BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Air Force

Class: 1A Class Rank: 91 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (3-4) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =  148.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   162.19  62   0   1B 118 (  0- 11) VMI                    12.53 *   49.47                      
  2 09/16/2017 Away    L   158.21  13  29   1A  20 (  8-  3) Michigan                8.55    -24.55                      
  3 09/23/2017 Home    L * 155.38  24  28   1A  53 (  9-  2) San Diego St            5.72     -9.72                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L * 124.51  38  56   1A 112 (  3-  8) New Mexico            -25.15      7.15                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L   160.49  45  48   1A  52 (  6-  4) Navy                   10.82    -13.82                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 146.43  34  30   1A 101 (  5-  6) UNLV                   -3.23      7.23                      
  7 10/20/2017 Away    W * 151.77  45  42   1A  96 (  2-  9) Nevada                  2.11      0.89                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 173.68  45  28   1A  74 (  7-  5) Colorado St            24.01     -7.01                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L   133.68   0  21   1A  66 (  8-  3) Army                  -15.98     -5.02                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 137.92  14  28   1A  69 (  7-  4) Wyoming               -11.74     -2.26                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 142.03  19  44   1A  39 (  9-  2) Boise St               -7.64    -17.36                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  71 (  6-  5) Utah St                          -3.74             
      Averages             149.66  30.8 32.2

Best game:  173.68 = 17 point win over Colorado St
Worst game: 124.51 = 18 point loss to New Mexico
Team stdev:  14.34