BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  Mount Union              3   1 (15- 0) 156.81   2   1   1   1   1   1
  2  Mary Hardin-Baylor       3   1 (14- 1) 146.11   1   2   2   4   2   2
  3  UW-Oshkosh               3   1 (12- 1) 138.36   4   4   3   2   3   9
  4  Brockport St             3   1 (13- 1) 137.21   6   5   4   3   4   3
  5  Delaware Valley          3   1 (12- 1) 130.86   5   7   6  14   5   5
  6  Wartburg                 3   1 (12- 1) 127.03  18  18  21   5   7   7
  7  Case Western Reserve     3   1 (11- 1) 126.60  13  30  16   7   6   6
  8  Frostburg St             3   1 (11- 2) 122.95  16  13  15  23   8  15
  9  St Thomas                3   1 (11- 2) 122.27   9   9   7  46  16  12
 10  Hardin-Simmons           3   1 ( 9- 2) 122.11   3   3  13  36  28  25
 11  Franklin & Marshall      3   1 (10- 1) 122.07  29  21  19   6  18  13
 12  Johns Hopkins            3   1 ( 9- 2) 120.67  14  11   9  10  20  36
 13  Springfield              3   1 (10- 1) 120.58  11  14  17  20  22  14
 14  North Central            3   1 (10- 2) 119.94  20  17  20  29  13  17
 15  Linfield                 3   1 ( 9- 2) 119.86   7   6   8  50   9  49
 16  Wesley                   3   1 (10- 2) 119.60  15  12  28  33  10  26
 17  UW-La Crosse             3   1 ( 8- 2) 119.24  10  20  12  18  11  42
 18  Wash & Jeff              3   1 (11- 1) 119.19  47  46  58  12  17   4
 19  Trine                    3   1 (11- 1) 118.70  19  34  43  21  21   8
 20  Wittenberg               3   1 (10- 1) 118.00  27  28  33  24  14  18
 21  Berry                    3   1 (11- 1) 116.29  42  40  59  15  23  10
 22  Wheaton                  3   1 ( 8- 2) 116.18  21  10   5  49  33  34
 23  Framingham St            3   1 (10- 1) 115.53  46  48  46  13  34  11
 24  Illinois Wesleyan        3   1 ( 9- 2) 113.13  45  45  55  28  12  30
 25  UW-Whitewater            3   1 ( 7- 3) 113.13  22  25  25  19  15  92
 26  Husson                   3   1 (10- 2) 112.51  38  41  38  42  30  20
 27  East Texas Baptist       3   1 ( 7- 3) 111.76   8   8  10  51  76  71
 28  Centre                   3   1 ( 9- 1) 111.59  50  49  44  34  36  19
 29  John Carroll             3   1 ( 6- 4) 111.22  24  22  22  11  24 119
 30  Ithaca                   3   1 ( 8- 3) 111.19  34  35  24  26  32  60
 31  Muhlenberg               3   1 ( 8- 3) 110.66  32  32  26  38  50  41
 32  Washington and Lee       3   1 ( 8- 3) 110.52  26  26  18  41  39  62
 33  UW-Platteville           3   1 ( 7- 3) 110.13  31  31  41  25  19  93
 34  Whitworth                3   1 ( 8- 2) 109.83  12  16  23 123  48  32
 35  Hobart                   3   1 ( 7- 3) 108.62  25  27  30  39  60  67
 36  RPI                      3   1 ( 8- 3) 108.03  51  43  42  40  31  63
 37  St John's MN             3   1 ( 9- 2) 107.98  36  29  45  88  38  31
 38  Heidelberg               3   1 ( 7- 3) 107.92  48  55  87   9  26  73
 39  Trinity CT               3   1 ( 8- 1) 107.72  53  37  39  97  29  33
 40  Ohio Northern            3   1 ( 7- 3) 107.50  63  58  69   8  25  72
 41  Susquehanna              3   1 ( 8- 3) 107.35  52  47  57  30  41  50
