BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 24 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-0) Overall: (6-1) Overall Strength =  177.50

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral L   160.99  28  35   1A  52 (  5-  2) South Carolina        -17.08     10.08                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   177.16  37  20   1A  70 (  5-  1) Marshall               -0.90     17.90                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   181.45  49  16   1B  12 (  4-  3) Furman                  3.39 *   29.61                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 187.38  27  21   1A  20 (  2-  3) Florida St              9.32     -3.32                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 172.72  33  25   1A  59 (  4-  3) Syracuse               -5.34     13.34                      
  6 10/05/2017 Home    W * 182.31  39  25   1A  50 (  4-  3) Louisville              4.25      9.75                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    W * 184.41  35  17   1A  77 (  2-  5) Pittsburgh              6.35     11.65                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away                         1A   5 (  5-  1) Notre Dame                      -16.12             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1A  10 (  6-  1) Clemson                          -7.43             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A  69 (  3-  4) Boston College                   11.71             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  22 (  4-  2) Wake Forest                      -3.37             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  73 (  1-  6) North Carolina                   18.02             
      Averages             178.06  35.4 22.7

Best game:  187.38 = 6 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 160.99 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev:   8.92