BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  James Madison           1B   1 (11- 0) 161.02   3   2   4   1   2   2
  2  North Dakota St         1B   1 (10- 1) 155.20   1   1   2   4   4   9
  3  Kennesaw St             1B   1 (11- 1) 147.42  28  29  10   5   3   3
  4  South Dakota St         1B   1 ( 9- 2) 146.89   2   3   1   6   5  19
  5  Central Arkansas        1B   1 (10- 1) 145.12  11  11   9   9   9   5
  6  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 (11- 0) 144.79  34  30  45   2  12   1
  7  Weber St                1B   1 (10- 2) 144.76   8   6   6  14   7  11
  8  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 9- 2) 141.53  10   9   5  12   6  16
  9  Jacksonville St         1B   1 (10- 1) 141.51  12  12  12   8  17   7
 10  Sam Houston St          1B   1 (10- 1) 139.93  22  19  26   7  14   6
 11  Stony Brook             1B   1 (10- 2) 139.80  15  14  19  10  11  10
 12  Yale                    1B   1 ( 9- 1) 139.14  19  20  28   3  10  14
 13  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 8- 4) 135.54   5   7   7  23  13  35
 14  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 8- 4) 135.00   4   5   8  29  18  26
 15  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 8- 4) 134.39   7   4  11  27  20  30
 16  San Diego               1B   1 (10- 2) 134.24  32  36  18  19  24   8
 17  Samford                 1B   1 ( 8- 4) 133.40  26  27  24  17   1  47
 18  Wofford                 1B   1 ( 9- 2) 132.89  39  41  46  15   8  13
 19  Furman                  1B   1 ( 8- 4) 130.86  13  16  13  22  16  31
 20  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 9- 2) 129.54  36  35  33  20  32  12
 21  Grambling St            1B   1 (10- 1) 128.77  72  72  63  11  28   4
 22  Delaware                1B   1 ( 7- 4) 128.00  16  18  23  21  23  39
 23  Elon                    1B   1 ( 8- 4) 127.26  33  32  34  18  15  38
 24  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 7- 4) 126.87  18  15  20  30  19  43
 25  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 8- 2) 126.71  53  53  52  13  21  18
 26  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 6- 5) 126.50   9  10   3  37  33  62
 27  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 8- 4) 126.41  30  31  27  24  25  27
 28  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 6- 5) 126.24   6   8  15  38  30  57
 29  Columbia                1B   1 ( 8- 2) 125.52  58  59  56  16  22  17
 30  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 7- 4) 124.97  17  17  17  48  36  28
 31  Montana                 1B   1 ( 7- 4) 124.91  20  22  14  41  34  34
 32  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 9- 3) 124.57  51  51  61  25  26  15
 33  Richmond                1B   1 ( 6- 5) 123.49  14  13  16  26  27  70
 34  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 7- 5) 121.06  24  24  39  45  29  50
 35  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 8- 4) 120.93  41  40  37  34  46  24
 36  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 7- 4) 120.57  38  39  21  59  50  21
 37  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 8- 4) 120.35  45  46  50  35  42  20
 38  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 8- 4) 119.54  59  58  47  33  38  22
 39  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 6- 4) 117.72  50  50  49  28  31  58
 40  Montana St              1B   1 ( 5- 6) 116.20  23  21  25  56  35  75
 41  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 7- 4) 115.93  52  55  55  36  47  37
 42  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 6- 5) 115.69  31  33  22  57  63  55
 43  Villanova               1B   1 ( 5- 6) 115.67  29  26  40  44  41  68
 44  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 7- 5) 115.29  42  44  69  60  56  25
 45  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 7- 4) 114.53  65  61  66  31  43  46
 46  Princeton               1B   1 ( 5- 5) 114.33  35  38  41  46  48  65
 47  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 5- 6) 114.27  25  25  29  65  44  73
 48  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 5- 6) 113.50  43  34  38  39  37  77
 49  Maine                   1B   1 ( 4- 6) 113.06  27  28  31  54  51  79
 50  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 6- 5) 112.74  40  42  36  69  75  41
 51  Towson                  1B   1 ( 5- 6) 112.51  54  52  32  55  45  66
 52  Howard                  1B   1 ( 7- 4) 112.29  68  70  67  61  67  23
 53  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 6- 5) 112.15  69  60  72  43  39  54
 54  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 7- 4) 111.71  71  75  70  47  60  29
 55  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 6- 5) 111.47  57  57  54  58  53  52
 56  Drake                   1B   1 ( 7- 4) 111.08  82  88  77  32  40  48
 57  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 7- 4) 109.63  80  74  79  40  65  40
 58  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 4- 7) 109.43  21  23  43  75  64  85
 59  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 108.79  61  63  62  50  61  63
 60  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 5- 5) 108.62  67  69  78  52  52  59
 61  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 4- 7) 108.34  37  37  48  67  54  91
 62  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 5- 6) 107.69  63  66  74  53  49  69
 63  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 6- 5) 107.62  70  71  64  68  68  49
 64  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 6- 5) 107.05  92  89  58  62  59  44