 42  Alfred                   3   1 ( 7- 3) 107.25  43  42  40  31  46  70
 43  WPI                      3   1 ( 9- 2) 106.62  66  70  48  52  51  22
 44  George Fox               3   1 ( 7- 3) 106.59  17  15  27 115  58  61
 45  Southwestern TX          3   1 ( 6- 4) 104.70  30  23  11  59  88 104
 46  Texas Lutheran           3   1 ( 6- 4) 104.57  23  24  14  56  87 106
 47  Plymouth St              3   1 ( 9- 2) 104.28  73  92 119  27  52  28
 48  Hope                     3   1 ( 8- 2) 104.15  74  59  49  58  61  38
 49  Western New England      3   1 ( 8- 3) 104.07  60  62  65  47  35  58
 50  Concordia-Moorhead       3   1 ( 8- 2) 104.05  44  63  85  78  37  35
 51  UW-Stout                 3   1 ( 5- 4) 103.96  40  39  50  35  27 141
 52  Carthage                 3   1 ( 7- 3) 103.83  37  44  60  63  53  65
 53  Hendrix                  3   1 ( 8- 2) 103.39  64  65  70  45  64  44
 54  Redlands                 3   1 ( 7- 2) 103.26  28  19  31 150  74  54
 55  Salisbury                3   1 ( 7- 4) 103.22  35  33  35  87  63  83
 56  Otterbein                3   1 ( 6- 4) 103.15  70  68  53  16  40 109
 57  Baldwin Wallace          3   1 ( 6- 4) 102.47  57  64  72  22  47  99
 58  Central IA               3   1 ( 7- 3) 101.69  79  77  56  48  54  64
 59  Westminster PA           3   1 ( 7- 3) 101.59  59  61  79  43  59  78
 60  Wabash                   3   1 ( 8- 2) 101.52  80  79  98  65  44  37
 61  Randolph-Macon           3   1 ( 7- 3) 101.03  55  53  34  70  96  57
 62  Marietta                 3   1 ( 6- 4) 100.52  93 108  68  17  43 103
 63  Western Conn St          3   1 ( 7- 3) 100.27  81  81 101  32  75  66
 64  SUNY-Maritime            3   1 ( 9- 2) 100.00 104 101  94  69  84  16
 65  Albright                 3   1 ( 8- 3) 100.00  83  83 111  75  42  48
 66  Monmouth IL              3   1 ( 9- 2)  99.49 102 103 109  61  49  43
 67  Denison                  3   1 ( 7- 3)  99.41  56  60  78  84  66  68
 68  Franklin                 3   1 ( 8- 3)  99.35  33  52  37 122 126  45
 69  DePauw                   3   1 ( 8- 2)  99.23  94  94 131  67  45  40
 70  Cortland St              3   1 ( 7- 4)  99.19  82  82 102  37  62  91
 71  Chapman                  3   1 ( 6- 3)  99.11  41  51  36 113  65 108
 72  Widener                  3   1 ( 7- 4)  98.68  67  66  52  93  68  76
 73  Huntingdon AL            3   1 ( 9- 2)  97.91 101  98  84  64 117  21
 74  Carnegie Mellon          3   1 ( 7- 4)  97.89  65  69 105  55  82  75
 75  Union NY                 3   1 ( 7- 4)  97.79  86  88  71  53  69  89
 76  Ursinus                  3   1 ( 6- 4)  97.70  77  76 106  44  71  95
 77  Amherst                  3   1 ( 7- 2)  97.66  75  80  66 142  56  52
 78  Millikin                 3   1 ( 7- 3)  97.45  88  85 116  77  57  69
 79  Curry                    3   1 ( 8- 3)  97.24 114 118 114  60  78  39
 80  Thomas More              3   1 ( 6- 4)  96.62  71  54  29  85 134  85
 81  Stevenson                3   1 ( 6- 4)  96.52  58  50  82 107  70 101
 82  Lakeland                 3   1 ( 8- 3)  96.39  98 112 137  73  73  46
 83  Middlebury               3   1 ( 7- 2)  96.31  84  84  95 143  55  51
