BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 57 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength =  157.26

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   170.27  66   0   1B 107 (  1- 10) Incarnate Word         12.01 *   53.99                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   154.09  10  41   1A  10 ( 11-  1) Alabama                -4.17    -26.83                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   149.94  16  48   1A   8 ( 10-  2) Washington             -8.32    -23.68                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 162.96  41  21   1A  95 (  3-  9) Nevada                  4.70     15.30                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 144.17  27  10   1A 127 (  2- 11) San Jose St           -14.09     31.09                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 173.61  38   0   1A 110 (  3-  9) New Mexico             15.34     22.66                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 186.71  27   3   1A  52 ( 10-  2) San Diego St           28.45     -4.45                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 130.82  16  26   1A 103 (  5-  7) UNLV                  -27.44     17.44                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W   147.11  20  13   1A 102 (  4-  9) Brigham Young         -11.16     18.16                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 148.11  31  21   1A 117 (  3-  9) Hawaii                -10.16     20.16                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    W * 158.39  13   7   1A  76 (  7-  5) Wyoming                 0.12      5.88                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    W * 170.32  28  17   1A  44 ( 10-  3) Boise St               12.05     -1.05                      
 13 12/02/2017 Away    L * 160.94  14  17   1A  44 ( 10-  3) Boise St                2.67     -5.67                      
 14 12/24/2017 Neutral                      1A  56 (  7-  4) Houston                          -0.38             
      Averages             158.27  26.7 17.2

Best game:  186.71 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 130.82 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev:  14.80