BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 43 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-2) Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength =  172.14

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   181.63  35  28   1A  34 (  3-  2) Purdue                  8.23     -1.23                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W * 176.97  47  35   1A  74 (  1-  5) North Carolina          3.57      8.43                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L * 164.75  21  47   1A   7 (  6-  0) Clemson                -8.65    -17.35                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   178.79  42   3   1A 116 (  1-  5) Kent St                 5.39 *   33.61                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W   173.03  55  10   1B  81 (  2-  4) Murray St              -0.36 *   45.36                      
  6 10/05/2017 Away    L * 165.22  25  39   1A  29 (  5-  1) North Carolina St      -8.18     -5.82                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home      *                  1A  76 (  2-  4) Boston College                   12.05             
  8 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1A  20 (  1-  3) Florida St                       -9.28             
  9 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  18 (  4-  2) Wake Forest                     -10.69             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  50 (  4-  1) Virginia                          3.55             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  80 (  3-  3) Syracuse                         12.88             
 12 11/25/2017 Away                         1A  70 (  5-  1) Kentucky                          6.34             
      Averages             173.40  37.5 27.0

Best game:  181.63 = 7 point win over Purdue
Worst game: 164.75 = 26 point loss to Clemson
Team stdev:   7.09