BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 89 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-3) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength = 150.94
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 165.54 62 0 1B 119 ( 0- 11) VMI 13.14 * 48.86
2 09/16/2017 Away L 160.41 13 29 1A 19 ( 8- 2) Michigan 8.01 -24.01
3 09/23/2017 Home L * 157.42 24 28 1A 49 ( 8- 2) San Diego St 5.02 -9.02
4 09/30/2017 Away L * 126.02 38 56 1A 113 ( 3- 7) New Mexico -26.38 8.38
5 10/07/2017 Away L 160.45 45 48 1A 56 ( 6- 3) Navy 8.05 -11.05
6 10/14/2017 Home W * 148.68 34 30 1A 102 ( 4- 6) UNLV -3.72 7.72
7 10/20/2017 Away W * 153.35 45 42 1A 95 ( 2- 8) Nevada 0.95 2.05
8 10/28/2017 Away W * 175.74 45 28 1A 74 ( 6- 5) Colorado St 23.34 -6.34
9 11/04/2017 Home L 136.26 0 21 1A 61 ( 8- 2) Army -16.14 -4.86
10 11/11/2017 Home L * 140.12 14 28 1A 67 ( 7- 3) Wyoming -12.28 -1.72
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1A 40 ( 8- 2) Boise St -16.49
12 11/25/2017 Home * 1A 73 ( 5- 5) Utah St -2.76
Averages 152.40 32.0 31.0
Best game: 175.74 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 126.02 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev: 14.88