BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 100 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength = 115.55
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 108.80 10 13 1B 114 ( 2- 8) Robert Morris PA -6.75 3.75
2 09/09/2017 Home W 130.67 25 23 1B 55 ( 2- 8) SE Missouri St 15.12 -13.12
3 09/16/2017 Home L 127.10 23 28 1B 48 ( 7- 3) Duquesne 11.55 -16.55
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 88.68 28 34 1B 123 ( 3- 7) Morehead St -26.88 20.88
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 116.70 7 23 1B 41 ( 8- 2) San Diego 1.15 -17.15
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 127.81 20 10 1B 92 ( 6- 4) Drake 12.26 -2.26
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 100.97 7 17 1B 107 ( 6- 5) Campbell -14.58 4.58
8 10/21/2017 Away W * 120.74 48 22 1B 122 ( 2- 8) Davidson 5.19 20.81
9 10/28/2017 Home W * 116.21 27 22 1B 104 ( 6- 5) Butler 0.66 4.34
10 11/04/2017 Home W * 117.82 36 17 1B 118 ( 4- 6) Marist 2.27 16.73
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 108 ( 5- 5) Valparaiso 2.96
Averages 115.55 23.1 20.9
Best game: 130.67 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game: 88.68 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 13.02