BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Troy

Class: 1A Class Rank: 81 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-0) Overall: (4-1) Overall Strength =  160.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   156.57  13  24   1A  62 (  2-  2) Boise St                0.29    -11.29                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   140.42  34   7   1B 116 (  0-  4) Alabama St            -15.86 *   42.86                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W * 164.20  27  24   1A  86 (  2-  3) New Mexico St           7.92     -4.92                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   153.93  22  17   1A 100 (  2-  3) Akron                  -2.35      7.35                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W   166.28  24  21   1A  82 (  3-  2) LSU                    10.00     -7.00                      
  6 10/11/2017 Home      *                  1A 123 (  1-  4) South Alabama                    21.56             
  7 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1A 112 (  1-  2) Georgia St                       12.88             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1A 128 (  0-  3) Georgia Southern                 25.96             
  9 11/02/2017 Home      *                  1A  96 (  2-  2) Idaho                             8.85             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A 116 (  1-  3) Coastal Carolina                 13.43             
 11 11/24/2017 Home      *                  1A 129 (  1-  4) Texas St-San Marcos              35.35             
 12 12/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  92 (  1-  2) Arkansas St                       1.44             
      Averages             156.28  24.0 18.6

Best game:  166.28 = 3 point win over LSU
Worst game: 140.42 = 27 point win over Alabama St
Team stdev:  10.24