BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 35 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-4) Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength =  167.02

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   176.41  35  28   1A  30 (  4-  6) Purdue                  9.00     -2.00                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W * 169.75  47  35   1A  75 (  2-  8) North Carolina          2.34      9.66                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L * 156.95  21  47   1A   4 (  9-  1) Clemson               -10.46    -15.54                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   170.49  42   3   1A 122 (  2-  8) Kent St                 3.08 *   35.92                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W   167.47  55  10   1B  81 (  3-  7) Murray St               0.06 *   44.94                      
  6 10/05/2017 Away    L * 160.90  25  39   1A  23 (  7-  3) North Carolina St      -6.51     -7.49                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 163.71  42  45   1A  31 (  5-  5) Boston College         -3.70      0.70                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 171.69  31  28   1A  36 (  3-  6) Florida St              4.28     -1.28                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 164.55  32  42   1A  20 (  6-  4) Wake Forest            -2.86     -7.14                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 172.18  38  21   1A  69 (  6-  4) Virginia                4.77     12.23                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  44 (  4-  6) Syracuse                          5.31             
 12 11/25/2017 Away                         1A  76 (  7-  3) Kentucky                          9.35             
      Averages             167.41  36.8 29.8

Best game:  176.41 = 7 point win over Purdue
Worst game: 156.95 = 26 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:   5.88