BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 38 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (4-1) Overall: (5-3) Overall Strength =  168.06

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   177.66  66   0   1B 109 (  1-  7) Incarnate Word         10.37 *   55.63                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   163.76  10  41   1A  12 (  8-  0) Alabama                -3.53    -27.47                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    L   157.05  16  48   1A  11 (  7-  1) Washington            -10.24    -21.76                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 169.05  41  21   1A  94 (  1-  7) Nevada                  1.76     18.24                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    W * 152.29  27  10   1A 129 (  1-  8) San Jose St           -15.00 *   32.00                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    W * 184.75  38   0   1A  99 (  3-  5) New Mexico             17.46     20.54                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 192.73  27   3   1A  49 (  7-  2) San Diego St           25.44     -1.44                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 141.03  16  26   1A  93 (  3-  5) UNLV                  -26.26     16.26                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home                         1A 114 (  2-  7) Brigham Young                    27.03             
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A 110 (  3-  5) Hawaii                           21.22             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  75 (  5-  3) Wyoming                           7.25             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  47 (  6-  2) Boise St                          3.70             
      Averages             167.29  30.1 18.6

Best game:  192.73 = 24 point win over San Diego St
Worst game: 141.03 = 10 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev:  17.30