BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 23 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (7-3) Overall Strength =  172.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral L   155.42  28  35   1A  51 (  7-  3) South Carolina        -17.32     10.32                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   171.17  37  20   1A  70 (  7-  3) Marshall               -1.57     18.57                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   180.49  49  16   1B  10 (  7-  3) Furman                  7.75     25.25                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 174.69  27  21   1A  36 (  3-  6) Florida St              1.95      4.05                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 170.50  33  25   1A  44 (  4-  6) Syracuse               -2.24     10.24                      
  6 10/05/2017 Home    W * 179.24  39  25   1A  35 (  6-  4) Louisville              6.51      7.49                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    W * 180.08  35  17   1A  64 (  4-  6) Pittsburgh              7.35     10.65                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L   165.79  14  35   1A   5 (  8-  2) Notre Dame             -6.94    -14.06                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L * 175.95  31  38   1A   4 (  9-  1) Clemson                 3.21    -10.21                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 174.04  17  14   1A  31 (  5-  5) Boston College          1.30      1.70                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  20 (  6-  4) Wake Forest                      -3.50             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  75 (  2-  8) North Carolina                   19.32             
      Averages             172.74  31.0 24.6

Best game:  180.49 = 33 point win over Furman
Worst game: 155.42 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev:   7.66