BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 97 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength = 116.84
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 112.15 10 13 1B 109 ( 2- 7) Robert Morris PA -4.70 1.70
2 09/09/2017 Home W 131.39 25 23 1B 55 ( 2- 7) SE Missouri St 14.55 -12.55
3 09/16/2017 Home L 128.78 23 28 1B 43 ( 7- 2) Duquesne 11.93 -16.93
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 89.38 28 34 1B 123 ( 3- 6) Morehead St -27.46 21.46
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 115.58 7 23 1B 46 ( 7- 2) San Diego -1.26 -14.74
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 125.21 20 10 1B 106 ( 5- 4) Drake 8.36 1.64
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 105.50 7 17 1B 94 ( 6- 4) Campbell -11.35 1.35
8 10/21/2017 Away W * 124.15 48 22 1B 122 ( 2- 7) Davidson 7.31 18.69
9 10/28/2017 Home W * 117.80 27 22 1B 102 ( 6- 4) Butler 0.95 4.05
10 11/04/2017 Home W * 118.51 36 17 1B 118 ( 3- 6) Marist 1.67 17.33
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 111 ( 4- 5) Valparaiso 4.79
Averages 116.84 23.1 20.9
Best game: 131.39 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game: 89.38 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 12.42