BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  James Madison           1B   1 ( 9- 0) 162.16   3   3   3   1   1   2
  2  North Dakota St         1B   1 ( 8- 1) 149.33   1   1   2  15   4   6
  3  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 ( 9- 0) 146.59  28  21  38   2  21   1
  4  South Dakota St         1B   1 ( 7- 2) 142.79   2   4   1  13  10  27
  5  Elon                    1B   1 ( 8- 1) 142.04  29  30  37   3   2  11
  6  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 7- 2) 140.71   5   2   5  32  17  14
  7  Central Arkansas        1B   1 ( 8- 1) 140.54  11  12  19  10   6   8
  8  Jacksonville St         1B   1 ( 8- 1) 140.24  14  11  11  12  19   5
  9  Sam Houston St          1B   1 ( 8- 1) 138.18  19  19  32   9   9   9
 10  Weber St                1B   1 ( 7- 2) 137.94   8   8  14  19   7  23
 11  Stony Brook             1B   1 ( 7- 2) 137.67  17  17  20   4  11  20
 12  Wofford                 1B   1 ( 8- 1) 137.27  38  38  44   6   5  10
 13  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 7- 2) 137.14  16  15   8  26   8  17
 14  Kennesaw St             1B   1 ( 8- 1) 135.35  42  41  25  17  15   4
 15  Yale                    1B   1 ( 7- 1) 135.06  22  26  34   7  18  15
 16  Delaware                1B   1 ( 6- 3) 135.00  13  16  17   5  12  40
 17  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 6- 3) 135.00   4   5   7  41  16  43
 18  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 8- 1) 133.89  40  42  35   8  24   7
 19  Furman                  1B   1 ( 6- 3) 132.72  12  13  13  22  13  41
 20  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 5- 4) 131.69   6   6   4  33  14  66
 21  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 6- 3) 131.47  10   9   6  65  22  32
 22  Samford                 1B   1 ( 6- 3) 130.58  25  27  30  18   3  52
 23  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 6- 3) 129.94   9  10   9  53  28  38
 24  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 7- 3) 129.23  27  32  40  45  23  16
 25  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 6- 3) 128.89  34  33  21  16  29  28
 26  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 7- 2) 128.18  35  35  24  39  32  18
 27  Richmond                1B   1 ( 5- 4) 127.79  15  14  15  11  25  67
 28  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 7- 2) 127.48  43  43  26  24  35  19
 29  Montana                 1B   1 ( 6- 3) 127.27  21  24  18  58  27  34
 30  San Diego               1B   1 ( 7- 2) 125.58  46  50  39  27  36  21
 31  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 5- 4) 125.50  20  20  16  40  20  64
 32  Grambling St            1B   1 ( 8- 1) 124.88  77  77  74  29  42   3
 33  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 7- 2) 124.35  70  61  68  35  26  13
 34  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 4- 5) 124.00   7   7  10  66  33  76
 35  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 5- 4) 123.48  18  18  12  75  34  53
 36  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 6- 2) 122.92  60  63  56  20  30  29
 37  Maine                   1B   1 ( 4- 4) 122.90  31  29  41  14  37  62
 38  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 5- 4) 122.26  24  25  29  67  39  51
 39  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 7- 2) 122.13  69  75  67  28  56  12
 40  Villanova               1B   1 ( 4- 5) 121.96  30  23  23  21  41  71
 41  Princeton               1B   1 ( 5- 3) 121.76  33  39  31  47  48  45
 42  Columbia                1B   1 ( 6- 2) 121.72  64  66  63  25  31  31
 43  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 5- 4) 121.24  36  36  28  55  53  42
 44  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 6- 3) 121.22  68  67  45  34  46  25
 45  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 6- 4) 120.87  41  40  49  37  55  36
 46  Howard                  1B   1 ( 6- 3) 120.55  56  57  50  38  59  22
 47  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 5- 4) 118.55  54  48  54  36  44  49
 48  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 5- 4) 117.35  52  53  59  57  40  48
 49  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 4- 5) 117.23  39  31  36  59  38  72
 50  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 4- 5) 117.07  23  22  33  78  54  68
 51  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 5- 3) 116.72  65  68  72  46  49  39
 52  Montana St              1B   1 ( 4- 5) 116.36  26  28  46  76  43  73
 53  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 5- 5) 116.19  32  34  27  73  78  55
 54  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 5- 4) 115.59  59  54  71  23  57  59
 55  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 5- 4) 114.80  48  47  58  72  79  35
 56  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 5- 4) 114.16  57  58  66  60  52  54
 57  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 5- 4) 113.91  71  55  79  51  62  46
 58  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 6- 4) 113.41  74  71  73  74  68  33
 59  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 3- 6) 113.34  37  37  47  43  61  89
 60  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 6- 3) 112.82  76  76  89  49  58  44
 61  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 4- 4) 112.51  61  62  70  42  50  70
 62  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 112.03  63  65  61  54  67  61
 63  Towson                  1B   1 ( 3- 6) 111.52  53  60  51  31  45  96
 64  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 3- 6) 110.30  47  46  22  91  66  86
