BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 164 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-5) Overall: (3-6) Overall Strength =   75.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    82.53  30  33    3 116 (  7-  2) Curry                   7.29    -10.29                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    84.11  31  10    3 206 (  5-  4) Castleton               8.87     12.13                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  73.27  26  42    3  92 (  6-  3) Worcester St           -1.97    -14.03                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  80.14  31  29    3 132 (  2-  7) Bridgewater St MA       4.90     -2.90                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  75.37  24  17    3 185 (  1-  7) Mass Maritime           0.13      6.87                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  77.97  16  32    3  50 (  8-  1) Framingham St           2.73    -18.73                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  57.80  21  33    3 192 (  2-  7) Westfield St          -17.44      5.44                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L *  73.03  34  55    3  77 (  7-  2) Western Conn St        -2.21    -18.79                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L *  72.94   7  24    3  69 (  9-  1) Plymouth St            -2.30    -14.70                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                   3 155 (  2-  6) UMass-Dartmouth                   0.49             
      Averages              75.24  24.4 30.6

Best game:   84.11 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  57.80 = 12 point loss to Westfield St
Team stdev:   7.76