BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 11 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (3-0) Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength =  153.99

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   139.13  24  62   1A  38 (  4-  2) Arizona               -14.86    -23.14                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   145.05  20  38   1B   2 (  5-  1) Western Illinois       -8.93     -9.07                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 156.59  28  10   1B  52 (  0-  6) Cal Poly SLO            2.60     15.40                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 158.83  48  20   1B  70 (  2-  3) Northern Colorado       4.85     23.15                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   163.34  37  16   1B  36 (  4-  2) Illinois St             9.35     11.65                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 160.99  42  20   1B  51 (  0-  6) Portland St             7.00     15.00                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home      *                  1B  21 (  3-  3) UC-Davis                          5.39             
  8 10/28/2017 Home      *                  1B  26 (  3-  3) Sacramento St                     6.07             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1B  19 (  5-  2) Montana                           0.10             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1B  20 (  2-  4) Montana St                        4.81             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1B  28 (  4-  2) Southern Utah                     2.44             
      Averages             153.99  33.2 27.7

Best game:  163.34 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 139.13 = 38 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev:   9.67