BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 90 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength = 147.57
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 161.03 62 0 1B 119 ( 0- 11) VMI 12.34 * 49.66
2 09/16/2017 Away L 157.23 13 29 1A 19 ( 8- 4) Michigan 8.54 -24.54
3 09/23/2017 Home L * 154.88 24 28 1A 51 ( 10- 2) San Diego St 6.19 -10.19
4 09/30/2017 Away L * 123.04 38 56 1A 111 ( 3- 9) New Mexico -25.65 7.65
5 10/07/2017 Away L 158.48 45 48 1A 54 ( 6- 5) Navy 9.79 -12.79
6 10/14/2017 Home W * 145.43 34 30 1A 103 ( 5- 7) UNLV -3.26 7.26
7 10/20/2017 Away W * 151.32 45 42 1A 94 ( 3- 9) Nevada 2.63 0.37
8 10/28/2017 Away W * 172.14 45 28 1A 75 ( 7- 5) Colorado St 23.45 -6.45
9 11/04/2017 Home L 132.97 0 21 1A 61 ( 8- 3) Army -15.72 -5.28
10 11/11/2017 Home L * 134.51 14 28 1A 77 ( 7- 5) Wyoming -14.18 0.18
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 139.87 19 44 1A 44 ( 9- 3) Boise St -8.82 -16.18
12 11/25/2017 Home W * 153.37 38 35 1A 68 ( 6- 6) Utah St 4.68 -1.68
Averages 148.69 31.4 32.4
Best game: 172.14 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 123.04 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev: 13.92