BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 25 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  168.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral L   151.72  28  35   1A  53 (  8-  4) South Carolina        -16.77      9.77                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   165.10  37  20   1A  82 (  7-  5) Marshall               -3.40     20.40                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   172.68  49  16   1B  19 (  8-  5) Furman                  4.19     28.81                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 173.76  27  21   1A  34 (  6-  6) Florida St              5.27      0.73                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 162.11  33  25   1A  62 (  4-  8) Syracuse               -6.38     14.38                      
  6 10/05/2017 Home    W * 181.05  39  25   1A  21 (  8-  4) Louisville             12.56      1.44                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    W * 179.86  35  17   1A  50 (  5-  7) Pittsburgh             11.37      6.63                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L   159.04  14  35   1A   9 (  9-  3) Notre Dame             -9.45    -11.55                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L * 174.25  31  38   1A   2 ( 12-  1) Clemson                 5.76    -12.76                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 172.53  17  14   1A  28 (  7-  5) Boston College          4.03     -1.03                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 164.79  24  30   1A  23 (  7-  5) Wake Forest            -3.70     -2.30                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    W * 165.00  33  21   1A  66 (  3-  9) North Carolina         -3.50     15.50                      
 13 12/29/2017 Neutral                      1A  45 (  7-  5) Arizona St                        7.32             
      Averages             168.49  30.6 24.8

Best game:  181.05 = 14 point win over Louisville
Worst game: 151.72 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev:   8.69