BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 90 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength =  147.57

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   161.03  62   0   1B 119 (  0- 11) VMI                    12.34 *   49.66                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   157.23  13  29   1A  19 (  8-  4) Michigan                8.54    -24.54                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 154.88  24  28   1A  51 ( 10-  2) San Diego St            6.19    -10.19                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 123.04  38  56   1A 111 (  3-  9) New Mexico            -25.65      7.65                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   158.48  45  48   1A  54 (  6-  5) Navy                    9.79    -12.79                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 145.43  34  30   1A 103 (  5-  7) UNLV                   -3.26      7.26                      
  7 10/20/2017 Away    W * 151.32  45  42   1A  94 (  3-  9) Nevada                  2.63      0.37                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 172.14  45  28   1A  75 (  7-  5) Colorado St            23.45     -6.45                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L   132.97   0  21   1A  61 (  8-  3) Army                  -15.72     -5.28                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 134.51  14  28   1A  77 (  7-  5) Wyoming               -14.18      0.18                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 139.87  19  44   1A  44 (  9-  3) Boise St               -8.82    -16.18                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    W * 153.37  38  35   1A  68 (  6-  6) Utah St                 4.68     -1.68                      
      Averages             148.69  31.4 32.4

Best game:  172.14 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 123.04 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  13.92