                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  73.17  24  17    3 194 (  1-  4) Mass Maritime          -7.07     14.07                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  85.39  16  32    3  29 (  5-  0) Framingham St           5.14    -21.14                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away      *                   3 208 (  1-  5) Westfield St                     19.02             
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                   3  53 (  4-  1) Western Conn St                 -17.86             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                   3  51 (  5-  1) Plymouth St                     -13.89             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                   3 143 (  2-  3) UMass-Dartmouth                   3.67             
      Averages              80.24  26.3 27.2

Best game:   89.19 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  68.72 = 16 point loss to Worcester St
Team stdev:   7.77