BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Comp = composite ranking

First 3 sub-rankings (Mod, Std, and Mom) are based on game margin only, W/L not explicitly used.

Mod = OLS regression, blowouts ignored
Std = OLS regression
Mom = OLS regression, last 5 games only

Next 3 sub-rankings (ELO, EL2, EL3) are based on W/L only, game margin not explicitly used.

ELO = variable game benefit based on opponent strength, scaled
EL2 = fixed game benefit, blowouts ignored
EL3 = variable game benefit based on opponent W/L

  R  Team                 Level   D ( W- L)   Comp Mod Std Mom ELO EL2 EL3
  1  Jacksonville St         1B   1 ( 1- 0) 143.90   4   4   4   1 119   2
  2  North Dakota St         1B   1 ( 0- 0) 140.55   1   1   1  70  67  70
  3  Eastern Washington      1B   1 ( 0- 0) 139.88   2   2   2 120 117 120
  4  James Madison           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 139.21   3   3   3 100  97 100
  5  Youngstown St           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 137.42   5   5   5  64  61  64
  6  Northern Iowa           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 137.01   6   6   6  69  66  69
  7  South Dakota St         1B   1 ( 0- 0) 136.05   7   7   7  67  64  67
  8  Charleston Southern     1B   1 ( 0- 0) 134.35   8   8   8 109 106 109
  9  Wofford                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 134.15   9   9   9  24  21  24
 10  Sam Houston St          1B   1 ( 0- 0) 134.14  10  10  10  15  12  15
 11  Colgate                 1B   1 ( 1- 0) 133.87  25  29  29   3 118   1
 12  Illinois St             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 133.32  11  11  11  73  70  73
 13  Central Arkansas        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 133.20  12  12  12  22  19  22
 14  Villanova               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 133.03  13  13  13  93  90  93
 15  The Citadel             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 132.79  14  15  15  27  24  27
 16  Montana                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 132.58  15  16  16 118 115 118
 17  Samford                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 132.39  16  17  17  28  25  28
 18  North Dakota            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 131.11  18  18  18 116 113 116
 19  South Dakota            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 131.01  19  19  19  68  65  68
 20  Richmond                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.87  20  20  20  96  93  96
 21  Western Illinois        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.66  21  21  21  65  62  65
 22  Furman                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.65  22  22  22  30  27  30
 23  Southern Utah           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.63  23  23  23 112 109 112
 24  Lehigh                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.40  24  24  24  43  40  43
 25  Princeton               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.20  26  25  25  85  82  85
 26  New Hampshire           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.14  27  26  26  98  95  98
 27  Southern Illinois       1B   1 ( 0- 0) 130.12  28  27  27  66  63  66
 28  San Diego               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 129.55  29  28  28  34  31  34
 29  Northern Arizona        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 129.50  30  30  30 115 112 115
 30  Kennesaw St             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 129.14  31  31  31 107 104 107
 31  Mercer                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 128.47  33  34  34  29  26  29
 32  Albany NY               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 128.43  34  35  35 103 100 103
 33  Tennessee-Martin        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 128.19  35  36  36  49  46  49
 34  McNeese St              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 128.18  36  37  37  18  15  18
 35  Tennessee Tech          1B   1 ( 0- 0) 128.11  37  38  38  50  47  50
 36  Grambling St            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 128.11  38  39  39   6   3   6
 37  Liberty                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 127.89  39  40  40 106 103 106
 38  Indiana St              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 127.44  41  41  41  72  69  72
 39  Maine                   1B   1 ( 0- 0) 127.44  42  42  42  99  96  99
 40  Nicholls St             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 127.25  43  43  43  17  14  17
 41  Northern Colorado       1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.97  44  44  44 114 111 114
 42  Fordham                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.59  45  45  45  47  44  47
 43  Weber St                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.58  46  46  46 110 107 110
 44  Montana St              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.56  47  47  47 117 114 117
 45  Eastern Illinois        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.53  48  48  48  55  52  55
 46  SE Louisiana            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.51  49  49  49  14  11  14
 47  St Francis PA           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.45  50  50  50  58  55  58
 48  William & Mary          1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.26  51  51  51  92  89  92
 49  Gardner-Webb            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.21  52  52  52 108 105 108
 50  Stony Brook             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.17  53  53  53  95  92  95
 51  Duquesne                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 126.12  54  54  54  61  58  61
 52  Delaware                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 125.91  55  55  55 102  99 102
 53  Pennsylvania            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 125.68  56  56  56  86  83  86
 54  SE Missouri St          1B   1 ( 0- 0) 124.96  57  57  57  52  49  52
 55  North Carolina A&T      1B   1 ( 0- 0) 124.87  58  58  58  77  74  77
 56  Western Carolina        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 124.69  59  59  59  25  22  25
