BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 85 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (0-6) Overall: (1-8) Overall Strength =  155.40

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   158.87  30  35   1A  51 (  4-  5) California              2.20     -7.20                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 154.91  35  47   1A  37 (  5-  4) Louisville             -1.77    -10.23                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   173.85  53  23   1A 119 (  2-  6) Old Dominion           17.18     12.82                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 152.47  17  27   1A  59 (  4-  5) Duke                   -4.20     -5.80                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 151.55   7  33   1A  21 (  4-  3) Georgia Tech           -5.12    -20.88                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   166.82  10  33   1A   2 (  7-  1) Notre Dame             10.15 *  -33.15                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 150.24  14  20   1A  74 (  5-  3) Virginia               -6.43      0.43                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 133.68   7  59   1A  10 (  7-  1) Virginia Tech         -22.99    -29.01                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L * 167.66  19  24   1A  17 (  7-  0) Miami FL               10.98    -15.98                      
 10 11/09/2017 Away      *                  1A  62 (  4-  5) Pittsburgh                       -9.11             
 11 11/18/2017 Home                         1B  29 (  6-  3) Western Carolina                 13.17             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  22 (  6-  2) North Carolina St               -22.09             
      Averages             156.67  21.3 33.4

Best game:  173.85 = 30 point win over Old Dominion
Worst game: 133.68 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  11.94