BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 43 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (2-5) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 163.65
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 174.12 60 7 1B 71 ( 7- 4) North Carolina Centr 9.52 * 43.48
2 09/09/2017 Home W 193.21 41 17 1A 24 ( 8- 3) Northwestern 28.61 -4.61
3 09/16/2017 Home W 162.39 34 20 1A 84 ( 1- 10) Baylor -2.21 16.21
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 169.63 27 17 1A 67 ( 3- 8) North Carolina 5.03 4.97
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 150.03 6 31 1A 10 ( 10- 0) Miami FL -14.57 -10.43
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 153.16 21 28 1A 65 ( 6- 5) Virginia -11.43 4.43
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 157.08 10 17 1A 36 ( 4- 6) Florida St -7.52 0.52
8 10/21/2017 Home L * 150.27 17 24 1A 56 ( 4- 7) Pittsburgh -14.33 7.33
9 10/28/2017 Away L * 157.02 3 24 1A 15 ( 8- 3) Virginia Tech -7.58 -13.42
10 11/11/2017 Away L 154.21 16 21 1A 66 ( 8- 3) Army -10.39 5.39
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 189.48 43 20 1A 29 ( 5- 5) Georgia Tech 24.88 -1.88
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 17 ( 7- 4) Wake Forest -11.36
Averages 164.60 25.3 20.5
Best game: 193.21 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 150.03 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 15.26