BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Penn State

Class: 1A Class Rank: 3 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-0) Overall: (7-0) Overall Strength =  196.35

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2017 Home    W   204.15  52   0   1A  90 (  4-  4) Akron                   8.15 *   43.85                      
  2 09/09/2017 Home    W   183.43  33  14   1A  64 (  3-  5) Pittsburgh            -12.58 *   31.58                      
  3 09/16/2017 Home    W   199.07  56   0   1A 113 (  3-  3) Georgia St              3.07 *   52.93                      
  4 09/23/2017 Away    W * 181.68  21  19   1A  26 (  4-  3) Iowa                  -14.32     16.32                      
  5 09/30/2017 Home    W * 198.94  45  14   1A  40 (  3-  4) Indiana                 2.94     28.06                      
  6 10/07/2017 Away    W * 200.29  31   7   1A  37 (  4-  3) Northwestern            4.28     19.72                      
  7 10/21/2017 Home    W * 204.47  42  13   1A  23 (  5-  2) Michigan                8.47     20.53                      
  8 10/28/2017 Away      *                  1A  13 (  6-  1) Ohio State                        9.02             
  9 11/04/2017 Away      *                  1A  27 (  6-  1) Michigan St                      17.18             
 10 11/11/2017 Home      *                  1A  65 (  3-  4) Rutgers                          34.20             
 11 11/18/2017 Home      *                  1A  58 (  3-  4) Nebraska                         31.35             
 12 11/25/2017 Away      *                  1A  44 (  3-  4) Maryland                         23.96             
      Averages             196.01  40.0  9.6

Best game:  204.47 = 29 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 181.68 = 2 point win over Iowa
Team stdev:   9.47