BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-2) Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength = 170.44
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Neutral L 153.33 28 35 1A 55 ( 8- 3) South Carolina -17.11 10.11
2 09/09/2017 Home W 167.39 37 20 1A 78 ( 7- 4) Marshall -3.05 20.05
3 09/16/2017 Home W 176.39 49 16 1B 14 ( 7- 4) Furman 5.94 27.06
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 174.62 27 21 1A 36 ( 4- 6) Florida St 4.17 1.83
5 09/30/2017 Home W * 165.25 33 25 1A 61 ( 4- 7) Syracuse -5.19 13.19
6 10/05/2017 Home W * 181.62 39 25 1A 23 ( 7- 4) Louisville 11.17 2.83
7 10/14/2017 Away W * 179.80 35 17 1A 56 ( 4- 7) Pittsburgh 9.36 8.64
8 10/28/2017 Away L 162.65 14 35 1A 7 ( 9- 2) Notre Dame -7.80 -13.20
9 11/04/2017 Home L * 173.92 31 38 1A 4 ( 10- 1) Clemson 3.47 -10.47
10 11/11/2017 Away W * 172.36 17 14 1A 32 ( 6- 5) Boston College 1.92 1.08
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 167.54 24 30 1A 17 ( 7- 4) Wake Forest -2.90 -3.10
12 11/25/2017 Home * 1A 67 ( 3- 8) North Carolina 15.35
Averages 170.44 30.4 25.1
Best game: 181.62 = 14 point win over Louisville
Worst game: 153.33 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev: 8.24