BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 76 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =  121.82

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   118.65  24  52   1A  98 (  6-  6) Louisiana Tech         -3.17    -24.83                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   112.62  10  23   1B  72 ( 10-  1) Grambling St           -9.20     -3.80                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W * 118.71  35  28   1B  98 (  2-  9) Lamar                  -3.11     10.11                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    L * 105.18  20  49   1B  31 (  6-  5) SE Louisiana          -16.64    -12.36                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 130.24  10  14   1B  45 (  8-  4) Nicholls St             8.42    -12.42                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    L * 140.74  36  40   1B  22 ( 10-  1) Sam Houston St         18.92    -22.92                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    L * 117.88  17  45   1B  11 ( 10-  1) Central Arkansas       -3.94    -24.06                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 118.92  10   7   1B 102 (  1- 10) Houston Baptist        -2.90      5.90                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 122.61  26  23   1B  78 (  2-  9) Abilene Christian       0.79      2.21                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 118.39  24  44   1B  36 (  9-  2) McNeese St             -3.43    -16.57                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 136.08  38  21   1B  75 (  4-  7) Stephen F. Austin      14.26      2.74                      
      Averages             121.82  22.7 31.5

Best game:  140.74 = 4 point loss to Sam Houston St
Worst game: 105.18 = 29 point loss to SE Louisiana
Team stdev:  10.25