BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 43 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (2-5) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  163.65

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   174.12  60   7   1B  71 (  7-  4) North Carolina Centr    9.52 *   43.48                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   193.21  41  17   1A  24 (  8-  3) Northwestern           28.61     -4.61                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   162.39  34  20   1A  84 (  1- 10) Baylor                 -2.21     16.21                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 169.63  27  17   1A  67 (  3-  8) North Carolina          5.03      4.97                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 150.03   6  31   1A  10 ( 10-  0) Miami FL              -14.57    -10.43                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 153.16  21  28   1A  65 (  6-  5) Virginia              -11.43      4.43                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 157.08  10  17   1A  36 (  4-  6) Florida St             -7.52      0.52                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 150.27  17  24   1A  56 (  4-  7) Pittsburgh            -14.33      7.33                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 157.02   3  24   1A  15 (  8-  3) Virginia Tech          -7.58    -13.42                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L   154.21  16  21   1A  66 (  8-  3) Army                  -10.39      5.39                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 189.48  43  20   1A  29 (  5-  5) Georgia Tech           24.88     -1.88                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  17 (  7-  4) Wake Forest                     -11.36             
      Averages             164.60  25.3 20.5

Best game:  193.21 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 150.03 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  15.26