BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 75 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =  121.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   118.07  24  52   1A  97 (  6-  6) Louisiana Tech         -3.08    -24.92                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   112.61  10  23   1B  70 ( 11-  1) Grambling St           -8.54     -4.46                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W * 117.95  35  28   1B  96 (  2-  9) Lamar                  -3.21     10.21                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    L * 104.23  20  49   1B  36 (  6-  5) SE Louisiana          -16.92    -12.08                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 129.45  10  14   1B  44 (  8-  4) Nicholls St             8.29    -12.29                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    L * 141.80  36  40   1B  12 ( 11-  1) Sam Houston St         20.65    -24.65                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    L * 115.77  17  45   1B  11 ( 10-  2) Central Arkansas       -5.38    -22.62                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 118.19  10   7   1B 102 (  1- 10) Houston Baptist        -2.96      5.96                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 121.86  26  23   1B  78 (  2-  9) Abilene Christian       0.71      2.29                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 117.51  24  44   1B  37 (  9-  2) McNeese St             -3.64    -16.36                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 135.25  38  21   1B  76 (  4-  7) Stephen F. Austin      14.09      2.91                      
      Averages             121.15  22.7 31.5

Best game:  141.80 = 4 point loss to Sam Houston St
Worst game: 104.23 = 29 point loss to SE Louisiana
Team stdev:  10.60