BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength = 153.01
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 135.14 24 62 1A 30 ( 6- 3) Arizona -17.87 -20.13
2 09/09/2017 Home L 140.21 20 38 1B 4 ( 6- 3) Western Illinois -12.80 -5.20
3 09/23/2017 Away W * 156.31 28 10 1B 44 ( 1- 8) Cal Poly SLO 3.30 14.70
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 156.03 48 20 1B 66 ( 2- 6) Northern Colorado 3.02 24.98
5 10/07/2017 Home W 171.03 37 16 1B 9 ( 6- 3) Illinois St 18.02 2.98
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 151.24 42 20 1B 75 ( 0- 9) Portland St -1.77 23.77
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 159.52 45 31 1B 18 ( 5- 4) UC-Davis 6.51 7.49
8 10/28/2017 Home W * 162.39 37 17 1B 24 ( 5- 4) Sacramento St 9.38 10.62
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 145.19 15 17 1B 21 ( 6- 3) Montana -7.81 5.81
10 11/11/2017 Home * 1B 26 ( 4- 5) Montana St 11.52
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 16 ( 7- 2) Southern Utah 1.82
Averages 153.01 32.9 25.7
Best game: 171.03 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 135.14 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev: 11.31