BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  Central Washington       2   1 ( 7- 0) 156.81   4   6   3   6   5   4
  2  Indiana PA               2   1 ( 7- 0) 154.42  12  16  16   5   1   6
  3  Minn St-Mankato          2   1 ( 7- 0) 152.55   3  18  11   7  16   1
  4  Indianapolis             2   1 ( 7- 0) 152.35  15  13  14   3   4   5
  5  Midwestern St            2   1 ( 5- 0) 151.93   9  14  12   1   2  29
  6  Ashland                  2   1 ( 6- 1) 151.66   1   1   1  14   3  25
  7  Assumption               2   1 ( 6- 0) 151.62   7   7   7   8  10  11
  8  Winona St                2   1 ( 7- 0) 151.10  10  12  15   4   9   7
  9  Grand Valley St          2   1 ( 6- 1) 148.55   2   2   2  15  18  12
 10  NW Missouri St           2   1 ( 7- 0) 144.79  28  26  34   9  11   3
 11  Ferris St                2   1 ( 5- 1) 144.47   6   3   5  16   7  48
 12  TAMU-Commerce            2   1 ( 5- 1) 144.28  11   4   4  17   6  38
 13  Fort Hays St             2   1 ( 7- 0) 143.98  24  33  62  11  12   2
 14  West Alabama             2   1 ( 6- 1) 141.18   5   5  10  48  13  20
 15  Findlay                  2   1 ( 6- 1) 140.83  13   8   6  22  20  21
 16  Virginia St              2   1 ( 6- 0) 139.39  26  23  24  12  22   9
 17  Shepherd                 2   1 ( 6- 0) 138.06  68  62  64   2  17  18
 18  Wingate                  2   1 ( 6- 0) 136.37  55  54  53  10  21  10
 19  Humboldt St              2   1 ( 5- 1) 135.07  14  11  18  23  19  40
 20  Sioux Falls              2   1 ( 6- 1) 133.98  22  28  37  20  23  17
 21  Slippery Rock            2   1 ( 6- 1) 133.61  33  42  45  21   8  26
 22  Shippensburg             2   1 ( 6- 1) 133.26  19  19  19  36  46   8
 23  Delta St                 2   1 ( 6- 1) 132.88  20  22  21  67  15  14
 24  Eastern New Mexico       2   1 ( 6- 1) 132.24  57  58  54  19  14  19
 25  West Georgia             2   1 ( 5- 2) 130.31   8   9   9  65  28  64
 26  Tiffin                   2   1 ( 5- 2) 130.23  25  25  25  26  25  39
 27  Bowie St                 2   1 ( 6- 1) 129.19  36  17  13  58  43  15
 28  Notre Dame OH            2   1 ( 6- 1) 128.75  62  64  66  13  39  22
 29  West Chester             2   1 ( 5- 2) 128.65  17  20  20  28  27  68
 30  Kutztown                 2   1 ( 5- 2) 127.62  21  21  22  35  34  47
 31  SE Oklahoma St           2   1 ( 6- 1) 126.37  30  45  55  78  24  13
 32  Minnesota-Duluth         2   1 ( 5- 2) 125.60  44  40  31  18  29  63
 33  Azusa Pacific            2   1 ( 4- 3) 125.58  16  10   8  49  41  77
 34  Central Missouri         2   1 ( 5- 2) 124.15  43  37  23  32  38  50
 35  St Cloud St              2   1 ( 5- 2) 122.49  47  52  48  29  57  31
 36  Washburn                 2   1 ( 5- 2) 122.02  41  55  50  44  42  35
 37  Angelo St                2   1 ( 3- 3) 121.78  23  24  35  25  30  95
 38  Catawba                  2   1 ( 5- 2) 121.33  39  31  33  68  51  34
 39  Colorado Mesa            2   1 ( 6- 1) 121.19  45  50  49  74  54  16
 40  Arkansas Tech            2   1 ( 5- 2) 120.46  27  27  26 105  37  41
 41  Carson-Newman            2   1 ( 5- 2) 120.22  42  36  36  43  49  53
 42  Bemidji St               2   1 ( 5- 2) 120.20  38  34  44  45 102  23
