BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 23 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength = 172.74
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Neutral L 155.42 28 35 1A 51 ( 7- 3) South Carolina -17.32 10.32
2 09/09/2017 Home W 171.17 37 20 1A 70 ( 7- 3) Marshall -1.57 18.57
3 09/16/2017 Home W 180.49 49 16 1B 10 ( 7- 3) Furman 7.75 25.25
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 174.69 27 21 1A 36 ( 3- 6) Florida St 1.95 4.05
5 09/30/2017 Home W * 170.50 33 25 1A 44 ( 4- 6) Syracuse -2.24 10.24
6 10/05/2017 Home W * 179.24 39 25 1A 35 ( 6- 4) Louisville 6.51 7.49
7 10/14/2017 Away W * 180.08 35 17 1A 64 ( 4- 6) Pittsburgh 7.35 10.65
8 10/28/2017 Away L 165.79 14 35 1A 5 ( 8- 2) Notre Dame -6.94 -14.06
9 11/04/2017 Home L * 175.95 31 38 1A 4 ( 9- 1) Clemson 3.21 -10.21
10 11/11/2017 Away W * 174.04 17 14 1A 31 ( 5- 5) Boston College 1.30 1.70
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1A 20 ( 6- 4) Wake Forest -3.50
12 11/25/2017 Home * 1A 75 ( 2- 8) North Carolina 19.32
Averages 172.74 31.0 24.6
Best game: 180.49 = 33 point win over Furman
Worst game: 155.42 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev: 7.66