BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 31 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-0) Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength =  175.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   184.47  66   0   1B  94 (  1-  5) Incarnate Word         11.68 *   54.32                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   170.41  10  41   1A   9 (  7-  0) Alabama                -2.38 *  -28.62                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   160.57  16  48   1A   7 (  6-  1) Washington            -12.23    -19.77                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 171.28  41  21   1A  96 (  1-  6) Nevada                 -1.51     21.51                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 156.25  27  10   1A 128 (  1-  7) San Jose St           -16.55 *   33.55                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 193.79  38   0   1A  86 (  3-  3) New Mexico             20.99     17.01                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1A  35 (  6-  1) San Diego St                     -1.07             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1A  92 (  2-  4) UNLV                             22.00             
  9 11/04/2017 Home                         1A 101 (  1-  6) Brigham Young                    27.42             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A 110 (  3-  4) Hawaii                           26.20             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  91 (  4-  2) Wyoming                          17.21             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  47 (  4-  2) Boise St                          7.65             
      Averages             172.79  33.0 20.0

Best game:  193.79 = 38 point win over New Mexico
Worst game: 156.25 = 17 point win over San Jose St
Team stdev:  14.20