BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 62 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength =  160.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   174.17  66   0   1B  99 (  1-  9) Incarnate Word         13.88 *   52.12                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   158.09  10  41   1A  11 ( 10-  0) Alabama                -2.21    -28.79                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   153.52  16  48   1A  10 (  8-  2) Washington             -6.78    -25.22                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 166.01  41  21   1A  95 (  2-  8) Nevada                  5.72     14.28                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 144.85  27  10   1A 129 (  1- 10) San Jose St           -15.44 *   32.44                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 177.69  38   0   1A 113 (  3-  7) New Mexico             17.39     20.61                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 189.75  27   3   1A  49 (  8-  2) San Diego St           29.45     -5.45                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 134.68  16  26   1A 102 (  4-  6) UNLV                  -25.62     15.62                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W   150.04  20  13   1A 104 (  3-  8) Brigham Young         -10.26     17.26                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 154.17  31  21   1A 111 (  3-  7) Hawaii                 -6.13     16.13                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  67 (  7-  3) Wyoming                           0.81             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  40 (  8-  2) Boise St                         -2.60             
 13 12/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  40 (  8-  2) Boise St                         -6.94             
      Averages             160.30  29.2 18.3

Best game:  189.75 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 134.68 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev:  16.61