BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 47 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength = 160.80
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2017 Home W 168.29 47 13 1B 33 ( 8- 4) Elon 7.03 26.97
2 09/09/2017 Away W 160.58 37 24 1A 95 ( 3- 9) Nevada -0.67 13.67
3 09/16/2017 Home W 146.26 54 51 1A 94 ( 2- 10) Tulsa -15.00 18.00
4 09/23/2017 Away L 151.31 30 52 1A 17 ( 10- 2) Miami FL -9.94 -12.06
5 10/07/2017 Home W * 153.57 20 15 1A 78 ( 5- 7) Eastern Michigan -7.69 12.69
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 172.97 30 10 1A 79 ( 8- 4) Central Michigan 11.72 8.28
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 170.53 48 21 1A 89 ( 7- 6) Akron 9.28 17.72
8 10/26/2017 Away W * 166.70 58 17 1A 128 ( 2- 10) Ball St 5.45 * 35.55
9 11/02/2017 Home W * 164.18 27 17 1A 63 ( 8- 4) Northern Illinois 2.93 7.07
10 11/08/2017 Away L * 132.69 10 38 1A 59 ( 8- 4) Ohio U. -28.57 0.57
11 11/14/2017 Unknown W * 170.01 66 37 1A 104 ( 2- 10) Bowling Green 8.75 20.25
12 11/24/2017 Home W * 176.38 37 10 1A 73 ( 6- 6) Western Michigan 15.13 11.87
13 12/02/2017 Neutral W * 162.84 45 28 1A 89 ( 7- 6) Akron 1.59 15.41
14 12/23/2017 Neutral 1A 84 ( 8- 4) Appalachian St 11.20
Averages 161.26 39.2 25.6
Best game: 176.38 = 27 point win over Western Michigan
Worst game: 132.69 = 28 point loss to Ohio U.
Team stdev: 12.31