BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Troy

Class: 1A Class Rank: 82 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (8-2) Overall Strength =  153.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   156.43  13  24   1A  40 (  8-  2) Boise St                5.12    -16.12                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   135.43  34   7   1B 110 (  3-  6) Alabama St            -15.87 *   42.87                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W * 149.13  27  24   1A 107 (  4-  5) New Mexico St          -2.18      5.18                      
  4 09/23/2017 Home    W   151.58  22  17   1A  90 (  5-  5) Akron                   0.28      4.72                      
  5 09/30/2017 Away    W   170.99  24  21   1A  38 (  7-  3) LSU                    19.68    -16.68                      
  6 10/11/2017 Home    L * 129.59   8  19   1A 114 (  4-  6) South Alabama         -21.72     10.72                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 165.83  34  10   1A 117 (  6-  3) Georgia St             14.52      9.48                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 151.86  38  16   1A 127 (  0-  9) Georgia Southern        0.55     21.45                      
  9 11/02/2017 Home    W * 142.33  24  21   1A 115 (  3-  6) Idaho                  -8.98     11.98                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    W * 159.90  42  17   1A 125 (  1-  9) Coastal Carolina        8.59     16.41                      
 11 11/24/2017 Home      *                  1A 128 (  2-  8) Texas St-San Marcos              25.81             
 12 12/02/2017 Away      *                  1A  72 (  5-  3) Arkansas St                      -5.04             
      Averages             151.31  26.6 17.6

Best game:  170.99 = 3 point win over LSU
Worst game: 129.59 = 11 point loss to South Alabama
Team stdev:  12.94