BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-2) Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength = 171.47
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 182.19 60 7 1B 56 ( 4- 1) North Carolina Centr 8.94 * 44.06
2 09/09/2017 Home W 192.36 41 17 1A 51 ( 2- 3) Northwestern 19.11 4.89
3 09/16/2017 Home W 170.05 34 20 1A 98 ( 0- 5) Baylor -3.21 17.21
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 174.97 27 17 1A 74 ( 1- 5) North Carolina 1.71 8.29
5 09/29/2017 Home L * 156.76 6 31 1A 10 ( 4- 0) Miami FL -16.49 -8.51
6 10/07/2017 Away L * 163.20 21 28 1A 50 ( 4- 1) Virginia -10.06 3.06
7 10/14/2017 Home * 1A 20 ( 1- 3) Florida St -5.77
8 10/21/2017 Home * 1A 81 ( 2- 4) Pittsburgh 12.62
9 10/28/2017 Away * 1A 27 ( 5- 1) Virginia Tech -8.09
10 11/11/2017 Away 1A 66 ( 4- 2) Army 4.18
11 11/18/2017 Home * 1A 32 ( 3- 1) Georgia Tech -2.61
12 11/25/2017 Away * 1A 18 ( 4- 2) Wake Forest -11.37
Averages 173.25 31.5 20.0
Best game: 192.36 = 24 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 156.76 = 25 point loss to Miami FL
Team stdev: 12.90