BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 63 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (2-0) Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength =  165.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Home    L   158.21  20  23   1A  69 (  3-  4) Boston College         -5.41      2.41                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   156.39  38  10   1B  79 (  5-  2) Eastern Illinois       -7.23 *   35.23                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   170.30  21  17   1A  62 (  3-  4) Nebraska                6.67     -2.67                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L   170.28  28  34   1A  35 (  6-  1) San Diego St            6.66    -12.66                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 161.64  24   3   1A 114 (  2-  5) Kent St                -1.98     22.98                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 164.92  14  13   1A  74 (  3-  4) Buffalo                 1.30     -0.30                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1A 108 (  1-  6) Bowling Green                    15.57             
  8 10/26/2017 Home      *                  1A  83 (  2-  4) Eastern Michigan                  8.18             
  9 11/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  53 (  5-  1) Toledo                           -4.54             
 10 11/09/2017 Home      *                  1A 118 (  2-  4) Ball St                          24.60             
 11 11/15/2017 Home      *                  1A  67 (  4-  2) Western Michigan                  3.34             
 12 11/24/2017 Away      *                  1A 112 (  3-  4) Central Michigan                 16.19             
      Averages             163.62  24.2 16.7

Best game:  170.30 = 4 point win over Nebraska
Worst game: 156.39 = 28 point win over Eastern Illinois
Team stdev:   5.93