BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =  153.01

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   135.14  24  62   1A  30 (  6-  3) Arizona               -17.87    -20.13                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   140.21  20  38   1B   4 (  6-  3) Western Illinois      -12.80     -5.20                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 156.31  28  10   1B  44 (  1-  8) Cal Poly SLO            3.30     14.70                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 156.03  48  20   1B  66 (  2-  6) Northern Colorado       3.02     24.98                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   171.03  37  16   1B   9 (  6-  3) Illinois St            18.02      2.98                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 151.24  42  20   1B  75 (  0-  9) Portland St            -1.77     23.77                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 159.52  45  31   1B  18 (  5-  4) UC-Davis                6.51      7.49                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 162.39  37  17   1B  24 (  5-  4) Sacramento St           9.38     10.62                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 145.19  15  17   1B  21 (  6-  3) Montana                -7.81      5.81                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1B  26 (  4-  5) Montana St                       11.52             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  16 (  7-  2) Southern Utah                     1.82             
      Averages             153.01  32.9 25.7

Best game:  171.03 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 135.14 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:  11.31