BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength = 163.08
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 178.21 60 7 1B 73 ( 6- 2) North Carolina Centr 13.45 * 39.55
2 09/09/2017 Home W 193.53 41 17 1A 31 ( 5- 3) Northwestern 28.76 -4.76
3 09/16/2017 Home W 162.95 34 20 1A 101 ( 0- 8) Baylor -1.81 15.81
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 168.97 27 17 1A 85 ( 1- 8) North Carolina 4.20 5.80
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 147.66 6 31 1A 17 ( 7- 0) Miami FL -17.10 -7.90
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 153.83 21 28 1A 74 ( 5- 3) Virginia -10.93 3.93
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 158.24 10 17 1A 41 ( 2- 5) Florida St -6.52 -0.48
8 10/21/2017 Home L * 154.79 17 24 1A 62 ( 4- 5) Pittsburgh -9.97 2.97
9 10/28/2017 Away L * 164.68 3 24 1A 10 ( 7- 1) Virginia Tech -0.08 -20.92
10 11/11/2017 Away 1A 70 ( 6- 2) Army 1.31
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 21 ( 4- 3) Georgia Tech -9.89
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 24 ( 5- 3) Wake Forest -13.52
Averages 164.76 24.3 20.6
Best game: 193.53 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 147.66 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 14.07