BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-0) Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength =  178.33

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   181.60  66   0   1B 100 (  1-  6) Incarnate Word          5.88 *   60.12                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   169.26  10  41   1A   4 (  8-  0) Alabama                -6.46    -24.54                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   160.63  16  48   1A   9 (  6-  1) Washington            -15.09    -16.91                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 172.54  41  21   1A  94 (  1-  7) Nevada                 -3.18     23.18                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 156.81  27  10   1A 127 (  1-  7) San Jose St           -18.91 *   35.91                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 192.96  38   0   1A  86 (  3-  4) New Mexico             17.24     20.76                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 196.23  27   3   1A  46 (  6-  2) San Diego St           20.51      3.49                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1A 103 (  2-  5) UNLV                             31.00             
  9 11/04/2017 Home                         1A 115 (  1-  7) Brigham Young                    35.26             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A 107 (  3-  4) Hawaii                           28.09             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  92 (  4-  3) Wyoming                          19.99             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  59 (  5-  2) Boise St                         13.57             
      Averages             175.72  32.1 17.6

Best game:  196.23 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 156.81 = 17 point win over San Jose St
Team stdev:  15.22