BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Dakota St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 1 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (11-1) Overall Strength =  166.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   150.30  72   7   1B 124 (  2-  9) Mississippi Valley S  -13.29 *   78.29                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   172.82  40  13   1B  18 (  7-  4) Eastern Washington      9.23     17.77                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    W   159.39  56   0   1B 112 (  2-  9) Robert Morris PA       -4.20 *   60.20                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 156.20  38  11   1B  46 (  3-  8) Missouri St            -7.39 *   34.39                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 168.91  52   0   1B  94 (  0- 11) Indiana St              5.32 *   46.68                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 157.29  27  24   1B   6 (  6-  5) Youngstown St          -6.30      9.30                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 165.09  24  12   1B   4 (  8-  4) Western Illinois        1.49     10.51                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 166.18  30  14   1B   7 (  8-  5) Northern Iowa           2.59     13.41                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 149.59  21  33   1B   3 ( 10-  2) South Dakota St       -14.00      2.00                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 187.19  49  14   1B   8 (  8-  5) South Dakota           23.60     11.40                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 162.87  20   7   1B   9 (  6-  5) Illinois St            -0.72     13.72                      
 12 12/02/2017 Home    W   167.27  38   3   1B  30 ( 10-  3) San Diego               3.68     31.32                      
 13 12/09/2017 Home                         1B  35 ( 10-  2) Wofford                          32.74             
 14 12/15/2017 Home                         1B  12 ( 11-  1) Sam Houston St                   23.56             
 15 01/06/2018 Neutral                      1B   2 ( 12-  0) James Madison                     6.62             
      Averages             163.59  38.9 11.5

Best game:  187.19 = 35 point win over South Dakota
Worst game: 149.59 = 12 point loss to South Dakota St
Team stdev:  10.35