BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 99 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-8) Overall: (2-9) Overall Strength = 144.51
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 126.12 24 21 1A 125 ( 2- 9) Ball St -21.04 24.04
2 09/09/2017 Home W 151.69 20 7 1A 110 ( 6- 5) Western Kentucky 4.53 8.47
3 09/15/2017 Away L 140.68 23 47 1A 42 ( 9- 1) South Florida -6.48 -17.52
4 09/29/2017 Home L * 134.70 6 28 1A 57 ( 4- 7) Nebraska -12.46 -9.54
5 10/07/2017 Away L * 146.09 16 45 1A 16 ( 6- 5) Iowa -1.06 -27.94
6 10/14/2017 Home L * 140.54 24 35 1A 73 ( 4- 7) Rutgers -6.62 -4.38
7 10/21/2017 Away L * 156.61 17 24 1A 51 ( 5- 6) Minnesota 9.45 -16.45
8 10/28/2017 Home L * 166.60 10 24 1A 3 ( 11- 0) Wisconsin 19.44 * -33.44
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 152.78 10 29 1A 27 ( 5- 6) Purdue 5.62 -24.62
10 11/11/2017 Home L * 151.42 14 24 1A 41 ( 5- 6) Indiana 4.26 -14.26
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 151.53 14 52 1A 1 ( 9- 2) Ohio State 4.37 * -42.37
12 11/25/2017 Home * 1A 24 ( 8- 3) Northwestern -23.70
Averages 147.16 16.2 30.5
Best game: 166.60 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 126.12 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev: 11.14