BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 103 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-5) Overall: (2-6) Overall Strength =  147.71

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   132.06  24  21   1A 124 (  2-  6) Ball St               -18.03     21.03                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   156.55  20   7   1A 107 (  5-  3) Western Kentucky        6.46      6.54                      
  3 09/15/2017 Away    L   147.23  23  47   1A  35 (  7-  1) South Florida          -2.87    -21.13                      
  4 09/29/2017 Home    L * 140.34   6  28   1A  56 (  4-  4) Nebraska               -9.75    -12.25                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 148.43  16  45   1A  23 (  5-  3) Iowa                   -1.67    -27.33                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L * 147.33  24  35   1A  64 (  3-  5) Rutgers                -2.76     -8.24                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 162.00  17  24   1A  46 (  4-  4) Minnesota              11.91    -18.91                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 166.79  10  24   1A   9 (  8-  0) Wisconsin              16.70 *  -30.70                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1A  32 (  3-  5) Purdue                          -26.16             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  39 (  3-  5) Indiana                         -18.03             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A   4 (  7-  1) Ohio State                      -46.24             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  31 (  5-  3) Northwestern                    -21.82             
      Averages             150.09  17.5 28.9

Best game:  166.79 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 132.06 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev:  11.35