BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 18 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-0) Overall: (2-2) Overall Strength = 152.22
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 137.09 24 62 1A 76 ( 2- 2) Arizona -11.34 * -26.66
2 09/09/2017 Home L 149.70 20 38 1B 4 ( 3- 1) Western Illinois 1.26 -19.26
3 09/23/2017 Away W * 150.12 28 10 1B 73 ( 0- 5) Cal Poly SLO 1.68 16.32
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 156.83 48 20 1B 72 ( 2- 2) Northern Colorado 8.40 19.60
5 10/07/2017 Home 1B 13 ( 4- 0) Illinois St -2.59
6 10/14/2017 Away * 1B 65 ( 0- 4) Portland St 16.41
7 10/21/2017 Home * 1B 19 ( 3- 2) UC-Davis 2.21
8 10/28/2017 Home * 1B 31 ( 2- 3) Sacramento St 7.69
9 11/04/2017 Away * 1B 40 ( 3- 2) Montana 6.27
10 11/11/2017 Home * 1B 11 ( 1- 3) Montana St -2.68
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 44 ( 2- 2) Southern Utah 8.04
Averages 148.43 30.0 32.5
Best game: 156.83 = 28 point win over Northern Colorado
Worst game: 137.09 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev: 8.24