BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Urbana

Class: 2 Class Rank: 112 Conference: Mountain East Conference Record: (4-6) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  103.59

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Away    L * 101.81  21  24    2 115 (  3-  8) West Liberty           -1.77     -1.23                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 111.62  24  27    2  59 (  8-  3) Fairmont St             8.03    -11.03                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   107.13  37  10    2 161 (  2-  8) Lake Erie               3.54     23.46                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 122.53  21   7    2  99 (  5-  6) WV Wesleyan            18.94     -4.94                      
  5 09/28/2017 Home    W * 109.46  25  21    2  94 (  4-  6) Charleston WV           5.88     -1.88                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 100.42  41  51    2  98 (  5-  6) Virginia-Wise          -3.16     -6.84                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L *  79.54   7  45    2  46 (  8-  3) Notre Dame OH         -24.05    -13.95                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L *  98.43  14  48    2  16 ( 10-  0) Shepherd               -5.16    -28.84                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L *  83.66  14  34    2 100 (  4-  7) Glenville St          -19.92     -0.08                      
 10 11/04/2017 Away    W * 114.30  36  35    2  78 (  6-  5) West Virginia St       10.71     -9.71                      
 11 11/11/2017 Home    W * 110.54  36  15    2 144 (  2-  9) Concord                 6.96     14.04                      
      Averages             103.59  25.1 28.8

Best game:  122.53 = 14 point win over WV Wesleyan
Worst game:  79.54 = 38 point loss to Notre Dame OH
Team stdev:  12.84