BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Toledo

Class: 1A Class Rank: 47 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength =  160.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   168.29  47  13   1B  33 (  8-  4) Elon                    7.03     26.97                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   160.58  37  24   1A  95 (  3-  9) Nevada                 -0.67     13.67                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   146.26  54  51   1A  94 (  2- 10) Tulsa                 -15.00     18.00                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L   151.31  30  52   1A  17 ( 10-  2) Miami FL               -9.94    -12.06                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 153.57  20  15   1A  78 (  5-  7) Eastern Michigan       -7.69     12.69                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 172.97  30  10   1A  79 (  8-  4) Central Michigan       11.72      8.28                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 170.53  48  21   1A  89 (  7-  6) Akron                   9.28     17.72                      
  8 10/26/2017 Away    W * 166.70  58  17   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St                 5.45 *   35.55                      
  9 11/02/2017 Home    W * 164.18  27  17   1A  63 (  8-  4) Northern Illinois       2.93      7.07                      
 10 11/08/2017 Away    L * 132.69  10  38   1A  59 (  8-  4) Ohio U.               -28.57      0.57                      
 11 11/14/2017 Unknown W * 170.01  66  37   1A 104 (  2- 10) Bowling Green           8.75     20.25                      
 12 11/24/2017 Home    W * 176.38  37  10   1A  73 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       15.13     11.87                      
 13 12/02/2017 Neutral W * 162.84  45  28   1A  89 (  7-  6) Akron                   1.59     15.41                      
 14 12/23/2017 Neutral                      1A  84 (  8-  4) Appalachian St                   11.20             
      Averages             161.26  39.2 25.6

Best game:  176.38 = 27 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 132.69 = 28 point loss to Ohio U.
Team stdev:  12.31