BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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East Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 107 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength =  140.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   138.04  14  34   1B   2 ( 12-  0) James Madison           1.89    -21.89                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   129.37  20  56   1A  36 (  7-  5) West Virginia          -6.77    -29.23                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   123.87  17  64   1A  16 (  9-  3) Virginia Tech         -12.27 *  -34.73                      
  4 09/24/2017 Away    W * 143.92  41  38   1A 114 (  3-  9) Connecticut             7.77     -4.77                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 129.31  31  61   1A  41 (  9-  2) South Florida          -6.83    -23.17                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L * 123.47  10  34   1A  83 (  6-  6) Temple                -12.68    -11.32                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L * 134.55  21  63   1A  13 ( 12-  0) Central Florida        -1.59 *  -40.41                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    W   156.11  33  17   1A 102 (  4-  9) Brigham Young          19.96     -3.96                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 135.19  27  52   1A  56 (  7-  4) Houston                -0.96    -24.04                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 141.17  24  31   1A  74 (  5-  7) Tulane                  5.02    -12.02                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 166.98  48  20   1A 105 (  4-  8) Cincinnati             30.83     -2.83                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    L * 111.77  13  70   1A  38 ( 10-  2) Memphis               -24.38 *  -32.62                      
      Averages             136.15  24.9 45.0

Best game:  166.98 = 28 point win over Cincinnati
Worst game: 111.77 = 57 point loss to Memphis
Team stdev:  14.89