BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 98 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (0-1) Overall: (1-3) Overall Strength = 97.43
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 101.67 10 13 1B 75 ( 2- 2) Robert Morris PA 1.39 -4.39
2 09/09/2017 Home W 106.81 25 23 1B 79 ( 0- 4) SE Missouri St 6.53 -4.53
3 09/16/2017 Home L 99.68 23 28 1B 80 ( 2- 1) Duquesne -0.60 -4.40
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 81.56 28 34 1B 102 ( 2- 2) Morehead St -18.71 12.71
5 09/30/2017 Home * 1B 78 ( 2- 2) San Diego -5.72
6 10/07/2017 Away * 1B 74 ( 2- 2) Drake -12.10
7 10/14/2017 Home * 1B 110 ( 2- 2) Campbell 7.50
8 10/21/2017 Away * 1B 119 ( 2- 1) Davidson 10.67
9 10/28/2017 Home * 1B 116 ( 2- 2) Butler 12.77
10 11/04/2017 Home * 1B 117 ( 2- 2) Marist 12.89
11 11/18/2017 Away * 1B 108 ( 1- 3) Valparaiso 1.86
Averages 97.43 21.5 24.5
Best game: 106.81 = 2 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game: 81.56 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 11.00