BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 106 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-9) Overall: (2-10) Overall Strength =  140.90

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   124.08  24  21   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St               -20.09     23.09                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   148.48  20   7   1A 111 (  6-  6) Western Kentucky        4.31      8.69                      
  3 09/15/2017 Away    L   139.94  23  47   1A  41 (  9-  2) South Florida          -4.24    -19.76                      
  4 09/29/2017 Home    L * 130.66   6  28   1A  71 (  4-  8) Nebraska              -13.51     -8.49                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 146.81  16  45   1A  15 (  7-  5) Iowa                    2.64 *  -31.64                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L * 136.84  24  35   1A  86 (  4-  8) Rutgers                -7.33     -3.67                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 153.89  17  24   1A  54 (  5-  7) Minnesota               9.72    -16.72                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 165.24  10  24   1A   6 ( 12-  1) Wisconsin              21.06 *  -35.06                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 150.79  10  29   1A  27 (  6-  6) Purdue                  6.62    -25.62                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 149.68  14  24   1A  42 (  5-  7) Indiana                 5.51    -15.51                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 149.95  14  52   1A   3 ( 11-  2) Ohio State              5.78 *  -43.78                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    L * 133.70   7  42   1A  22 (  9-  3) Northwestern          -10.47    -24.53                      
      Averages             144.17  15.4 31.5

Best game:  165.24 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 124.08 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev:  11.44