BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 71 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-2) Overall: (4-4) Overall Strength =  159.26

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   169.53  62   0   1B 119 (  0-  9) VMI                     8.99 *   53.01                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   161.86  13  29   1A  20 (  6-  2) Michigan                1.32    -17.32                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 160.15  24  28   1A  49 (  7-  2) San Diego St           -0.39     -3.61                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 133.34  38  56   1A  99 (  3-  5) New Mexico            -27.20      9.20                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   167.58  45  48   1A  36 (  5-  2) Navy                    7.04    -10.04                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 155.03  34  30   1A  93 (  3-  5) UNLV                   -5.51      9.51                      
  7 10/20/2017 Away    W * 156.64  45  42   1A  94 (  1-  7) Nevada                 -3.90      6.90                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 180.20  45  28   1A  68 (  6-  3) Colorado St            19.66     -2.66                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home                         1A  70 (  6-  2) Army                              2.07             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  75 (  5-  3) Wyoming                           3.02             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  47 (  6-  2) Boise St                         -9.69             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  83 (  4-  5) Utah St                           5.08             
      Averages             160.54  38.2 32.6

Best game:  180.20 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 133.34 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  13.65