BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 14 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-0) Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength =  154.02

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   139.51  24  62   1A  37 (  3-  2) Arizona               -14.51    -23.49                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   148.88  20  38   1B   5 (  4-  1) Western Illinois       -5.14    -12.86                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 153.16  28  10   1B  69 (  0-  6) Cal Poly SLO           -0.86     18.86                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 160.05  48  20   1B  63 (  2-  3) Northern Colorado       6.03     21.97                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   168.50  37  16   1B  26 (  4-  1) Illinois St            14.48      6.52                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away      *                  1B  46 (  0-  5) Portland St                      11.92             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1B  16 (  3-  3) UC-Davis                          2.43             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1B  30 (  2-  3) Sacramento St                     9.30             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1B  20 (  4-  2) Montana                           2.07             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1B  10 (  2-  3) Montana St                       -2.69             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  37 (  3-  2) Southern Utah                     8.39             
      Averages             154.02  31.4 29.2

Best game:  168.50 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 139.51 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:  10.99