BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 83 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (2-2) Overall: (3-4) Overall Strength =  159.10

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   170.34  62   0   1B 123 (  0-  8) VMI                     9.64 *   52.36                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   164.30  13  29   1A  23 (  5-  2) Michigan                3.60    -19.60                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 163.41  24  28   1A  46 (  6-  2) San Diego St            2.70     -6.70                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 141.79  38  56   1A  86 (  3-  4) New Mexico            -18.92      0.92                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   170.81  45  48   1A  39 (  5-  2) Navy                   10.11    -13.11                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 153.92  34  30   1A 103 (  2-  5) UNLV                   -6.78     10.78                      
  7 10/20/2017 Away    W * 160.36  45  42   1A  94 (  1-  7) Nevada                 -0.34      3.34                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  62 (  6-  2) Colorado St                      -9.24             
  9 11/04/2017 Home                         1A  70 (  6-  2) Army                             -1.30             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  92 (  4-  3) Wyoming                           5.59             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  59 (  5-  2) Boise St                        -10.48             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  73 (  4-  4) Utah St                          -0.23             
      Averages             160.70  37.3 33.3

Best game:  170.81 = 3 point loss to Navy
Worst game: 141.79 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  10.16