BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 99 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (4-4) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength = 112.81
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Away L 105.01 10 13 1B 112 ( 2- 9) Robert Morris PA -7.80 4.80
2 09/09/2017 Home W 127.01 25 23 1B 57 ( 3- 8) SE Missouri St 14.20 -12.20
3 09/16/2017 Home L 121.64 23 28 1B 54 ( 7- 4) Duquesne 8.83 -13.83
4 09/23/2017 Away L * 87.03 28 34 1B 123 ( 4- 7) Morehead St -25.78 19.78
5 09/30/2017 Home L * 116.27 7 23 1B 30 ( 10- 3) San Diego 3.46 -19.46
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 128.09 20 10 1B 82 ( 7- 4) Drake 15.28 -5.28
7 10/14/2017 Home L * 98.25 7 17 1B 105 ( 6- 5) Campbell -14.56 4.56
8 10/21/2017 Away W * 117.78 48 22 1B 122 ( 2- 9) Davidson 4.97 21.03
9 10/28/2017 Home W * 113.57 27 22 1B 103 ( 6- 5) Butler 0.76 4.24
10 11/04/2017 Home W * 115.68 36 17 1B 118 ( 4- 7) Marist 2.87 16.13
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 110.57 7 8 1B 108 ( 6- 5) Valparaiso -2.24 1.24
Averages 112.81 21.6 19.7
Best game: 128.09 = 10 point win over Drake
Worst game: 87.03 = 6 point loss to Morehead St
Team stdev: 12.25