BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 148 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-3) Overall: (3-4) Overall Strength =   80.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    86.44  30  33    3 105 (  5-  1) Curry                   6.23     -9.23                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    89.84  31  10    3 198 (  3-  3) Castleton               9.63     11.37                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  71.52  26  42    3 118 (  3-  3) Worcester St           -8.70     -7.30                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  86.40  31  29    3 113 (  2-  5) Bridgewater St MA       6.18     -4.18                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  82.40  24  17    3 172 (  1-  5) Mass Maritime           2.19      4.81                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  86.95  16  32    3  34 (  5-  1) Framingham St           6.74    -22.74                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  57.93  21  33    3 193 (  2-  5) Westfield St          -22.28     10.28                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                   3  69 (  5-  1) Western Conn St                 -17.30             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                   3  51 (  6-  1) Plymouth St                     -17.32             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                   3 137 (  2-  4) UMass-Dartmouth                   0.10             
      Averages              80.21  25.6 28.0

Best game:   89.84 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  57.93 = 12 point loss to Westfield St
Team stdev:  11.49