BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 110 Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (3-3) Overall: (3-6) Overall Strength =  108.62

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    98.13   6  14    2  89 (  9-  2) Tuskegee              -12.47      4.47                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   126.47   7  34   1A  82 (  8-  2) Troy                   15.87 *  -42.87                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   131.58  14  20   1B  34 (  9-  1) Kennesaw St            20.98    -26.98                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L *  81.51   0  34   1B  86 (  4-  5) Prairie View A&M      -29.09     -4.91                      
  5 10/05/2017 Home    L * 111.01  10  24   1B  77 (  7-  3) Alcorn St               0.41    -14.41                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 110.76  23  16   1B 117 (  1-  8) Texas Southern          0.16      6.84                      
  7 10/28/2017 Neutral W * 113.29  21  16   1B 111 (  3-  7) Alabama A&M             2.69      2.31                      
  8 11/04/2017 Away    W * 116.45  13   3   1B 116 (  2-  8) Jackson St              5.85      4.15                      
  9 11/11/2017 Home    L * 106.20   7  24   1B  75 (  9-  1) Grambling St           -4.40    -12.60                      
 10 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B 124 (  2-  8) Mississippi Valley S             18.61             
 11 11/23/2017 Home                         NA  78 (  0-  9) Edward Waters                    51.04             
      Averages             110.60  11.2 20.6

Best game:  131.58 = 6 point loss to Kennesaw St
Worst game:  81.51 = 34 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Team stdev:  14.81