BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Michigan

Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength =  171.95

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral W   170.22  33  17   1A  72 (  4-  6) Florida                -1.73     17.73                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   163.36  36  14   1A 103 (  3-  8) Cincinnati             -8.59     30.59                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   163.40  29  13   1A  91 (  4-  7) Air Force              -8.55     24.55                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 189.78  28  10   1A  27 (  5-  6) Purdue                 17.83      0.17                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    L * 161.40  10  14   1A  30 (  8-  3) Michigan St           -10.55      6.55                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 172.95  27  20   1A  41 (  5-  6) Indiana                 1.00      6.00                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 158.38  13  42   1A   5 (  9-  2) Penn State            -13.57    -15.43                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 172.54  35  14   1A  73 (  4-  7) Rutgers                 0.59     20.41                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 182.07  33  10   1A  51 (  5-  6) Minnesota              10.12     12.88                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 186.19  35  10   1A  58 (  4-  7) Maryland               14.24     10.76                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 171.13  10  24   1A   3 ( 11-  0) Wisconsin              -0.82    -13.18                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A   1 (  9-  2) Ohio State                      -12.04             
      Averages             171.95  26.3 17.1

Best game:  189.78 = 18 point win over Purdue
Worst game: 158.38 = 29 point loss to Penn State
Team stdev:  10.35