BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 104 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (1-3) Overall: (2-5) Overall Strength = 118.41
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 119.39 10 13 1B 105 ( 2- 4) Robert Morris PA 0.98 -3.98
2 09/09/2017 Home W 133.12 25 23 1B 66 ( 2- 4) SE Missouri St 14.71 -12.71
3 09/16/2017 Home L 128.71 23 28 1B 47 ( 5- 1) Duquesne 10.30 -15.30
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 91.84 28 34 1B 122 ( 2- 5) Morehead St -26.57 20.57
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 109.63 7 23 1B 82 ( 4- 2) San Diego -8.78 -7.22
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 130.79 20 10 1B 96 ( 3- 3) Drake 12.38 -2.38
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 115.37 7 17 1B 86 ( 5- 2) Campbell -3.04 -6.96
8 10/21/2017 Away * 1B 124 ( 2- 4) Davidson 20.44
9 10/28/2017 Home * 1B 107 ( 4- 3) Butler 6.04
10 11/04/2017 Home * 1B 118 ( 3- 4) Marist 14.44
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 110 ( 3- 4) Valparaiso 2.82
Averages 118.41 17.1 21.1
Best game: 133.12 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game: 91.84 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 14.54