BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 101 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-6) Overall: (2-7) Overall Strength =  146.31

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   129.29  24  21   1A 123 (  2-  7) Ball St               -19.84     22.84                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   153.76  20   7   1A 111 (  5-  4) Western Kentucky        4.64      8.36                      
  3 09/15/2017 Away    L   144.27  23  47   1A  34 (  8-  1) South Florida          -4.86    -19.14                      
  4 09/29/2017 Home    L * 137.84   6  28   1A  56 (  4-  5) Nebraska              -11.29    -10.71                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 151.69  16  45   1A  12 (  6-  3) Iowa                    2.56 *  -31.56                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L * 146.17  24  35   1A  70 (  4-  5) Rutgers                -2.96     -8.04                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 159.77  17  24   1A  46 (  4-  5) Minnesota              10.64    -17.64                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 166.27  10  24   1A   6 (  9-  0) Wisconsin              17.14 *  -31.14                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 153.10  10  29   1A  31 (  4-  5) Purdue                  3.98    -22.98                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  48 (  3-  6) Indiana                         -14.69             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A   2 (  7-  2) Ohio State                      -45.92             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  27 (  6-  3) Northwestern                    -22.08             
      Averages             149.13  16.7 28.9

Best game:  166.27 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 129.29 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev:  11.20