BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-2) Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength =  171.47

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   182.19  60   7   1B  56 (  4-  1) North Carolina Centr    8.94 *   44.06                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   192.36  41  17   1A  51 (  2-  3) Northwestern           19.11      4.89                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   170.05  34  20   1A  98 (  0-  5) Baylor                 -3.21     17.21                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 174.97  27  17   1A  74 (  1-  5) North Carolina          1.71      8.29                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 156.76   6  31   1A  10 (  4-  0) Miami FL              -16.49     -8.51                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 163.20  21  28   1A  50 (  4-  1) Virginia              -10.06      3.06                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home      *                  1A  20 (  1-  3) Florida St                       -5.77             
  8 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1A  81 (  2-  4) Pittsburgh                       12.62             
  9 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  27 (  5-  1) Virginia Tech                    -8.09             
 10 11/11/2017 Away                         1A  66 (  4-  2) Army                              4.18             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  32 (  3-  1) Georgia Tech                     -2.61             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  18 (  4-  2) Wake Forest                     -11.37             
      Averages             173.25  31.5 20.0

Best game:  192.36 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 156.76 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  12.90