BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 154 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-3) Overall: (3-4) Overall Strength =   77.56

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    84.53  30  33    3 113 (  6-  1) Curry                   6.97     -9.97                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    87.78  31  10    3 200 (  4-  3) Castleton              10.22     10.78                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  69.87  26  42    3 118 (  4-  3) Worcester St           -7.69     -8.31                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  82.86  31  29    3 126 (  2-  6) Bridgewater St MA       5.30     -3.30                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  79.30  24  17    3 177 (  1-  6) Mass Maritime           1.75      5.25                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  80.13  16  32    3  43 (  6-  1) Framingham St           2.57    -18.57                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  58.45  21  33    3 197 (  2-  6) Westfield St          -19.11      7.11                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                   3  73 (  6-  1) Western Conn St                 -17.43             
  9 11/04/2017 Home      *                   3  56 (  7-  1) Plymouth St                     -17.13             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                   3 139 (  2-  5) UMass-Dartmouth                  -0.56             
      Averages              77.56  25.6 28.0

Best game:   87.78 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  58.45 = 12 point loss to Westfield St
Team stdev:  10.12