BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 188 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (3-0) Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength =   68.37

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L    77.61   0  24    3  21 (  5-  2) Carthage                7.92 *  -31.92                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    92.31  31  26    3 116 (  4-  4) Loras                  22.62    -17.62                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L    69.51  21  37    3 128 (  4-  3) Olivet                 -0.19    -15.81                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W *  60.66  20  14    3 212 (  2-  5) Wisconsin Lutheran     -9.03     15.03                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W *  66.86  16  14    3 208 (  3-  3) Concordia IL           -2.83      4.83                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L    64.22  19  27    3 172 (  4-  3) Alma                   -5.48     -2.52                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W *  56.69  28  21    3 219 (  1-  5) Rockford              -13.01     20.01                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                   3  87 (  5-  2) Lakeland                        -19.29             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                   3 224 (  1-  6) Concordia WI                     16.23             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                   3 168 (  4-  3) Benedictine IL                   -9.43             
      Averages              69.69  19.3 23.3

Best game:   92.31 = 5 point win over Loras
Worst game:  56.69 = 7 point win over Rockford
Team stdev:  11.99