BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 75 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-6) Overall: (2-8) Overall Strength =  155.58

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   155.52  30  35   1A  48 (  5-  5) California             -0.06     -4.94                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 153.24  35  47   1A  35 (  6-  4) Louisville             -2.34     -9.66                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   172.53  53  23   1A 118 (  4-  6) Old Dominion           16.95     13.05                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 150.70  17  27   1A  55 (  4-  6) Duke                   -4.88     -5.12                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 148.78   7  33   1A  25 (  5-  4) Georgia Tech           -6.80    -19.20                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   159.46  10  33   1A   5 (  8-  2) Notre Dame              3.88    -26.88                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 149.18  14  20   1A  69 (  6-  4) Virginia               -6.40      0.40                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 128.70   7  59   1A  15 (  7-  3) Virginia Tech         -26.88    -25.12                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L * 172.60  19  24   1A   9 (  9-  0) Miami FL               17.02    -22.02                      
 10 11/09/2017 Away    W * 165.08  34  31   1A  64 (  4-  6) Pittsburgh              9.50     -6.50                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home                         1B  29 (  7-  4) Western Carolina                 16.07             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  23 (  7-  3) North Carolina St               -19.32             
      Averages             155.58  22.6 33.2

Best game:  172.60 = 5 point loss to Miami FL
Worst game: 128.70 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  13.00