BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 27 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-0) Overall: (6-1) Overall Strength =  176.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   169.37  35  10   1A 108 (  1-  7) Bowling Green          -6.32 *   31.32                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   173.78  28  14   1A  81 (  5-  3) Western Michigan       -1.91     15.91                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   171.25  18  38   1A   2 (  6-  1) Notre Dame             -4.44    -15.56                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 181.86  17  10   1A  26 (  4-  3) Iowa                    6.16      0.84                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 184.30  14  10   1A  23 (  5-  2) Michigan                8.60     -4.60                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 173.37  30  27   1A  56 (  4-  3) Minnesota              -2.32      5.32                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 175.94  17   9   1A  40 (  3-  4) Indiana                 0.24      7.76                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  37 (  4-  3) Northwestern                      2.55             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1A   3 (  7-  0) Penn State                      -17.18             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A  13 (  6-  1) Ohio State                      -10.58             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  44 (  3-  4) Maryland                          9.20             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  65 (  3-  4) Rutgers                           9.78             
      Averages             175.70  22.7 16.9

Best game:  184.30 = 4 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 169.37 = 25 point win over Bowling Green
Team stdev:   5.49