BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  North Dakota St         1B   1 ( 8- 0) 166.77   1   1   1   2   1   2
  2  James Madison           1B   1 ( 8- 0) 165.24   3   3   4   1   2   3
  3  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 7- 1) 151.37   4   2   2  14   6   7
  4  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 ( 8- 0) 150.17  31  23  32   3  23   1
  5  Elon                    1B   1 ( 7- 1) 145.67  26  28  22   4   3  13
  6  South Dakota St         1B   1 ( 6- 2) 145.04   2   4   3  15  11  28
  7  Jacksonville St         1B   1 ( 7- 1) 142.89  13  13  13  13  22   6
  8  Central Arkansas        1B   1 ( 7- 1) 142.48  11  12  16  17   8  10
  9  Wofford                 1B   1 ( 7- 1) 140.82  35  34  37   5   5  14
 10  Sam Houston St          1B   1 ( 7- 1) 140.40  18  18  34  11  10  12
 11  Weber St                1B   1 ( 6- 2) 139.87   9   8   7  36  17  23
 12  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 6- 2) 139.82  10  10   6  57   9  18
 13  Stony Brook             1B   1 ( 6- 2) 139.24  16  15  25   6  16  25
 14  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 6- 2) 139.02   6   9  10  30  20  24
 15  Yale                    1B   1 ( 6- 1) 138.16  23  24  28   9  21  17
 16  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 6- 2) 137.79  17  16  15  28   7  21
 17  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 7- 1) 137.49  40  43  23   8  26   9
 18  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 5- 3) 137.47   5   5   9  26  13  50
 19  Furman                  1B   1 ( 6- 3) 137.14  12  11  11  20  15  35
 20  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 7- 1) 135.97  44  42  36  12  29   8
 21  Delaware                1B   1 ( 5- 3) 135.65  15  19  17   7  18  48
 22  Kennesaw St             1B   1 ( 7- 1) 134.53  52  49  46  37  24   5
 23  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 4- 4) 133.93   7   6   5  32  14  69
 24  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 5- 3) 132.73  19  20  12  24  12  54
 25  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 6- 3) 131.84  29  32  24  48  27  15
 26  Columbia                1B   1 ( 6- 1) 131.67  59  60  53  10  19  20
 27  Samford                 1B   1 ( 5- 3) 130.26  34  31  44  22   4  56
 28  Grambling St            1B   1 ( 7- 1) 129.85  68  68  64  44  32   4
 29  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 6- 2) 128.83  38  39  33  53  30  22
 30  Maine                   1B   1 ( 4- 3) 128.72  28  25  29  16  42  52
 31  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 5- 3) 128.25  39  40  27  23  36  41
 32  Princeton               1B   1 ( 5- 2) 128.06  30  35  35  35  44  33
 33  Villanova               1B   1 ( 4- 4) 127.62  24  17  20  19  43  64
 34  Montana                 1B   1 ( 5- 3) 127.56  22  29  21  66  37  39
 35  San Diego               1B   1 ( 6- 2) 127.44  53  58  45  34  45  19
 36  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 3- 5) 126.67   8   7   8  31  28  99
 37  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 6- 2) 126.66  66  57  77  38  25  16
 38  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 4- 4) 126.49  14  14  19  51  35  67
 39  Richmond                1B   1 ( 4- 4) 126.05  20  21  30  18  31  75
 40  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 5- 2) 124.54  65  66  61  21  34  37
 41  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 5- 4) 124.40  36  37  26  63  56  34
 42  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 5- 3) 124.33  50  50  62  47  33  31
 43  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 5- 4) 123.77  42  36  47  29  54  47
 44  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 4- 4) 123.47  33  26  31  52  40  63
 45  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 4- 4) 122.97  27  30  18  70  41  66
 46  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 6- 2) 122.95  73  78  69  43  66  11
 47  Montana St              1B   1 ( 4- 4) 122.93  21  22  38  73  39  62
 48  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 5- 3) 122.68  70  73  51  40  51  26
 49  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 5- 4) 122.40  32  33  14  76  77  38
 50  Howard                  1B   1 ( 5- 3) 122.27  56  59  56  45  59  27
 51  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 5- 3) 121.85  67  51  67  42  55  30
 52  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 4- 4) 121.48  25  27  39  87  38  61
 53  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 4- 4) 121.39  49  44  49  33  46  58
 54  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 3- 5) 117.17  37  38  42  49  63  79
 55  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 4- 4) 116.90  55  56  66  25  57  70
 56  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 4- 3) 116.76  69  70  65  61  67  42
 57  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 4- 4) 116.73  47  48  55  72  83  45
 58  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 4- 5) 116.00  41  41  48 103  76  46
 59  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 5- 3) 115.57  80  82  76  65  73  29
 60  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 5- 4) 115.41  72  69  68  69  68  44
 61  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 115.21  64  65  63  56  62  60
 62  Towson                  1B   1 ( 3- 5) 114.97  58  67  57  39  49  84
 63  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 5- 3) 113.79  78  80  85  71  50  51
 64  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 4- 4) 112.74  60  61  59  84  91  49
