BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 163.18
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 172.65 60 7 1B 71 ( 7- 4) North Carolina Centr 8.68 * 44.32
2 09/09/2017 Home W 192.70 41 17 1A 22 ( 9- 3) Northwestern 28.73 -4.73
3 09/16/2017 Home W 161.27 34 20 1A 85 ( 1- 11) Baylor -2.70 16.70
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 167.62 27 17 1A 66 ( 3- 9) North Carolina 3.65 6.35
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 143.69 6 31 1A 17 ( 10- 2) Miami FL -20.28 -4.72
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 151.74 21 28 1A 61 ( 6- 6) Virginia -12.23 5.23
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 156.14 10 17 1A 34 ( 6- 6) Florida St -7.83 0.83
8 10/21/2017 Home L * 150.24 17 24 1A 50 ( 5- 7) Pittsburgh -13.73 6.73
9 10/28/2017 Away L * 154.50 3 24 1A 16 ( 9- 3) Virginia Tech -9.47 -11.53
10 11/11/2017 Away L 152.92 16 21 1A 60 ( 8- 3) Army -11.05 6.05
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 185.40 43 20 1A 33 ( 5- 6) Georgia Tech 21.43 1.57
12 11/25/2017 Away W * 178.79 31 23 1A 23 ( 7- 5) Wake Forest 14.82 -6.82
13 12/26/2017 Neutral 1A 63 ( 8- 4) Northern Illinois 6.98
Averages 163.97 25.8 20.8
Best game: 192.70 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 143.69 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 15.44