BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Fayetteville St
Class: 2 Class Rank: 142 Conference: Central Intercollegiate Athletic Association Record: (6-4) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength = 90.12
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away W * 95.52 24 21 2 148 ( 4- 6) Chowan 5.40 -2.40
2 09/09/2017 Home L 98.46 21 31 2 81 ( 9- 2) Wingate 8.35 -18.35
3 09/16/2017 Neutral L * 72.24 42 45 2 159 ( 4- 6) Elizabeth City St -17.87 14.87
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 95.59 40 47 2 106 ( 6- 4) Virginia Union 5.47 -12.47
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 87.96 31 64 2 68 ( 9- 2) Bowie St -2.16 -30.84
6 10/07/2017 Home W * 82.01 24 21 2 149 ( 3- 7) Shaw -8.10 11.10
7 10/14/2017 Away W * 106.22 41 16 2 160 ( 2- 8) Johnson C. Smith 16.11 8.89
8 10/21/2017 Home W * 90.05 34 31 2 145 ( 5- 5) St Augustine's -0.06 3.06
9 10/28/2017 Away W * 76.14 28 26 2 166 ( 0- 10) Livingstone -13.98 15.98
10 11/04/2017 Away W * 98.50 23 22 2 132 ( 6- 4) Winston-Salem St 8.39 -7.39
11 11/11/2017 Neutral L * 88.57 19 42 2 87 ( 10- 1) Virginia St -1.55 -21.45
Averages 90.12 29.7 33.3
Best game: 106.22 = 25 point win over Johnson C. Smith
Worst game: 72.24 = 3 point loss to Elizabeth City St
Team stdev: 10.23