BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 28 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-1) Overall: (6-2) Overall Strength = 173.46
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 167.35 35 10 1A 111 ( 1- 7) Bowling Green -5.35 * 30.35
2 09/09/2017 Home W 171.59 28 14 1A 77 ( 5- 3) Western Michigan -1.11 15.11
3 09/23/2017 Home L 169.82 18 38 1A 2 ( 7- 1) Notre Dame -2.87 -17.13
4 09/30/2017 Home W * 179.84 17 10 1A 23 ( 5- 3) Iowa 7.15 -0.15
5 10/07/2017 Away W * 181.86 14 10 1A 20 ( 6- 2) Michigan 9.16 -5.16
6 10/14/2017 Away W * 172.00 30 27 1A 46 ( 4- 4) Minnesota -0.69 3.69
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 172.99 17 9 1A 39 ( 3- 5) Indiana 0.30 7.70
8 10/28/2017 Away L * 166.11 31 39 1A 31 ( 5- 3) Northwestern -6.58 -1.42
9 11/04/2017 Home * 1A 3 ( 7- 1) Penn State -18.93
10 11/11/2017 Away * 1A 4 ( 7- 1) Ohio State -20.49
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 42 ( 4- 4) Maryland 8.42
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 64 ( 3- 5) Rutgers 9.47
Averages 172.69 23.8 19.6
Best game: 181.86 = 4 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 166.11 = 8 point loss to Northwestern
Team stdev: 5.57