BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Duke

Class: 1A Class Rank: 40 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =  164.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   173.15  60   7   1B  71 (  7-  4) North Carolina Centr    8.39 *   44.61                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   193.47  41  17   1A  20 (  9-  3) Northwestern           28.70     -4.70                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   162.03  34  20   1A  84 (  1- 11) Baylor                 -2.74     16.74                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 168.43  27  17   1A  66 (  3-  9) North Carolina          3.67      6.33                      
  5 09/29/2017 Home    L * 146.40   6  31   1A  14 ( 10-  1) Miami FL              -18.36     -6.64                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    L * 152.58  21  28   1A  60 (  6-  6) Virginia              -12.18      5.18                      
  7 10/14/2017 Home    L * 156.18  10  17   1A  39 (  5-  6) Florida St             -8.59      1.59                      
  8 10/21/2017 Home    L * 151.15  17  24   1A  48 (  5-  7) Pittsburgh            -13.62      6.62                      
  9 10/28/2017 Away    L * 155.17   3  24   1A  17 (  9-  3) Virginia Tech          -9.60    -11.40                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L   153.58  16  21   1A  61 (  8-  3) Army                  -11.18      6.18                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 186.10  43  20   1A  34 (  5-  6) Georgia Tech           21.33      1.67                      
 12 11/25/2017 Away    W * 178.94  31  23   1A  23 (  7-  5) Wake Forest            14.18     -6.18                      
      Averages             164.76  25.8 20.8

Best game:  193.47 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 146.40 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev:  15.18