BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 96 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (3-3) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =  119.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   116.35  10  13   1B 106 (  2-  6) Robert Morris PA       -2.70     -0.30                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   134.46  25  23   1B  54 (  2-  6) SE Missouri St         15.41    -13.41                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   131.74  23  28   1B  40 (  7-  1) Duquesne               12.69    -17.69                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L *  91.15  28  34   1B 123 (  3-  6) Morehead St           -27.90     21.90                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 116.18   7  23   1B  53 (  6-  2) San Diego              -2.87    -13.13                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 127.76  20  10   1B 103 (  5-  3) Drake                   8.71      1.29                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 108.54   7  17   1B  93 (  5-  4) Campbell              -10.52      0.52                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 125.50  48  22   1B 122 (  2-  6) Davidson                6.45     19.55                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    W * 119.79  27  22   1B  99 (  5-  4) Butler                  0.74      4.26                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1B 118 (  3-  5) Marist                           16.79             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B 110 (  4-  4) Valparaiso                        4.40             
      Averages             119.05  21.7 21.3

Best game:  134.46 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  91.15 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev:  13.33