BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 9 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (4-2) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =  154.93

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   157.80  45   0   1B 102 (  6-  4) Butler                  5.43 *   39.57                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    W   161.38  44  13   1B  74 (  6-  4) Eastern Illinois        9.01     21.99                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 162.63  34   9   1B  47 (  3-  6) Missouri St            10.26     14.74                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 128.97  24  13   1B  91 (  0-  9) Indiana St            -23.40 *   34.40                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   134.34  16  37   1B  10 (  6-  3) Northern Arizona      -18.02     -2.98                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    L * 112.70   7  42   1B  23 (  4-  5) Southern Illinois     -39.66      4.66                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 178.59  37  21   1B   5 (  7-  2) South Dakota           26.22    -10.22                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 193.68  35   0   1B   7 (  4-  5) Youngstown St          41.31     -6.31                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L * 141.21  14  31   1B   4 (  6-  3) Western Illinois      -11.16     -5.84                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1B   2 (  7-  2) South Dakota St                 -12.11             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1B   1 (  8-  1) North Dakota St                  -9.25             
      Averages             152.37  28.4 18.4

Best game:  193.68 = 35 point win over Youngstown St
Worst game: 112.70 = 35 point loss to Southern Illinois
Team stdev:  25.45