BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 3 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-2) Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength = 186.42
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 198.58 52 0 1A 90 ( 5- 5) Akron 10.32 * 41.68
2 09/09/2017 Home W 176.75 33 14 1A 64 ( 4- 6) Pittsburgh -11.51 30.51
3 09/16/2017 Home W 193.50 56 0 1A 117 ( 6- 3) Georgia St 5.24 * 50.76
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 180.38 21 19 1A 16 ( 6- 4) Iowa -7.88 9.88
5 09/30/2017 Home W * 190.57 45 14 1A 53 ( 4- 6) Indiana 2.31 28.69
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 196.33 31 7 1A 28 ( 7- 3) Northwestern 8.07 15.93
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 201.08 42 13 1A 19 ( 8- 2) Michigan 12.82 16.18
8 10/28/2017 Away L * 190.83 38 39 1A 1 ( 8- 2) Ohio State 2.57 -3.57
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 169.02 24 27 1A 29 ( 7- 3) Michigan St -19.24 16.24
10 11/11/2017 Home W * 185.55 35 6 1A 71 ( 4- 6) Rutgers -2.71 * 31.71
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 66 ( 4- 6) Nebraska 29.62
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 63 ( 4- 6) Maryland 23.89
Averages 188.26 37.7 13.9
Best game: 201.08 = 29 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 169.02 = 3 point loss to Michigan St
Team stdev: 10.26