BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 46 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-3) Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength =  170.56

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   183.98  60   7   1B  50 (  5-  1) North Carolina Centr   11.50 *   41.50                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   194.64  41  17   1A  39 (  3-  3) Northwestern           22.16      1.84                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   166.11  34  20   1A 102 (  0-  6) Baylor                 -6.37     20.37                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 174.04  27  17   1A  73 (  1-  6) North Carolina          1.56      8.44                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 154.76   6  31   1A  11 (  5-  0) Miami FL              -17.72     -7.28                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 164.01  21  28   1A  49 (  5-  1) Virginia               -8.47      1.47                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 169.81  10  17   1A  20 (  2-  3) Florida St             -2.67     -4.33                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1A  77 (  2-  5) Pittsburgh                       11.75             
  9 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  25 (  5-  1) Virginia Tech                    -8.90             
 10 11/11/2017 Away                         1A  68 (  5-  2) Army                              4.30             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  28 (  3-  2) Georgia Tech                     -3.20             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  22 (  4-  2) Wake Forest                     -10.30             
      Averages             172.48  28.4 19.6

Best game:  194.64 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 154.76 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  13.29