BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 12 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-1) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength =  150.87

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   133.43  24  62   1A  33 (  7-  3) Arizona               -17.44    -20.56                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   139.83  20  38   1B   4 (  7-  3) Western Illinois      -11.04     -6.96                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 152.20  28  10   1B  52 (  1-  9) Cal Poly SLO            1.32     16.68                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 154.40  48  20   1B  68 (  2-  7) Northern Colorado       3.53     24.47                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   170.79  37  16   1B   9 (  6-  4) Illinois St            19.92      1.08                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 148.30  42  20   1B  73 (  0- 10) Portland St            -2.57     24.57                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 156.65  45  31   1B  23 (  5-  5) UC-Davis                5.77      8.23                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 164.53  37  17   1B  18 (  6-  4) Sacramento St          13.66      6.34                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 145.52  15  17   1B  19 (  7-  3) Montana                -5.36      3.36                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 143.09  37  36   1B  26 (  4-  6) Montana St             -7.79      8.79                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  13 (  8-  2) Southern Utah                    -1.18             
 12 11/25/2017 Home                         1B  41 (  8-  2) San Diego                        16.12             
      Averages             150.87  33.3 26.7

Best game:  170.79 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 133.43 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:  11.32