BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 30 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength =  167.66

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   164.42  35  10   1A 105 (  2-  9) Bowling Green          -3.25     28.25                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   166.20  28  14   1A  79 (  6-  5) Western Michigan       -1.47     15.47                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   159.11  18  38   1A   7 (  9-  2) Notre Dame             -8.55    -11.45                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 177.56  17  10   1A  16 (  6-  5) Iowa                    9.90     -2.90                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 178.21  14  10   1A  20 (  8-  3) Michigan               10.55     -6.55                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 166.61  30  27   1A  51 (  5-  6) Minnesota              -1.06      4.06                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 169.42  17   9   1A  41 (  5-  6) Indiana                 1.75      6.25                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 165.74  31  39   1A  24 (  8-  3) Northwestern           -1.92     -6.08                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 185.85  27  24   1A   5 (  9-  2) Penn State             18.18    -15.18                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 144.53   3  48   1A   1 (  9-  2) Ohio State            -23.14    -21.86                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 166.66  17   7   1A  58 (  4-  7) Maryland               -1.01     11.01                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  73 (  4-  7) Rutgers                          11.28             
      Averages             167.66  21.5 21.5

Best game:  185.85 = 3 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 144.53 = 45 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev:  10.82