 43  Northwood                2   1 ( 4- 3) 120.03  34  38  52  24  32  89
 44  Bloomsburg               2   1 ( 5- 2) 119.67  63  69  46  55  44  37
 45  California PA            2   1 ( 5- 2) 119.17  78  80  84  50  31  36
 46  North Alabama            2   1 ( 3- 3) 118.59  18  15  17  99  40  90
 47  New Haven                2   1 ( 5- 1) 118.39  94  92  90  46  36  27
 48  Ouachita Baptist         2   1 ( 5- 2) 118.10  50  46  57  98  35  44
 49  LIU Post                 2   1 ( 4- 2) 118.09  56  56  69  33  33  78
 50  Colorado St-Pueblo       2   1 ( 5- 2) 117.73  31  30  30  93  69  42
 51  Missouri S&T             2   1 ( 5- 2) 116.95  67  66  56  87  73  24
 52  McKendree                2   1 ( 4- 3) 116.73  64  51  39  39  61  62
 53  Albany St GA             2   1 ( 5- 2) 116.14  35  47  70  88  56  46
 54  Bentley                  2   1 ( 4- 2) 116.11  69  72  60  63  47  52
 55  Tarleton St              2   1 ( 4- 3) 115.87  77  79  79  47  26  76
 56  Upper Iowa               2   1 ( 4- 3) 114.34  84  83  91  31  48  71
 57  Newberry                 2   1 ( 4- 3) 114.08  37  39  28  94  66  70
 58  SW Baptist               2   1 ( 4- 3) 113.32  71  63  67  51  77  65
 59  Southern Arkansas        2   1 ( 5- 2) 113.08  72  74  89 122  50  28
 60  West Florida             2   1 ( 4- 2) 112.80  53  49  59 108  52  57
 61  TAMU-Kingsville          2   1 ( 3- 4) 112.53  61  68  63  37  45 111
 62  Michigan Tech            2   1 ( 3- 4) 112.21  46  53  72  42  59 101
 63  Ohio Dominican           2   1 ( 3- 3) 111.93  49  48  43  85  68  80
 64  Fairmont St              2   1 ( 4- 3) 111.85  88  88  73  27  83  79
 65  Florida Tech             2   1 ( 4- 3) 111.12  32  44  38 138  82  51
 66  Edinboro                 2   1 ( 4- 3) 111.09  79  86  85  61  71  61
 67  Hillsdale                2   1 ( 3- 4) 110.42  51  41  42  60  65 116
 68  Wayne St NE              2   1 ( 4- 3) 110.42  91  90  92  59  79  55
 69  Harding                  2   1 ( 4- 3) 110.00  60  61  32 127  60  72
 70  Emporia St               2   1 ( 4- 3) 109.75  80  81  77  77  90  54
 71  Saginaw Valley St        2   1 ( 3- 4) 109.52  54  65  61  69  87  86
 72  Missouri Western         2   1 ( 4- 3) 109.46  89  70  58  97 109  43
 73  Virginia Union           2   1 ( 5- 2) 109.34  90 108 108 100  63  33
 74  Arkansas-Monticello      2   1 ( 4- 3) 108.96  58  59  40 134  76  60
 75  Valdosta St              2   1 ( 2- 3) 108.94  29  29  27 129  70  99
 76  Gannon                   2   1 ( 3- 4) 108.92  48  35  51  89  81 105
 77  Tusculum                 2   1 ( 4- 3) 108.73  70  73  76 111  88  49
 78  Tuskegee                 2   1 ( 5- 2) 108.02  75  91 100 107  99  30
 79  Wayne St MI              2   1 ( 2- 5) 106.79  52  57  68  40  53 144
 80  West Virginia St         2   1 ( 4- 3) 106.76 108 111 112  30  97  74
 81  Mercyhurst               2   1 ( 3- 4) 106.57  73  75  80  72  80  97
 82  Central Oklahoma         2   1 ( 3- 4) 106.38  65  67  74  56  89 115
 83  Lenoir-Rhyne             2   1 ( 3- 4) 105.04  74  76  75  86  72 114
 84  Chadron St               2   1 ( 4- 3) 104.93  86  85  78 119  94  67
