BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Toledo

Class: 1A Class Rank: 63 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (1-0) Overall: (4-1) Overall Strength =  166.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   181.93  47  13   1B  19 (  5-  1) Elon                   15.90     18.10                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   166.10  37  24   1A 100 (  1-  5) Nevada                  0.06     12.94                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   157.59  54  51   1A  88 (  1-  5) Tulsa                  -8.45     11.45                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L   163.94  30  52   1A  10 (  4-  0) Miami FL               -2.10    -19.90                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 160.62  20  15   1A  85 (  2-  3) Eastern Michigan       -5.42     10.42                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away      *                  1A 109 (  3-  3) Central Michigan                 17.24             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1A  86 (  3-  3) Akron                            10.54             
  8 10/26/2017 Away      *                  1A 118 (  2-  4) Ball St                          22.17             
  9 11/02/2017 Home      *                  1A  62 (  3-  2) Northern Illinois                 1.93             
 10 11/08/2017 Away      *                  1A  97 (  4-  2) Ohio U.                          10.61             
 11 11/15/2017 Away      *                  1A 103 (  1-  5) Bowling Green                    14.23             
 12 11/24/2017 Home      *                  1A  68 (  4-  2) Western Michigan                  4.13             
      Averages             166.04  37.6 31.0

Best game:  181.93 = 34 point win over Elon
Worst game: 157.59 = 3 point win over Tulsa
Team stdev:   9.46