BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 21 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (3-1) Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength =  151.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   160.34  45   0   1B 105 (  5-  3) Butler                  7.88 *   37.12                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    W   167.04  44  13   1B  70 (  5-  3) Eastern Illinois       14.58     16.42                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 159.17  34   9   1B  94 (  1-  6) Missouri St             6.71     18.29                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 138.18  24  13   1B  61 (  0-  7) Indiana St            -14.27     25.27                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   137.80  16  37   1B  10 (  5-  2) Northern Arizona      -14.66     -6.34                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    L * 123.06   7  42   1B  11 (  4-  3) Southern Illinois     -29.40     -5.60                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 181.60  37  21   1B   7 (  6-  1) South Dakota           29.15    -13.15                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1B   4 (  3-  4) Youngstown St                   -17.00             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1B   2 (  5-  2) Western Illinois                -18.00             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1B   5 (  5-  2) South Dakota St                 -14.74             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1B   1 (  7-  0) North Dakota St                 -21.98             
      Averages             152.46  29.6 19.3

Best game:  181.60 = 16 point win over South Dakota
Worst game: 123.06 = 35 point loss to Southern Illinois
Team stdev:  20.22