BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 25 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  141.02

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   127.11  24  62   1A  43 (  7-  5) Arizona               -13.91    -24.09                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   135.09  20  38   1B   4 (  8-  4) Western Illinois       -5.93    -12.07                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 145.09  28  10   1B  66 (  1- 10) Cal Poly SLO            4.07     13.93                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 155.26  48  20   1B  52 (  3-  7) Northern Colorado      14.24     13.76                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   166.25  37  16   1B   9 (  6-  5) Illinois St            25.23     -4.23                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 144.04  42  20   1B  77 (  0- 11) Portland St             3.02     18.98                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 152.68  45  31   1B  26 (  5-  6) UC-Davis               11.66      2.34                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 160.81  37  17   1B  17 (  7-  4) Sacramento St          19.79      0.21                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 141.96  15  17   1B  22 (  7-  4) Montana                 0.94     -2.94                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 140.50  37  36   1B  23 (  5-  6) Montana St             -0.52      1.52                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 122.16  20  48   1B  10 (  9-  3) Southern Utah         -18.86     -9.14                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    L   101.27  10  41   1B  30 ( 10-  3) San Diego             -39.75      8.75                      
      Averages             141.02  30.2 29.7

Best game:  166.25 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 101.27 = 31 point loss to San Diego
Team stdev:  17.99