BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 26 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength =  168.33

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   164.54  35  10   1A 102 (  2- 10) Bowling Green          -3.80     28.80                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   163.91  28  14   1A  74 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       -4.42     18.42                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   156.08  18  38   1A   9 (  9-  3) Notre Dame            -12.25     -7.75                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 178.98  17  10   1A  16 (  7-  5) Iowa                   10.65     -3.65                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 177.23  14  10   1A  19 (  8-  4) Michigan                8.90     -4.90                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 164.59  30  27   1A  53 (  5-  7) Minnesota              -3.74      6.74                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 168.50  17   9   1A  42 (  5-  7) Indiana                 0.16      7.84                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 166.08  31  39   1A  20 (  9-  3) Northwestern           -2.25     -5.75                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 188.01  27  24   1A   1 ( 10-  2) Penn State             19.67    -16.67                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 143.42   3  48   1A   3 ( 10-  2) Ohio State            -24.92    -20.08                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 162.51  17   7   1A  65 (  4-  8) Maryland               -5.82     15.82                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W * 186.16  40   7   1A  85 (  4-  8) Rutgers                17.82     15.18                      
      Averages             168.33  23.1 20.2

Best game:  188.01 = 3 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 143.42 = 45 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev:  12.63