BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 101 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  113.33

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   106.37  10  13   1B 113 (  2-  9) Robert Morris PA       -6.96      3.96                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   129.19  25  23   1B  55 (  3-  8) SE Missouri St         15.86    -13.86                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   122.89  23  28   1B  52 (  7-  4) Duquesne                9.56    -14.56                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L *  87.44  28  34   1B 123 (  4-  7) Morehead St           -25.89     19.89                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 113.62   7  23   1B  47 (  9-  2) San Diego               0.29    -16.29                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 128.81  20  10   1B  85 (  7-  4) Drake                  15.48     -5.48                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L *  98.92   7  17   1B 106 (  6-  5) Campbell              -14.41      4.41                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 118.07  48  22   1B 122 (  2-  9) Davidson                4.74     21.26                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    W * 114.01  27  22   1B 104 (  6-  5) Butler                  0.68      4.32                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home    W * 116.11  36  17   1B 119 (  4-  7) Marist                  2.78     16.22                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 111.21   7   8   1B 107 (  6-  5) Valparaiso             -2.12      1.12                      
      Averages             113.33  21.6 19.7

Best game:  129.19 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  87.44 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev:  12.43