BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  170.13

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   174.48  35  28   1A  27 (  6-  6) Purdue                  5.11      1.89                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W * 169.62  47  35   1A  66 (  3-  9) North Carolina          0.25     11.75                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L * 155.25  21  47   1A   2 ( 12-  1) Clemson               -14.11    -11.89                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   167.34  42   3   1A 124 (  2- 10) Kent St                -2.02 *   41.02                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W   163.70  55  10   1B  81 (  3-  8) Murray St              -5.66 *   50.66                      
  6 10/05/2017 Away    L * 156.80  25  39   1A  25 (  8-  4) North Carolina St     -12.56     -1.44                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 161.90  42  45   1A  28 (  7-  5) Boston College         -7.46      4.46                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 170.76  31  28   1A  34 (  6-  6) Florida St              1.40      1.60                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 160.79  32  42   1A  23 (  7-  5) Wake Forest            -8.57     -1.43                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 171.12  38  21   1A  61 (  6-  6) Virginia                1.75     15.25                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 200.11  56  10   1A  62 (  4-  8) Syracuse               30.75     15.25                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W   180.50  44  17   1A  77 (  7-  5) Kentucky               11.13     15.87                      
 13 12/30/2017 Neutral                      1A  29 (  8-  4) Mississippi St                    3.58             
      Averages             169.37  39.0 27.1

Best game:  200.11 = 46 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 155.25 = 26 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:  12.15