BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fitchburg St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 170 Conference: Massachusetts State Collegiate Athletic Conference Record: (2-6) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =   68.69

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Away    L    80.76  30  33    3 110 (  8-  3) Curry                  12.07    -15.07                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W    82.42  31  10    3 197 (  6-  4) Castleton              13.73      7.27                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L *  68.15  26  42    3 108 (  6-  4) Worcester St           -0.54    -15.46                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W *  75.85  31  29    3 146 (  2-  8) Bridgewater St MA       7.16     -5.16                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W *  71.59  24  17    3 186 (  2-  8) Mass Maritime           2.91      4.09                      
  6 10/06/2017 Home    L *  77.95  16  32    3  41 ( 10-  1) Framingham St           9.26    -25.26                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L *  54.51  21  33    3 194 (  2-  7) Westfield St          -14.18      2.18                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L *  69.32  34  55    3  78 (  7-  3) Western Conn St         0.64    -21.64                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L *  66.99   7  24    3  69 (  9-  2) Plymouth St            -1.70    -15.30                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L *  39.33   0  38    3 126 (  4-  6) UMass-Dartmouth       -29.36     -8.64                      
      Averages              68.69  22.0 31.3

Best game:   82.42 = 21 point win over Castleton
Worst game:  39.33 = 38 point loss to UMass-Dartmouth
Team stdev:  13.11