BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 66 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 156.13
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home L 153.76 30 35 1A 47 ( 5- 7) California -2.36 -2.64
2 09/09/2017 Home L * 155.45 35 47 1A 22 ( 8- 4) Louisville -0.68 -11.32
3 09/16/2017 Away W 166.91 53 23 1A 120 ( 5- 7) Old Dominion 10.78 19.22
4 09/23/2017 Home L * 152.46 17 27 1A 40 ( 6- 6) Duke -3.67 -6.33
5 09/30/2017 Away L * 141.71 7 33 1A 34 ( 5- 6) Georgia Tech -14.41 -11.59
6 10/07/2017 Home L 153.08 10 33 1A 9 ( 9- 3) Notre Dame -3.04 -19.96
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 148.97 14 20 1A 60 ( 6- 6) Virginia -7.16 1.16
8 10/21/2017 Away L * 124.17 7 59 1A 17 ( 9- 3) Virginia Tech -31.96 -20.04
9 10/28/2017 Home L * 166.40 19 24 1A 14 ( 10- 1) Miami FL 10.28 -15.28
10 11/09/2017 Away W * 165.76 34 31 1A 48 ( 5- 7) Pittsburgh 9.64 -6.64
11 11/18/2017 Home W 185.60 65 10 1B 42 ( 7- 5) Western Carolina 29.48 25.52
12 11/25/2017 Away L * 159.23 21 33 1A 25 ( 8- 4) North Carolina St 3.10 -15.10
Averages 156.13 26.0 31.2
Best game: 185.60 = 55 point win over Western Carolina
Worst game: 124.17 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev: 15.08