BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 84 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (2-4) Overall: (2-6) Overall Strength =  125.01

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   124.26  24  52   1A  97 (  4-  4) Louisiana Tech         -0.75    -27.25                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   120.01  10  23   1B  68 (  7-  1) Grambling St           -5.00     -8.00                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W * 121.27  35  28   1B  97 (  1-  7) Lamar                  -3.74     10.74                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    L * 111.14  20  49   1B  32 (  5-  4) SE Louisiana          -13.87    -15.13                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 132.86  10  14   1B  66 (  6-  2) Nicholls St             7.85    -11.85                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    L * 147.45  36  40   1B  18 (  7-  1) Sam Houston St         22.44    -26.44                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    L * 121.47  17  45   1B  11 (  7-  1) Central Arkansas       -3.54    -24.46                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 121.63  10   7   1B 107 (  1-  7) Houston Baptist        -3.38      6.38                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1B  79 (  2-  6) Abilene Christian                 0.84             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1B  38 (  6-  2) McNeese St                      -17.76             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1B  74 (  4-  5) Stephen F. Austin                -2.22             
      Averages             125.01  20.2 32.2

Best game:  147.45 = 4 point loss to Sam Houston St
Worst game: 111.14 = 29 point loss to SE Louisiana
Team stdev:  10.83