 65  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 5- 4) 109.96  62  70  60  94  92  37
 66  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 6- 3) 109.90  90  91  87  70  77  26
 67  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 5- 4) 109.14  82  86  84  63  76  47
 68  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 4- 6) 109.06  49  49  57 101  80  58
 69  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 4- 5) 108.93  72  73  52  71  72  69
 70  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 4- 5) 108.91  78  78  82  52  47  74
 71  Campbell                1B   1 ( 6- 4) 107.86  94  92  93  83  84  24
 72  Butler                  1B   1 ( 6- 4) 107.84 102 100  81  61  63  50
 73  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 2- 7) 106.50  50  51  62  30  60 115
 74  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 4- 6) 106.01  73  72  91  62  71  80
 75  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 3- 7) 105.91  45  45  48 100  69 100
 76  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 6- 3) 105.78 110 114 116  56  64  30
 77  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 2- 7) 105.77  51  52  55  48  70 113
 78  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 4- 5) 104.34  96 102  90  64  74  63
 79  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 2- 6) 103.61  66  64  65  96  73  94
 80  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 4- 5) 103.59  95  94 103  69  75  60
 81  Drake                   1B   1 ( 5- 4) 103.11 106 104 109  68  65  57
 82  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 5- 5) 102.89  97  96  94  81  83  56
 83  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 3- 6) 102.76  67  69  64  93  93  84
 84  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 3- 6) 102.56  83  83  76  77  81  83
 85  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 3- 6) 100.84 103  93  86  50  51 106
 86  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 2- 7) 100.52  55  56  42 108 101 102
 87  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 3- 6) 100.44  84  84  69  86  90  90
 88  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 3- 6)  99.95  88  87  92  80  86  87
 89  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 3- 6)  99.64  92  90  96  79  82  85
 90  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 3- 6)  99.27  93  98  97  44  89  97
 91  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 3- 6)  97.74 104 107  99  82  87  79
 92  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 2- 8)  97.34  58  59  53  90  96 121
 93  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 2- 6)  97.12  80  82  75  92 112  92
 94  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 4- 5)  97.05 111 110 110  87  88  65
 95  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 3- 5)  96.84  87  95 106  88  94  81
 96  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 3- 7)  96.27  98  99 101  84  85 101
 97  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 7)  95.69  89  89  88  85 103  98
 98  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 2- 7)  95.67  79  79  77 109 102  99
 99  Murray St               1B   1 ( 2- 7)  95.36  85  81  78  97  98 107
100  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 1- 8)  95.16  44  44  43 120 114 112
101  Brown                   1B   1 ( 2- 6)  92.57 112 112 117  89  91  88
102  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 3- 5)  92.17 113 111 112  95 104  78
103  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 2- 7)  91.77 100 106  98 102 109  93
104  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 6)  90.84 108 113 108 104 116  75
105  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 1- 8)  89.60  86  85  85 103 100 122
106  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 1- 8)  89.34  81  80  80 114 107 118
107  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 2- 7)  89.27 109 105 114 107  97 103
108  Marist                  1B   1 ( 3- 6)  88.67 118 120 118 105  99  77
109  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 1- 8)  87.14  99 103 100 106 117 109
110  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 1- 8)  84.83 101 101 111 110 113 116
111  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 1- 8)  84.17 107 109 104 113 110 117
112  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 3- 6)  83.45 123 124 124  98  95  82
113  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 1- 8)  83.36 105  97 102 119 118 111
114  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 1- 8)  83.11 114 108 113  99 115 120
115  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 1- 8)  82.83 115 115 107 116 111 110
116  Davidson                1B   1 ( 2- 7)  80.20 122 122 121 112 106 104
117  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0- 9)  79.48  75  74  83 124 121 114
118  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 2- 8)  79.12 121 121 119 111 108 108
119  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0- 9)  78.76  91  88 105 122 105 123
120  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 2- 7)  78.60 120 119 120 115 120  95
121  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 1- 7)  78.00 116 118 115 121 123 105
122  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 1- 8)  73.67 117 117 122 118 122 119
123  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 2- 7)  73.31 124 123 123 117 124  91
124  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0-10)  70.58 119 116  95 123 119 124