BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Troy

Class: 1A Class Rank: 78 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-0) Overall: (4-1) Overall Strength =  161.99

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   159.06  13  24   1A  57 (  3-  2) Boise St                1.80    -12.80                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   138.31  34   7   1B 118 (  0-  5) Alabama St            -18.94 *   45.94                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W * 162.20  27  24   1A  87 (  2-  4) New Mexico St           4.95     -1.95                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   157.98  22  17   1A  86 (  3-  3) Akron                   0.72      4.28                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W   168.72  24  21   1A  72 (  4-  2) LSU                    11.46     -8.46                      
  6 10/11/2017 Home      *                  1A 124 (  1-  4) South Alabama                    26.03             
  7 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1A 107 (  2-  2) Georgia St                       12.60             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1A 127 (  0-  4) Georgia Southern                 33.58             
  9 11/02/2017 Home      *                  1A 106 (  2-  3) Idaho                            15.74             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A 117 (  1-  4) Coastal Carolina                 16.70             
 11 11/24/2017 Home      *                  1A 130 (  1-  5) Texas St-San Marcos              35.59             
 12 12/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  91 (  2-  2) Arkansas St                       4.17             
      Averages             157.25  24.0 18.6

Best game:  168.72 = 3 point win over LSU
Worst game: 138.31 = 27 point win over Alabama St
Team stdev:  11.38