BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  North Dakota St         1B   1 ( 6- 0) 166.80   1   2   1   6   4   2
  2  James Madison           1B   1 ( 6- 0) 166.59   5   3   2   2   1   4
  3  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 6- 0) 165.76   4   1   3   5   2   3
  4  Wofford                 1B   1 ( 6- 0) 155.11  32  32  33   1   3   6
  5  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 ( 7- 0) 150.67  24  11  32   8  39   1
  6  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 5- 1) 149.66   2   5   4  35  10  15
  7  Elon                    1B   1 ( 5- 1) 146.35  29  27  24   7   5  29
  8  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 5- 0) 145.77  46  48  47   3   9  11
  9  Columbia                1B   1 ( 5- 0) 143.88  65  65  63   4   6  12
 10  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 5- 2) 142.59  10   9   7  17  11  31
 11  Delaware                1B   1 ( 4- 2) 141.63   9  15  13  13   8  44
 12  Sam Houston St          1B   1 ( 5- 1) 141.28  14  12  26  23  12  21
 13  Weber St                1B   1 ( 4- 2) 140.71   7   6   6  27  17  42
 14  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 5- 2) 140.51  23  25  12  15  14  22
 15  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 3- 3) 140.23   3   4   5  10  25  73
 16  Central Arkansas        1B   1 ( 5- 1) 139.68  16  20  18  33  18  17
 17  Yale                    1B   1 ( 4- 1) 139.15  13  17  23  12  32  24
 18  Stony Brook             1B   1 ( 5- 2) 138.99  22  22  29  11  20  28
 19  South Dakota St         1B   1 ( 4- 2) 138.66   6   7   8  28  30  43
 20  Jacksonville St         1B   1 ( 5- 1) 137.18  17  16  19  54  36   9
 21  Samford                 1B   1 ( 4- 2) 136.79  25  29  27  19   7  56
 22  Richmond                1B   1 ( 4- 2) 136.59  18  18  15  21  16  48
 23  Furman                  1B   1 ( 4- 3) 135.97  12  23  21  25  13  49
 24  Montana                 1B   1 ( 5- 2) 134.64  19  28  17  60  31  18
 25  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 4- 2) 134.61  28  26  14  45  19  36
 26  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 5- 1) 134.33  30  33  35  38  28  19
 27  Villanova               1B   1 ( 4- 3) 133.68  27  13  10  26  44  45
 28  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 5- 1) 133.59  41  42  39  20  41  16
 29  Princeton               1B   1 ( 4- 1) 133.25  39  44  44   9  24  34
 30  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 4- 2) 132.63  11  10  11  84  27  38
 31  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 5- 1) 131.72  50  67  57  29  23  10
 32  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 5- 2) 131.70  43  38  45  37  21  25
 33  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 4- 3) 131.64  34  30  30  32  26  46
 34  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 3- 3) 131.60   8   8   9  64  29  68
 35  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 5- 1) 131.35  47  57  46  18  43  14
 36  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 3- 3) 130.85  38  39  34  24  15  59
 37  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 3- 3) 128.51  37  40  38  14  22  72
 38  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 3- 3) 128.26  31  31  25  34  38  69
 39  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 3- 3) 128.21  21  21  28  47  35  67
 40  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 3- 3) 127.78  26  24  16  58  40  61
 41  Kennesaw St             1B   1 ( 5- 1) 127.56  59  49  50  85  33   7
 42  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 3- 3) 127.30  15  14  20  55  48  64
 43  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 4- 2) 125.44  36  36  41  70  47  39
 44  Grambling St            1B   1 ( 5- 1) 124.99  73  69  68  62  51   5
 45  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 4- 3) 123.27  42  41  37  59  59  41
 46  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 4- 2) 123.22  67  46  66  46  56  26
 47  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 4- 2) 122.96  48  51  53  56  63  27
 48  Montana St              1B   1 ( 2- 4) 122.74  20  19  22  73  49  85
 49  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 5- 2) 122.62  61  60  64  78  46  20
 50  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 4- 3) 122.53  68  74  49  36  57  33
 51  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 4- 3) 122.20  33  34  31  87  84  37
 52  Campbell                1B   1 ( 5- 2) 121.89  86  84  70  53  70   8
 53  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 2- 4) 121.64  35  37  40  31  42  98
 54  San Diego               1B   1 ( 4- 2) 120.26  82  83  82  40  52  30
 55  Howard                  1B   1 ( 3- 3) 119.80  49  52  74  57  45  55
 56  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 5- 2) 119.53  79  77  84  83  62  13
 57  Maine                   1B   1 ( 2- 3) 119.48  40  35  36  44  76  74
 58  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 2- 3) 118.69  72  70  69  16  50  80
 59  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 3- 3) 118.53  53  50  62  52  60  58
 60  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 3- 4) 118.27  76  75  73  30  37  82
 61  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 3- 3) 117.61  45  45  43  81  81  47
 62  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 117.49  62  61  59  51  61  60
 63  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 3- 4) 117.22  44  43  42  90  71  57
 64  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 3- 2) 116.89  64  64  61  74  88  35
