BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 62 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (1-0) Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength =  166.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Home    L   158.05  20  23   1A  76 (  2-  4) Boston College         -6.31      3.31                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   156.99  38  10   1B  79 (  4-  2) Eastern Illinois       -7.36 *   35.36                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   172.37  21  17   1A  60 (  3-  3) Nebraska                8.02     -4.02                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L   173.58  28  34   1A  26 (  6-  0) San Diego St            9.22    -15.22                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 160.79  24   3   1A 116 (  1-  5) Kent St                -3.57     24.57                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away      *                  1A  71 (  3-  3) Buffalo                           0.52             
  7 10/21/2017 Away      *                  1A 103 (  1-  5) Bowling Green                    14.39             
  8 10/26/2017 Home      *                  1A  85 (  2-  3) Eastern Michigan                 10.58             
  9 11/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  63 (  4-  1) Toledo                           -1.93             
 10 11/09/2017 Home      *                  1A 118 (  2-  4) Ball St                          26.52             
 11 11/15/2017 Home      *                  1A  68 (  4-  2) Western Michigan                  4.29             
 12 11/24/2017 Away      *                  1A 109 (  3-  3) Central Michigan                 17.40             
      Averages             164.36  26.2 17.4

Best game:  173.58 = 6 point loss to San Diego St
Worst game: 156.99 = 28 point win over Eastern Illinois
Team stdev:   8.00