BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (5-0) Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength =  155.89

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   138.91  24  62   1A  26 (  6-  2) Arizona               -16.98    -21.02                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   140.12  20  38   1B   5 (  5-  3) Western Illinois      -15.77     -2.23                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 158.74  28  10   1B  45 (  0-  8) Cal Poly SLO            2.85     15.15                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 160.53  48  20   1B  48 (  2-  5) Northern Colorado       4.63     23.37                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   175.02  37  16   1B   6 (  6-  2) Illinois St            19.12      1.88                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 152.71  42  20   1B  76 (  0-  8) Portland St            -3.19     25.19                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 157.96  45  31   1B  25 (  4-  4) UC-Davis                2.07     11.93                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 163.16  37  17   1B  27 (  4-  4) Sacramento St           7.26     12.74                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1B  22 (  5-  3) Montana                           6.03             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1B  21 (  4-  4) Montana St                       10.44             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  17 (  6-  2) Southern Utah                     3.93             
      Averages             155.89  35.1 26.8

Best game:  175.02 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 138.91 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:  11.95