BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength = 183.29
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 197.52 52 0 1A 86 ( 6- 5) Akron 12.41 * 39.59
2 09/09/2017 Home W 176.27 33 14 1A 56 ( 4- 7) Pittsburgh -8.85 27.85
3 09/16/2017 Home W 191.85 56 0 1A 114 ( 6- 3) Georgia St 6.73 * 49.27
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 177.09 21 19 1A 16 ( 6- 5) Iowa -8.02 10.02
5 09/30/2017 Home W * 192.42 45 14 1A 41 ( 5- 6) Indiana 7.30 23.70
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 197.74 31 7 1A 24 ( 8- 3) Northwestern 12.62 11.38
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 198.68 42 13 1A 20 ( 8- 3) Michigan 13.57 15.43
8 10/28/2017 Away L * 188.53 38 39 1A 1 ( 9- 2) Ohio State 3.41 -4.41
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 166.93 24 27 1A 30 ( 8- 3) Michigan St -18.18 15.18
10 11/11/2017 Home W * 180.54 35 6 1A 73 ( 4- 7) Rutgers -4.57 * 33.57
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 168.70 56 44 1A 57 ( 4- 7) Nebraska -16.42 28.42
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 58 ( 4- 7) Maryland 22.10
Averages 185.11 39.4 16.6
Best game: 198.68 = 29 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 166.93 = 3 point loss to Michigan St
Team stdev: 11.71