BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home field advantage = 2.27
Composite = weighted composite of 6 subrankings: 3 based on win/loss-only models and 3 based on game-margin models
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Composite Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
11/25/2017 1A 11 (11- 0) Alabama 1A 2 ( 9- 2) Auburn 177.68 -11.72 83% 8.09 74% -4.66 65% -1.71 55%
11/25/2017 1A 7 ( 9- 2) Notre Dame 1A 22 ( 8- 3) Stanford 169.15 -10.80 81% -8.64 76% -7.40 72% -1.09 53%
11/25/2017 1A 1 ( 9- 2) Ohio State 1A 20 ( 8- 3) Michigan 166.56 -7.85 74% -12.04 83% -13.04 85% -8.56 75%
11/25/2017 1A 6 (10- 1) Georgia 1A 29 ( 5- 5) Georgia Tech 165.69 -23.32 97% -11.32 82% -8.39 75% -7.91 74%
11/25/2017 1A 18 ( 7- 4) Iowa St 1A 40 ( 6- 5) Kansas St 163.71 -5.88 68% -5.64 67% -5.74 68% -2.26 57%
11/25/2017 1A 37 ( 7- 4) Arizona 1A 50 ( 6- 5) Arizona St 161.36 -3.26 60% -1.49 55% -2.26 57% -1.34 54%
11/25/2017 1A 28 ( 9- 2) Washington St 1A 13 ( 9- 2) Washington 161.30 7.16 72% 11.37 82% 13.24 86% 14.40 88%
11/24/2017 1A 47 ( 5- 6) California 1A 54 ( 5- 6) UCLA 160.66 1.92 56% 0.60 52% 0.60 52% -1.54 55%
11/24/2017 1A 35 ( 5- 6) Texas Tech 1A 19 ( 6- 5) Texas 160.24 11.79 83% 9.13 77% 7.81 73% 15.47 89%
11/24/2017 1A 52 ( 6- 4) Navy 1A 63 ( 6- 4) Houston 159.51 -1.97 56% -0.67 52% -0.38 51% -6.94 71%
11/25/2017 1A 43 ( 5- 6) Duke 1A 17 ( 7- 4) Wake Forest 158.99 15.87 90% 11.36 82% 8.94 76% 13.50 86%
11/25/2017 1A 41 ( 5- 6) Indiana 1A 27 ( 5- 6) Purdue 158.50 3.95 62% 7.09 72% 8.09 74% 1.63 55%
11/25/2017 1A 32 ( 6- 5) Boston College 1A 61 ( 4- 7) Syracuse 158.00 -14.23 87% -6.33 69% -5.31 66% -16.77 91%
11/25/2017 1A 39 ( 9- 2) Boise St 1A 60 ( 8- 3) Fresno St 157.71 -7.33 72% -3.70 62% -3.95 62% -12.00 83%
11/25/2017 1A 45 ( 7- 4) Texas A&M 1A 38 ( 8- 3) LSU 156.03 10.51 80% 4.74 65% 6.45 70% 14.26 87%
11/25/2017 1A 31 ( 7- 4) West Virginia 1A 8 (10- 1) Oklahoma 155.84 24.27 97% 15.88 90% 17.44 92% 22.43 96%
11/24/2017 1A 16 ( 6- 5) Iowa 1A 57 ( 4- 7) Nebraska 154.30 -13.91 87% -11.60 82% -11.60 82% -14.58 88%
11/24/2017 1A 10 (10- 0) Miami FL 1A 56 ( 4- 7) Pittsburgh 152.92 -42.56 100% -17.93 92% -15.50 89% -14.60 88%
11/25/2017 1A 3 (11- 0) Wisconsin 1A 51 ( 5- 6) Minnesota 152.84 -40.66 100% -21.73 96% -19.26 94% -22.06 96%
11/24/2017 1A 42 ( 9- 1) South Florida 1A 9 (10- 0) Central Florida 152.81 20.94 95% 18.03 93% 16.94 91% 14.32 87%
11/24/2017 1A 15 ( 8- 3) Virginia Tech 1A 65 ( 6- 5) Virginia 151.24 -15.50 89% -15.12 89% -15.58 89% -20.22 95%
