BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 77 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =  153.58

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   154.23  36  43   1A  57 (  4-  7) Nebraska                2.02     -9.02                      
  2 09/16/2017 Home    W   141.22  48   3   1B 120 (  2-  9) Arkansas-Pine Bluff   -10.99 *   55.99                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    L   138.05  21  44   1A  62 (  6-  5) SMU                   -14.16     -8.84                      
  4 10/04/2017 Away    W * 156.48  43  25   1A 121 (  1-  9) Georgia Southern        4.27     13.73                      
  5 10/14/2017 Home    W * 164.64  51  17   1A 123 (  2-  9) Coastal Carolina       12.44     21.56                      
  6 10/19/2017 Home    W * 177.64  47   3   1A 120 (  5-  5) Louisiana-Lafayette    25.44     18.56                      
  7 10/28/2017 Away    W * 159.79  37  21   1A 108 (  4-  6) New Mexico St           7.59      8.41                      
  8 11/11/2017 Away    L * 133.11  19  24   1A 122 (  4-  7) South Alabama         -19.10     14.10                      
  9 11/18/2017 Home    W * 144.70  30  12   1A 127 (  2-  9) Texas St-San Marcos    -7.51     25.51                      
 10 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A 111 (  4-  6) Louisiana-Monroe                 10.63             
 11 12/02/2017 Home      *                  1A  81 (  8-  2) Troy                              4.14             
      Averages             152.21  36.9 21.3

Best game:  177.64 = 44 point win over Louisiana-Lafayette
Worst game: 133.11 = 5 point loss to South Alabama
Team stdev:  14.25