BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Northern Arizona

Class: 1B Class Rank: 24 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  141.92

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Away    L   127.84  24  62   1A  43 (  7-  5) Arizona               -14.07    -23.93                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    L   136.13  20  38   1B   4 (  8-  4) Western Illinois       -5.79    -12.21                      
  3 09/23/2017 Away    W * 145.93  28  10   1B  66 (  1- 10) Cal Poly SLO            4.01     13.99                      
  4 09/30/2017 Home    W * 156.00  48  20   1B  48 (  3-  7) Northern Colorado      14.08     13.92                      
  5 10/07/2017 Home    W   167.44  37  16   1B   9 (  6-  5) Illinois St            25.52     -4.52                      
  6 10/14/2017 Away    W * 144.71  42  20   1B  77 (  0- 11) Portland St             2.80     19.20                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 153.50  45  31   1B  25 (  5-  6) UC-Davis               11.58      2.42                      
  8 10/28/2017 Home    W * 161.49  37  17   1B  17 (  7-  4) Sacramento St          19.58      0.42                      
  9 11/04/2017 Away    L * 142.56  15  17   1B  20 (  7-  4) Montana                 0.65     -2.65                      
 10 11/11/2017 Home    W * 141.01  37  36   1B  23 (  5-  6) Montana St             -0.91      1.91                      
 11 11/18/2017 Away    L * 124.03  20  48   1B  10 (  9-  2) Southern Utah         -17.88    -10.12                      
 12 11/25/2017 Home    L   102.35  10  41   1B  32 ( 10-  2) San Diego             -39.56      8.56                      
      Averages             141.92  30.2 29.7

Best game:  167.44 = 21 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 102.35 = 31 point loss to San Diego
Team stdev:  17.86