BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  James Madison           1B   1 (11- 0) 161.94   3   2   4   1   2   2
  2  North Dakota St         1B   1 (10- 1) 152.53   1   1   2  12   3   8
  3  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 (11- 0) 145.72  32  29  46   2  15   1
  4  South Dakota St         1B   1 ( 9- 2) 144.66   2   3   1  13   6  22
  5  Central Arkansas        1B   1 (10- 1) 143.98  11  11   9  10   9   3
  6  Jacksonville St         1B   1 (10- 1) 141.36  12  12  13   7  17   5
  7  Weber St                1B   1 ( 9- 2) 140.96   8   6   6  28   8  13
  8  Kennesaw St             1B   1 (10- 1) 140.82  28  30  11   8   4   6
  9  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 9- 2) 140.68  10   9   5  22   5  16
 10  Sam Houston St          1B   1 (10- 1) 138.94  25  25  29   9  13   4
 11  Stony Brook             1B   1 ( 9- 2) 138.87  19  18  19   4  11  14
 12  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 8- 3) 137.40   4   5   7  40  16  21
 13  Yale                    1B   1 ( 9- 1) 137.22  21  23  30   5  12  15
 14  Samford                 1B   1 ( 8- 3) 135.97  26  27  21  16   1  31
 15  Wofford                 1B   1 ( 9- 2) 132.95  38  40  45  20   7  10
 16  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 7- 4) 132.53   7   7   8  41  14  43
 17  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 7- 4) 132.51   5   4  10  42  21  40
 18  Elon                    1B   1 ( 8- 3) 131.22  33  32  39   3  10  28
 19  Delaware                1B   1 ( 7- 4) 130.88  18  20  26   6  20  38
 20  Furman                  1B   1 ( 7- 4) 129.26  14  14  17  27  19  41
 21  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 9- 2) 129.17  36  36  34  30  33   9
 22  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 9- 2) 128.78  46  45  50  18  25  12
 23  San Diego               1B   1 ( 9- 2) 127.80  47  46  27  29  38  11
 24  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 7- 4) 127.41  31  31  23  14  27  34
 25  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 7- 4) 127.23  13  13  18  63  24  35
 26  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 6- 5) 127.23   6   8  15  52  28  56
 27  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 6- 5) 127.13   9  10   3  58  29  61
 28  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 7- 4) 126.96  17  16  20  45  18  44
 29  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 7- 4) 126.79  15  17  14  65  31  30
 30  Montana                 1B   1 ( 7- 4) 126.23  20  21  12  62  30  33
 31  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 8- 2) 126.09  53  54  53  15  22  20
 32  Richmond                1B   1 ( 6- 5) 126.01  16  15  16  11  26  72
 33  Grambling St            1B   1 ( 9- 1) 125.27  73  72  62  23  34   7
 34  Columbia                1B   1 ( 8- 2) 124.90  59  61  58  19  23  19
 35  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 8- 4) 123.75  40  38  38  31  44  24
 36  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 7- 4) 123.48  37  37  22  50  48  23
 37  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 8- 3) 123.20  58  58  47  32  36  18
 38  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 8- 3) 122.24  57  50  55  34  41  17
 39  Villanova               1B   1 ( 5- 6) 119.73  29  26  42  21  40  70
 40  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 6- 5) 118.23  30  34  24  51  57  54
 41  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 7- 5) 118.15  42  43  67  54  55  27
 42  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 6- 4) 117.96  51  52  49  24  32  58
 43  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 7- 4) 117.73  66  60  65  17  43  48
 44  Montana St              1B   1 ( 5- 6) 117.69  22  19  25  71  35  75
 45  Maine                   1B   1 ( 4- 6) 117.65  27  28  32  25  46  76
 46  Towson                  1B   1 ( 5- 6) 116.96  50  51  33  26  42  66
 47  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 7- 4) 116.78  52  55  57  43  52  37
 48  Howard                  1B   1 ( 7- 4) 116.53  67  69  68  38  63  25
 49  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 6- 5) 116.13  41  42  37  70  70  42
 50  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 5- 6) 116.08  24  24  28  86  45  73
 51  Princeton               1B   1 ( 5- 5) 115.68  34  39  44  44  50  65
 52  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 5- 6) 115.38  43  33  36  37  39  77
 53  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 6- 5) 114.95  69  59  72  33  37  53
 54  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 7- 4) 114.89  71  74  70  36  61  29
 55  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 6- 5) 113.71  56  57  54  61  54  51
 56  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 4- 7) 113.10  35  35  48  35  47  91
 57  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 4- 7) 112.11  23  22  41  88  58  82
 58  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 111.14  63  66  61  46  60  63
 59  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 5- 5) 110.78  68  71  79  47  53  57
 60  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 6- 5) 110.76  70  70  64  72  64  50
 61  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 7- 3) 110.67  87  92  77  67  74  26
 62  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 7- 4) 110.31  81  75  78  60  72  39
 63  Drake                   1B   1 ( 7- 4) 109.84  85  93  81  49  51  47
 64  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 6- 5) 109.82  93  90  60  53  62  46
