BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 60 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-4) Overall: (4-4) Overall Strength =  167.16

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   180.14  60   7   1B  73 (  5-  2) North Carolina Centr   11.36 *   41.64                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   195.46  41  17   1A  37 (  4-  3) Northwestern           26.68     -2.68                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   167.10  34  20   1A  88 (  0-  7) Baylor                 -1.68     15.68                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 171.13  27  17   1A  76 (  1-  7) North Carolina          2.35      7.65                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 153.67   6  31   1A  14 (  6-  0) Miami FL              -15.11     -9.89                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 158.28  21  28   1A  68 (  5-  2) Virginia              -10.50      3.50                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 167.02  10  17   1A  29 (  2-  4) Florida St             -1.76     -5.24                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 157.43  17  24   1A  64 (  3-  5) Pittsburgh            -11.35      4.35                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  17 (  6-  1) Virginia Tech                   -16.09             
 10 11/11/2017 Away                         1A  70 (  6-  2) Army                              1.93             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  20 (  4-  2) Georgia Tech                     -8.76             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  24 (  4-  3) Wake Forest                     -13.07             
      Averages             168.78  27.0 20.1

Best game:  195.46 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 153.67 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  13.73