BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (2-0) Overall: (4-1) Overall Strength =  179.25

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   173.54  35  10   1A 103 (  1-  5) Bowling Green          -4.57 *   29.57                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   178.43  28  14   1A  68 (  4-  2) Western Michigan        0.32     13.68                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   168.92  18  38   1A   9 (  5-  1) Notre Dame             -9.19    -10.81                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 182.85  17  10   1A  22 (  4-  2) Iowa                    4.74      2.26                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 186.80  14  10   1A  19 (  4-  1) Michigan                8.69     -4.69                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away      *                  1A  39 (  3-  2) Minnesota                         4.08             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1A  35 (  3-  2) Indiana                           7.40             
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  51 (  2-  3) Northwestern                      6.71             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1A   8 (  6-  0) Penn State                      -12.12             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A  13 (  5-  1) Ohio State                      -10.09             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  23 (  3-  2) Maryland                          2.68             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  93 (  1-  4) Rutgers                          21.66             
      Averages             178.11  22.4 16.4

Best game:  186.80 = 4 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 168.92 = 20 point loss to Notre Dame
Team stdev:   7.13