BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan

Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  170.23

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   168.20  33  17   1A  72 (  4-  7) Florida                -2.03     18.03                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   160.98  36  14   1A 105 (  4-  8) Cincinnati             -9.25     31.25                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   161.66  29  13   1A  90 (  5-  7) Air Force              -8.57     24.57                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 187.79  28  10   1A  27 (  6-  6) Purdue                 17.56      0.44                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    L * 161.31  10  14   1A  26 (  9-  3) Michigan St            -8.91      4.91                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 171.30  27  20   1A  42 (  5-  7) Indiana                 1.07      5.93                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 159.78  13  42   1A   1 ( 10-  2) Penn State            -10.45    -18.55                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 168.84  35  14   1A  86 (  4-  8) Rutgers                -1.39     22.39                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 179.27  33  10   1A  54 (  5-  7) Minnesota               9.04     13.96                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 181.42  35  10   1A  65 (  4-  8) Maryland               11.19     13.81                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 169.86  10  24   1A   6 ( 12-  1) Wisconsin              -0.37    -13.63                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    L * 172.33  20  31   1A   3 ( 11-  2) Ohio State              2.10    -13.10                      
 13 01/01/2018 Neutral                      1A  53 (  8-  4) South Carolina                   11.50             
      Averages             170.23  25.8 18.2

Best game:  187.79 = 18 point win over Purdue
Worst game: 159.78 = 29 point loss to Penn State
Team stdev:   8.92