BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  James Madison           1B   1 (10- 0) 162.67   3   2   3   1   1   2
  2  North Dakota St         1B   1 ( 9- 1) 152.89   1   1   1  14   2  10
  3  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 (10- 0) 147.56  27  27  42   2  20   1
  4  South Dakota St         1B   1 ( 8- 2) 143.92   2   3   2  15   6  26
  5  Central Arkansas        1B   1 ( 9- 1) 143.07  11  12  15  12   8   8
  6  Jacksonville St         1B   1 ( 9- 1) 141.45  15  14  19  10  18   7
  7  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 8- 2) 140.47  13  11   5  22   5  16
  8  Weber St                1B   1 ( 8- 2) 140.47   8   6  10  30   7  15
  9  Sam Houston St          1B   1 ( 9- 1) 139.99  22  20  33   7  11   9
 10  Stony Brook             1B   1 ( 8- 2) 139.86  17  17  20   4  10  17
 11  Yale                    1B   1 ( 8- 1) 138.76  21  22  24   5  12  14
 12  Kennesaw St             1B   1 ( 9- 1) 138.64  34  34  18  16  16   4
 13  Wofford                 1B   1 ( 9- 1) 137.81  37  39  49   9   4   6
 14  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 7- 3) 137.24   4   5   7  48  17  32
 15  Delaware                1B   1 ( 7- 3) 137.17  14  16  17   6  13  35
 16  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 7- 3) 136.88   5   4   8  41  21  30
 17  Elon                    1B   1 ( 8- 2) 135.86  33  32  44   3   9  18
 18  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 9- 1) 135.76  42  42  36   8  28   5
 19  Furman                  1B   1 ( 7- 3) 135.21  10  13   9  21  14  39
 20  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 6- 4) 133.94   7   7   4  37  15  58
 21  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 7- 3) 132.80  12  10  12  57  22  29
 22  Samford                 1B   1 ( 7- 3) 132.45  24  26  32  20   3  43
 23  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 7- 3) 131.86  31  31  21  13  23  34
 24  Montana                 1B   1 ( 7- 3) 130.76  19  21  14  53  27  27
 25  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 8- 2) 129.66  39  35  37  34  30  13
 26  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 6- 4) 129.32   9   9   6  59  31  47
 27  San Diego               1B   1 ( 8- 2) 129.16  41  47  30  28  36  12
 28  Grambling St            1B   1 ( 9- 1) 127.60  75  75  64  23  40   3
 29  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 8- 2) 127.56  62  51  67  25  25  11
 30  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 6- 4) 127.55  20  19  22  39  19  57
 31  Richmond                1B   1 ( 5- 5) 127.39  16  15  11  11  29  79
 32  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 6- 4) 126.87  18  18  13  70  38  42
 33  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 5- 5) 126.78   6   8  16  58  32  66
 34  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 7- 4) 126.35  29  33  39  55  34  23
 35  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 7- 2) 126.02  53  55  65  17  26  22
 36  Columbia                1B   1 ( 7- 2) 125.99  56  59  56  19  24  28
 37  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 7- 3) 124.65  59  57  40  24  35  25
 38  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 6- 4) 124.15  36  36  28  47  48  38
 39  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 7- 3) 124.03  48  48  43  32  41  36
 40  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 7- 4) 123.54  43  41  45  36  52  31
 41  Howard                  1B   1 ( 7- 3) 122.65  64  64  55  29  57  19
 42  Princeton               1B   1 ( 5- 4) 122.02  30  38  23  42  45  53
 43  Maine                   1B   1 ( 4- 5) 121.58  28  29  31  26  46  68
 44  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 5- 5) 120.50  23  23  29  77  39  65
 45  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 5- 5) 120.15  40  30  34  50  33  69
 46  Villanova               1B   1 ( 4- 6) 118.97  35  28  41  31  47  74
 47  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 7- 3) 118.89  69  74  74  35  71  20
 48  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 5- 4) 118.79  49  49  46  27  37  67
 49  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 6- 4) 118.51  61  53  66  18  49  55
 50  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 5- 5) 117.60  32  37  27  71  77  56
 51  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 6- 4) 117.50  57  60  61  54  50  44
 52  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 4- 6) 116.41  25  25  26  85  61  72
 53  Montana St              1B   1 ( 4- 6) 116.24  26  24  35  81  43  81
 54  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 7- 3) 116.14  77  72  69  52  59  37
 55  Towson                  1B   1 ( 4- 6) 115.87  50  54  47  33  42  76
 56  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 5- 4) 115.46  67  70  76  45  53  45
 57  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 5- 5) 114.16  58  61  70  66  44  60
 58  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 5- 5) 113.97  46  45  57  75  79  51
 59  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 6- 4) 113.87  71  71  71  76  65  41
 60  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 5- 5) 113.85  70  63  79  40  54  62
 61  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 6- 4) 113.17  63  69  58  92  89  33
 62  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 113.01  65  66  63  51  64  64
 63  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 3- 7) 112.38  38  40  51  44  60  93
 64  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 3- 7) 112.29  45  46  38  38  55 101
