BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 99 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-8) Overall: (2-9) Overall Strength =  144.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   126.12  24  21   1A 125 (  2-  9) Ball St               -21.04     24.04                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   151.69  20   7   1A 110 (  6-  5) Western Kentucky        4.53      8.47                      
  3 09/15/2017 Away    L   140.68  23  47   1A  42 (  9-  1) South Florida          -6.48    -17.52                      
  4 09/29/2017 Home    L * 134.70   6  28   1A  57 (  4-  7) Nebraska              -12.46     -9.54                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 146.09  16  45   1A  16 (  6-  5) Iowa                   -1.06    -27.94                      
  6 10/14/2017 Home    L * 140.54  24  35   1A  73 (  4-  7) Rutgers                -6.62     -4.38                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    L * 156.61  17  24   1A  51 (  5-  6) Minnesota               9.45    -16.45                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    L * 166.60  10  24   1A   3 ( 11-  0) Wisconsin              19.44 *  -33.44                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 152.78  10  29   1A  27 (  5-  6) Purdue                  5.62    -24.62                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    L * 151.42  14  24   1A  41 (  5-  6) Indiana                 4.26    -14.26                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 151.53  14  52   1A   1 (  9-  2) Ohio State              4.37 *  -42.37                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  24 (  8-  3) Northwestern                    -23.70             
      Averages             147.16  16.2 30.5

Best game:  166.60 = 14 point loss to Wisconsin
Worst game: 126.12 = 3 point win over Ball St
Team stdev:  11.14