BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 105 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-9) Overall: (2-10) Overall Strength =  141.59

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   124.75  24  21   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St               -20.12     23.12                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   148.84  20   7   1A 112 (  6-  6) Western Kentucky        3.97      9.03                      
  3 09/15/2017 Away    L   140.64  23  47   1A  41 (  9-  2) South Florida          -4.23    -19.77                      
  4 09/29/2017 Home    L * 131.51   6  28   1A  70 (  4-  8) Nebraska              -13.36     -8.64                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 147.60  16  45   1A  16 (  7-  5) Iowa                    2.73 *  -31.73                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L * 137.54  24  35   1A  85 (  4-  8) Rutgers                -7.33     -3.67                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 154.59  17  24   1A  53 (  5-  7) Minnesota               9.72    -16.72                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 166.08  10  24   1A   4 ( 12-  0) Wisconsin              21.21 *  -35.21                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 151.50  10  29   1A  27 (  6-  6) Purdue                  6.63    -25.63                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 150.50  14  24   1A  42 (  5-  7) Indiana                 5.63    -15.63                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 150.42  14  52   1A   3 ( 10-  2) Ohio State              5.55 *  -43.55                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    L * 134.47   7  42   1A  20 (  9-  3) Northwestern          -10.40    -24.60                      
      Averages             144.87  15.4 31.5

Best game:  166.08 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 124.75 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev:  11.43