BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 104 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (1-2) Overall: (2-4) Overall Strength = 117.98
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 125.93 10 13 1B 91 ( 2- 3) Robert Morris PA 7.95 -10.95
2 09/09/2017 Home W 127.53 25 23 1B 84 ( 1- 4) SE Missouri St 9.56 -7.56
3 09/16/2017 Home L 122.98 23 28 1B 66 ( 4- 1) Duquesne 5.01 -10.01
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 91.20 28 34 1B 124 ( 2- 4) Morehead St -26.78 20.78
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 110.17 7 23 1B 82 ( 3- 2) San Diego -7.81 -8.19
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 130.06 20 10 1B 98 ( 3- 3) Drake 12.08 -2.08
7 10/14/2017 Home * 1B 90 ( 4- 2) Campbell -5.00
8 10/21/2017 Away * 1B 121 ( 2- 3) Davidson 14.60
9 10/28/2017 Home * 1B 114 ( 3- 3) Butler 7.78
10 11/04/2017 Home * 1B 116 ( 3- 3) Marist 8.84
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 120 ( 2- 4) Valparaiso 9.19
Averages 117.98 18.8 21.8
Best game: 130.06 = 10 point win over Drake
Worst game: 91.20 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 14.86