BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Cincinnati

Class: 1A Class Rank: 94 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =  148.53

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   147.33  26  14   1B  43 (  7-  4) Austin Peay            -1.20     13.20                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   154.41  14  36   1A  19 (  8-  2) Michigan                5.88    -27.88                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   157.49  21  17   1A  87 (  4-  6) Miami OH                8.96     -4.96                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L * 153.45  32  42   1A  56 (  6-  3) Navy                    4.92    -14.92                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L   137.17  21  38   1A  70 (  7-  3) Marshall              -11.37     -5.63                      
  6 10/07/2017 Home    L * 148.14  23  51   1A  12 (  9-  0) Central Florida        -0.39    -27.61                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    L * 137.14   3  33   1A  34 (  8-  1) South Florida         -11.39    -18.61                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 156.42  28  31   1A  59 (  6-  4) SMU                     7.89    -10.89                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    W * 154.98  17  16   1A  83 (  4-  6) Tulane                  6.45     -5.45                      
 10 11/10/2017 Home    L * 138.78  24  35   1A  85 (  5-  5) Temple                 -9.75     -1.25                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A 116 (  2-  8) East Carolina                     5.70             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A 120 (  3-  7) Connecticut                      12.03             
      Averages             148.53  20.9 31.3

Best game:  157.49 = 4 point win over Miami OH
Worst game: 137.14 = 30 point loss to South Florida
Team stdev:   8.15