BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 188 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (4-1) Overall: (5-4) Overall Strength =   66.60

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    74.65   0  24    3  30 (  6-  3) Carthage                7.16 *  -31.16                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    87.39  31  26    3 138 (  4-  5) Loras                  19.89    -14.89                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    68.38  21  37    3 125 (  5-  4) Olivet                  0.89    -16.89                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  54.97  20  14    3 223 (  2-  7) Wisconsin Lutheran    -12.52     18.52                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W *  62.50  16  14    3 217 (  3-  5) Concordia IL           -4.99      6.99                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L    61.23  19  27    3 172 (  4-  5) Alma                   -6.27     -1.73                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W *  52.27  28  21    3 226 (  1-  7) Rockford              -15.22     22.22                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L *  78.67  38  47    3 100 (  7-  2) Lakeland               11.18    -20.18                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    W *  67.37  36  14    3 230 (  2-  7) Concordia WI           -0.12     22.12                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                   3 151 (  6-  3) Benedictine IL                  -13.25             
      Averages              67.49  23.2 24.9

Best game:   87.39 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  52.27 = 7 point win over Rockford
Team stdev:  11.32