BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 46 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-3) Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength = 170.56
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 183.98 60 7 1B 50 ( 5- 1) North Carolina Centr 11.50 * 41.50
2 09/09/2017 Home W 194.64 41 17 1A 39 ( 3- 3) Northwestern 22.16 1.84
3 09/16/2017 Home W 166.11 34 20 1A 102 ( 0- 6) Baylor -6.37 20.37
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 174.04 27 17 1A 73 ( 1- 6) North Carolina 1.56 8.44
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 154.76 6 31 1A 11 ( 5- 0) Miami FL -17.72 -7.28
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 164.01 21 28 1A 49 ( 5- 1) Virginia -8.47 1.47
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 169.81 10 17 1A 20 ( 2- 3) Florida St -2.67 -4.33
8 10/21/2017 Home * 1A 77 ( 2- 5) Pittsburgh 11.75
9 10/28/2017 Away * 1A 25 ( 5- 1) Virginia Tech -8.90
10 11/11/2017 Away 1A 68 ( 5- 2) Army 4.30
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 28 ( 3- 2) Georgia Tech -3.20
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 22 ( 4- 2) Wake Forest -10.30
Averages 172.48 28.4 19.6
Best game: 194.64 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 154.76 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 13.29