BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 185 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (4-2) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   63.65

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    70.57   0  24    3  42 (  7-  3) Carthage                6.92    -30.92                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    82.28  31  26    3 153 (  4-  6) Loras                  18.63    -13.63                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    65.74  21  37    3 131 (  5-  5) Olivet                  2.09    -18.09                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  52.01  20  14    3 224 (  3-  7) Wisconsin Lutheran    -11.64     17.64                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W *  58.25  16  14    3 218 (  3-  6) Concordia IL           -5.40      7.40                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L    56.38  19  27    3 180 (  4-  6) Alma                   -7.27     -0.73                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W *  50.94  28  21    3 226 (  1-  8) Rockford              -12.71     19.71                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L *  70.85  38  47    3  97 (  8-  3) Lakeland                7.20    -16.20                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    W *  62.05  36  14    3 228 (  2-  8) Concordia WI           -1.60     23.60                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L *  67.43  14  20    3 160 (  7-  3) Benedictine IL          3.78     -9.78                      
      Averages              63.65  22.3 24.4

Best game:   82.28 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  50.94 = 7 point win over Rockford
Team stdev:   9.70