 57  UC-Davis                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 124.65  60  60  60 111 108 111
 58  VMI                     1B   1 ( 0- 0) 124.60  61  61  61  26  23  26
 59  Wagner                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 124.53  62  62  62  57  54  57
 60  Florida A&M             1B   1 ( 1- 0) 124.47  80  95  95   2 120   3
 61  Towson                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 124.33  63  63  63  94  91  94
 62  Dayton                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 123.93  64  64  64  39  36  39
 63  Southern U.             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 123.57  65  65  65   4   1   4
 64  Missouri St             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 123.52  66  66  66  71  68  71
 65  Harvard                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 123.19  67  67  67  87  84  87
 66  Bryant                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 123.13  68  68  68  63  60  63
 67  Stephen F. Austin       1B   1 ( 0- 0) 122.94  69  69  69  13  10  13
 68  Eastern Kentucky        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 122.63  70  70  70  54  51  54
 69  Lamar                   1B   1 ( 0- 0) 122.58  71  71  71  19  16  19
 70  Tennessee St            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 122.35  72  72  72  51  48  51
 71  Murray St               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 122.28  73  73  73  53  50  53
 72  Bucknell                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 122.27  74  74  74  48  45  48
 73  Dartmouth               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 122.02  75  75  75  88  85  88
 74  Monmouth NJ             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 121.71  76  76  76 105 102 105
 75  North Carolina Centr    1B   1 ( 0- 0) 121.40  77  77  77  76  73  76
 76  South Carolina St       1B   1 ( 0- 0) 121.19  78  78  78  74  71  74
 77  Sacred Heart            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 120.94  79  79  79  59  56  59
 78  East Tennessee St       1B   1 ( 0- 0) 120.44  81  80  80  31  28  31
 79  Prairie View A&M        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.85  82  81  81   5   2   5
 80  Abilene Christian       1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.75  83  82  82  23  20  23
 81  Northwestern St         1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.62  84  83  83  16  13  16
 82  Lafayette               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.52  85  84  84  44  41  44
 83  Idaho St                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.40  86  85  85 119 116 119
 84  Rhode Island            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.38  87  86  86  97  94  97
 85  Alcorn St               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.31  88  87  87  10   7  10
 86  Holy Cross              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.24  89  88  88  45  42  45
 87  Columbia                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 119.21  90  89  89  90  87  90
 88  Houston Baptist         1B   1 ( 0- 0) 118.94  91  90  90  21  18  21
 89  Incarnate Word          1B   1 ( 0- 0) 118.45  92  91  91  20  17  20
 90  Sacramento St           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 118.44  93  92  92 113 110 113
 91  Drake                   1B   1 ( 0- 0) 118.42  94  93  93  38  35  38
 92  Presbyterian            1B   1 ( 0- 0) 118.15  95  94  94 104 101 104
 93  Brown                   1B   1 ( 0- 0) 117.91  96  96  96  91  88  91
 94  Bethune-Cookman         1B   1 ( 0- 0) 117.85  97  97  97  83  80  83
 95  Georgetown DC           1B   1 ( 0- 0) 117.81  98  98  98  46  43  46
 96  Central Conn St         1B   1 ( 0- 0) 117.70  99  99  99  62  59  62
 97  Yale                    1B   1 ( 0- 0) 117.45 100 100 100  84  81  84
 98  Elon                    1B   1 ( 0- 0) 117.18 101 101 101 101  98 101
 99  Morehead St             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 116.08 102 102 102  35  32  35
100  Jacksonville FL         1B   1 ( 0- 0) 115.65 103 103 103  37  34  37
101  Marist                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 115.51 104 104 104  36  33  36
102  Hampton                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 115.35 105 105 105  81  78  81
103  Robert Morris PA        1B   1 ( 0- 0) 115.34 106 106 106  60  57  60
104  Austin Peay             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 115.21 107 107 107  56  53  56
105  Campbell                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 115.01 108 108 108  41  38  41
106  Alabama St              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 114.81 109 109 109  11   8  11
107  Norfolk St              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 113.67 110 110 110  78  75  78
108  Butler                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 113.52 111 111 111  42  39  42
109  Stetson                 1B   1 ( 0- 0) 113.34 112 112 112  33  30  33
110  Jackson St              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 113.32 113 113 113   9   6   9
111  Alabama A&M             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 112.91 114 114 114  12   9  12
112  Valparaiso              1B   1 ( 0- 0) 112.47 115 115 115  32  29  32
113  Savannah St             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 112.35 116 116 116  75  72  75
114  Howard                  1B   1 ( 0- 0) 111.02 117 118 118  80  77  80
115  Morgan St               1B   1 ( 0- 0) 110.98 118 119 119  79  76  79
116  Delaware St             1B   1 ( 0- 0) 109.10 119 120 120  82  79  82
117  Davidson                1B   1 ( 0- 0) 108.01 121 121 121  40  37  40
118  Arkansas-Pine Bluff     1B   1 ( 0- 0) 104.43 122 122 122   7   4   7
119  Mississippi Valley S    1B   1 ( 0- 0) 104.43 123 123 123   8   5   8
120  Chattanooga             1B   1 ( 0- 1)  70.84  17  14  14 122 122 123
121  Cornell                 1B   1 ( 0- 0)  69.61 124 124 124  89  86  89
122  Portland St             1B   1 ( 0- 1)  67.24  32  32  32 123 123 124
123  Cal Poly SLO            1B   1 ( 0- 1)  65.18  40  33  33 124 124 121
124  Texas Southern          1B   1 ( 0- 1)  48.74 120 117 117 121 121 122