BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alfred St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 228 Conference: Eastern Collegiate Football Conference Record: (1-6) Overall: (1-9) Overall Strength =   47.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Away    L    39.43   7  34    3 195 (  3-  7) Coast Guard            -5.12    -21.88                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L    32.94   0  45    3 134 (  3-  7) Hartwick              -11.61 *  -33.39                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    54.05   7  14    3 209 (  2-  7) Rochester               9.49    -16.49                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L *  45.00   6  49    3 101 (  9-  1) SUNY-Maritime           0.44 *  -43.44                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    L *  45.61  14  28    3 200 (  4-  6) Dean                    1.06    -15.06                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L *  44.90  19  35    3 198 (  3-  7) Gallaudet               0.34    -16.34                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L *  42.45  34  36    3 235 (  1-  9) Anna Maria             -2.11      0.11                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W *  72.92  18   8    3 191 (  4-  6) Mount Ida              28.37    -18.37                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L *  37.54   0  63    3  49 (  9-  1) Husson                 -7.01 *  -55.99                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L *  30.69  21  49    3 203 (  6-  4) Castleton             -13.86    -14.14                      
      Averages              44.55  12.6 36.1

Best game:   72.92 = 10 point win over Mount Ida
Worst game:  30.69 = 28 point loss to Castleton
Team stdev:  12.03