BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 67 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-6) Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength =  157.36

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   154.82  30  35   1A  47 (  5-  6) California             -2.54     -2.46                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 155.62  35  47   1A  23 (  7-  4) Louisville             -1.74    -10.26                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   169.83  53  23   1A 119 (  5-  6) Old Dominion           12.47     17.53                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 152.33  17  27   1A  43 (  5-  6) Duke                   -5.03     -4.97                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 145.01   7  33   1A  29 (  5-  5) Georgia Tech          -12.35    -13.65                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   156.11  10  33   1A   7 (  9-  2) Notre Dame             -1.25    -21.75                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 149.63  14  20   1A  65 (  6-  5) Virginia               -7.73      1.73                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 126.02   7  59   1A  15 (  8-  3) Virginia Tech         -31.34    -20.66                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L * 170.03  19  24   1A  10 ( 10-  0) Miami FL               12.67    -17.67                      
 10 11/09/2017 Away    W * 164.80  34  31   1A  56 (  4-  7) Pittsburgh              7.44     -4.44                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W   186.76  65  10   1B  42 (  7-  5) Western Carolina       29.40     25.60                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  25 (  7-  4) North Carolina St               -15.35             
      Averages             157.36  26.5 31.1

Best game:  186.76 = 55 point win over Western Carolina
Worst game: 126.02 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  15.70