BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alabama St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 116 Conference: Southwestern Athletic Conference Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =  101.47

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    94.88   6  14    2  98 (  9-  2) Tuskegee              -10.97      2.97                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   126.52   7  34   1A  70 ( 10-  2) Troy                   20.67 *  -47.67                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   132.33  14  20   1B  21 ( 12-  1) Kennesaw St            26.48 *  -32.48                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L *  78.97   0  34   1B  83 (  6-  5) Prairie View A&M      -26.88     -7.12                      
  5 10/05/2017 Home    L * 105.22  10  24   1B  80 (  7-  5) Alcorn St              -0.63    -13.37                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 109.12  23  16   1B 117 (  2-  9) Texas Southern          3.27      3.73                      
  7 10/28/2017 Neutral W * 108.48  21  16   1B 110 (  4-  7) Alabama A&M             2.63      2.37                      
  8 11/04/2017 Away    W * 115.16  13   3   1B 114 (  3-  8) Jackson St              9.31      0.69                      
  9 11/11/2017 Home    L * 103.99   7  24   1B  70 ( 11-  1) Grambling St           -1.86    -15.14                      
 10 11/18/2017 Away    W *  95.92  16  10   1B 124 (  2-  9) Mississippi Valley S   -9.93     15.93                      
 11 11/23/2017 Home    W    93.76  37   3   NA  73 (  0- 10) Edward Waters         -12.09 *   46.09                      
      Averages             105.85  14.0 18.0

Best game:  132.33 = 6 point loss to Kennesaw St
Worst game:  78.97 = 34 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Team stdev:  15.24