BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fitchburg St
Class: 3 Class Rank: 164 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-5) Overall: (3-6) Overall Strength = 75.24
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2017 Away L 82.53 30 33 3 116 ( 7- 2) Curry 7.29 -10.29
2 09/09/2017 Away W 84.11 31 10 3 206 ( 5- 4) Castleton 8.87 12.13
3 09/16/2017 Away L * 73.27 26 42 3 92 ( 6- 3) Worcester St -1.97 -14.03
4 09/23/2017 Home W * 80.14 31 29 3 132 ( 2- 7) Bridgewater St MA 4.90 -2.90
5 09/30/2017 Away W * 75.37 24 17 3 185 ( 1- 7) Mass Maritime 0.13 6.87
6 10/06/2017 Home L * 77.97 16 32 3 50 ( 8- 1) Framingham St 2.73 -18.73
7 10/14/2017 Away L * 57.80 21 33 3 192 ( 2- 7) Westfield St -17.44 5.44
8 10/28/2017 Away L * 73.03 34 55 3 77 ( 7- 2) Western Conn St -2.21 -18.79
9 11/04/2017 Home L * 72.94 7 24 3 69 ( 9- 1) Plymouth St -2.30 -14.70
10 11/11/2017 Home * 3 155 ( 2- 6) UMass-Dartmouth 0.49
Averages 75.24 24.4 30.6
Best game: 84.11 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game: 57.80 = 12 point loss to Westfield St
Team stdev: 7.76