BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 23 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength =  170.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   176.51  35  28   1A  27 (  5-  6) Purdue                  6.63      0.37                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W * 171.63  47  35   1A  67 (  3-  8) North Carolina          1.74     10.26                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L * 154.92  21  47   1A   4 ( 10-  1) Clemson               -14.97    -11.03                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   168.16  42   3   1A 124 (  2-  9) Kent St                -1.72 *   40.72                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W   165.90  55  10   1B  79 (  3-  8) Murray St              -3.98 *   48.98                      
  6 10/05/2017 Away    L * 158.71  25  39   1A  25 (  7-  4) North Carolina St     -11.17     -2.83                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 161.83  42  45   1A  32 (  6-  5) Boston College         -8.05      5.05                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 171.62  31  28   1A  36 (  4-  6) Florida St              1.73      1.27                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 163.54  32  42   1A  17 (  7-  4) Wake Forest            -6.34     -3.66                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 172.63  38  21   1A  65 (  6-  5) Virginia                2.75     14.25                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 203.25  56  10   1A  61 (  4-  7) Syracuse               33.37     12.63                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away                         1A  75 (  7-  4) Kentucky                         14.42             
      Averages             169.88  38.5 28.0

Best game:  203.25 = 46 point win over Syracuse
Worst game: 154.92 = 26 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:  12.82