BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 100 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-7) Overall: (2-8) Overall Strength = 146.40
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 127.48 24 21 1A 123 ( 2- 8) Ball St -21.00 24.00
2 09/09/2017 Home W 153.95 20 7 1A 110 ( 5- 5) Western Kentucky 5.47 7.53
3 09/15/2017 Away L 143.14 23 47 1A 34 ( 8- 1) South Florida -5.34 -18.66
4 09/29/2017 Home L * 134.80 6 28 1A 66 ( 4- 6) Nebraska -13.68 -8.32
5 10/07/2017 Away L * 149.38 16 45 1A 16 ( 6- 4) Iowa 0.90 -29.90
6 10/14/2017 Home L * 145.55 24 35 1A 71 ( 4- 6) Rutgers -2.93 -8.07
7 10/21/2017 Away L * 161.15 17 24 1A 39 ( 5- 5) Minnesota 12.67 -19.67
8 10/28/2017 Home L * 167.19 10 24 1A 7 ( 10- 0) Wisconsin 18.71 * -32.71
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 152.58 10 29 1A 30 ( 4- 6) Purdue 4.10 -23.10
10 11/11/2017 Home L * 149.57 14 24 1A 53 ( 4- 6) Indiana 1.09 -11.09
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1A 1 ( 8- 2) Ohio State -45.00
12 11/25/2017 Home * 1A 28 ( 7- 3) Northwestern -21.60
Averages 148.48 16.4 28.4
Best game: 167.19 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 127.48 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev: 11.66