BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =  163.18

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   172.65  60   7   1B  71 (  7-  4) North Carolina Centr    8.68 *   44.32                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   192.70  41  17   1A  22 (  9-  3) Northwestern           28.73     -4.73                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   161.27  34  20   1A  85 (  1- 11) Baylor                 -2.70     16.70                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 167.62  27  17   1A  66 (  3-  9) North Carolina          3.65      6.35                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 143.69   6  31   1A  17 ( 10-  2) Miami FL              -20.28     -4.72                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 151.74  21  28   1A  61 (  6-  6) Virginia              -12.23      5.23                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 156.14  10  17   1A  34 (  6-  6) Florida St             -7.83      0.83                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 150.24  17  24   1A  50 (  5-  7) Pittsburgh            -13.73      6.73                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 154.50   3  24   1A  16 (  9-  3) Virginia Tech          -9.47    -11.53                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L   152.92  16  21   1A  60 (  8-  3) Army                  -11.05      6.05                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 185.40  43  20   1A  33 (  5-  6) Georgia Tech           21.43      1.57                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W * 178.79  31  23   1A  23 (  7-  5) Wake Forest            14.82     -6.82                      
 13 12/26/2017 Neutral                      1A  63 (  8-  4) Northern Illinois                 6.98             
      Averages             163.97  25.8 20.8

Best game:  192.70 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 143.69 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  15.44