 65  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 4- 4) 112.59  63  63  72  85  72  55
 66  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 2- 6) 112.22  46  47  52  27  53 114
 67  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 3- 4) 111.54  71  71  78  50  60  78
 68  Drake                   1B   1 ( 5- 3) 111.49 103 103 103  54  52  43
 69  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 3- 5) 111.28  75  74  71  41  47  93
 70  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 4- 5) 110.85  74  72  58  77  64  72
 71  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 4- 4) 110.73  91  89  90  60  69  53
 72  Campbell                1B   1 ( 5- 4) 110.65  93  91  83  80  85  32
 73  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 3- 6) 110.48  43  45  50 102  70  85
 74  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 5- 3) 109.98  88  92  92  83  81  36
 75  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 2- 5) 109.82  48  53  54  91  65  88
 76  Butler                  1B   1 ( 5- 4) 108.93  99  99  87  59  58  59
 77  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 2- 6) 108.38  51  52  60  62  74 106
 78  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 5- 3) 108.20 111 113 111  58  61  40
 79  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 3- 5) 108.04  62  64  70  81  89  76
 80  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 2- 6) 107.99  57  54  40  86  78 101
 81  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 2- 6) 106.27  54  55  43 101  95  89
 82  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 3- 5) 106.08  86  86  86  64  75  80
 83  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 3- 5) 105.48  98  94  93  46  48 103
 84  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 4- 5) 104.61  96  95  98  75  80  68
 85  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 3- 4) 104.25  82  93  96  89  86  71
 86  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 3- 6) 104.15  77  76 106  67  71  97
 87  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 3- 5) 103.52  94  96  91  55  92  81
 88  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 3- 5) 103.38 102 104  94  68  84  74
 89  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 4- 4) 102.63 110 106 116  74  79  57
 90  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 3- 6) 101.05  95  98  99  79  82  87
 91  Murray St               1B   1 ( 2- 6)  99.96  81  79  79  96 101  98
 92  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 2- 6)  99.68  87  87  97  90  93  96
 93  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 2- 6)  99.23  79  77  82 106 100  92
 94  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 2- 7)  99.19  61  62  75  92  99 117
 95  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 6)  98.62  89  90  88 100 108  83
 96  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 2- 6)  98.60  83  83  73  98 111  94
 97  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 2- 6)  98.49  84  84  74  99  97 107
 98  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 2- 6)  97.92 101  97 102  78  90 104
 99  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 2- 6)  97.27 104 109 101  88  87 102
100  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 2- 6)  96.88 106 100 109  82  88 100
101  Brown                   1B   1 ( 2- 5)  95.91 112 115 115  94  96  77
102  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 5)  95.41 108 111 107 109 115  65
103  Marist                  1B   1 ( 3- 5)  94.38 118 118 117  93  94  73
104  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 1- 7)  93.13  85  81  80 112 105 116
105  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 1- 7)  90.87  90  88  84 104 104 121
106  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 2- 5)  90.38 115 112 110 111 103  90
107  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 1- 7)  88.43 105 107 105 110 118 109
108  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 1- 7)  88.13 100 110 100 115 116 110
109  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 0- 8)  87.93  45  46  41 122 117 122
110  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 1- 7)  87.75  97 101 113 114 114 111
111  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 1- 7)  87.25 113 105 112  97 107 120
112  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 1- 7)  86.97 109 108 108 116 110 113
113  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 3- 6)  86.18 123 124 124  95  98  86
114  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 1- 7)  85.80 114 114 114 113 109 112
115  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 1- 7)  84.49 107 102 104 119 122 108
116  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0- 8)  84.47  76  75  81 123 113 119
117  Davidson                1B   1 ( 2- 6)  84.22 122 122 123 105 102  95
118  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 2- 7)  83.60 121 121 119 107 106 105
119  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0- 8)  82.19  92  85  89 120 112 123
120  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 2- 6)  82.09 120 120 120 118 123  82
121  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 2- 6)  79.78 124 123 122 108 121  91
122  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 1- 7)  77.89 117 117 121 117 120 118
123  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0- 9)  72.36 119 116  95 121 119 124
124  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 0- 7)  68.07 116 119 118 124 124 115