BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Central Arkansas

Class: 1B Class Rank: 11 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (8-0) Overall: (9-1) Overall Strength =  150.92

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   131.78  19  55   1A  42 (  5-  5) Kansas St             -17.91    -18.09                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    W   154.80  41  13   1B  81 (  3-  7) Murray St               5.11     22.89                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W * 168.94  38   6   1B  32 (  5-  5) SE Louisiana           19.25     12.75                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 154.56  41  30   1B  22 (  9-  1) Sam Houston St          4.87      6.13                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 136.74  27   7   1B 106 (  1-  9) Houston Baptist       -12.95 *   32.95                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 126.76  24  20   1B  76 (  4-  6) Stephen F. Austin     -22.93     26.93                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 152.53  45  17   1B  83 (  3-  7) Northwestern St         2.84     25.16                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 167.04  47  17   1B  39 (  8-  2) McNeese St             17.35     12.65                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    W * 145.25  42  14   1B  98 (  2-  8) Lamar                  -4.44 *   32.44                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 158.51  56  10   1B  99 (  1-  9) Incarnate Word          8.82 *   37.18                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1B  79 (  2-  8) Abilene Christian                28.82             
 12 12/02/2017 Home                         1B  31 (  7-  3) New Hampshire                    12.30             
      Averages             149.69  38.0 18.9

Best game:  168.94 = 32 point win over SE Louisiana
Worst game: 126.76 = 4 point win over Stephen F. Austin
Team stdev:  14.30