 65  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 3- 4) 115.76  93  91  80  22  34  95
 66  Towson                  1B   1 ( 2- 4) 115.07  57  63  54  49  53  87
 67  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 3- 4) 114.75  54  56  67  88  75  52
 68  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 4- 3) 114.60  58  58  52  95  90  40
 69  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 3- 3) 114.58  88  88  95  41  68  50
 70  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 2- 3) 114.28  70  68  65  76  58  70
 71  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 4- 2) 114.27  84  93  79  99  73  23
 72  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 3- 3) 111.77  63  62  83 102  74  53
 73  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 2- 5) 111.61  55  47  75  71  55 102
 74  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 2- 5) 111.45  60  59  71  42  67 109
 75  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 4- 2) 110.95 111 113 110  43  64  32
 76  Drake                   1B   1 ( 3- 3) 110.58  96 102  99  50  66  62
 77  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 3- 3) 110.15  80  89  93  86  69  66
 78  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 2- 4) 109.56  85  87  92  39  79  83
 79  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 2- 5) 108.50  78  78  58  80  54 108
 80  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 2- 5) 108.13  56  53  56  94  85  92
 81  Butler                  1B   1 ( 4- 3) 107.40 107 111 109  61  65  51
 82  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 2- 4) 106.60  69  71  60  92 103  81
 83  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 2- 4) 105.54  87  96  94  68  92  84
 84  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 2- 5) 105.51  90  90  98  67  80  93
 85  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 2- 4) 105.47 105  99 100  63  72  79
 86  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 2- 4) 104.47  66  66  55 111 110  63
 87  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 2- 4) 104.46  77  76  81 104  91  86
 88  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 1- 5) 104.17  81  86  76  69  77 116
 89  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 2- 5) 104.05  97  97  89  65  83 103
 90  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 4) 103.34 101 106 103 101  89  54
 91  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 1- 5) 102.99  99  80  78  91  82 105
 92  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 3- 4) 102.38 110 108 113  66  78  76
 93  Murray St               1B   1 ( 2- 5) 102.20  89  82  86  96  93 101
 94  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 2- 5) 101.04 100 107 106  75  87  94
 95  Marist                  1B   1 ( 3- 4) 100.47 118 119 120  48  86  71
 96  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 1- 5) 100.34  75  73  72 105 102 111
 97  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 1- 5) 100.17  83  81  91  97 105 106
 98  Brown                   1B   1 ( 2- 3)  99.40 116 116 114  79  96  65
 99  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 1- 6)  99.00  74  72  77 103 101 119
100  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 2- 4)  98.54 108 114 112  89  94  77
101  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 2- 5)  97.40  91  94  90 106 114  88
102  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 2- 5)  97.20 104 103 107  93  95 100
103  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 1- 5)  96.31  94  98  97 109 109  91
104  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 1- 5)  94.75 103  95  88 110 115  90
105  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0- 6)  93.94  51  54  51 120 108 113
106  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 1- 5)  93.02 113 110 115  77 104 112
107  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 1- 5)  92.89  92  79  85 113 120 104
108  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 1- 5)  92.65  98 104 104 108 118  97
109  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 1- 6)  92.46 102 105 108 100  99 118
110  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 2- 5)  92.28 120 121 119  72  97  99
111  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 0- 6)  91.41  52  55  48 121 112 115
112  Davidson                1B   1 ( 2- 4)  90.46 124 123 123  82  98  78
113  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0- 6)  89.73  71  85  87 116 107 123
114  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 1- 5)  89.70 109 100 101 114 116  96
115  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 1- 5)  86.98 112 109 102 115 113 107
116  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 2- 5)  85.53 122 124 124 107 100  89
117  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 1- 5)  85.22 121 122 122  98 106 110
118  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 2- 5)  85.06 119 120 121 112 119  75
119  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 0- 6)  81.67 114 101 105 117 111 121
120  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 0- 7)  76.53  95  92  96 123 122 124
121  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 0- 6)  74.66 106 112 111 122 123 117
122  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0- 7)  74.12 123 117 118 118 117 122
123  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 0- 6)  72.84 117 115 117 119 121 120
124  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 0- 6)  70.93 115 118 116 124 124 114