BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 63 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  156.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Home    L   161.90  20  23   1A  28 (  7-  5) Boston College          5.41     -8.41                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   148.89  38  10   1B  73 (  6-  5) Eastern Illinois       -7.60 *   35.60                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   161.29  21  17   1A  71 (  4-  8) Nebraska                4.79     -0.79                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L   156.71  28  34   1A  52 ( 10-  2) San Diego St            0.22     -6.22                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 149.34  24   3   1A 124 (  2- 10) Kent St                -7.15     28.15                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 153.91  14  13   1A  81 (  6-  6) Buffalo                -2.59      3.59                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 174.32  48  17   1A 104 (  2- 10) Bowling Green          17.82     13.18                      
  8 10/26/2017 Home    W * 151.57  30  27   1A  78 (  5-  7) Eastern Michigan       -4.93      7.93                      
  9 11/02/2017 Away    L * 153.57  17  27   1A  47 ( 11-  2) Toledo                 -2.93     -7.07                      
 10 11/09/2017 Home    W * 167.08  63  17   1A 128 (  2- 10) Ball St                10.59 *   35.41                      
 11 11/15/2017 Home    W * 153.38  35  31   1A  73 (  6-  6) Western Michigan       -3.11      7.11                      
 12 11/24/2017 Away    L * 145.97  24  31   1A  79 (  8-  4) Central Michigan      -10.52      3.52                      
 13 12/26/2017 Neutral                      1A  40 (  6-  6) Duke                             -6.98             
      Averages             156.50  30.2 20.8

Best game:  174.32 = 31 point win over Bowling Green
Worst game: 145.97 = 7 point loss to Central Michigan
Team stdev:   8.26