BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Rochester

Class: 3 Class Rank: 204 Conference: Liberty League Record: (0-7) Overall: (1-8) Overall Strength =   40.30

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/10/2016 Home    L    31.28  14  27    3 175 (  3-  7) Catholic              -10.13     -2.87                      
  2 09/17/2016 Away    W    51.84  55  27    3 243 (  1-  8) Alfred St              10.43     17.57                      
  3 09/24/2016 Away    L *  16.67   7  55    3  96 (  5-  4) Merchant Marine       -24.74    -23.26                      
  4 10/01/2016 Home    L *  26.90  13  51    3  74 (  6-  5) RPI                   -14.51    -23.49                      
  5 10/08/2016 Home    L *  42.34  13  48    3  28 (  9-  1) St Lawrence             0.93 *  -35.93                      
  6 10/15/2016 Away    L *  44.83  47  70    3  78 (  5-  5) Springfield             3.42    -26.42                      
  7 10/22/2016 Away    L *  50.16  15  31    3  89 (  3-  7) Union NY                8.75    -24.75                      
  8 11/05/2016 Home    L *  60.44  34  37    3  84 (  6-  4) WPI                    19.03    -22.03                      
  9 11/12/2016 Away    L *  48.22  27  56    3  35 (  9-  2) Hobart                  6.81 *  -35.81                      
      Averages              41.41  25.0 44.7

Best game:   60.44 = 3 point loss to WPI
Worst game:  16.67 = 48 point loss to Merchant Marine
Team stdev:  13.84