BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength =  163.08

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   178.21  60   7   1B  73 (  6-  2) North Carolina Centr   13.45 *   39.55                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   193.53  41  17   1A  31 (  5-  3) Northwestern           28.76     -4.76                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   162.95  34  20   1A 101 (  0-  8) Baylor                 -1.81     15.81                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 168.97  27  17   1A  85 (  1-  8) North Carolina          4.20      5.80                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 147.66   6  31   1A  17 (  7-  0) Miami FL              -17.10     -7.90                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 153.83  21  28   1A  74 (  5-  3) Virginia              -10.93      3.93                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 158.24  10  17   1A  41 (  2-  5) Florida St             -6.52     -0.48                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 154.79  17  24   1A  62 (  4-  5) Pittsburgh             -9.97      2.97                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 164.68   3  24   1A  10 (  7-  1) Virginia Tech          -0.08    -20.92                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away                         1A  70 (  6-  2) Army                              1.31             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  21 (  4-  3) Georgia Tech                     -9.89             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  24 (  5-  3) Wake Forest                     -13.52             
      Averages             164.76  24.3 20.6

Best game:  193.53 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 147.66 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  14.07