BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  155.31

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   153.04  30  35   1A  48 (  5-  7) California             -2.27     -2.73                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 155.05  35  47   1A  21 (  8-  4) Louisville             -0.25    -11.75                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   166.43  53  23   1A 119 (  5-  7) Old Dominion           11.12     18.88                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 151.66  17  27   1A  40 (  6-  6) Duke                   -3.65     -6.35                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 141.02   7  33   1A  33 (  5-  6) Georgia Tech          -14.29    -11.71                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   152.42  10  33   1A   9 (  9-  3) Notre Dame             -2.88    -20.12                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 148.12  14  20   1A  61 (  6-  6) Virginia               -7.19      1.19                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 123.50   7  59   1A  16 (  9-  3) Virginia Tech         -31.81    -20.19                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L * 163.69  19  24   1A  17 ( 10-  2) Miami FL                8.39    -13.39                      
 10 11/09/2017 Away    W * 164.86  34  31   1A  50 (  5-  7) Pittsburgh              9.55     -6.55                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W   185.09  65  10   1B  40 (  7-  5) Western Carolina       29.78     25.22                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    L * 158.80  21  33   1A  25 (  8-  4) North Carolina St       3.50    -15.50                      
      Averages             155.31  26.0 31.2

Best game:  185.09 = 55 point win over Western Carolina
Worst game: 123.50 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  15.01