 85  North Greenville         2   1 ( 3- 4) 104.90  59  60  41 104  78 119
 86  Henderson St             2   1 ( 4- 3) 104.62  95  95 104 125  58  69
 87  South Dakota Tech        2   1 ( 4- 3) 104.56  83  82  94 116 101  58
 88  Stonehill                2   1 ( 3- 3) 104.44  97  97 114  92  67  81
 89  Western Oregon           2   1 ( 2- 5) 104.37  40  32  29  70 117 133
 90  Pittsburg St             2   1 ( 3- 4) 103.78  87  78  87  75  96 109
 91  Augustana SD             2   1 ( 3- 4) 103.54 103  98  71  52 105 108
 92  Miles                    2   1 ( 4- 3) 103.41  93  94  93 109  95  73
 93  Virginia-Wise            2   1 ( 4- 3) 103.37 126 126 139  38 110  56
 94  Pace                     2   1 ( 3- 3) 103.12 114 123 129  54  55  94
 95  Winston-Salem St         2   1 ( 4- 3) 103.10  98 102 109 115  85  66
 96  Colorado Mines           2   1 ( 3- 4) 102.65  66  43  47 135 111  96
 97  West Texas A&M           2   1 ( 3- 4) 102.21  99  99 123  80  64 110
 98  Northern Michigan        2   1 ( 1- 5) 102.13  82  71  65  71  75 136
 99  Millersville             2   1 ( 3- 4) 102.05 105 107  97  96  86  85
100  Northern St SD           2   1 ( 3- 4) 101.89 123 125 132  34  62 117
101  Limestone                2   1 ( 3- 4) 100.82  96  96  96 102  92 100
102  NW Oklahoma St           2   1 ( 3- 4) 100.18  76  77  81 132  84 118
103  Black Hills St           2   1 ( 4- 3)  99.33 111 113 106 133 104  59
104  Merrimack                2   1 ( 2- 4)  99.11 100 109 105  84  91 120
105  Benedict                 2   1 ( 4- 2)  98.38 118 119 107 144 134  32
106  Fort Valley St           2   1 ( 3- 3)  98.19 101  93 102 126 118  83
107  Glenville St             2   1 ( 3- 4)  97.71 134 135 122  41 119 107
108  Minn St-Moorhead         2   1 ( 2- 5)  97.31 106 105 115  57 112 127
109  Urbana                   2   1 ( 3- 4)  97.28 132 133 128  62 120  92
110  WV Wesleyan              2   1 ( 3- 4)  96.77 136 130 137  64 122  87
111  Dixie St                 2   1 ( 3- 4)  96.40 112 106  82 121 113 113
112  Mars Hill                2   1 ( 2- 5)  95.91  81  89  88 118 107 130
113  Lindenwood               2   1 ( 2- 5)  95.76  92  87  83 101 127 128
114  American Int'l           2   1 ( 2- 4)  95.44 113 115 116 112 108 106
115  Charleston WV            2   1 ( 2- 4)  95.11 131 132 117  73 135  98
116  Southern Nazarene        2   1 ( 3- 4)  94.84 129 128 103 128  74 121
117  SW Minnesota St          2   1 ( 2- 5)  93.76 107 110 119  83 123 126
118  East Stroudsburg         2   1 ( 2- 5)  93.39 120 114 131  76 100 134
119  Southern Conn St         2   1 ( 1- 5)  92.97 116 103  95 103 103 142
120  Quincy                   2   1 ( 3- 4)  92.55 138 149 159  66 128  93
121  Adams St                 2   1 ( 3- 4)  92.22 124 124 134 140 115  91
122  Fort Lewis               2   1 ( 3- 4)  92.21 119 120 125 142 114 103
123  Fayetteville St          2   1 ( 3- 4)  92.05 128 127 130 117 121 112
124  Truman St                2   1 ( 1- 6)  91.98  85  84  86  81 126 159
125  Davenport                2   1 ( 1- 6)  91.56 110 112 101  90  93 158
126  Clark Atlanta            2   1 ( 3- 4)  91.09 104 104 113 149 144  84
127  Nebraska-Kearney         2   1 ( 2- 5)  90.37 130 131 133  95 116 132
