BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (4-0) Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength =  156.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   138.80  24  62   1A  34 (  5-  2) Arizona               -17.59    -20.41                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   145.62  20  38   1B   2 (  5-  2) Western Illinois      -10.77     -7.23                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 160.36  28  10   1B  47 (  0-  7) Cal Poly SLO            3.97     14.03                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 160.88  48  20   1B  50 (  2-  4) Northern Colorado       4.49     23.51                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   171.05  37  16   1B  21 (  5-  2) Illinois St            14.66      6.34                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 157.26  42  20   1B  65 (  0-  7) Portland St             0.87     21.13                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 160.75  45  31   1B  26 (  3-  4) UC-Davis                4.36      9.64                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1B  29 (  4-  3) Sacramento St                    10.32             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1B  23 (  5-  2) Montana                           3.51             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1B  28 (  3-  4) Montana St                        9.82             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  17 (  5-  2) Southern Utah                     1.90             
      Averages             156.39  34.9 28.1

Best game:  171.05 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 138.80 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:  10.77