BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 45 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  161.98

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   144.64  37  31   1A 108 (  5-  6) New Mexico St         -17.34     23.34                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   148.88  20  30   1A  51 ( 10-  2) San Diego St          -13.10      3.10                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   160.85  45  52   1A  32 (  6-  6) Texas Tech             -1.13     -5.87                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W * 168.23  37  35   1A  31 (  7-  5) Oregon                  6.25     -4.25                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 165.40  24  34   1A  15 (  9-  3) Stanford                3.42    -13.42                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 184.10  13   7   1A   8 ( 10-  2) Washington             22.12    -16.12                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 185.97  30  10   1A  36 (  6-  6) Utah                   23.99     -3.99                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 136.91  17  48   1A  21 ( 10-  2) Southern Cal          -25.07     -5.93                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 163.02  41  30   1A  69 (  5-  7) Colorado                1.04      9.96                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 155.53  37  44   1A  50 (  6-  6) UCLA                   -6.46     -0.54                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 157.03  40  24   1A 115 (  1- 11) Oregon St              -4.95     20.95                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    W * 173.23  42  30   1A  43 (  7-  5) Arizona                11.25      0.75                      
      Averages             161.98  31.9 31.2

Best game:  185.97 = 20 point win over Utah
Worst game: 136.91 = 31 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev:  14.81