 84  Sul Ross St              3   1 ( 5- 5)  95.04  49  36  63  83 123 120
 85  Rose-Hulman              3   1 ( 8- 2)  94.89 113 107  62 131 115  29
 86  MIT                      3   1 ( 7- 3)  94.69 109 106 121  81  85  55
 87  Dubuque                  3   1 ( 6- 4)  94.63  99 100 103  62  72 100
 88  Salve Regina             3   1 ( 6- 3)  94.54 107  91  75  79  91  79
 89  Luther                   3   1 ( 6- 4)  94.30 108 117 118  54  67 105
 90  Trinity TX               3   1 ( 6- 4)  92.87  87  89  76  82  92 115
 91  Pacific Lutheran         3   1 ( 4- 4)  92.69  39  38  32 184 105 129
 92  Buffalo St               3   1 ( 6- 5)  91.95 119 119 124  57  86 111
 93  Simpson                  3   1 ( 5- 5)  91.86  97  99  81  71  83 136
 94  UW-River Falls           3   1 ( 4- 6)  91.58  92  75  67  68  79 166
 95  Cal Lutheran             3   1 ( 5- 3)  91.57  54  57  61 197 108  86
 96  Wesleyan                 3   1 ( 6- 3)  91.34  85  86  99 177  81  81
 97  Worcester St             3   1 ( 6- 4)  91.08 111 115 108  76 118  87
 98  Merchant Marine          3   1 ( 6- 4)  90.89 116 114  83  98  98  97
 99  Shenandoah               3   1 ( 6- 4)  90.58  76  78 134  99 132  90
100  Hampden-Sydney           3   1 ( 6- 4)  89.83 110 111 129  86 103 102
101  Pacific OR               3   1 ( 4- 4)  89.80  68  67  54 175  99 128
102  Wooster                  3   1 ( 6- 4)  89.71 115 113 117 118  93  96
103  UW-Stevens Point         3   1 ( 4- 6)  89.66  96  96  97  66  77 171
104  Christopher Newport      3   1 ( 5- 5)  89.59  62  74 127 125 100 125
105  Kean                     3   1 ( 4- 6)  89.55  61  56  47 134 112 167
106  Washington MO            3   1 ( 3- 6)  89.49  69  71  51  74  90 200
107  Lebanon Valley           3   1 ( 5- 5)  88.46 112 110  88 119  89 134
108  Williams                 3   1 ( 6- 3)  88.43 121 122 130 178  80  80
109  Ferrum                   3   1 ( 8- 2)  88.41 155 155 154 103 158  24
110  St Norbert               3   1 ( 7- 3)  88.28 126 140 126 137 131  53
111  Adrian                   3   1 ( 5- 5)  87.85 122 109 112 105  97 133
112  Guilford                 3   1 ( 5- 5)  87.53  89  87  64 116 147 132
113  Benedictine IL           3   1 ( 7- 3)  87.06 160 165 155 110 104  56
114  Ohio Wesleyan            3   1 ( 5- 5)  86.42 134 137 100 117  94 137
115  Montclair St             3   1 ( 5- 5)  86.06 106 125 147 124  95 127
116  Olivet                   3   1 ( 5- 5)  85.76 131 134 123 106 111 135
117  Bethel MN                3   1 ( 5- 5)  85.72 127 102  96 151 107 139
118  King's PA                3   1 ( 5- 5)  85.64 133 132 135 135 102 116
119  Lewis & Clark            3   1 ( 0- 0)  85.46 143 143 138  80 129 124
120  Lycoming                 3   1 ( 4- 6)  85.28  91  93  91 148 110 162
121  Tufts                    3   1 ( 5- 4)  84.91 118 116 113 191 101 112
122  Utica                    3   1 ( 3- 7)  84.71 100  90  93  94 125 185
123  Pomona-Pitzer            3   1 ( 4- 4)  84.07  95  95  80 203 136 118
124  Mt St Joseph             3   1 ( 6- 4)  83.93 136 126 115 179 161  74
