BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 122 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (0-0) Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength =   59.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    55.38   0  24    3  26 (  2-  1) Carthage               -0.38    -23.62                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    71.62  31  26    3  70 (  1-  2) Loras                  15.86    -10.86                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    51.48  21  37    3  92 (  2-  1) Olivet                 -4.29    -11.71                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home      *                   3 195 (  0-  3) Wisconsin Lutheran               15.85             
  5 10/07/2017 Away      *                   3 175 (  2-  0) Concordia IL                      9.19             
  6 10/14/2017 Home                          3 118 (  2-  1) Alma                              0.66             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                   3 233 (  0-  2) Rockford                         33.64             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                   3  97 (  1-  1) Lakeland                         -3.92             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                   3 212 (  1-  2) Concordia WI                     21.68             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                   3  67 (  1-  2) Benedictine IL                  -11.61             
      Averages              59.49  17.3 29.0

Best game:   71.62 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  51.48 = 16 point loss to Olivet
Team stdev:  10.68