BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 90 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  146.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   160.54  62   0   1B 119 (  0- 11) VMI                    12.56 *   49.44                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   156.54  13  29   1A  20 (  8-  4) Michigan                8.57    -24.57                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 154.09  24  28   1A  52 ( 10-  2) San Diego St            6.12    -10.12                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 122.23  38  56   1A 110 (  3-  9) New Mexico            -25.74      7.74                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   157.83  45  48   1A  55 (  6-  5) Navy                    9.85    -12.85                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 144.82  34  30   1A 103 (  5-  7) UNLV                   -3.15      7.15                      
  7 10/20/2017 Away    W * 150.58  45  42   1A  95 (  3-  9) Nevada                  2.61      0.39                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 171.37  45  28   1A  75 (  7-  5) Colorado St            23.40     -6.40                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L   132.29   0  21   1A  60 (  8-  3) Army                  -15.68     -5.32                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 133.77  14  28   1A  76 (  7-  5) Wyoming               -14.20      0.20                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 138.94  19  44   1A  44 ( 10-  3) Boise St               -9.03    -15.97                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    W * 152.65  38  35   1A  68 (  6-  6) Utah St                 4.68     -1.68                      
      Averages             147.97  31.4 32.4

Best game:  171.37 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 122.23 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  13.96