BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (6-1) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength =  158.84

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2017 Home    L   161.83  20  23   1A  32 (  6-  5) Boston College          2.73     -5.73                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   151.36  38  10   1B  70 (  6-  5) Eastern Illinois       -7.74 *   35.74                      
  3 09/16/2017 Away    W   165.23  21  17   1A  57 (  4-  7) Nebraska                6.13     -2.13                      
  4 09/30/2017 Away    L   157.92  28  34   1A  53 (  9-  2) San Diego St           -1.18     -4.82                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W * 150.16  24   3   1A 124 (  2-  9) Kent St                -8.93     29.93                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 154.57  14  13   1A  83 (  5-  6) Buffalo                -4.53      5.53                      
  7 10/21/2017 Away    W * 174.95  48  17   1A 105 (  2-  9) Bowling Green          15.85     15.15                      
  8 10/26/2017 Home    W * 154.41  30  27   1A  76 (  4-  7) Eastern Michigan       -4.69      7.69                      
  9 11/02/2017 Away    L * 154.33  17  27   1A  49 (  9-  2) Toledo                 -4.76     -5.24                      
 10 11/09/2017 Home    W * 169.12  63  17   1A 125 (  2-  9) Ball St                10.02 *   35.98                      
 11 11/15/2017 Home    W * 156.20  35  31   1A  79 (  6-  5) Western Michigan       -2.90      6.90                      
 12 11/24/2017 Away      *                  1A  82 (  7-  4) Central Michigan                  5.10             
      Averages             159.10  30.7 19.9

Best game:  174.95 = 31 point win over Bowling Green
Worst game: 150.16 = 21 point win over Kent St
Team stdev:   7.82