BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 29 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-2) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength = 169.86
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 167.48 35 10 1A 105 ( 2- 8) Bowling Green -2.38 27.38
2 09/09/2017 Home W 168.18 28 14 1A 80 ( 6- 4) Western Michigan -1.67 15.67
3 09/23/2017 Home L 162.46 18 38 1A 5 ( 8- 2) Notre Dame -7.39 -12.61
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 181.05 17 10 1A 16 ( 6- 4) Iowa 11.19 -4.19
5 10/07/2017 Away W * 180.41 14 10 1A 19 ( 8- 2) Michigan 10.56 -6.56
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 171.15 30 27 1A 39 ( 5- 5) Minnesota 1.30 1.70
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 167.57 17 9 1A 53 ( 4- 6) Indiana -2.29 10.29
8 10/28/2017 Away L * 164.33 31 39 1A 28 ( 7- 3) Northwestern -5.53 -2.47
9 11/04/2017 Home W * 189.09 27 24 1A 3 ( 8- 2) Penn State 19.24 -16.24
10 11/11/2017 Away L * 146.83 3 48 1A 1 ( 8- 2) Ohio State -23.03 -21.97
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 63 ( 4- 6) Maryland 11.66
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 71 ( 4- 6) Rutgers 11.40
Averages 169.86 22.0 22.9
Best game: 189.09 = 3 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 146.83 = 45 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev: 11.73