BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  James Madison           1B   1 (14- 1) 159.27   2   2   2   2   2   2
  2  North Dakota St         1B   1 (14- 1) 158.80   1   1   1   3   1   3
  3  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 (12- 0) 144.51  32  30  40   1   9   1
  4  South Dakota St         1B   1 (11- 3) 141.54   3   3   5   5   4  16
  5  Weber St                1B   1 (11- 3) 140.88   5   4   3  17   7   9
  6  Kennesaw St             1B   1 (12- 2) 139.86  22  27   9   8   5   4
  7  Sam Houston St          1B   1 (12- 2) 137.45  20  19  26   9   6   5
  8  Central Arkansas        1B   1 (10- 2) 134.89  11  11  10  20  15   7
  9  Stony Brook             1B   1 (10- 3) 134.32  14  13  17   6  11  13
 10  Yale                    1B   1 ( 9- 1) 133.80  21  20  28   4  12  14
 11  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 9- 3) 132.94  10  10   7  24  10  19
 12  Jacksonville St         1B   1 (10- 2) 132.48  16  14  16  16  21   8
 13  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 8- 4) 131.91   4   5   8  31  16  27
 14  Wofford                 1B   1 (10- 3) 130.49  34  34  27  14   8  11
 15  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 8- 5) 129.61   7   7   6  26  13  51
 16  Samford                 1B   1 ( 8- 4) 128.25  27  28  24  18   3  44
 17  San Diego               1B   1 (10- 3) 127.45  28  38  15  25  29  12
 18  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 8- 5) 126.74   8   6  22  29  19  48
 19  Delaware                1B   1 ( 7- 4) 126.41  15  17  23  11  20  36
 20  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 9- 2) 124.73  37  36  36  34  36  10
 21  Elon                    1B   1 ( 8- 4) 124.45  33  33  34   7  14  35
 22  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 6- 5) 124.42   6   8  13  39  26  57
 23  Furman                  1B   1 ( 8- 5) 124.39  19  18  20  27  18  39
 24  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 6- 5) 123.94   9   9   4  46  30  63
 25  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 7- 4) 123.82  18  15  19  38  17  43
 26  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 9- 5) 123.68  31  31  35  13  22  30
 27  Grambling St            1B   1 (11- 2) 123.14  69  71  68  19  32   6
 28  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 7- 4) 122.82  17  16  14  55  34  26
 29  Montana                 1B   1 ( 7- 4) 122.75  12  21  12  52  31  32
 30  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 8- 2) 122.70  53  53  52  10  23  18
 31  Richmond                1B   1 ( 6- 5) 122.18  13  12  11  15  25  71
 32  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 9- 3) 121.56  48  48  58  23  27  15
 33  Columbia                1B   1 ( 8- 2) 121.52  58  60  56  12  24  17
 34  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 7- 4) 119.63  39  40  18  51  48  21
 35  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 8- 4) 118.83  43  41  39  30  45  25
 36  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 7- 5) 118.45  25  25  41  58  28  41
 37  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 8- 4) 117.69  44  46  50  49  43  20
 38  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 8- 4) 117.49  60  59  47  33  39  22
 39  Villanova               1B   1 ( 5- 6) 115.87  30  23  38  28  37  70
 40  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 6- 4) 115.08  49  49  49  22  33  58
 41  Montana St              1B   1 ( 5- 6) 114.48  23  22  25  67  35  76
 42  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 7- 5) 114.15  41  42  69  56  55  24
 43  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 6- 5) 114.12  36  35  21  64  58  53
 44  Maine                   1B   1 ( 4- 6) 113.82  29  29  31  36  46  79
 45  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 7- 4) 113.73  65  61  64  21  41  47
 46  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 7- 4) 113.48  52  55  57  41  52  34
 47  Towson                  1B   1 ( 5- 6) 113.24  54  52  32  35  40  66
 48  Princeton               1B   1 ( 5- 5) 113.07  35  39  43  44  49  65
 49  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 5- 6) 112.86  26  26  29  79  44  73
 50  Howard                  1B   1 ( 7- 4) 112.41  68  70  65  42  64  23
 51  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 5- 6) 112.15  40  32  37  43  38  77
 52  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 6- 5) 111.57  42  43  42  72  72  37
 53  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 6- 5) 111.03  70  56  71  40  42  54
 54  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 7- 4) 111.01  71  74  70  37  62  28
 55  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 6- 5) 110.04  56  57  55  62  54  49
 56  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 4- 7) 109.65  38  37  45  47  50  89
 57  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 4- 7) 109.45  24  24  48  76  57  82
 58  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 108.98  61  65  61  32  60  62
 59  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 5- 5) 107.83  67  69  78  48  53  59
 60  Drake                   1B   1 ( 7- 4) 107.65  82  89  77  45  47  45
 61  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 6- 5) 106.57  73  72  66  74  68  42
 62  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 6- 5) 106.34  92  90  59  54  59  40
 63  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 5- 6) 106.29  59  62  73  57  51  68
 64  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 6- 5) 105.35  62  68  74  85  85  38
