BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Penn State

Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength =  183.29

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   197.52  52   0   1A  86 (  6-  5) Akron                  12.41 *   39.59                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   176.27  33  14   1A  56 (  4-  7) Pittsburgh             -8.85     27.85                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   191.85  56   0   1A 114 (  6-  3) Georgia St              6.73 *   49.27                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 177.09  21  19   1A  16 (  6-  5) Iowa                   -8.02     10.02                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 192.42  45  14   1A  41 (  5-  6) Indiana                 7.30     23.70                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 197.74  31   7   1A  24 (  8-  3) Northwestern           12.62     11.38                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 198.68  42  13   1A  20 (  8-  3) Michigan               13.57     15.43                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L * 188.53  38  39   1A   1 (  9-  2) Ohio State              3.41     -4.41                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 166.93  24  27   1A  30 (  8-  3) Michigan St           -18.18     15.18                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 180.54  35   6   1A  73 (  4-  7) Rutgers                -4.57 *   33.57                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 168.70  56  44   1A  57 (  4-  7) Nebraska              -16.42     28.42                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  58 (  4-  7) Maryland                         22.10             
      Averages             185.11  39.4 16.6

Best game:  198.68 = 29 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 166.93 = 3 point loss to Michigan St
Team stdev:  11.71