125  Morrisville St           3   1 ( 4- 6)  83.44 148 146 128  96 127 145
126  Averett                  3   1 ( 6- 4)  83.44 135 130 141 128 165  94
127  McDaniel                 3   1 ( 3- 7)  82.95 105 105 142  90 114 192
128  Gettysburg               3   1 ( 3- 7)  82.73 117 127 122  92 119 188
129  Coe                      3   1 ( 4- 6)  82.60 140 145 162 102 106 161
130  UMass-Dartmouth          3   1 ( 4- 6)  82.55 128 128 104 108 152 163
131  Juniata                  3   1 ( 3- 7)  82.29 124 129 125  91 124 187
132  Louisiana College        3   1 ( 3- 7)  82.06  72  73  89 133 162 183
133  Loras                    3   1 ( 4- 6)  81.95 145 144 172 104 109 157
134  New Jersey               3   1 ( 4- 6)  81.60 141 139 110 161 130 146
135  Rowan                    3   1 ( 4- 6)  81.53 130 131 139 147 116 160
136  Claremont-Mudd-Scrip     3   1 ( 4- 5)  81.32  90  97  92 213 143 138
137  Hartwick                 3   1 ( 3- 7)  81.17 125 123 143 101 128 186
138  Muskingum                3   1 ( 2- 8)  80.83 132 133  74  72 139 216
139  Rhodes                   3   1 ( 4- 6)  80.34 120 120 120 153 160 156
140  Catholic                 3   1 ( 5- 5)  80.32 164 167 188 109 121 123
141  Gustavus Adolphus        3   1 ( 5- 5)  80.25 153 147 146 172 135 130
142  Lake Forest              3   1 ( 8- 2)  79.90 214 211 199 146 138  23
143  La Verne                 3   1 ( 3- 5)  79.49 103 104  90 214 141 152
144  Dickinson                3   1 ( 3- 7)  79.48 150 159 157  89 113 195
145  Bridgewater VA           3   1 ( 4- 6)  79.31 142 141 164 126 151 148
146  Puget Sound              3   1 ( 3- 6)  79.01  78  72  73 219 167 165
147  Chicago                  3   1 ( 6- 4)  78.95 170 166 178 144 150  98
148  Moravian                 3   1 ( 2- 8)  78.61 137 135  86 114 137 217
149  St John Fisher           3   1 ( 2- 8)  78.50 123 121 136 100 120 232
150  Oberlin                  3   1 ( 4- 6)  77.87 157 156 140 167 144 151
151  Maryville TN             3   1 ( 5- 5)  77.62 152 152 151 145 186 122
152  St Lawrence              3   1 ( 2- 8)  76.99 129 124 107 129 148 223
153  Albion                   3   1 ( 4- 6)  76.76 168 154 174 140 146 154
154  Castleton                3   1 ( 6- 4)  76.03 198 206 206 121 153  77
155  Grove City               3   1 ( 4- 6)  75.75 175 176 169 111 171 143
156  Endicott                 3   1 ( 3- 7)  75.74 154 149 150 132 149 197
157  Manchester               3   1 ( 6- 4)  75.62 183 185 186 173 159  88
158  North Park               3   1 ( 3- 7)  75.50 149 158 145 162 156 179
159  Nebraska Wesleyan        3   1 ( 2- 8)  75.07 163 157 132 130 122 227
160  Aurora                   3   1 ( 5- 5)  74.69 186 189 195 155 154 113
161  Belhaven                 3   1 ( 2- 8)  74.67 146 136  77 158 179 211
162  Geneva                   3   1 ( 3- 7)  73.82 161 161 158 120 184 178
163  Buena Vista              3   1 ( 3- 7)  73.63 181 183 183 136 133 174
164  Wilmington               3   1 ( 2- 8)  73.62 167 177 168  95 145 212
165  Millsaps                 3   1 ( 3- 7)  73.19 151 150 149 174 190 173
166  McMurry                  3   1 ( 2- 8)  72.94 139 142 133 159 173 220
