BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 50 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength = 162.47
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2017 Home W 171.94 47 13 1B 33 ( 8- 2) Elon 8.74 25.26
2 09/09/2017 Away W 163.35 37 24 1A 95 ( 2- 8) Nevada 0.14 12.86
3 09/16/2017 Home W 150.19 54 51 1A 91 ( 2- 8) Tulsa -13.02 16.02
4 09/23/2017 Away L 159.93 30 52 1A 9 ( 9- 0) Miami FL -3.28 -18.72
5 10/07/2017 Home W * 159.13 20 15 1A 77 ( 3- 7) Eastern Michigan -4.07 9.07
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 176.26 30 10 1A 81 ( 6- 4) Central Michigan 13.05 6.95
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 173.58 48 21 1A 90 ( 5- 5) Akron 10.38 16.62
8 10/26/2017 Away W * 169.81 58 17 1A 123 ( 2- 8) Ball St 6.61 * 34.39
9 11/02/2017 Home W * 169.13 27 17 1A 58 ( 7- 3) Northern Illinois 5.93 4.07
10 11/08/2017 Away L * 138.70 10 38 1A 54 ( 8- 2) Ohio U. -24.50 -3.50
11 11/15/2017 Away * 1A 105 ( 2- 8) Bowling Green 15.66
12 11/24/2017 Home * 1A 80 ( 6- 4) Western Michigan 10.16
13 12/02/2017 Neutral * 1A 90 ( 5- 5) Akron 12.34
Averages 163.20 36.1 25.8
Best game: 176.26 = 20 point win over Central Michigan
Worst game: 138.70 = 28 point loss to Ohio U.
Team stdev: 11.69