BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Willamette

Class: 3 Class Rank: 141 Conference: Northwest Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (3-7) Overall Strength =   54.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Away    L    45.16  21  35    3 118 (  6-  4) Rhodes                 -8.32     -5.68                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    L    54.44  12  42   NA  15 (  4-  7) Coll of Idaho           0.96    -30.96                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    W    64.78  28  24    3 104 (  4-  5) Cal Lutheran           11.30     -7.30                      
  4 10/01/2016 Away    W *  84.51  63  24    3 198 (  3-  6) Puget Sound            31.03      7.97                      
  5 10/08/2016 Home    L *  41.47  10  30    3  95 (  5-  4) Pacific Lutheran      -12.00     -8.00                      
  6 10/15/2016 Away    L *  48.30   0  40    3  13 (  9-  2) Linfield               -5.17 *  -34.83                      
  7 10/22/2016 Home    L *  48.04  12  21    3 113 (  4-  6) Pacific OR             -5.44     -3.56                      
  8 10/29/2016 Away    W    46.73  35  21   ZZ   7 (  0-  9) Lewis & Clark OR       -6.75     20.75                      
  9 11/05/2016 Away    L *  52.32  14  34    3  62 (  8-  2) Whitworth              -1.16    -18.84                      
 10 11/12/2016 Home    L *  49.03   7  21    3  92 (  5-  4) George Fox             -4.45     -9.55                      
      Averages              53.48  20.2 29.2

Best game:   84.51 = 39 point win over Puget Sound
Worst game:  41.47 = 20 point loss to Pacific Lutheran
Team stdev:  12.60