 65  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 5- 6) 109.54  62  63  75  55  49  69
 66  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 6- 5) 109.48  60  68  74  81  83  45
 67  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 3- 8) 108.05  49  49  35  39  56 107
 68  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 6- 5) 106.96  86  84  86  66  79  49
 69  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 5- 6) 106.84  72  65  82  76  80  60
 70  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 5- 6) 106.62  80  81  73  64  65  67
 71  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 4- 7) 106.50  48  48  59 102  81  71
 72  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 3- 7) 106.11  45  47  40  98  77  90
 73  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 3- 8) 105.92  44  44  31  96  67 101
 74  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 3- 8) 105.11  39  41  43 107  68  98
 75  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 4- 7) 104.76  61  62  51  84  87  81
 76  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 4- 7) 102.79  74  73  96  69  69  85
 77  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 4- 7) 102.37  76  80  63  78  86  84
 78  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 6- 5) 102.21 107 105  88  77  82  52
 79  Butler                  1B   1 ( 6- 5) 102.14 104 103 100  68  71  59
 80  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 2- 9) 101.39  54  53  66  48  73 118
 81  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 4- 7) 101.37  77  78  71  75  84  93
 82  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 5- 6) 101.18 100 101 110  82  85  55
 83  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 5- 5) 101.07  82  94 105  83  91  62
 84  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 4- 7) 100.86  84  83  97  73  76  83
 85  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 3- 8) 100.70  55  56  52 106  98  92
 86  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 7- 4) 100.55 116 117 120  56  66  32
 87  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 4- 7) 100.54  90  87  80  74  78  86
 88  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 3- 8) 100.37  64  64  56  80  90 106
 89  Campbell                1B   1 ( 6- 5) 100.03 106 104 117  92  92  36
 90  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 4- 7)  99.44  88  85  87  85  88  80
 91  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 4- 7)  99.33  99  95  92  59  59  96
 92  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 4- 7)  98.82  97  98  94  79  75  88
 93  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 5- 6)  98.64 101 102 101  94  93  64
 94  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 4- 7)  98.58  96  96  89  57  95  87
 95  Murray St               1B   1 ( 3- 8)  96.11  79  76  83  99 100 100
 96  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  95.52  94 100  69  90 101  95
 97  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 3- 7)  95.08  89  86  95  95 106  89
 98  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  94.82  91  91  84  89 104  97
 99  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 4- 6)  92.61 110 109 107  87  97  79
100  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 3- 8)  92.34 103 106 106  97  94  94
101  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 2- 9)  92.08  78  77  85 105 102 112
102  Brown                   1B   1 ( 2- 8)  90.80 108 108 103  93  89 105
103  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 4- 7)  89.92 111 114 114 108 114  68
104  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 2- 9)  88.26  98  97  98 103 107 113
105  Marist                  1B   1 ( 4- 7)  87.77 119 119 118 100  96  78
106  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 1-10)  87.51  65  67  76 121 117 116
107  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 2- 9)  85.67 112 110 112  91 109 111
108  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 1-10)  85.29  83  82  90 116 113 120
109  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 3- 8)  85.01 115 115 109 104 110 103
110  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 1-10)  84.50  95  89  93 109 105 122
111  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 4- 7)  84.29 123 122 122 101  99  74
112  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 2- 9)  83.27 113 112 116 110 103 109
113  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 1-10)  81.93 105 107 108 111 118 114
114  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 1-10)  81.90 102  99  91 118 119 117
115  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 2- 8)  80.10 117 118 115 115 121  99
116  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 1-10)  79.31 114 113 111 119 112 115
117  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 1-10)  78.59 109 111 113 113 115 121
118  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 2- 9)  77.12 121 121 121 112 111 108
119  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0-11)  76.86  92  88 102 122 108 124
120  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0-11)  76.30  75  79  99 124 122 119
121  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 2- 9)  75.03 120 120 119 120 124 102
122  Davidson                1B   1 ( 2- 9)  74.63 122 123 123 114 116 110
123  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 2- 9)  70.95 124 124 124 117 123 104
124  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0-11)  69.43 118 116 104 123 120 123