BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 37 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (2-4) Overall: (5-4) Overall Strength =  166.18

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   176.77  35  28   1A  31 (  4-  5) Purdue                  9.99     -2.99                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W * 168.78  47  35   1A  84 (  1-  8) North Carolina          2.00     10.00                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L * 156.95  21  47   1A   5 (  8-  1) Clemson                -9.83    -16.17                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   171.04  42   3   1A 122 (  2-  7) Kent St                 4.26 *   34.74                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W   166.75  55  10   1B  85 (  2-  7) Murray St              -0.03 *   45.03                      
  6 10/05/2017 Away    L * 161.87  25  39   1A  21 (  6-  3) North Carolina St      -4.91     -9.09                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 164.04  42  45   1A  33 (  5-  4) Boston College         -2.74     -0.26                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 171.13  31  28   1A  38 (  3-  5) Florida St              4.35     -1.35                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 163.71  32  42   1A  23 (  5-  4) Wake Forest            -3.07     -6.93                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  68 (  6-  3) Virginia                         10.33             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  43 (  4-  5) Syracuse                          3.23             
 12 11/25/2017 Away                         1A  82 (  6-  3) Kentucky                         10.13             
      Averages             166.78  36.7 30.8

Best game:  176.77 = 7 point win over Purdue
Worst game: 156.95 = 26 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:   5.90