BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Penn State

Class: 1A Class Rank: 3 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-2) Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength =  186.42

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   198.58  52   0   1A  90 (  5-  5) Akron                  10.32 *   41.68                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   176.75  33  14   1A  64 (  4-  6) Pittsburgh            -11.51     30.51                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   193.50  56   0   1A 117 (  6-  3) Georgia St              5.24 *   50.76                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 180.38  21  19   1A  16 (  6-  4) Iowa                   -7.88      9.88                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 190.57  45  14   1A  53 (  4-  6) Indiana                 2.31     28.69                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 196.33  31   7   1A  28 (  7-  3) Northwestern            8.07     15.93                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 201.08  42  13   1A  19 (  8-  2) Michigan               12.82     16.18                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 190.83  38  39   1A   1 (  8-  2) Ohio State              2.57     -3.57                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 169.02  24  27   1A  29 (  7-  3) Michigan St           -19.24     16.24                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 185.55  35   6   1A  71 (  4-  6) Rutgers                -2.71 *   31.71                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  66 (  4-  6) Nebraska                         29.62             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  63 (  4-  6) Maryland                         23.89             
      Averages             188.26  37.7 13.9

Best game:  201.08 = 29 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 169.02 = 3 point loss to Michigan St
Team stdev:  10.26