BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Arizona St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 46 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =  163.19

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   147.80  37  31   1A 107 (  4-  5) New Mexico St         -15.40     21.40                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   151.42  20  30   1A  49 (  8-  2) San Diego St          -11.78      1.78                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   163.79  45  52   1A  32 (  5-  5) Texas Tech              0.60     -7.60                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W * 166.33  37  35   1A  37 (  5-  5) Oregon                  3.13     -1.13                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    L * 166.18  24  34   1A  21 (  7-  3) Stanford                2.98    -12.98                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 187.19  13   7   1A  10 (  8-  2) Washington             24.00    -18.00                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 185.11  30  10   1A  47 (  5-  5) Utah                   21.92     -1.92                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 140.86  17  48   1A  18 (  9-  2) Southern Cal          -22.33     -8.67                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 166.89  41  30   1A  65 (  5-  6) Colorado                3.69      7.31                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 156.37  37  44   1A  57 (  5-  5) UCLA                   -6.82     -0.18                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A 108 (  1-  9) Oregon St                        17.14             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  33 (  7-  3) Arizona                          -3.22             
      Averages             163.19  30.1 32.1

Best game:  187.19 = 6 point win over Washington
Worst game: 140.86 = 31 point loss to Southern Cal
Team stdev:  14.94