BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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East Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 116 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (2-8) Overall Strength =  140.67

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    L   140.72  14  34   1B   3 ( 10-  0) James Madison           1.99    -21.99                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   134.85  20  56   1A  27 (  7-  3) West Virginia          -3.88 *  -32.12                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   129.37  17  64   1A  15 (  7-  3) Virginia Tech          -9.37 *  -37.63                      
  4 09/24/2017 Away    W * 145.52  41  38   1A 120 (  3-  7) Connecticut             6.78     -3.78                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 132.81  31  61   1A  34 (  8-  1) South Florida          -5.93    -24.07                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L * 125.78  10  34   1A  85 (  5-  5) Temple                -12.95    -11.05                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L * 138.47  21  63   1A  12 (  9-  0) Central Florida        -0.26 *  -41.74                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    W   159.04  33  17   1A 104 (  3-  8) Brigham Young          20.31     -4.31                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 138.14  27  52   1A  60 (  6-  3) Houston                -0.60    -24.40                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 142.65  24  31   1A  83 (  4-  6) Tulane                  3.91    -10.91                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  94 (  3-  7) Cincinnati                       -5.70             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  41 (  8-  1) Memphis                         -26.71             
      Averages             138.74  23.8 45.0

Best game:  159.04 = 16 point win over Brigham Young
Worst game: 125.78 = 24 point loss to Temple
Team stdev:   9.33