BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 101 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 113.33
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 106.37 10 13 1B 113 ( 2- 9) Robert Morris PA -6.96 3.96
2 09/09/2017 Home W 129.19 25 23 1B 55 ( 3- 8) SE Missouri St 15.86 -13.86
3 09/16/2017 Home L 122.89 23 28 1B 52 ( 7- 4) Duquesne 9.56 -14.56
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 87.44 28 34 1B 123 ( 4- 7) Morehead St -25.89 19.89
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 113.62 7 23 1B 47 ( 9- 2) San Diego 0.29 -16.29
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 128.81 20 10 1B 85 ( 7- 4) Drake 15.48 -5.48
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 98.92 7 17 1B 106 ( 6- 5) Campbell -14.41 4.41
8 10/21/2017 Away W * 118.07 48 22 1B 122 ( 2- 9) Davidson 4.74 21.26
9 10/28/2017 Home W * 114.01 27 22 1B 104 ( 6- 5) Butler 0.68 4.32
10 11/04/2017 Home W * 116.11 36 17 1B 119 ( 4- 7) Marist 2.78 16.22
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 111.21 7 8 1B 107 ( 6- 5) Valparaiso -2.12 1.12
Averages 113.33 21.6 19.7
Best game: 129.19 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game: 87.44 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 12.43