BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 29 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-2) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength =  169.86

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   167.48  35  10   1A 105 (  2-  8) Bowling Green          -2.38     27.38                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   168.18  28  14   1A  80 (  6-  4) Western Michigan       -1.67     15.67                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   162.46  18  38   1A   5 (  8-  2) Notre Dame             -7.39    -12.61                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 181.05  17  10   1A  16 (  6-  4) Iowa                   11.19     -4.19                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 180.41  14  10   1A  19 (  8-  2) Michigan               10.56     -6.56                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 171.15  30  27   1A  39 (  5-  5) Minnesota               1.30      1.70                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 167.57  17   9   1A  53 (  4-  6) Indiana                -2.29     10.29                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 164.33  31  39   1A  28 (  7-  3) Northwestern           -5.53     -2.47                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 189.09  27  24   1A   3 (  8-  2) Penn State             19.24    -16.24                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 146.83   3  48   1A   1 (  8-  2) Ohio State            -23.03    -21.97                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  63 (  4-  6) Maryland                         11.66             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  71 (  4-  6) Rutgers                          11.40             
      Averages             169.86  22.0 22.9

Best game:  189.09 = 3 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 146.83 = 45 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev:  11.73