BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 50 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength =  161.35

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   145.26  37  31   1A 108 (  4-  6) New Mexico St         -16.09     22.09                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   149.38  20  30   1A  53 (  9-  2) San Diego St          -11.97      1.97                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   160.54  45  52   1A  35 (  5-  6) Texas Tech             -0.81     -6.19                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W * 166.76  37  35   1A  33 (  6-  5) Oregon                  5.41     -3.41                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 163.98  24  34   1A  22 (  8-  3) Stanford                2.63    -12.63                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 183.76  13   7   1A  13 (  9-  2) Washington             22.41    -16.41                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 185.30  30  10   1A  44 (  5-  6) Utah                   23.94     -3.94                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 138.28  17  48   1A  21 ( 10-  2) Southern Cal          -23.07     -7.93                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 165.39  41  30   1A  68 (  5-  6) Colorado                4.04      6.96                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 155.69  37  44   1A  54 (  5-  6) UCLA                   -5.66     -1.34                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 160.53  40  24   1A 106 (  1- 10) Oregon St              -0.82     16.82                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  37 (  7-  4) Arizona                          -1.49             
      Averages             161.35  31.0 31.4

Best game:  185.30 = 20 point win over Utah
Worst game: 138.28 = 31 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev:  14.48