 65  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 7- 3) 112.15  91  89  83  73  81  21
 66  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 5- 5) 111.77  74  65  81  64  66  50
 67  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 4- 6) 110.01  51  50  62 102  80  59
 68  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 3- 7) 109.95  47  43  25  95  62  90
 69  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 5- 5) 108.64  95  93  77  61  69  48
 70  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 4- 6) 108.14  80  79  60  65  74  73
 71  Drake                   1B   1 ( 6- 4) 107.95  92  96 101  56  56  49
 72  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 4- 6) 107.89  76  76  54  72  70  78
 73  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 7- 3) 107.28 113 115 115  49  58  24
 74  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 5- 5) 106.65  97  94  95  68  75  46
 75  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 5- 5) 106.21  87  86  88  69  91  52
 76  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 3- 8) 106.13  44  44  48 104  67  99
 77  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 4- 6) 106.12  82  83  92  63  51  80
 78  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 4- 6) 105.19  84  85  80  74  78  75
 79  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 4- 7) 104.93  72  73  90  62  72  86
 80  Butler                  1B   1 ( 6- 5) 104.59 104 102  98  67  73  61
 81  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 2- 8) 104.28  54  56  75  43  68 117
 82  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 5- 5) 103.44 100  97  93  84  85  54
 83  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 3- 7) 103.23  66  67  52  97  93  89
 84  Campbell                1B   1 ( 6- 5) 102.68 107 104 114  87  88  40
 85  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 2- 7) 102.46  68  68  68 100  76  98
 86  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 3- 6) 101.55  78  81  73  78 100  82
 87  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 5- 5) 101.51 108 106 102  79  82  63
 88  Murray St               1B   1 ( 3- 7) 100.21  81  78  78  94  95  88
 89  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 3- 7) 100.13  83  84  72  86  90  97
 90  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 4- 5)  99.95  86  92 109  83  94  71
 91  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 2- 8)  99.14  60  62  59  93  97 116
 92  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 2- 8)  98.99  55  58  50 113 104 102
 93  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 3- 7)  98.87  93  90  99  80  83  92
 94  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 3- 7)  98.75 105  99  85  60  63 111
 95  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 3- 7)  98.42  96  98  96  82  84  91
 96  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 3- 7)  98.09  94  95  91  46  96 100
 97  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 7)  96.61  89  91  87  91 111  84
 98  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 3- 7)  96.37 103 108 105  90  87  83
 99  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 2- 8)  96.18  79  77  82 106 101 104
100  Brown                   1B   1 ( 2- 7)  93.71 109 109 112  88  86  94
101  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 1- 9)  93.28  52  52  53 120 113 118
102  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 3- 6)  92.05 110 110 103  96 103  87
103  Marist                  1B   1 ( 4- 6)  91.75 118 120 119  98  92  70
104  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 2- 8)  91.18 101 103  89  99 115 105
105  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 2- 8)  90.82  98 100 106 101 107 106
106  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 7)  88.58 111 113 113 109 116  77
107  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 1- 9)  88.57  85  82  84 116 114 119
108  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 2- 8)  88.30 112 107 110  89 112 109
109  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 1- 9)  88.29  88  87  86 105 102 122
110  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 2- 8)  87.27 114 112 117 108  98 103
111  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 1- 9)  86.26 102 105  94 107 118 113
112  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 1- 9)  84.43  99 111 108 111 109 121
113  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 3- 7)  83.09 123 123 123 103  99  85
114  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 1- 9)  82.82 115 114 111 115 110 115
115  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 1- 9)  82.59 106 101 107 119 120 112
116  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 2- 8)  80.40 116 117 116 114 117 110
117  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 2- 9)  79.17 121 121 120 112 108 114
118  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0-10)  79.08  90  88 104 123 105 123
119  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0-10)  78.87  73  80  97 124 121 120
120  Davidson                1B   1 ( 2- 8)  78.84 122 122 122 110 106 108
121  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 2- 8)  77.94 120 119 121 117 122  95
122  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 1- 8)  75.85 117 118 118 121 123 107
123  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 2- 8)  70.99 124 124 124 118 124  96
124  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0-11)  69.87 119 116 100 122 119 124