BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 184 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (4-2) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   66.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    74.58   0  24    3  29 (  7-  3) Carthage                7.26 *  -31.26                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    85.80  31  26    3 143 (  4-  6) Loras                  18.48    -13.48                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    68.70  21  37    3 119 (  5-  5) Olivet                  1.38    -17.38                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  55.48  20  14    3 222 (  3-  7) Wisconsin Lutheran    -11.84     17.84                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W *  61.61  16  14    3 217 (  3-  6) Concordia IL           -5.71      7.71                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L    59.13  19  27    3 175 (  4-  6) Alma                   -8.18      0.18                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W *  54.37  28  21    3 225 (  1-  8) Rockford              -12.95     19.95                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L *  76.94  38  47    3  94 (  8-  2) Lakeland                9.62    -18.62                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    W *  65.63  36  14    3 227 (  2-  8) Concordia WI           -1.69     23.69                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L *  70.95  14  20    3 155 (  7-  3) Benedictine IL          3.63     -9.63                      
      Averages              67.32  22.3 24.4

Best game:   85.80 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  54.37 = 7 point win over Rockford
Team stdev:  10.07