 65  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 7- 4) 104.99  88  91  80  69  77  29
 66  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 3- 8) 104.65  47  47  33  50  56 106
 67  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 7- 5) 104.46  79  75  82  63  75  55
 68  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 3- 8) 103.45  46  45  30  86  67 100
 69  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 6- 5) 103.35  85  85  87  66  80  46
 70  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 5- 6) 103.33  72  64  83  78  81  61
 71  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 4- 7) 102.86  50  50  60 103  83  69
 72  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 3- 7) 102.52  51  51  44  99  76  87
 73  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 3- 8) 102.05  45  44  46 100  69  97
 74  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 5- 7) 101.55  80  81  75  60  65  75
 75  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 4- 7) 101.12  64  66  51  93  89  80
 76  Butler                  1B   1 ( 6- 5) 100.03 103 103  99  61  66  60
 77  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 4- 7)  99.91  74  73  97  70  71  85
 78  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 6- 5)  99.71 108 105  85  71  78  52
 79  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 6- 5)  99.50  83  93 104  83  92  50
 80  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 4- 7)  98.91  76  79  62  87  86  84
 81  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 2- 9)  98.38  55  54  63  65  70 118
 82  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 4- 7)  98.24  75  76  72  81  82  94
 83  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 7- 4)  98.08 116 116 120  53  61  31
 84  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 5- 6)  97.85 101 102 109  80  84  56
 85  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 4- 7)  97.76  84  82  96  77  74  86
 86  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 4- 7)  97.72  89  87  79  75  79  83
 87  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  97.59  63  63  54  84  93 103
 88  Campbell                1B   1 ( 6- 5)  97.26 105 104 116  89  90  33
 89  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 3- 8)  97.22  57  58  53 106  99  92
 90  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 4- 7)  96.60  87  84  88  82  87  81
 91  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 5- 6)  96.41  99  99 100  92  88  64
 92  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 4- 7)  96.14 100  96  91  68  63  96
 93  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 4- 7)  96.13  97  98  94  73  73  88
 94  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 4- 7)  95.30  95  95  90  59  95  91
 95  Murray St               1B   1 ( 3- 8)  92.45  81  78  86 102 100  98
 96  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 3- 7)  92.25  90  86  95  95 106  90
 97  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  92.21  98 101  67  88 101  99
 98  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  91.96  91  92  84  91 104  95
 99  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 3- 8)  89.66 104 106 106  97  94  93
100  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 5- 6)  89.55 115 110 112  96  98  72
101  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 2- 9)  89.20  78  77  81 108 103 111
102  Brown                   1B   1 ( 2- 8)  88.58 109 107 102  90  91 104
103  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 4- 7)  86.79 110 114 114 105 115  67
104  Marist                  1B   1 ( 4- 7)  85.76 118 119 118  98  96  78
105  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 2- 9)  85.46  96  97  98 107 108 112
106  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 1-10)  85.00  66  67  76 121 117 117
107  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 2- 9)  82.96 111 111 111  94 109 113
108  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 1-10)  82.40  93  88  92 110 105 123
109  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 1-10)  82.27  86  83  93 117 114 119
110  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 3- 8)  82.13 114 115 108 104 112 102
111  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 4- 7)  81.97 123 122 122 101  97  74
112  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 2- 9)  81.00 112 112 117 109 102 110
113  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 1-10)  79.42 106 108 107 111 118 114
114  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 1-10)  79.39 102 100  89 120 119 116
115  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 1-10)  77.30 113 113 110 118 111 115
116  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 1-10)  76.45 107 109 113 114 116 121
117  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 2- 9)  75.60 121 121 121 112 110 108
118  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 2- 9)  75.52 117 118 115 115 121 107
119  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0-11)  75.21  94  94 103 122 107 124
120  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0-11)  73.84  77  80 101 124 122 120
121  Davidson                1B   1 ( 2- 9)  73.08 122 123 123 113 113 109
122  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 2- 9)  72.68 120 120 119 119 124 101
123  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 2- 9)  68.35 124 124 124 116 123 105
124  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0-11)  67.64 119 117 105 123 120 122