BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 99 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 113.64
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 105.64 10 13 1B 113 ( 2- 9) Robert Morris PA -7.99 4.99
2 09/09/2017 Home W 128.25 25 23 1B 56 ( 3- 8) SE Missouri St 14.61 -12.61
3 09/16/2017 Home L 122.25 23 28 1B 52 ( 7- 4) Duquesne 8.61 -13.61
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 87.84 28 34 1B 123 ( 4- 7) Morehead St -25.79 19.79
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 117.35 7 23 1B 32 ( 10- 2) San Diego 3.72 -19.72
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 129.08 20 10 1B 82 ( 7- 4) Drake 15.45 -5.45
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 98.96 7 17 1B 105 ( 6- 5) Campbell -14.67 4.67
8 10/21/2017 Away W * 118.55 48 22 1B 122 ( 2- 9) Davidson 4.92 21.08
9 10/28/2017 Home W * 114.34 27 22 1B 103 ( 6- 5) Butler 0.70 4.30
10 11/04/2017 Home W * 116.45 36 17 1B 118 ( 4- 7) Marist 2.81 16.19
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 111.28 7 8 1B 107 ( 6- 5) Valparaiso -2.35 1.35
Averages 113.64 21.6 19.7
Best game: 129.08 = 10 point win over Drake
Worst game: 87.84 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 12.34