11/25/2017 1A 68 ( 5- 6) Colorado 1A 44 ( 5- 6) Utah 151.21 6.94 71% 8.94 76% 8.63 76% 10.27 80%
11/25/2017 1A 4 (10- 1) Clemson 1A 55 ( 8- 3) South Carolina 151.17 -22.58 96% -20.70 95% -20.59 95% -16.54 91%
11/25/2017 1A 36 ( 4- 6) Florida St 1A 72 ( 4- 6) Florida 150.42 -6.27 69% -8.74 76% -9.86 79% -7.58 73%
11/24/2017 1A 59 ( 8- 3) Northern Illinois 1A 82 ( 7- 4) Central Michigan 149.93 -4.79 65% -5.10 66% -5.36 67% -1.13 54%
11/25/2017 1A 71 ( 6- 5) Utah St 1A 91 ( 4- 7) Air Force 149.55 -8.96 76% -3.74 62% -2.49 58% -6.64 70%
11/25/2017 1A 30 ( 8- 3) Michigan St 1A 73 ( 4- 7) Rutgers 149.15 -22.10 96% -11.28 82% -11.59 82% -10.28 80%
11/24/2017 1A 64 ( 8- 3) Ohio U. 1A 83 ( 5- 6) Buffalo 148.61 -16.08 90% -4.61 64% -7.64 73% -16.83 91%
11/25/2017 1A 85 ( 5- 6) Temple 1A 88 ( 2- 9) Tulsa 148.60 -11.78 83% 1.04 53% 0.99 53% 4.10 63%
11/25/2017 1A 67 ( 3- 8) North Carolina 1A 25 ( 7- 4) North Carolina St 148.55 26.10 98% 15.35 89% 15.35 89% 14.07 87%
11/24/2017 1A 79 ( 6- 5) Western Michigan 1A 49 ( 9- 2) Toledo 148.39 21.40 96% 11.06 81% 9.87 79% 13.06 85%
11/25/2017 1A 5 ( 9- 2) Penn State 1A 58 ( 4- 7) Maryland 148.09 -29.92 99% -22.10 96% -23.92 97% -22.76 97%
11/25/2017 1A 23 ( 7- 4) Louisville 1A 75 ( 7- 4) Kentucky 148.06 -9.83 78% -14.42 88% -13.79 87% -21.23 96%
11/24/2017 1A 46 ( 6- 5) Missouri 1A 89 ( 4- 7) Arkansas 146.73 -16.21 90% -11.11 81% -9.54 78% -30.63 99%
11/25/2017 1A 80 ( 5- 6) Tulane 1A 62 ( 6- 5) SMU 145.07 10.29 80% 8.42 75% 9.90 79% 9.05 77%
11/25/2017 1A 97 ( 6- 4) Texas-San Antonio 1A 100 ( 5- 6) Louisiana Tech 144.93 -2.27 57% 0.72 52% 0.48 52% 3.63 61%
11/25/2017 1A 101 ( 5- 6) UNLV 1A 96 ( 2- 9) Nevada 141.53 -8.92 76% 5.26 66% 4.08 63% 8.52 75%
11/23/2017 1A 70 ( 5- 6) Mississippi 1A 26 ( 8- 3) Mississippi St 140.99 25.75 98% 17.34 92% 20.57 95% 22.17 96%
11/25/2017 1A 98 ( 7- 4) Southern Miss 1A 78 ( 7- 4) Marshall 140.74 8.65 76% 10.03 79% 8.70 76% 8.41 75%
11/25/2017 1A 93 ( 4- 7) Vanderbilt 1A 87 ( 4- 7) Tennessee 140.72 5.23 66% 3.93 62% 6.57 70% 8.95 76%
11/24/2017 1A 110 ( 6- 5) Western Kentucky 1A 113 ( 6- 4) Florida Int'l 139.31 5.23 66% 1.51 55% 1.02 53% 8.03 74%
11/25/2017 1A 77 ( 6- 3) Arkansas St 1A 111 ( 4- 6) Louisiana-Monroe 139.06 -14.31 87% -10.63 80% -8.01 74% -14.85 88%
11/25/2017 1A 102 ( 3- 9) Brigham Young 1A 117 ( 3- 8) Hawaii 137.39 -0.17 51% -3.24 60% -3.50 61% -6.34 69%
11/25/2017 1A 24 ( 8- 3) Northwestern 1A 99 ( 2- 9) Illinois 137.27 -37.52 100% -23.70 97% -22.05 96% -20.85 95%
