BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 164.00
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 173.15 60 7 1B 71 ( 7- 4) North Carolina Centr 8.39 * 44.61
2 09/09/2017 Home W 193.47 41 17 1A 20 ( 9- 3) Northwestern 28.70 -4.70
3 09/16/2017 Home W 162.03 34 20 1A 84 ( 1- 11) Baylor -2.74 16.74
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 168.43 27 17 1A 66 ( 3- 9) North Carolina 3.67 6.33
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 146.40 6 31 1A 14 ( 10- 1) Miami FL -18.36 -6.64
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 152.58 21 28 1A 60 ( 6- 6) Virginia -12.18 5.18
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 156.18 10 17 1A 39 ( 5- 6) Florida St -8.59 1.59
8 10/21/2017 Home L * 151.15 17 24 1A 48 ( 5- 7) Pittsburgh -13.62 6.62
9 10/28/2017 Away L * 155.17 3 24 1A 17 ( 9- 3) Virginia Tech -9.60 -11.40
10 11/11/2017 Away L 153.58 16 21 1A 61 ( 8- 3) Army -11.18 6.18
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 186.10 43 20 1A 34 ( 5- 6) Georgia Tech 21.33 1.67
12 11/25/2017 Away W * 178.94 31 23 1A 23 ( 7- 5) Wake Forest 14.18 -6.18
Averages 164.76 25.8 20.8
Best game: 193.47 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 146.40 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 15.18