BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Troy

Class: 1A Class Rank: 81 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength =  151.70

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   156.03  13  24   1A  39 (  9-  2) Boise St                6.23    -17.23                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   132.68  34   7   1B 110 (  4-  6) Alabama St            -17.12 *   44.12                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W * 146.79  27  24   1A 108 (  4-  6) New Mexico St          -3.01      6.01                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   150.52  22  17   1A  86 (  6-  5) Akron                   0.72      4.28                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W   169.84  24  21   1A  38 (  8-  3) LSU                    20.04    -17.04                      
  6 10/11/2017 Home    L * 122.57   8  19   1A 122 (  4-  7) South Alabama         -27.23     16.23                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 164.38  34  10   1A 114 (  6-  3) Georgia St             14.58      9.42                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 155.95  38  16   1A 121 (  1-  9) Georgia Southern        6.14     15.86                      
  9 11/02/2017 Home    W * 139.07  24  21   1A 116 (  3-  7) Idaho                 -10.73     13.73                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 160.18  42  17   1A 123 (  2-  9) Coastal Carolina       10.38     14.62                      
 11 11/24/2017 Home      *                  1A 127 (  2-  9) Texas St-San Marcos              25.00             
 12 12/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  77 (  6-  3) Arkansas St                      -4.14             
      Averages             149.80  26.6 17.6

Best game:  169.84 = 3 point win over LSU
Worst game: 122.57 = 11 point loss to South Alabama
Team stdev:  14.75