BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  156.13

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   153.76  30  35   1A  47 (  5-  7) California             -2.36     -2.64                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 155.45  35  47   1A  22 (  8-  4) Louisville             -0.68    -11.32                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   166.91  53  23   1A 120 (  5-  7) Old Dominion           10.78     19.22                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 152.46  17  27   1A  40 (  6-  6) Duke                   -3.67     -6.33                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 141.71   7  33   1A  34 (  5-  6) Georgia Tech          -14.41    -11.59                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   153.08  10  33   1A   9 (  9-  3) Notre Dame             -3.04    -19.96                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 148.97  14  20   1A  60 (  6-  6) Virginia               -7.16      1.16                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 124.17   7  59   1A  17 (  9-  3) Virginia Tech         -31.96    -20.04                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L * 166.40  19  24   1A  14 ( 10-  1) Miami FL               10.28    -15.28                      
 10 11/09/2017 Away    W * 165.76  34  31   1A  48 (  5-  7) Pittsburgh              9.64     -6.64                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W   185.60  65  10   1B  42 (  7-  5) Western Carolina       29.48     25.52                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    L * 159.23  21  33   1A  25 (  8-  4) North Carolina St       3.10    -15.10                      
      Averages             156.13  26.0 31.2

Best game:  185.60 = 55 point win over Western Carolina
Worst game: 124.17 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  15.08