BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 77 Conference: Southland Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =  122.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   118.78  24  52   1A 100 (  5-  6) Louisiana Tech         -3.37    -24.63                      
  2 09/09/2017 Away    L   113.22  10  23   1B  73 (  9-  1) Grambling St           -8.93     -4.07                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W * 119.10  35  28   1B  98 (  2-  9) Lamar                  -3.04     10.04                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    L * 105.76  20  49   1B  30 (  6-  5) SE Louisiana          -16.38    -12.62                      
  5 10/07/2017 Away    L * 129.34  10  14   1B  57 (  8-  3) Nicholls St             7.20    -11.20                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    L * 141.07  36  40   1B  25 ( 10-  1) Sam Houston St         18.92    -22.92                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    L * 118.35  17  45   1B  11 ( 10-  1) Central Arkansas       -3.79    -24.21                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    W * 119.51  10   7   1B 102 (  1- 10) Houston Baptist        -2.63      5.63                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    W * 123.17  26  23   1B  78 (  2-  9) Abilene Christian       1.02      1.98                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away    L * 118.71  24  44   1B  36 (  9-  2) McNeese St             -3.44    -16.56                      
 11 11/18/2017 Home    W * 136.59  38  21   1B  76 (  4-  7) Stephen F. Austin      14.44      2.56                      
      Averages             122.15  22.7 31.5

Best game:  141.07 = 4 point loss to Sam Houston St
Worst game: 105.76 = 29 point loss to SE Louisiana
Team stdev:  10.11