BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Frostburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 16 Conference: New Jersey Athletic Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength =  107.66

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   118.84  33   7    3  57 (  6-  4) Stevenson               9.24     16.76                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W * 109.85  49  14    3 138 (  4-  6) New Jersey              0.25 *   34.75                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W *  94.00  33  30    3  60 (  5-  5) Christopher Newport   -15.60     18.60                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W *  95.26  24  10    3 130 (  4-  6) Rowan                 -14.34     28.34                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    L * 104.60  24  27    3  12 ( 10-  2) Wesley                 -5.00      2.00                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 109.72  59   7    3 206 (  0- 10) William Paterson        0.12 *   51.88                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 136.97  62   3    3 104 (  5-  5) Montclair St           27.37 *   31.63                      
  8 10/27/2017 Away    W *  99.29  35   3    3 182 (  2-  8) Southern Virginia     -10.31 *   42.31                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W *  94.33  17  14    3  59 (  4-  6) Kean                  -15.27     18.27                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 109.56  14   7    3  35 (  7-  4) Salisbury              -0.03      7.03                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W   132.20  35   7    3  28 ( 10-  1) Wittenberg             22.60      5.40                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W   121.65  46  23    3  45 ( 11-  1) Wash & Jeff            12.05     10.95                      
 13 12/02/2017 Away    L    98.54  37  70    3   2 ( 13-  0) Mount Union           -11.06    -21.94                      
      Averages             109.60  36.0 17.1

Best game:  136.97 = 59 point win over Montclair St
Worst game:  94.00 = 3 point win over Christopher Newport
Team stdev:  14.22