BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Toledo

Class: 1A Class Rank: 49 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (6-1) Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength =  161.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2017 Home    W   169.41  47  13   1B  33 (  8-  3) Elon                    7.35     26.65                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   161.77  37  24   1A  96 (  2-  9) Nevada                 -0.29     13.29                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   149.69  54  51   1A  88 (  2-  9) Tulsa                 -12.38     15.38                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L   157.56  30  52   1A  10 ( 10-  0) Miami FL               -4.50    -17.50                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 156.41  20  15   1A  76 (  4-  7) Eastern Michigan       -5.66     10.66                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 173.74  30  10   1A  82 (  7-  4) Central Michigan       11.67      8.33                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 172.52  48  21   1A  86 (  6-  5) Akron                  10.45     16.55                      
  8 10/26/2017 Away    W * 168.65  58  17   1A 125 (  2-  9) Ball St                 6.59 *   34.41                      
  9 11/02/2017 Home    W * 166.83  27  17   1A  59 (  8-  3) Northern Illinois       4.76      5.24                      
 10 11/08/2017 Away    L * 135.47  10  38   1A  64 (  8-  3) Ohio U.               -26.60     -1.40                      
 11 11/14/2017 Unknown W * 170.68  66  37   1A 105 (  2-  9) Bowling Green           8.62     20.38                      
 12 11/24/2017 Home      *                  1A  79 (  6-  5) Western Michigan                 11.06             
 13 12/02/2017 Neutral   *                  1A  86 (  6-  5) Akron                            11.96             
      Averages             162.07  38.8 26.8

Best game:  173.74 = 20 point win over Central Michigan
Worst game: 135.47 = 28 point loss to Ohio U.
Team stdev:  11.63