BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 91 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-0) Overall: (2-2) Overall Strength =  155.73

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   161.37  36  43   1A  60 (  3-  3) Nebraska                6.67    -13.67                      
  2 09/16/2017 Home    W   151.60  48   3   1B 119 (  2-  4) Arkansas-Pine Bluff    -3.10 *   48.10                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    L   147.79  21  44   1A  46 (  4-  2) SMU                    -6.90    -16.10                      
  4 10/04/2017 Away    W * 158.03  43  25   1A 127 (  0-  4) Georgia Southern        3.33     14.67                      
  5 10/14/2017 Home      *                  1A 117 (  1-  4) Coastal Carolina                 14.62             
  6 10/19/2017 Home      *                  1A 112 (  2-  3) Louisiana-Lafayette              14.11             
  7 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  87 (  2-  4) New Mexico St                    -3.47             
  8 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A 124 (  1-  4) South Alabama                    15.60             
  9 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A 130 (  1-  5) Texas St-San Marcos              29.33             
 10 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A 101 (  3-  2) Louisiana-Monroe                  2.19             
 11 12/02/2017 Home      *                  1A  78 (  4-  1) Troy                             -4.17             
      Averages             154.70  37.0 28.8

Best game:  161.37 = 7 point loss to Nebraska
Worst game: 147.79 = 23 point loss to SMU
Team stdev:   6.14