BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Southern Cal

Class: 1A Class Rank: 19 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (9-1) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength =  170.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   167.38  49  31   1A  73 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       -2.49     20.49                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W * 187.64  42  24   1A  14 (  9-  4) Stanford               17.77      0.23                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   168.93  27  24   1A  24 (  6-  6) Texas                  -0.94      3.94                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 172.66  30  20   1A  48 (  5-  7) California              2.79      7.21                      
  5 09/29/2017 Away    L * 165.54  27  30   1A  30 (  9-  3) Washington St          -4.33      1.33                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    W * 163.65  38  10   1A 115 (  1- 11) Oregon St              -6.22 *   34.22                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    W * 161.54  28  27   1A  37 (  6-  6) Utah                   -8.33      9.33                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L   145.04  14  49   1A   9 (  9-  3) Notre Dame            -24.83    -10.17                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    W * 194.48  48  17   1A  45 (  7-  5) Arizona St             24.61      6.39                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home    W * 174.49  49  35   1A  43 (  7-  5) Arizona                 4.62      9.38                      
 11 11/11/2017 Away    W * 169.89  38  24   1A  69 (  5-  7) Colorado                0.02     13.98                      
 12 11/18/2017 Home    W * 162.11  28  23   1A  51 (  6-  6) UCLA                   -7.76     12.76                      
 13 12/01/2017 Neutral W * 174.95  31  28   1A  14 (  9-  4) Stanford                5.08     -2.08                      
 14 12/29/2017 Neutral                      1A   3 ( 11-  2) Ohio State                      -13.00             
      Averages             169.87  34.5 26.3

Best game:  194.48 = 31 point win over Arizona St
Worst game: 145.04 = 35 point loss to Notre Dame
Team stdev:  12.20