BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 156 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (2-0) Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength =   75.12

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    79.38   0  24    3  22 (  4-  1) Carthage                3.41 *  -27.41                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    94.26  31  26    3  88 (  3-  3) Loras                  18.29    -13.29                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    68.78  21  37    3 126 (  3-  2) Olivet                 -7.20     -8.80                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  64.34  20  14    3 206 (  1-  4) Wisconsin Lutheran    -11.63     17.63                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W *  73.11  16  14    3 181 (  2-  2) Concordia IL           -2.87      4.87                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home                          3 186 (  3-  2) Alma                              9.18             
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                   3 230 (  0-  4) Rockford                         32.37             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                   3 100 (  3-  2) Lakeland                         -8.56             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                   3 226 (  1-  4) Concordia WI                     26.43             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                   3 177 (  3-  2) Benedictine IL                    2.92             
      Averages              75.97  17.6 23.0

Best game:   94.26 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  64.34 = 6 point win over Wisconsin Lutheran
Team stdev:  11.63