BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 55 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (4-6) Overall Strength =  161.36

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   176.41  60   7   1B  69 (  7-  3) North Carolina Centr   13.55 *   39.45                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   192.00  41  17   1A  28 (  7-  3) Northwestern           29.13     -5.13                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   162.97  34  20   1A  84 (  1-  9) Baylor                  0.10     13.90                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 167.75  27  17   1A  75 (  2-  8) North Carolina          4.88      5.12                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 152.60   6  31   1A   9 (  9-  0) Miami FL              -10.27    -14.73                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 152.51  21  28   1A  69 (  6-  4) Virginia              -10.35      3.35                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 157.36  10  17   1A  36 (  3-  6) Florida St             -5.50     -1.50                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 150.75  17  24   1A  64 (  4-  6) Pittsburgh            -12.11      5.11                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 159.70   3  24   1A  15 (  7-  3) Virginia Tech          -3.16    -17.84                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L   156.59  16  21   1A  61 (  8-  2) Army                   -6.27      1.27                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  25 (  5-  4) Georgia Tech                     -9.09             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  20 (  6-  4) Wake Forest                     -14.87             
      Averages             162.86  23.5 20.6

Best game:  192.00 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 150.75 = 7 point loss to Pittsburgh
Team stdev:  12.89