BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (4-5) Overall Strength = 161.66
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 177.04 60 7 1B 69 ( 7- 2) North Carolina Centr 13.67 * 39.33
2 09/09/2017 Home W 192.39 41 17 1A 27 ( 6- 3) Northwestern 29.02 -5.02
3 09/16/2017 Home W 163.21 34 20 1A 86 ( 1- 8) Baylor -0.16 14.16
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 166.78 27 17 1A 84 ( 1- 8) North Carolina 3.41 6.59
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 148.24 6 31 1A 16 ( 8- 0) Miami FL -15.13 -9.87
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 153.52 21 28 1A 68 ( 6- 3) Virginia -9.85 2.85
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 156.47 10 17 1A 38 ( 3- 5) Florida St -6.90 -0.10
8 10/21/2017 Home L * 152.29 17 24 1A 64 ( 4- 5) Pittsburgh -11.08 4.08
9 10/28/2017 Away L * 160.40 3 24 1A 15 ( 7- 2) Virginia Tech -2.97 -18.03
10 11/11/2017 Away 1A 61 ( 7- 2) Army -1.56
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 26 ( 4- 4) Georgia Tech -7.35
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 23 ( 5- 4) Wake Forest -13.62
Averages 163.37 24.3 20.6
Best game: 192.39 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 148.24 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 13.90