BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 187 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (4-2) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   62.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    69.91   0  24    3  42 (  7-  3) Carthage                7.26    -31.26                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    83.43  31  26    3 148 (  4-  6) Loras                  20.79    -15.79                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    64.20  21  37    3 133 (  5-  5) Olivet                  1.55    -17.55                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  50.61  20  14    3 224 (  3-  7) Wisconsin Lutheran    -12.03     18.03                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W *  56.82  16  14    3 218 (  3-  6) Concordia IL           -5.82      7.82                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L    54.57  19  27    3 180 (  4-  6) Alma                   -8.07      0.07                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W *  49.74  28  21    3 227 (  1-  8) Rockford              -12.90     19.90                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L *  69.83  38  47    3 100 (  8-  3) Lakeland                7.19    -16.19                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    W *  61.01  36  14    3 231 (  2-  8) Concordia WI           -1.63     23.63                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L *  66.32  14  20    3 162 (  7-  3) Benedictine IL          3.67     -9.67                      
      Averages              62.64  22.3 24.4

Best game:   83.43 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  49.74 = 7 point win over Rockford
Team stdev:  10.36