BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Fresno St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 62 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength = 160.49
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 174.17 66 0 1B 99 ( 1- 9) Incarnate Word 13.88 * 52.12
2 09/09/2017 Away L 158.09 10 41 1A 11 ( 10- 0) Alabama -2.21 -28.79
3 09/16/2017 Away L 153.52 16 48 1A 10 ( 8- 2) Washington -6.78 -25.22
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 166.01 41 21 1A 95 ( 2- 8) Nevada 5.72 14.28
5 10/07/2017 Away W * 144.85 27 10 1A 129 ( 1- 10) San Jose St -15.44 * 32.44
6 10/14/2017 Home W * 177.69 38 0 1A 113 ( 3- 7) New Mexico 17.39 20.61
7 10/21/2017 Away W * 189.75 27 3 1A 49 ( 8- 2) San Diego St 29.45 -5.45
8 10/28/2017 Home L * 134.68 16 26 1A 102 ( 4- 6) UNLV -25.62 15.62
9 11/04/2017 Home W 150.04 20 13 1A 104 ( 3- 8) Brigham Young -10.26 17.26
10 11/11/2017 Away W * 154.17 31 21 1A 111 ( 3- 7) Hawaii -6.13 16.13
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1A 67 ( 7- 3) Wyoming 0.81
12 11/25/2017 Home * 1A 40 ( 8- 2) Boise St -2.60
13 12/02/2017 Away * 1A 40 ( 8- 2) Boise St -6.94
Averages 160.30 29.2 18.3
Best game: 189.75 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 134.68 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev: 16.61