BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-2) Overall: (7-4) Overall Strength =  170.44

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral L   153.33  28  35   1A  55 (  8-  3) South Carolina        -17.11     10.11                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   167.39  37  20   1A  78 (  7-  4) Marshall               -3.05     20.05                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   176.39  49  16   1B  14 (  7-  4) Furman                  5.94     27.06                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 174.62  27  21   1A  36 (  4-  6) Florida St              4.17      1.83                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 165.25  33  25   1A  61 (  4-  7) Syracuse               -5.19     13.19                      
  6 10/05/2017 Home    W * 181.62  39  25   1A  23 (  7-  4) Louisville             11.17      2.83                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    W * 179.80  35  17   1A  56 (  4-  7) Pittsburgh              9.36      8.64                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L   162.65  14  35   1A   7 (  9-  2) Notre Dame             -7.80    -13.20                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L * 173.92  31  38   1A   4 ( 10-  1) Clemson                 3.47    -10.47                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 172.36  17  14   1A  32 (  6-  5) Boston College          1.92      1.08                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 167.54  24  30   1A  17 (  7-  4) Wake Forest            -2.90     -3.10                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  67 (  3-  8) North Carolina                   15.35             
      Averages             170.44  30.4 25.1

Best game:  181.62 = 14 point win over Louisville
Worst game: 153.33 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev:   8.24