128  St Augustine's           2   1 ( 3- 4)  90.01 147 139 135 139  98 104
129  Elizabeth City St        2   1 ( 4- 3)  89.67 153 158 154 137 136  45
130  UNC-Pembroke             2   1 ( 1- 5)  89.51 102 100  99 130 125 145
131  West Liberty             2   1 ( 2- 5)  89.43 145 143 138  53 131 131
132  Morehouse                2   1 ( 3- 4)  89.26 133 134 127 146 140  82
133  SW Oklahoma St           2   1 ( 2- 5)  87.85 117 116 121 147 106 137
134  Concordia-St Paul        2   1 ( 1- 6)  87.10 121 117 118  79 137 155
135  Shaw                     2   1 ( 3- 4)  86.52 142 147 150 141 130 102
136  Walsh                    2   1 ( 2- 5)  85.96 143 142 143 114 132 123
137  Lock Haven               2   1 ( 1- 6)  85.83 137 118  98 120 129 153
138  Western New Mexico       2   1 ( 1- 6)  85.10 109 101 110  91 158 151
139  William Jewell           2   1 ( 1- 6)  84.82 127 129 120 110 124 156
140  Texas-Permian Basin      2   1 ( 1- 6)  83.87 122 138 111 124 149 139
141  Clarion                  2   1 ( 1- 6)  83.33 125 121 126 143 133 148
142  Minot St                 2   1 ( 1- 6)  82.67 144 140 136 106 148 138
143  Chowan                   2   1 ( 2- 5)  81.11 146 137 140 148 142 125
144  Kentucky St              2   1 ( 2- 5)  80.24 151 153 155 131 143 124
145  Concord                  2   1 ( 1- 6)  79.85 152 152 149  82 141 150
146  New Mexico Highlands     2   1 ( 2- 5)  79.44 141 161 160 150 138 122
147  Alderson Broaddus        2   1 ( 2- 5)  78.14 160 154 152 151 160  88
148  Kentucky Wesleyan        2   1 ( 2- 4)  76.64 158 165 165 153 159  75
149  Mary                     2   1 ( 1- 6)  76.59 159 148 146 113 152 149
150  Lincoln MO               2   1 ( 1- 5)  75.30 157 155 156 145 156 129
151  Lake Erie                2   1 ( 1- 5)  74.99 167 166 166 123 139 135
152  East Central OK          2   1 ( 1- 6)  74.58 140 136 144 157 155 140
153  Lane                     2   1 ( 1- 6)  70.86 149 151 147 152 163 147
154  St Anselm                2   1 ( 0- 6)  70.79 150 144 148 161 146 152
155  Cheyney                  2   1 ( 1- 6)  69.98 165 168 167 136 150 146
156  Central St OH            2   1 ( 1- 6)  69.80 155 157 145 159 162 141
157  Seton Hill               2   1 ( 0- 7)  69.58 115 141 141 160 153 165
158  Mississippi College      2   1 ( 0- 7)  67.70 135 122 124 164 161 166
159  Shorter                  2   1 ( 0- 7)  66.98 154 146 142 163 145 162
160  Missouri Southern        2   1 ( 0- 7)  65.21 139 159 158 154 154 169
161  Simon Fraser             2   1 ( 0- 6)  64.50 166 167 168 155 147 157
162  Johnson C. Smith         2   1 ( 0- 7)  63.54 148 150 153 162 164 163
163  Northeastern St OK       2   1 ( 0- 7)  61.74 161 163 163 158 157 168
164  Western St CO            2   1 ( 0- 7)  60.81 164 162 161 166 151 161
165  Minnesota-Crookston      2   1 ( 0- 7)  60.04 168 160 162 156 165 167
166  Malone                   2   1 ( 0- 6)  58.95 162 156 157 168 168 143
167  Oklahoma Baptist         2   1 ( 0- 7)  57.00 156 145 151 165 169 164
168  Livingstone              2   1 ( 0- 7)  55.32 163 164 164 167 166 160
169  Lincoln PA               2   1 ( 0- 7)  41.34 169 169 169 169 167 154