BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 72 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (6-1) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength =  152.92

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   151.13  36  43   1A  70 (  4-  8) Nebraska               -0.54     -6.46                      
  2 09/16/2017 Home    W   140.38  48   3   1B 120 (  2-  9) Arkansas-Pine Bluff   -11.28 *   56.28                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    L   136.60  21  44   1A  64 (  7-  5) SMU                   -15.07     -7.93                      
  4 10/04/2017 Away    W * 157.06  43  25   1A 119 (  2-  9) Georgia Southern        5.40     12.60                      
  5 10/14/2017 Home    W * 163.61  51  17   1A 123 (  2-  9) Coastal Carolina       11.95     22.05                      
  6 10/19/2017 Home    W * 175.44  47   3   1A 122 (  5-  6) Louisiana-Lafayette    23.78     20.22                      
  7 10/28/2017 Away    W * 159.25  37  21   1A 108 (  5-  6) New Mexico St           7.59      8.41                      
  8 11/11/2017 Away    L * 132.64  19  24   1A 121 (  4-  7) South Alabama         -19.03     14.03                      
  9 11/18/2017 Home    W * 140.95  30  12   1A 129 (  2- 10) Texas St-San Marcos   -10.71     28.71                      
 10 11/25/2017 Away    W * 159.57  67  50   1A 110 (  4-  7) Louisiana-Monroe        7.91      9.09                      
 11 12/02/2017 Home      *                  1A  71 (  9-  2) Troy                              1.81             
      Averages             151.66  39.9 24.2

Best game:  175.44 = 44 point win over Louisiana-Lafayette
Worst game: 132.64 = 5 point loss to South Alabama
Team stdev:  13.70