BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 123 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-3) Overall: (1-6) Overall Strength = 139.99
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home L 146.63 14 34 1B 5 ( 6- 0) James Madison 6.87 -26.87
2 09/09/2017 Away L 140.19 20 56 1A 17 ( 4- 2) West Virginia 0.43 * -36.43
3 09/16/2017 Home L 129.98 17 64 1A 25 ( 5- 1) Virginia Tech -9.78 * -37.22
4 09/24/2017 Away W * 148.56 41 38 1A 122 ( 2- 4) Connecticut 8.80 -5.80
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 139.31 31 61 1A 33 ( 6- 0) South Florida -0.45 * -29.55
6 10/07/2017 Home L * 124.79 10 34 1A 103 ( 3- 4) Temple -14.97 -9.03
7 10/14/2017 Away L * 148.84 21 63 1A 2 ( 5- 0) Central Florida 9.09 * -51.09
8 10/21/2017 Home 1A 101 ( 1- 6) Brigham Young -7.80
9 10/28/2017 Away * 1A 58 ( 4- 2) Houston -28.51
10 11/04/2017 Away * 1A 122 ( 2- 4) Connecticut -4.08
11 11/11/2017 Home * 1A 72 ( 3- 3) Tulane -19.58
12 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 97 ( 2- 5) Cincinnati -11.02
13 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 54 ( 5- 1) Memphis -29.51
Averages 139.76 22.0 50.0
Best game: 148.84 = 42 point loss to Central Florida
Worst game: 124.79 = 24 point loss to Temple
Team stdev: 9.38