BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 151 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (1-0) Overall: (2-2) Overall Strength =   73.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    78.46   0  24    3  32 (  4-  1) Carthage                3.48 *  -27.48                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    95.02  31  26    3  93 (  3-  2) Loras                  20.04    -15.04                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    66.62  21  37    3 140 (  2-  2) Olivet                 -8.36     -7.64                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  59.84  20  14    3 200 (  0-  4) Wisconsin Lutheran    -15.15     21.15                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away      *                   3 189 (  2-  1) Concordia IL                      6.03             
  6 10/14/2017 Home                          3 177 (  3-  1) Alma                              7.59             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                   3 228 (  0-  3) Rockford                         32.90             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                   3  96 (  2-  2) Lakeland                         -9.16             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                   3 232 (  1-  3) Concordia WI                     31.01             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                   3 178 (  2-  2) Benedictine IL                    3.73             
      Averages              74.99  18.0 25.2

Best game:   95.02 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  59.84 = 6 point win over Wisconsin Lutheran
Team stdev:  15.42