BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 13 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength = 147.00
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 130.14 24 62 1A 37 ( 7- 4) Arizona -16.86 -21.14
2 09/09/2017 Home L 137.69 20 38 1B 4 ( 8- 3) Western Illinois -9.31 -8.69
3 09/23/2017 Away W * 147.10 28 10 1B 65 ( 1- 10) Cal Poly SLO 0.10 17.90
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 157.53 48 20 1B 45 ( 3- 7) Northern Colorado 10.53 17.47
5 10/07/2017 Home W 168.93 37 16 1B 9 ( 6- 5) Illinois St 21.92 -0.92
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 146.38 42 20 1B 75 ( 0- 11) Portland St -0.62 22.62
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 154.60 45 31 1B 24 ( 5- 6) UC-Davis 7.60 6.40
8 10/28/2017 Home W * 162.98 37 17 1B 15 ( 7- 4) Sacramento St 15.98 4.02
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 143.89 15 17 1B 20 ( 7- 4) Montana -3.11 1.11
10 11/11/2017 Home W * 142.66 37 36 1B 22 ( 5- 6) Montana St -4.34 5.34
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 125.12 20 48 1B 10 ( 9- 2) Southern Utah -21.89 -6.11
12 11/25/2017 Home 1B 47 ( 9- 2) San Diego 17.45
Averages 147.00 32.1 28.6
Best game: 168.93 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 125.12 = 28 point loss to Southern Utah
Team stdev: 13.35