 65  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 7- 4) 107.02  89  94  83  51  71  32
 66  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 6- 5) 106.00  60  68  73  77  85  42
 67  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 5- 6) 103.30  73  62  82  82  80  60
 68  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 6- 5) 103.11  87  85  87  73  81  45
 69  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 3- 8) 102.96  47  47  35  71  62 106
 70  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 3- 8) 102.77  46  45  30  87  73 100
 71  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 4- 7) 102.20  49  49  59  98  84  71
 72  Butler                  1B   1 ( 6- 5) 102.20 103 103  99  49  58  61
 73  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 3- 7) 102.12  48  48  42  93  78  89
 74  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 3- 8) 101.46  44  43  44  96  72  98
 75  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 6- 5) 101.34 107 105  86  63  70  53
 76  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 6- 5) 101.25  83  93 104  64  90  51
 77  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 7- 4) 101.15 111 116 119  42  55  33
 78  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 5- 7) 101.06  81  81  75  70  66  76
 79  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 4- 7) 100.18  62  65  51  91  92  80
 80  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 4- 7)  99.16  75  79  60  79  88  86
 81  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 4- 7)  98.80  74  73  95  81  74  83
 82  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 4- 7)  98.44  76  78  71  76  82  93
 83  Campbell                1B   1 ( 6- 5)  98.36 105 104 116  78  86  36
 84  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 4- 7)  98.14  85  83  97  72  69  82
 85  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 5- 6)  97.01  99  98 100  83  87  64
 86  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 4- 7)  96.99  88  87  80  85  79  84
 87  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 5- 6)  96.97 100 102 108  90  83  56
 88  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  96.67  64  64  57  84  93 105
 89  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 4- 7)  96.64 101  97  92  66  57  97
 90  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 4- 7)  95.65  86  84  88  89  89  81
 91  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 2- 9)  95.55  55  54  65  88  76 117
 92  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 3- 8)  95.46  56  56  53 105  99  92
 93  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 4- 7)  95.26  97 100  94  86  77  87
 94  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 4- 7)  93.78  95  96  90  80  95  88
 95  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 5- 6)  91.60 110 112 112  74  97  72
 96  Murray St               1B   1 ( 3- 8)  90.96  79  76  84  99 100  99
 97  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 3- 7)  89.82  90  86  96 100 105  90
 98  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  89.57  94 101  68 102 101  95
 99  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 3- 8)  88.99  91  91  85 101 103  96
100  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 3- 8)  87.31 104 106 106 104  94  94
101  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 2- 9)  86.77  78  77  81 108 106 112
102  Brown                   1B   1 ( 2- 8)  86.70 109 107 102  94  91 103
103  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 4- 7)  85.88 112 114 114 103 109  67
104  Marist                  1B   1 ( 4- 7)  85.37 118 119 118  92  96  78
105  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 2- 9)  83.26  98  95  98 106 110 113
106  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 4- 7)  81.69 123 122 122  95  98  74
107  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 3- 8)  81.57 116 115 109  97 107 102
108  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 1-10)  81.19  66  67  76 119 117 118
109  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 1-10)  78.93  96  92  93 112 104 122
110  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 2- 9)  78.81 114 110 111 107 111 111
111  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 1-10)  78.75  84  82  91 117 116 120
112  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 2- 9)  78.65 113 111 117 109 102 108
113  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 1-10)  75.64 102  99  89 118 121 116
114  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 1-10)  73.67 106 108 107 121 118 114
115  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 2- 9)  73.38 121 121 121 110 108 109
116  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 1-10)  73.33 108 109 113 114 115 121
117  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 1-10)  73.16 115 113 110 120 114 115
118  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 2- 9)  73.09 117 118 115 113 119 107
119  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0-11)  72.31  93  90 103 122 113 124
120  Davidson                1B   1 ( 2- 9)  71.11 122 123 123 111 112 110
121  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0-11)  70.21  77  80 101 124 124 119
122  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 2- 9)  70.14 120 120 120 116 123 101
123  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 2- 9)  66.19 124 124 124 115 122 104
124  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0-11)  64.39 119 117 105 123 120 123