BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength =  157.72

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   170.98  66   0   1B 108 (  1- 10) Incarnate Word         12.15 *   53.85                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   154.95  10  41   1A  11 ( 11-  1) Alabama                -3.88    -27.12                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   150.72  16  48   1A   8 ( 10-  2) Washington             -8.11    -23.89                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 163.70  41  21   1A  94 (  3-  9) Nevada                  4.88     15.12                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 144.92  27  10   1A 127 (  2- 11) San Jose St           -13.91     30.91                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 174.43  38   0   1A 111 (  3-  9) New Mexico             15.60     22.40                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 187.49  27   3   1A  51 ( 10-  2) San Diego St           28.67     -4.67                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 131.43  16  26   1A 103 (  5-  7) UNLV                  -27.40     17.40                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W   147.98  20  13   1A 101 (  4-  9) Brigham Young         -10.85     17.85                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 148.94  31  21   1A 118 (  3-  9) Hawaii                 -9.89     19.89                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 159.12  13   7   1A  77 (  7-  5) Wyoming                 0.30      5.70                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    W * 171.25  28  17   1A  44 (  9-  3) Boise St               12.43     -1.43                      
 13 12/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  44 (  9-  3) Boise St                         -7.15             
      Averages             158.82  27.8 17.2

Best game:  187.49 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 131.43 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev:  15.47