BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 49 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (1-1) Overall: (2-3) Overall Strength =  171.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   161.02  37  31   1A  87 (  2-  4) New Mexico St         -10.29     16.29                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   165.40  20  30   1A  26 (  6-  0) San Diego St           -5.92     -4.08                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   179.32  45  52   1A  25 (  4-  1) Texas Tech              8.00    -15.00                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W * 179.12  37  35   1A  31 (  4-  2) Oregon                  7.80     -5.80                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 171.73  24  34   1A  28 (  4-  2) Stanford                0.41    -10.41                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home      *                  1A   6 (  6-  0) Washington                      -23.44             
  7 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1A  44 (  4-  1) Utah                             -2.84             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1A  15 (  5-  1) Southern Cal                    -11.25             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1A  47 (  3-  3) Colorado                          1.87             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A  58 (  3-  2) UCLA                              1.57             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A 121 (  1-  5) Oregon St                        28.78             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  37 (  3-  2) Arizona                           0.11             
      Averages             171.32  32.6 36.4

Best game:  179.32 = 7 point loss to Texas Tech
Worst game: 161.02 = 6 point win over New Mexico St
Team stdev:   8.16