BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 23 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (3-0) Overall: (5-1) Overall Strength =  178.22

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   170.94  35  10   1A 108 (  1-  6) Bowling Green          -6.07 *   31.07                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   178.55  28  14   1A  67 (  4-  2) Western Michigan        1.53     12.47                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L   166.50  18  38   1A   5 (  5-  1) Notre Dame            -10.51     -9.49                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 183.24  17  10   1A  19 (  4-  2) Iowa                    6.23      0.77                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 185.92  14  10   1A  18 (  5-  1) Michigan                8.91     -4.91                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 176.91  30  27   1A  43 (  3-  3) Minnesota              -0.10      3.10                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1A  37 (  3-  3) Indiana                           7.14             
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  39 (  3-  3) Northwestern                      3.01             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                  1A   3 (  6-  0) Penn State                      -13.82             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A  13 (  6-  1) Ohio State                       -9.91             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  44 (  3-  3) Maryland                          9.16             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  79 (  2-  4) Rutgers                          15.18             
      Averages             177.01  23.7 18.2

Best game:  185.92 = 4 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 166.50 = 20 point loss to Notre Dame
Team stdev:   7.32