BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 51 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-1) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =  162.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   175.43  66   0   1B 107 (  1-  8) Incarnate Word         12.82 *   53.18                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   159.16  10  41   1A  13 (  9-  0) Alabama                -3.44    -27.56                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   156.01  16  48   1A   7 (  8-  1) Washington             -6.60    -25.40                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 164.87  41  21   1A  99 (  1-  8) Nevada                  2.26     17.74                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 148.79  27  10   1A 129 (  1-  9) San Jose St           -13.81 *   30.81                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 180.72  38   0   1A 106 (  3-  6) New Mexico             18.12     19.88                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 191.58  27   3   1A  47 (  8-  2) San Diego St           28.98     -4.98                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 137.46  16  26   1A  95 (  4-  5) UNLV                  -25.15     15.15                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W   149.42  20  13   1A 108 (  2-  8) Brigham Young         -13.18     20.18                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A 113 (  3-  6) Hawaii                           18.06             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  71 (  6-  3) Wyoming                           3.17             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  39 (  7-  2) Boise St                         -0.62             
      Averages             162.60  29.0 18.0

Best game:  191.58 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 137.46 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev:  17.28