BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Cincinnati

Class: 1A Class Rank: 103 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-6) Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength =  143.31

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   145.56  26  14   1B  40 (  8-  4) Austin Peay             1.93     10.07                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   152.21  14  36   1A  20 (  8-  3) Michigan                8.59    -30.59                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   154.70  21  17   1A  90 (  4-  7) Miami OH               11.07     -7.07                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L * 153.49  32  42   1A  52 (  6-  4) Navy                    9.86    -19.86                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L   133.39  21  38   1A  78 (  7-  4) Marshall              -10.24     -6.76                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L * 146.82  23  51   1A   9 ( 10-  0) Central Florida         3.19 *  -31.19                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L * 134.68   3  33   1A  42 (  9-  1) South Florida          -8.95    -21.05                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 153.52  28  31   1A  62 (  6-  5) SMU                     9.89    -12.89                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    W * 154.42  17  16   1A  80 (  5-  6) Tulane                 10.79     -9.79                      
 10 11/10/2017 Home    L * 136.96  24  35   1A  85 (  5-  6) Temple                 -6.67     -4.33                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 114.17  20  48   1A 107 (  3-  8) East Carolina         -29.46      1.46                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A 115 (  3-  8) Connecticut                       7.17             
      Averages             143.63  20.8 32.8

Best game:  154.70 = 4 point win over Miami OH
Worst game: 114.17 = 28 point loss to East Carolina
Team stdev:  12.72