BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 28 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-1) Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength =  173.46

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   167.35  35  10   1A 111 (  1-  7) Bowling Green          -5.35 *   30.35                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   171.59  28  14   1A  77 (  5-  3) Western Michigan       -1.11     15.11                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   169.82  18  38   1A   2 (  7-  1) Notre Dame             -2.87    -17.13                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 179.84  17  10   1A  23 (  5-  3) Iowa                    7.15     -0.15                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 181.86  14  10   1A  20 (  6-  2) Michigan                9.16     -5.16                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 172.00  30  27   1A  46 (  4-  4) Minnesota              -0.69      3.69                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 172.99  17   9   1A  39 (  3-  5) Indiana                 0.30      7.70                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 166.11  31  39   1A  31 (  5-  3) Northwestern           -6.58     -1.42                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1A   3 (  7-  1) Penn State                      -18.93             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A   4 (  7-  1) Ohio State                      -20.49             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  42 (  4-  4) Maryland                          8.42             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  64 (  3-  5) Rutgers                           9.47             
      Averages             172.69  23.8 19.6

Best game:  181.86 = 4 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 166.11 = 8 point loss to Northwestern
Team stdev:   5.57