BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 185 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (3-1) Overall: (4-4) Overall Strength =   68.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    77.45   0  24    3  21 (  6-  2) Carthage                7.90 *  -31.90                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    88.48  31  26    3 130 (  4-  5) Loras                  18.92    -13.92                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    71.51  21  37    3 114 (  5-  3) Olivet                  1.95    -17.95                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  58.20  20  14    3 220 (  2-  6) Wisconsin Lutheran    -11.36     17.36                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W *  63.94  16  14    3 212 (  3-  4) Concordia IL           -5.61      7.61                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L    63.11  19  27    3 170 (  4-  4) Alma                   -6.45     -1.55                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W *  53.81  28  21    3 222 (  1-  6) Rockford              -15.75     22.75                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L *  79.95  38  47    3  94 (  6-  2) Lakeland               10.40    -19.40                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                   3 224 (  2-  6) Concordia WI                     15.02             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                   3 151 (  5-  3) Benedictine IL                  -11.84             
      Averages              69.56  21.6 26.2

Best game:   88.48 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  53.81 = 7 point win over Rockford
Team stdev:  11.85