BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 13 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength =  147.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   130.14  24  62   1A  37 (  7-  4) Arizona               -16.86    -21.14                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   137.69  20  38   1B   4 (  8-  3) Western Illinois       -9.31     -8.69                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 147.10  28  10   1B  65 (  1- 10) Cal Poly SLO            0.10     17.90                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 157.53  48  20   1B  45 (  3-  7) Northern Colorado      10.53     17.47                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   168.93  37  16   1B   9 (  6-  5) Illinois St            21.92     -0.92                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 146.38  42  20   1B  75 (  0- 11) Portland St            -0.62     22.62                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 154.60  45  31   1B  24 (  5-  6) UC-Davis                7.60      6.40                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 162.98  37  17   1B  15 (  7-  4) Sacramento St          15.98      4.02                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 143.89  15  17   1B  20 (  7-  4) Montana                -3.11      1.11                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 142.66  37  36   1B  22 (  5-  6) Montana St             -4.34      5.34                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 125.12  20  48   1B  10 (  9-  2) Southern Utah         -21.89     -6.11                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home                         1B  47 (  9-  2) San Diego                        17.45             
      Averages             147.00  32.1 28.6

Best game:  168.93 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 125.12 = 28 point loss to Southern Utah
Team stdev:  13.35