BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 73 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (0-4) Overall: (1-6) Overall Strength = 161.76
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home L 164.96 30 35 1A 42 ( 4- 3) California 3.20 -8.20
2 09/09/2017 Home L * 156.31 35 47 1A 50 ( 4- 3) Louisville -5.45 -6.55
3 09/16/2017 Away W 174.58 53 23 1A 120 ( 2- 4) Old Dominion 12.82 17.18
4 09/23/2017 Home L * 160.19 17 27 1A 46 ( 4- 3) Duke -1.56 -8.44
5 09/30/2017 Away L * 152.33 7 33 1A 28 ( 3- 2) Georgia Tech -9.43 -16.57
6 10/07/2017 Home L 163.50 10 33 1A 5 ( 5- 1) Notre Dame 1.74 -24.74
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 160.44 14 20 1A 49 ( 5- 1) Virginia -1.32 -4.68
8 10/21/2017 Away * 1A 25 ( 5- 1) Virginia Tech -17.70
9 10/28/2017 Home * 1A 11 ( 5- 0) Miami FL -22.69
10 11/09/2017 Away * 1A 77 ( 2- 5) Pittsburgh -1.62
11 11/18/2017 Home 1B 23 ( 5- 2) Western Carolina 13.38
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 24 ( 6- 1) North Carolina St -18.02
Averages 161.76 23.7 31.1
Best game: 174.58 = 30 point win over Old Dominion
Worst game: 152.33 = 26 point loss to Georgia Tech
Team stdev: 7.08