11/25/2017 1A 115 ( 3- 8) Connecticut 1A 103 ( 3- 8) Cincinnati 135.70 1.74 56% 7.17 72% 6.04 69% -1.82 56%
11/24/2017 1A 84 ( 1-10) Baylor 1A 12 ( 9- 2) TCU 134.78 53.17 100% 30.69 99% 29.50 99% 24.06 97%
11/25/2017 1A 94 ( 6- 4) Appalachian St 1A 114 ( 6- 3) Georgia St 134.49 -0.62 52% -6.26 69% -9.51 78% -2.60 58%
11/25/2017 1A 116 ( 3- 7) Idaho 1A 108 ( 4- 6) New Mexico St 134.47 7.12 72% 5.46 67% 5.46 67% 2.58 58%
11/25/2017 1A 121 ( 1- 9) Georgia Southern 1A 120 ( 5- 5) Louisiana-Lafayette 134.10 20.02 95% 3.18 60% 1.97 56% -1.01 53%
11/21/2017 1A 105 ( 2- 9) Bowling Green 1A 76 ( 4- 7) Eastern Michigan 133.42 16.85 91% 13.27 86% 14.26 87% 14.87 88%
11/25/2017 1A 119 ( 5- 6) Old Dominion 1A 104 ( 5- 6) Middle Tennessee St 132.59 4.33 64% 7.92 74% 7.67 73% 3.86 62%
11/25/2017 1A 106 ( 1-10) Oregon St 1A 33 ( 6- 5) Oregon 127.62 36.82 100% 27.48 99% 27.03 98% 8.25 75%
11/24/2017 1A 112 ( 3- 8) New Mexico 1A 53 ( 9- 2) San Diego St 127.28 39.44 100% 22.69 97% 23.67 97% 23.85 97%
11/25/2017 1A 107 ( 3- 8) East Carolina 1A 34 ( 9- 1) Memphis 124.72 42.90 100% 26.33 98% 28.11 99% 26.16 98%
11/21/2017 1A 124 ( 2- 9) Kent St 1A 86 ( 6- 5) Akron 120.99 28.51 99% 19.01 94% 18.62 93% 23.76 97%
11/25/2017 1A 92 ( 8- 3) North Texas 1A 126 ( 1-10) Rice 120.43 -38.17 100% -15.78 90% -18.21 93% -14.58 88%
11/25/2017 1A 118 ( 1-10) Kansas 1A 14 ( 8- 3) Oklahoma St 117.67 54.86 100% 42.17 100% 40.47 100% 33.49 100%
11/24/2017 1A 127 ( 2- 9) Texas St-San Marcos 1A 81 ( 8- 2) Troy 116.28 44.42 100% 25.00 98% 23.10 97% 15.71 90%
11/21/2017 1A 90 ( 4- 7) Miami OH 1A 125 ( 2- 9) Ball St 116.13 -20.00 95% -16.10 90% -20.78 95% -29.09 99%
11/25/2017 1A 129 ( 0-11) UTEP 1A 109 ( 7- 4) Alabama-Birmingham 113.84 49.74 100% 22.15 96% 18.55 93% 27.42 99%
11/25/2017 1A 69 ( 7- 4) Wyoming 1A 130 ( 1-11) San Jose St 111.50 -46.15 100% -32.54 100% -27.70 99% -38.58 100%
11/25/2017 1A 48 ( 8- 3) Florida Atlantic 1A 128 ( 1-10) UNC-Charlotte 111.37 -48.11 100% -31.83 99% -33.40 100% -41.52 100%
11/25/2017 1B 4 ( 8- 3) Western Illinois 1B 8 ( 9- 2) Weber St 156.52 5.83 68% -2.27 57% 0.61 52% 3.57 61%
11/25/2017 1B 26 ( 8- 3) Samford 1B 28 (10- 1) Kennesaw St 140.65 7.11 72% -0.64 52% 0.47 51% 7.39 72%
11/25/2017 1B 14 ( 7- 4) Furman 1B 33 ( 8- 3) Elon 135.96 4.23 63% -7.05 71% -5.70 68% -8.67 76%
11/25/2017 1B 58 ( 8- 3) Central Conn St 1B 31 ( 7- 4) New Hampshire 122.13 6.48 70% 11.66 83% 11.50 82% 11.95 83%
11/25/2017 1B 47 ( 9- 2) San Diego 1B 13 ( 7- 4) Northern Arizona 122.06 1.69 55% 17.45 92% 17.38 92% 5.88 68%
