BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    2.31

Composite = weighted composite of 6 subrankings: 3 based on win/loss-only models and 3 based on game-margin models

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Composite   Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
12/02/2017   1A    4 (12- 0) Wisconsin              1A    3 (10- 2) Ohio State            180.52  -13.46  86%   0.22  51%   3.73  62%  -3.61  61%
12/02/2017   1A    2 (10- 2) Auburn                 1A    6 (11- 1) Georgia               179.22    4.54  64%  -3.37  61%   0.30  51%  -5.06  66%
12/02/2017   1A    7 (11- 1) Oklahoma               1A   10 (10- 2) TCU                   174.41   -9.51  78%  -3.73  62%  -4.32  63% -10.97  81%
12/02/2017   1A   14 (10- 1) Miami FL               1A    5 (11- 1) Clemson               169.46    5.34  66%   6.47  70%   8.51  75%   3.38  61%
12/01/2017   1A   21 (10- 2) Southern Cal           1A   15 ( 9- 3) Stanford              168.78   -3.49  61%   4.46  64%   2.88  59%   0.10  50%
12/02/2017   1A   38 (10- 1) Memphis                1A   13 (11- 0) Central Florida       160.69   12.65  84%  13.89  87%  10.39  80%  -5.66  67%
12/02/2017   1A   59 ( 9- 3) Fresno St              1A   44 ( 9- 3) Boise St              154.65    3.47  61%   7.15  72%   6.04  69%  17.83  92%
12/02/2017   1A   71 ( 9- 2) Troy                   1A   72 ( 7- 3) Arkansas St           148.92   -8.94  76%   1.81  56%   2.60  58%  -2.61  58%
12/02/2017   1A   96 ( 4- 7) Massachusetts          1A  106 ( 7- 4) Florida Int'l         140.33   13.62  86%  -1.93  56%  -2.63  58%  -7.84  73%
12/02/2017   1A   92 ( 9- 3) North Texas            1A   52 ( 9- 3) Florida Atlantic      139.14    8.73  76%  14.95  88%  14.98  88%  11.87  83%
12/02/2017   1A   88 ( 7- 5) Akron                  1A   46 (10- 2) Toledo                138.95   24.09  97%  13.76  86%  15.37  89%  17.62  92%
12/02/2017   1A  114 ( 3- 8) Idaho                  1A  116 ( 6- 4) Georgia St            135.22   17.93  92%   2.02  56%   1.69  55%   1.03  53%
12/02/2017   1A  119 ( 2- 9) Georgia Southern       1A  123 ( 2- 9) Coastal Carolina      131.81   -2.06  57%  -1.44  55%  -2.53  58%  -8.96  76%
12/02/2017   1A  121 ( 4- 7) South Alabama          1A  108 ( 5- 6) New Mexico St         130.21   10.78  81%   9.41  77%   7.92  74%   9.55  78%
12/02/2017   1A  122 ( 5- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette    1A   89 ( 7- 4) Appalachian St        123.47   18.60  93%  16.15  90%  18.25  93%  17.69  92%
12/02/2017   1A  122 ( 5- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette    1A   39 ( 5- 6) Florida St            115.57   28.40  99%  33.07 100%  34.04 100%  32.88 100%
12/02/2017   1B    5 ( 8- 4) Northern Iowa          1B    2 ( 9- 2) South Dakota St       149.22   13.66  86%   7.58  73%   7.92  74%  14.01  87%
12/02/2017   1B    8 (10- 2) Weber St               1B   10 ( 9- 2) Southern Utah         149.21   -0.93  53%  -0.72  52%  -3.33  60%   3.31  60%
12/02/2017   1B    7 ( 8- 4) South Dakota           1B   22 (10- 1) Sam Houston St        137.31    7.84  73%  -8.71  76% -12.56  84%  -9.31  77%
12/02/2017   1B   15 (10- 2) Stony Brook            1B    3 (11- 0) James Madison         134.17   23.52  97%  17.34  92%  18.41  93%  18.66  93%
12/02/2017   1B   28 (11- 1) Kennesaw St            1B   12 (10- 1) Jacksonville St       134.08   -3.60  61%   9.31  77%   9.02  76%  -2.66  58%
12/02/2017   1B   13 ( 8- 4) Furman                 1B   39 ( 9- 2) Wofford               131.24    4.33  64%  -9.06  77%  -7.86  73% -11.82  83%
12/02/2017   1B   30 ( 8- 4) New Hampshire          1B   11 (10- 1) Central Arkansas      130.25   21.01  95%  13.81  86%  12.72  84%  16.18  90%
12/02/2017   1B   80 ( 7- 4) Alcorn St              1B   72 (10- 1) Grambling St          122.06   19.14  94%   3.16  60%   0.84  53%   5.53  67%
12/02/2017   1B   32 (10- 2) San Diego              1B    1 (10- 1) North Dakota St       118.96   23.27  97%  31.93  99%  31.09  99%  23.79  97%
12/02/2017    2    3 (10- 3) Harding                 2    4 (11- 1) Ferris St             143.94   10.90  81%   1.50  55%   0.42  51%  -9.02  76%
12/02/2017    2   10 (11- 1) TAMU-Commerce           2    5 (13- 0) Minn St-Mankato       134.90   13.84  87%   8.19  74%   4.37  64%   8.43  75%
12/02/2017    2   17 (11- 1) Assumption              2   11 (12- 0) Indiana PA            133.93   13.10  85%   8.01  74%  -1.48  55%   2.68  58%
12/02/2017    2   29 ( 9- 2) Minnesota-Duluth        2   19 ( 8- 3) Central Missouri      126.49   -8.28  75%   3.35  61%   2.55  58%  -7.68  73%
12/02/2017    2   39 ( 6- 5) Washburn                2   32 ( 6- 4) Angelo St             121.10   11.92  83%   2.16  57%   6.22  69%  15.26  89%
12/02/2017    2   36 ( 7- 4) Pittsburg St            2    1 ( 8- 3) Arkansas Tech         117.08   18.60  93%  25.12  98%  22.32  96%  16.35  90%
12/02/2017    2   34 ( 9- 3) West Florida            2   15 (10- 2) West Alabama          115.70   13.16  85%  10.04  79%  13.08  85%  -3.35  61%
12/02/2017    2   22 ( 7- 4) Central Oklahoma        2   66 ( 6- 5) Tarleton St           108.58   -6.04  69% -13.83  87% -14.20  87% -12.41  84%
12/02/2017    3    6 (12- 0) Brockport St            3    3 (12- 0) Delaware Valley       117.05    1.08  53%   4.91  65%   0.65  52%   0.10  50%
12/02/2017    3   10 (11- 1) Frostburg St            3    5 (12- 0) Mount Union           102.00   16.75  91%  11.66  82%  18.19  93%  11.48  82%
12/02/2017    3   12 (11- 1) St Thomas               3    1 (12- 0) Mary Hardin-Baylor     98.65   23.67  97%  29.98  99%  22.93  97%  17.63  92%
12/02/2017    3   18 (12- 0) Wartburg                3    4 (11- 0) UW-Oshkosh             96.51    8.50  75%  16.80  91%  14.90  88%  12.48  84%
12/02/2017   NA    1 (13- 0) Morningside            NA    3 (12- 0) St Francis IN         114.48   -4.47  64%  -0.05  50%  -9.17  77% -11.93  83%
12/02/2017   NA    5 (12- 0) Southern Oregon        NA    2 (11- 0) Reinhardt             106.89    3.29  60%  10.19  79%  10.57  80%  10.91  81%