BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Toledo

Class: 1A Class Rank: 46 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =  161.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   168.88  47  13   1B  33 (  8-  4) Elon                    6.88     27.12                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   161.32  37  24   1A  94 (  3-  9) Nevada                 -0.69     13.69                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   147.22  54  51   1A  93 (  2- 10) Tulsa                 -14.79     17.79                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L   154.02  30  52   1A  14 ( 10-  1) Miami FL               -7.99    -14.01                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 154.22  20  15   1A  79 (  5-  7) Eastern Michigan       -7.78     12.78                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 173.57  30  10   1A  80 (  8-  4) Central Michigan       11.57      8.43                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 171.32  48  21   1A  88 (  7-  5) Akron                   9.32     17.68                      
  8 10/26/2017 Away    W * 167.36  58  17   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St                 5.36 *   35.64                      
  9 11/02/2017 Home    W * 164.88  27  17   1A  63 (  8-  4) Northern Illinois       2.88      7.12                      
 10 11/08/2017 Away    L * 133.48  10  38   1A  58 (  8-  4) Ohio U.               -28.52      0.52                      
 11 11/14/2017 Unknown W * 170.84  66  37   1A 102 (  2- 10) Bowling Green           8.84     20.16                      
 12 11/24/2017 Home    W * 176.91  37  10   1A  74 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       14.91     12.09                      
 13 12/02/2017 Neutral   *                  1A  88 (  7-  5) Akron                            13.76             
      Averages             162.00  38.7 25.4

Best game:  176.91 = 27 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 133.48 = 28 point loss to Ohio U.
Team stdev:  12.66