11/25/2017 1B 5 ( 7- 4) South Dakota 1B 57 ( 8- 3) Nicholls St 119.10 -8.01 74% -24.54 98% -26.22 98% -20.69 95%
11/25/2017 1B 73 ( 9- 1) Grambling St 1B 87 ( 7- 3) Southern U. 113.11 -14.60 88% -5.37 67% -7.23 72% -6.35 69%
11/25/2017 1B 80 ( 5- 6) Lehigh 1B 19 ( 9- 2) Stony Brook 107.11 34.51 100% 25.99 98% 25.99 98% 25.35 98%
11/25/2017 1B 82 ( 5- 5) Prairie View A&M 1B 117 ( 2- 8) Texas Southern 95.93 -18.70 93% -16.68 91% -12.77 85% -5.25 66%
11/23/2017 NA 73 ( 0- 9) Edward Waters 1B 110 ( 4- 6) Alabama St 35.96 46.46 100% 46.69 100% 48.74 100% 52.43 100%
11/25/2017 2 4 (10- 1) Ferris St 2 1 (11- 0) Fort Hays St 139.87 11.40 82% 6.35 69% 4.31 64% 11.28 82%
11/25/2017 2 12 (10- 1) TAMU-Commerce 2 11 (11- 0) Central Washington 135.77 9.60 78% 2.74 59% 1.10 54% 6.98 71%
11/25/2017 2 7 ( 9- 3) Harding 2 6 (11- 1) Ashland 135.43 15.84 90% 4.98 66% 6.66 70% -8.48 75%
11/25/2017 2 25 (10- 0) Midwestern St 2 20 (12- 0) Minn St-Mankato 129.62 2.89 59% 6.72 70% 0.42 51% 2.84 59%
11/25/2017 2 15 (10- 2) Findlay 2 26 (10- 1) Assumption 129.58 7.41 72% -4.24 63% 5.05 66% 9.14 77%
11/25/2017 2 34 ( 9- 3) West Chester 2 13 (11- 0) Indiana PA 118.86 28.70 99% 12.28 84% 9.53 78% 16.56 91%
11/25/2017 2 35 ( 9- 3) Delta St 2 14 ( 9- 2) West Alabama 116.76 12.80 85% 12.20 84% 13.06 85% 11.17 81%
11/25/2017 2 32 ( 8- 3) West Florida 2 19 ( 9- 3) West Georgia 116.60 5.42 67% 8.76 76% 10.33 80% -1.92 56%
11/25/2017 3 5 ( 9- 1) Linfield 3 1 (11- 0) Mary Hardin-Baylor 108.16 24.62 98% 21.82 96% 16.06 90% 13.22 86%
11/25/2017 3 10 (10- 1) Wesley 3 7 (11- 0) Brockport St 108.03 15.03 89% 6.28 69% 6.49 70% 14.35 88%
11/25/2017 3 9 (11- 0) Trine 3 31 (11- 0) Wartburg 101.80 0.14 50% -9.32 77% -0.55 52% -8.94 76%
11/25/2017 3 19 (10- 1) North Central 3 4 (10- 0) UW-Oshkosh 100.07 16.71 91% 16.10 90% 12.03 83% 6.67 70%
11/25/2017 3 17 (10- 1) Frostburg St 3 36 (11- 0) Wash & Jeff 94.67 7.29 72% -6.92 71% -10.22 79% -17.95 93%
11/25/2017 3 41 (11- 0) Berry 3 15 (10- 1) St Thomas 89.62 -3.05 60% 12.86 85% 15.02 89% 26.73 98%
11/25/2017 3 12 (11- 0) Case Western Reserve 3 6 (11- 0) Mount Union 86.20 8.69 76% 8.44 75% 29.04 99% 11.38 82%
11/25/2017 NA 5 (11- 0) Southern Oregon NA 3 (11- 0) Lindsey Wilson 105.63 7.45 72% 11.16 81% 8.00 74% 2.60 58%
11/25/2017 NA 6 (10- 1) Northwestern IA NA 4 (11- 0) St Francis IN 102.26 14.98 89% 10.75 81% 10.28 80% -0.97 53%
11/25/2017 NA 10 ( 9- 1) Georgetown KY NA 1 (10- 0) Reinhardt 92.22 22.10 96% 29.36 99% 21.13 95% 27.19 99%
11/25/2017 NA 17 (10- 1) St Xavier NA 2 (12- 0) Morningside 81.37 28.83 99% 28.93 99% 32.17 100% 29.98 99%