BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 10 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (4-0) Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength = 156.39
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 138.80 24 62 1A 34 ( 5- 2) Arizona -17.59 -20.41
2 09/09/2017 Home L 145.62 20 38 1B 2 ( 5- 2) Western Illinois -10.77 -7.23
3 09/23/2017 Away W * 160.36 28 10 1B 47 ( 0- 7) Cal Poly SLO 3.97 14.03
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 160.88 48 20 1B 50 ( 2- 4) Northern Colorado 4.49 23.51
5 10/07/2017 Home W 171.05 37 16 1B 21 ( 5- 2) Illinois St 14.66 6.34
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 157.26 42 20 1B 65 ( 0- 7) Portland St 0.87 21.13
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 160.75 45 31 1B 26 ( 3- 4) UC-Davis 4.36 9.64
8 10/28/2017 Home * 1B 29 ( 4- 3) Sacramento St 10.32
9 11/04/2017 Away * 1B 23 ( 5- 2) Montana 3.51
10 11/11/2017 Home * 1B 28 ( 3- 4) Montana St 9.82
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 17 ( 5- 2) Southern Utah 1.90
Averages 156.39 34.9 28.1
Best game: 171.05 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 138.80 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev: 10.77