BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 98 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (0-0) Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength =   66.33

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    61.31   0  24    3  19 (  3-  1) Carthage                0.18    -24.18                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    79.96  31  26    3  44 (  2-  2) Loras                  18.83    -13.83                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    57.73  21  37    3  61 (  2-  1) Olivet                 -3.40    -12.60                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home      *                   3 202 (  0-  3) Wisconsin Lutheran               27.37             
  5 10/07/2017 Away      *                   3 175 (  2-  0) Concordia IL                     14.19             
  6 10/14/2017 Home                          3 139 (  2-  1) Alma                             10.94             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                   3 232 (  0-  2) Rockford                         40.56             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                   3 106 (  1-  2) Lakeland                          4.65             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                   3 214 (  1-  2) Concordia WI                     26.53             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                   3  75 (  1-  2) Benedictine IL                   -5.55             
      Averages              66.33  17.3 29.0

Best game:   79.96 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  57.73 = 16 point loss to Olivet
Team stdev:  11.94