BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 23 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (3-0) Overall: (5-1) Overall Strength = 178.22
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 170.94 35 10 1A 108 ( 1- 6) Bowling Green -6.07 * 31.07
2 09/09/2017 Home W 178.55 28 14 1A 67 ( 4- 2) Western Michigan 1.53 12.47
3 09/23/2017 Home L 166.50 18 38 1A 5 ( 5- 1) Notre Dame -10.51 -9.49
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 183.24 17 10 1A 19 ( 4- 2) Iowa 6.23 0.77
5 10/07/2017 Away W * 185.92 14 10 1A 18 ( 5- 1) Michigan 8.91 -4.91
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 176.91 30 27 1A 43 ( 3- 3) Minnesota -0.10 3.10
7 10/21/2017 Home * 1A 37 ( 3- 3) Indiana 7.14
8 10/28/2017 Away * 1A 39 ( 3- 3) Northwestern 3.01
9 11/04/2017 Home * 1A 3 ( 6- 0) Penn State -13.82
10 11/11/2017 Away * 1A 13 ( 6- 1) Ohio State -9.91
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 44 ( 3- 3) Maryland 9.16
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 79 ( 2- 4) Rutgers 15.18
Averages 177.01 23.7 18.2
Best game: 185.92 = 4 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 166.50 = 20 point loss to Notre Dame
Team stdev: 7.32