BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Toledo

Class: 1A Class Rank: 51 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength =  142.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2016 Away    W   157.99  31  10   1A  76 (  8-  5) Arkansas St            15.67      5.33                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    W   155.94  45   3   1B  42 (  6-  5) Maine                  13.62     28.38                      
  3 09/17/2016 Home    W   151.51  52  17   1A 119 (  1- 11) Fresno St               9.19     25.81                      
  4 09/30/2016 Away    L   146.31  53  55   1A  37 (  9-  4) Brigham Young           4.00     -6.00                      
  5 10/08/2016 Away    W * 143.07  35  20   1A  99 (  7-  6) Eastern Michigan        0.75     14.25                      
  6 10/15/2016 Home    W * 123.97  42  35   1A 117 (  4-  8) Bowling Green         -18.34     25.34                      
  7 10/22/2016 Home    W * 139.62  31  17   1A 101 (  6-  7) Central Michigan       -2.70     16.70                      
  8 10/27/2016 Home    L * 124.43  26  31   1A  85 (  8-  6) Ohio U.               -17.89     12.89                      
  9 11/02/2016 Away    W * 156.43  48  17   1A 109 (  5-  7) Akron                  14.11     16.89                      
 10 11/09/2016 Neutral W * 138.64  31  24   1A  83 (  5-  7) Northern Illinois      -3.67     10.67                      
 11 11/16/2016 Home    W * 140.78  37  19   1A 107 (  4-  8) Ball St                -1.54     19.54                      
 12 11/25/2016 Away    L * 132.90  35  55   1A  20 ( 13-  0) Western Michigan       -9.41    -10.59                      
 13 12/17/2016 Neutral L   138.52  28  31   1A  50 ( 10-  3) Appalachian St         -3.80      0.80                      
      Averages             142.32  38.0 25.7

Best game:  157.99 = 21 point win over Arkansas St
Worst game: 123.97 = 7 point win over Bowling Green
Team stdev:  11.23