BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Valparaiso
Class: 1B Class Rank: 118 Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (3-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength = 85.73
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Away L 91.65 13 50 1B 12 ( 6- 6) Illinois St 5.60 * -42.60
2 09/10/2016 Away L 76.39 14 42 1B 81 ( 6- 5) Sacred Heart -9.66 -18.34
3 09/17/2016 Home W 92.50 49 24 NA 44 ( 4- 7) Trinity Int'l 6.45 18.55
4 09/24/2016 Home W * 78.75 24 20 1B 123 ( 2- 9) Davidson -7.29 11.29
5 10/01/2016 Away L * 89.95 26 29 1B 103 ( 4- 7) Morehead St 3.90 -6.90
6 10/08/2016 Home L * 82.65 21 35 1B 95 ( 7- 4) Drake -3.39 -10.61
7 10/15/2016 Away W * 92.17 21 18 1B 114 ( 4- 7) Stetson 6.12 -3.12
8 10/22/2016 Away L * 83.29 10 49 1B 30 ( 10- 2) San Diego -2.76 * -36.24
9 10/29/2016 Home L * 75.11 12 23 1B 113 ( 4- 7) Butler -10.94 -0.06
10 11/05/2016 Away L * 91.35 21 37 1B 65 ( 9- 2) Dayton 5.30 -21.30
11 11/12/2016 Home W * 92.72 42 39 1B 105 ( 5- 5) Jacksonville FL 6.67 -3.67
Averages 86.05 23.0 33.3
Best game: 92.72 = 3 point win over Jacksonville FL
Worst game: 75.11 = 11 point loss to Butler
Team stdev: 6.95