BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Central Florida

Class: 1A Class Rank: 13 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (9-0) Overall: (12-0) Overall Strength =  174.90

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   183.30  61  17   1A 101 (  8-  4) Florida Int'l           9.06 *   34.94                      
  2 09/23/2017 Away    W   184.42  38  10   1A  65 (  4-  8) Maryland               10.18     17.82                      
  3 09/30/2017 Home    W * 191.15  40  13   1A  38 ( 10-  2) Memphis                16.91     10.09                      
  4 10/07/2017 Away    W * 171.60  51  23   1A 105 (  4-  8) Cincinnati             -2.64     30.64                      
  5 10/14/2017 Home    W * 175.84  63  21   1A 107 (  3-  9) East Carolina           1.59 *   40.41                      
  6 10/21/2017 Away    W * 170.83  31  21   1A  55 (  6-  5) Navy                   -3.42     13.42                      
  7 10/28/2017 Home    W   171.30  73  33   1B  43 (  8-  4) Austin Peay            -2.95 *   42.95                      
  8 11/04/2017 Away    W * 165.61  31  24   1A  64 (  7-  5) SMU                    -8.63     15.63                      
  9 11/11/2017 Home    W * 161.30  49  24   1A 114 (  3-  9) Connecticut           -12.94 *   37.94                      
 10 11/18/2017 Away    W * 178.09  45  19   1A  83 (  6-  6) Temple                  3.85     22.15                      
 11 11/24/2017 Home    W * 166.31  49  42   1A  41 (  9-  2) South Florida          -7.93     14.93                      
 12 12/02/2017 Home    W * 171.15  62  55   1A  38 ( 10-  2) Memphis                -3.09     10.09                      
 13 01/01/2018 Neutral                      1A   5 ( 10-  3) Auburn                           -7.65             
      Averages             174.24  49.4 25.2

Best game:  191.15 = 27 point win over Memphis
Worst game: 161.30 = 25 point win over Connecticut
Team stdev:   8.69