BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 166 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-4) Overall: (3-5) Overall Strength =   74.57

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    83.05  30  33    3 115 (  7-  1) Curry                   8.48    -11.48                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    81.48  31  10    3 204 (  4-  4) Castleton               6.91     14.09                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  71.16  26  42    3 110 (  5-  3) Worcester St           -3.40    -12.60                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  80.48  31  29    3 135 (  2-  6) Bridgewater St MA       5.91     -3.91                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  73.68  24  17    3 196 (  1-  7) Mass Maritime          -0.89      7.89                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  77.70  16  32    3  51 (  7-  1) Framingham St           3.13    -19.13                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  57.16  21  33    3 199 (  2-  7) Westfield St          -17.40      5.40                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L *  71.83  34  55    3  78 (  7-  1) Western Conn St        -2.74    -18.26                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                   3  74 (  8-  1) Plymouth St                     -15.80             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                   3 152 (  2-  6) UMass-Dartmouth                  -0.84             
      Averages              74.57  26.6 31.4

Best game:   83.05 = 3 point loss to Curry
Worst game:  57.16 = 12 point loss to Westfield St
Team stdev:   8.34