BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-1) Overall: (6-3) Overall Strength =  173.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Neutral L   156.18  28  35   1A  49 (  6-  3) South Carolina        -17.36     10.36                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   172.79  37  20   1A  69 (  6-  3) Marshall               -0.75     17.75                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   180.12  49  16   1B  12 (  6-  3) Furman                  6.58     26.42                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 174.13  27  21   1A  38 (  3-  5) Florida St              0.60      5.40                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 171.55  33  25   1A  43 (  4-  5) Syracuse               -1.99      9.99                      
  6 10/05/2017 Home    W * 178.45  39  25   1A  37 (  5-  4) Louisville              4.91      9.09                      
  7 10/14/2017 Away    W * 181.96  35  17   1A  64 (  4-  5) Pittsburgh              8.42      9.58                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away    L   170.71  14  35   1A   1 (  8-  1) Notre Dame             -2.82    -18.18                      
  9 11/04/2017 Home    L * 175.95  31  38   1A   5 (  8-  1) Clemson                 2.42     -9.42                      
 10 11/11/2017 Away      *                  1A  33 (  5-  4) Boston College                    1.83             
 11 11/18/2017 Away      *                  1A  23 (  5-  4) Wake Forest                      -1.74             
 12 11/25/2017 Home      *                  1A  84 (  1-  8) North Carolina                   22.63             
      Averages             173.54  32.6 25.8

Best game:  181.96 = 18 point win over Pittsburgh
Worst game: 156.18 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev:   7.57