BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 96 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (3-3) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength = 119.05
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 116.35 10 13 1B 106 ( 2- 6) Robert Morris PA -2.70 -0.30
2 09/09/2017 Home W 134.46 25 23 1B 54 ( 2- 6) SE Missouri St 15.41 -13.41
3 09/16/2017 Home L 131.74 23 28 1B 40 ( 7- 1) Duquesne 12.69 -17.69
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 91.15 28 34 1B 123 ( 3- 6) Morehead St -27.90 21.90
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 116.18 7 23 1B 53 ( 6- 2) San Diego -2.87 -13.13
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 127.76 20 10 1B 103 ( 5- 3) Drake 8.71 1.29
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 108.54 7 17 1B 93 ( 5- 4) Campbell -10.52 0.52
8 10/21/2017 Away W * 125.50 48 22 1B 122 ( 2- 6) Davidson 6.45 19.55
9 10/28/2017 Home W * 119.79 27 22 1B 99 ( 5- 4) Butler 0.74 4.26
10 11/04/2017 Home * 1B 118 ( 3- 5) Marist 16.79
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 110 ( 4- 4) Valparaiso 4.40
Averages 119.05 21.7 21.3
Best game: 134.46 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game: 91.15 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 13.33