BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Dayton

Class: 1B Class Rank: 100 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =  115.55

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   108.80  10  13   1B 114 (  2-  8) Robert Morris PA       -6.75      3.75                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   130.67  25  23   1B  55 (  2-  8) SE Missouri St         15.12    -13.12                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    L   127.10  23  28   1B  48 (  7-  3) Duquesne               11.55    -16.55                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    L *  88.68  28  34   1B 123 (  3-  7) Morehead St           -26.88     20.88                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    L * 116.70   7  23   1B  41 (  8-  2) San Diego               1.15    -17.15                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 127.81  20  10   1B  92 (  6-  4) Drake                  12.26     -2.26                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 100.97   7  17   1B 107 (  6-  5) Campbell              -14.58      4.58                      
  8 10/21/2017 Away    W * 120.74  48  22   1B 122 (  2-  8) Davidson                5.19     20.81                      
  9 10/28/2017 Home    W * 116.21  27  22   1B 104 (  6-  5) Butler                  0.66      4.34                      
 10 11/04/2017 Home    W * 117.82  36  17   1B 118 (  4-  6) Marist                  2.27     16.73                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B 108 (  5-  5) Valparaiso                        2.96             
      Averages             115.55  23.1 20.9

Best game:  130.67 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  88.68 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev:  13.02