BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 18 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (2-0) Overall: (2-2) Overall Strength =  152.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   137.09  24  62   1A  76 (  2-  2) Arizona               -11.34 *  -26.66                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   149.70  20  38   1B   4 (  3-  1) Western Illinois        1.26    -19.26                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 150.12  28  10   1B  73 (  0-  5) Cal Poly SLO            1.68     16.32                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 156.83  48  20   1B  72 (  2-  2) Northern Colorado       8.40     19.60                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home                         1B  13 (  4-  0) Illinois St                      -2.59             
  6 10/14/2017 Away      *                  1B  65 (  0-  4) Portland St                      16.41             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1B  19 (  3-  2) UC-Davis                          2.21             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1B  31 (  2-  3) Sacramento St                     7.69             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1B  40 (  3-  2) Montana                           6.27             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1B  11 (  1-  3) Montana St                       -2.68             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  44 (  2-  2) Southern Utah                     8.04             
      Averages             148.43  30.0 32.5

Best game:  156.83 = 28 point win over Northern Colorado
Worst game: 137.09 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:   8.24