BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 60 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (6-1) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength =  158.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   171.36  66   0   1B 109 (  1- 10) Incarnate Word         12.81 *   53.19                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   157.06  10  41   1A  11 ( 11-  0) Alabama                -1.48    -29.52                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   150.29  16  48   1A  13 (  9-  2) Washington             -8.25    -23.75                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 164.24  41  21   1A  96 (  2-  9) Nevada                  5.69     14.31                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 143.49  27  10   1A 130 (  1- 11) San Jose St           -15.06 *   32.06                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 175.98  38   0   1A 112 (  3-  8) New Mexico             17.43     20.57                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 187.92  27   3   1A  53 (  9-  2) San Diego St           29.37     -5.37                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 132.43  16  26   1A 101 (  5-  6) UNLV                  -26.11     16.11                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W   148.50  20  13   1A 102 (  3-  9) Brigham Young         -10.04     17.04                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 150.27  31  21   1A 117 (  3-  8) Hawaii                 -8.28     18.28                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 162.46  13   7   1A  69 (  7-  4) Wyoming                 3.91      2.09                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  39 (  9-  2) Boise St                         -3.70             
 13 12/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  39 (  9-  2) Boise St                         -8.23             
      Averages             158.55  27.7 17.3

Best game:  187.92 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 132.43 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev:  15.90