BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 84 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (0-6) Overall: (1-8) Overall Strength =  153.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   155.62  30  35   1A  50 (  5-  5) California              1.17     -6.17                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L * 152.45  35  47   1A  37 (  5-  4) Louisville             -2.00    -10.00                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   171.69  53  23   1A 120 (  3-  6) Old Dominion           17.24     12.76                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    L * 151.03  17  27   1A  59 (  4-  5) Duke                   -3.41     -6.59                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 147.68   7  33   1A  26 (  4-  4) Georgia Tech           -6.77    -19.23                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L   164.05  10  33   1A   1 (  8-  1) Notre Dame              9.60 *  -32.60                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 149.85  14  20   1A  68 (  6-  3) Virginia               -4.60     -1.40                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    L * 129.40   7  59   1A  15 (  7-  2) Virginia Tech         -25.05    -26.95                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    L * 168.24  19  24   1A  16 (  8-  0) Miami FL               13.80    -18.80                      
 10 11/09/2017 Away      *                  1A  64 (  4-  5) Pittsburgh                       -9.38             
 11 11/18/2017 Home                         1B  27 (  7-  3) Western Carolina                 12.03             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  21 (  6-  3) North Carolina St               -22.63             
      Averages             154.44  21.3 33.4

Best game:  171.69 = 30 point win over Old Dominion
Worst game: 129.40 = 52 point loss to Virginia Tech
Team stdev:  12.70