BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 171 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =   71.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    83.94  30  33    3  98 (  8-  2) Curry                  12.94    -15.94                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    84.03  31  10    3 203 (  6-  4) Castleton              13.02      7.98                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  70.17  26  42    3 107 (  6-  4) Worcester St           -0.83    -15.17                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  78.02  31  29    3 145 (  2-  8) Bridgewater St MA       7.02     -5.02                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  73.59  24  17    3 189 (  2-  8) Mass Maritime           2.59      4.41                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  78.42  16  32    3  48 (  9-  1) Framingham St           7.42    -23.42                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  56.62  21  33    3 194 (  2-  7) Westfield St          -14.38      2.38                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L *  71.11  34  55    3  81 (  7-  3) Western Conn St         0.11    -21.11                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L *  72.29   7  24    3  66 (  9-  1) Plymouth St             1.29    -18.29                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L *  41.83   0  38    3 123 (  4-  6) UMass-Dartmouth       -29.18     -8.82                      
      Averages              71.00  22.0 31.3

Best game:   84.03 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  41.83 = 38 point loss to UMass-Dartmouth
Team stdev:  12.95