BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 26 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength =  167.62

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   163.70  35  10   1A 104 (  2- 10) Bowling Green          -3.93     28.93                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   163.38  28  14   1A  73 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       -4.24     18.24                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   155.42  18  38   1A   9 (  9-  3) Notre Dame            -12.20     -7.80                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 178.19  17  10   1A  15 (  7-  5) Iowa                   10.57     -3.57                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 176.54  14  10   1A  20 (  8-  4) Michigan                8.91     -4.91                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 163.89  30  27   1A  54 (  5-  7) Minnesota              -3.73      6.73                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 167.68  17   9   1A  42 (  5-  7) Indiana                 0.06      7.94                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 165.32  31  39   1A  22 (  9-  3) Northwestern           -2.31     -5.69                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 187.16  27  24   1A   1 ( 10-  2) Penn State             19.53    -16.53                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 142.95   3  48   1A   3 ( 11-  2) Ohio State            -24.67    -20.33                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 161.80  17   7   1A  65 (  4-  8) Maryland               -5.83     15.83                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W * 185.46  40   7   1A  86 (  4-  8) Rutgers                17.84     15.16                      
 13 12/28/2017 Neutral                      1A  30 (  9-  3) Washington St                     1.40             
      Averages             167.62  23.1 20.2

Best game:  187.16 = 3 point win over Penn State
Worst game: 142.95 = 45 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev:  12.56