167  Sewanee                  3   1 ( 3- 7)  72.80 156 153 173 157 174 184
168  Alma                     3   1 ( 4- 6)  72.79 180 181 189 141 155 164
169  Birmingham-Southern      3   1 ( 3- 7)  72.76 162 162 156 138 172 196
170  FDU-Florham              3   1 ( 3- 7)  72.72 169 173 165 182 142 176
171  LaGrange                 3   1 ( 4- 6)  71.94 165 163 170 165 205 155
172  Emory & Henry            3   1 ( 3- 7)  71.89 138 138 148 170 207 189
173  Bridgewater St MA        3   1 ( 2- 8)  71.74 147 148 152 160 188 208
174  Austin                   3   1 ( 3- 7)  71.57 158 160 153 171 195 180
175  Fitchburg St             3   1 ( 3- 7)  71.12 172 174 193 127 169 191
176  Hamilton                 3   1 ( 3- 6)  70.25 171 171 163 217 157 170
177  Allegheny                3   1 ( 3- 7)  70.08 174 175 175 183 170 177
178  Bluffton                 3   1 ( 4- 6)  69.95 177 170 167 198 193 158
179  Mount Ida                3   1 ( 4- 6)  69.87 192 192 194 139 175 168
180  Hanover                  3   1 ( 4- 6)  68.86 173 168 184 201 201 147
181  Brevard                  3   1 ( 4- 6)  68.11 185 179 171 200 223 126
182  Capital                  3   1 ( 1- 9)  67.88 176 172 176 112 166 243
183  Westfield St             3   1 ( 2- 7)  67.68 194 186 159 163 198 182
184  Dean                     3   1 ( 4- 6)  67.55 199 202 198 181 202 140
185  Elmhurst                 3   1 ( 2- 8)  67.49 188 178 181 168 163 214
186  Ripon                    3   1 ( 5- 5)  67.41 215 210 203 190 200 110
187  UW-Eau Claire            3   1 ( 1- 9)  67.25 189 169 166 152 140 245
188  Illinois College         3   1 ( 5- 5)  67.07 209 214 220 180 168 131
189  Coast Guard              3   1 ( 3- 7)  66.72 193 191 200 176 189 175
190  Eureka                   3   1 ( 8- 3)  66.23 229 227 218 207 177  47
191  Augsburg                 3   1 ( 4- 6)  66.21 204 195 205 195 180 153
192  Macalester               3   1 ( 5- 5)  66.00 216 213 211 196 192 114
193  Bethany WV               3   1 ( 2- 8)  65.97 191 190 160 149 199 215
194  Augustana IL             3   1 ( 1- 9)  65.82 159 164 161 188 183 241
195  North Carolina Wesle     3   1 ( 3- 7)  65.62 184 180 179 164 215 194
196  Rochester                3   1 ( 2- 7)  65.55 210 209 207 154 176 190
197  Southern Virginia        3   1 ( 2- 8)  65.22 182 182 180 199 178 202
198  Waynesburg               3   1 ( 2- 8)  65.12 179 187 201 156 203 209
199  Mass Maritime            3   1 ( 2- 8)  64.15 190 196 192 166 197 210
200  Gallaudet                3   1 ( 3- 7)  63.92 196 197 196 189 214 172
201  Knox                     3   1 ( 5- 5)  62.99 223 221 219 194 194 121
202  St Olaf                  3   1 ( 4- 6)  62.90 217 223 225 185 164 149
203  Howard Payne             3   1 ( 1- 9)  61.52 166 188 204 186 196 240
204  MacMurray                3   1 ( 8- 2)  61.48 239 237 235 212 185  27
205  Misericordia             3   1 ( 1- 9)  61.01 178 184 187 218 182 234
206  St Vincent               3   1 ( 2- 8)  60.58 213 204 216 169 212 201
207  Bates                    3   1 ( 2- 7)  60.36 202 208 191 225 191 193
