BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Toledo

Class: 1A Class Rank: 50 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength =  162.47

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   171.94  47  13   1B  33 (  8-  2) Elon                    8.74     25.26                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   163.35  37  24   1A  95 (  2-  8) Nevada                  0.14     12.86                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   150.19  54  51   1A  91 (  2-  8) Tulsa                 -13.02     16.02                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L   159.93  30  52   1A   9 (  9-  0) Miami FL               -3.28    -18.72                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 159.13  20  15   1A  77 (  3-  7) Eastern Michigan       -4.07      9.07                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 176.26  30  10   1A  81 (  6-  4) Central Michigan       13.05      6.95                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 173.58  48  21   1A  90 (  5-  5) Akron                  10.38     16.62                      
  8 10/26/2017 Away    W * 169.81  58  17   1A 123 (  2-  8) Ball St                 6.61 *   34.39                      
  9 11/02/2017 Home    W * 169.13  27  17   1A  58 (  7-  3) Northern Illinois       5.93      4.07                      
 10 11/08/2017 Away    L * 138.70  10  38   1A  54 (  8-  2) Ohio U.               -24.50     -3.50                      
 11 11/15/2017 Away      *                  1A 105 (  2-  8) Bowling Green                    15.66             
 12 11/24/2017 Home      *                  1A  80 (  6-  4) Western Michigan                 10.16             
 13 12/02/2017 Neutral   *                  1A  90 (  5-  5) Akron                            12.34             
      Averages             163.20  36.1 25.8

Best game:  176.26 = 20 point win over Central Michigan
Worst game: 138.70 = 28 point loss to Ohio U.
Team stdev:  11.69