BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Stephen F. Austin

Class: 1B Class Rank: 76 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =  121.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   114.61  14  58   1A  64 (  7-  5) SMU                    -5.94 *  -38.06                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   108.54  14  51   1B  10 (  9-  3) Southern Utah         -12.02    -24.98                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W * 110.27  37  31   1B 107 (  1- 10) Incarnate Word        -10.28     16.28                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 133.48  20  10   1B  78 (  2-  9) Abilene Christian      12.93     -2.93                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L *  97.89   0  35   1B  37 (  9-  2) McNeese St            -22.66    -12.34                      
  6 10/07/2017 Neutral L * 132.49  16  27   1B  12 ( 11-  1) Sam Houston St         11.94    -22.94                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L * 144.39  20  24   1B  11 ( 10-  2) Central Arkansas       23.83    -27.83                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    W * 127.57  27  10   1B 102 (  1- 10) Houston Baptist         7.01      9.99                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    W * 142.57  34   7   1B  96 (  2-  9) Lamar                  22.01      4.99                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 107.83  13  34   1B  44 (  8-  4) Nicholls St           -12.73     -8.27                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 106.46  21  38   1B  75 (  4-  7) Northwestern St       -14.09     -2.91                      
      Averages             120.56  19.6 29.5

Best game:  144.39 = 4 point loss to Central Arkansas
Worst game:  97.89 = 35 point loss to McNeese St
Team stdev:  16.04