BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


SMU

Class: 1A Class Rank: 53 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (3-2) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =  162.62

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   168.91  58  14   1B  72 (  4-  5) Stephen F. Austin       5.59 *   38.41                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   169.14  54  32   1A 102 (  6-  3) North Texas             5.83     16.17                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   162.72  36  56   1A   9 (  8-  1) TCU                    -0.59    -19.41                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   178.95  44  21   1A  63 (  5-  2) Arkansas St            15.64      7.36                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 157.83  49  28   1A 119 (  3-  6) Connecticut            -5.48     26.48                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 151.21  22  35   1A  57 (  6-  3) Houston               -12.11     -0.89                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 156.28  31  28   1A  91 (  3-  6) Cincinnati             -7.04     10.04                      
  8 10/27/2017 Home    W * 152.38  38  34   1A  92 (  2-  8) Tulsa                 -10.93     14.93                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L * 172.42  24  31   1A  10 (  8-  0) Central Florida         9.11    -16.11                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A  54 (  5-  3) Navy                             -2.31             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  36 (  8-  1) Memphis                          -5.96             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  79 (  3-  6) Tulane                           10.28             
      Averages             163.32  39.6 31.0

Best game:  178.95 = 23 point win over Arkansas St
Worst game: 151.21 = 13 point loss to Houston
Team stdev:   9.61