BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 104 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (1-3) Overall: (2-5) Overall Strength =  118.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   119.39  10  13   1B 105 (  2-  4) Robert Morris PA        0.98     -3.98                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   133.12  25  23   1B  66 (  2-  4) SE Missouri St         14.71    -12.71                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   128.71  23  28   1B  47 (  5-  1) Duquesne               10.30    -15.30                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L *  91.84  28  34   1B 122 (  2-  5) Morehead St           -26.57     20.57                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 109.63   7  23   1B  82 (  4-  2) San Diego              -8.78     -7.22                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 130.79  20  10   1B  96 (  3-  3) Drake                  12.38     -2.38                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 115.37   7  17   1B  86 (  5-  2) Campbell               -3.04     -6.96                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1B 124 (  2-  4) Davidson                         20.44             
  9 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1B 107 (  4-  3) Butler                            6.04             
 10 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1B 118 (  3-  4) Marist                           14.44             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B 110 (  3-  4) Valparaiso                        2.82             
      Averages             118.41  17.1 21.1

Best game:  133.12 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  91.84 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev:  14.54