BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 27 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (1-0) Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength =  124.70

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   109.30  24  62   1A  65 (  2-  2) Arizona               -11.08 *  -26.92                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   120.91  20  38   1B   5 (  3-  0) Western Illinois        0.53    -18.53                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 128.49  28  10   1B  81 (  0-  4) Cal Poly SLO            8.11      9.89                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home      *                  1B  50 (  2-  1) Northern Colorado                 9.47             
  5 10/07/2017 Home                         1B   6 (  3-  0) Illinois St                     -12.46             
  6 10/14/2017 Away      *                  1B  57 (  0-  3) Portland St                       7.69             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1B  23 (  2-  2) UC-Davis                          0.44             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1B  17 (  2-  2) Sacramento St                    -1.31             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1B  35 (  2-  2) Montana                           1.05             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1B  11 (  1-  2) Montana St                       -8.71             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  37 (  2-  2) Southern Utah                     1.96             
      Averages             119.57  24.0 36.7

Best game:  128.49 = 18 point win over Cal Poly SLO
Worst game: 109.30 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:   9.66