208  Carroll WI               3   1 ( 1- 9)  60.32 187 194 208 187 181 244
209  Hiram                    3   1 ( 2- 8)  60.12 197 199 202 210 206 206
210  Concordia IL             3   1 ( 3- 6)  59.66 218 215 226 193 211 159
211  St Scholastica           3   1 ( 7- 3)  57.92 235 236 238 216 187  59
212  Wisconsin Lutheran       3   1 ( 3- 7)  57.49 224 222 232 192 204 169
213  Norwich                  3   1 ( 1- 9)  56.89 208 203 210 209 210 231
214  Willamette               3   1 ( 0- 9)  56.84 144 151 144 243 225 238
215  Defiance                 3   1 ( 2- 8)  56.62 206 205 197 221 230 207
216  Maine Maritime           3   1 ( 1- 8)  56.12 205 219 213 205 216 222
217  Nichols                  3   1 ( 2- 8)  55.84 222 220 224 204 220 181
218  Methodist                3   1 ( 2- 8)  55.46 211 217 214 211 228 205
219  Colby                    3   1 ( 1- 8)  55.20 195 198 190 232 224 218
220  Kalamazoo                3   1 ( 1- 9)  53.26 219 216 209 215 219 233
221  Cornell IA               3   1 ( 4- 6)  53.11 233 235 236 206 209 142
222  Thiel                    3   1 ( 1- 9)  52.74 220 218 221 202 229 225
223  Wilkes                   3   1 ( 0-10)  50.71 203 193 177 239 221 247
224  Westminster MO           3   1 ( 6- 4)  50.40 241 241 241 227 208  84
225  Hamline                  3   1 ( 2- 8)  49.81 221 228 230 224 226 203
226  William Paterson         3   1 ( 0-10)  49.45 207 212 185 237 218 248
227  Becker                   3   1 ( 1- 9)  49.27 225 226 231 208 217 237
228  Northwestern MN          3   1 ( 6- 4)  49.03 242 242 243 228 213  82
229  Rockford                 3   1 ( 1- 8)  48.69 226 225 217 230 238 204
230  Kenyon                   3   1 ( 0-10)  48.67 201 200 182 238 234 246
231  Whittier                 3   1 ( 0- 8)  48.22 212 201 215 245 222 229
232  Alfred St                3   1 ( 1- 9)  47.42 227 231 227 223 235 219
233  Concordia WI             3   1 ( 2- 8)  47.28 230 234 233 222 233 198
234  Lawrence                 3   1 ( 2- 8)  47.24 232 229 223 226 236 213
235  Occidental               3   1 ( 0- 3)  46.53 231 230 228 248 227 144
236  Bowdoin                  3   1 ( 0- 9)  44.70 200 207 212 244 243 239
237  Anna Maria               3   1 ( 1- 9)  43.86 237 232 229 220 237 235
238  Greenville               3   1 ( 4- 6)  41.97 243 243 237 233 231 150
239  Anderson                 3   1 ( 1- 9)  40.57 234 233 234 231 239 226
240  Greensboro               3   1 ( 1- 9)  38.79 236 240 240 229 241 221
241  Carleton                 3   1 ( 0-10)  38.18 228 224 222 242 240 249
242  Martin Luther            3   1 ( 5- 5)  36.77 246 246 246 236 232 107
243  Beloit                   3   1 ( 1- 9)  35.94 240 239 239 235 242 224
244  Finlandia                3   1 ( 1- 3)  29.39 244 244 245 241 248 117
245  Earlham                  3   1 ( 0-10)  28.61 238 238 242 247 246 236
246  Iowa Wesleyan            3   1 ( 2- 8)  26.32 247 247 244 240 244 199
247  Grinnell                 3   1 ( 1- 9)  25.40 245 245 247 234 245 230
248  Minnesota-Morris         3   1 ( 1- 9)  16.92 248 248 248 246 247 228
249  Crown                    3   1 ( 0-10)   5.51 249 249 249 249 249 242