BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 97 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =  116.84

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   112.15  10  13   1B 109 (  2-  7) Robert Morris PA       -4.70      1.70                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   131.39  25  23   1B  55 (  2-  7) SE Missouri St         14.55    -12.55                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   128.78  23  28   1B  43 (  7-  2) Duquesne               11.93    -16.93                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L *  89.38  28  34   1B 123 (  3-  6) Morehead St           -27.46     21.46                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 115.58   7  23   1B  46 (  7-  2) San Diego              -1.26    -14.74                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 125.21  20  10   1B 106 (  5-  4) Drake                   8.36      1.64                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 105.50   7  17   1B  94 (  6-  4) Campbell              -11.35      1.35                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 124.15  48  22   1B 122 (  2-  7) Davidson                7.31     18.69                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    W * 117.80  27  22   1B 102 (  6-  4) Butler                  0.95      4.05                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home    W * 118.51  36  17   1B 118 (  3-  6) Marist                  1.67     17.33                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B 111 (  4-  5) Valparaiso                        4.79             
      Averages             116.84  23.1 20.9

Best game:  131.39 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  89.38 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev:  12.42