BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Carolina St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 36 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength =  146.70

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2016 Home    W   145.68  48  14   1B  51 (  5-  6) William & Mary         -0.95 *   34.95                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L   127.33  30  33   1A  94 (  3-  9) East Carolina         -19.30     16.30                      
  3 09/17/2016 Home    W   157.99  49  22   1A  79 ( 10-  3) Old Dominion           11.37     15.63                      
  4 10/01/2016 Home    W * 154.07  33  16   1A  68 (  7-  6) Wake Forest             7.44      9.56                      
  5 10/08/2016 Home    W   151.35  10   3   1A  40 (  4-  8) Notre Dame              4.72      2.28                      
  6 10/15/2016 Away    L * 161.26  17  24   1A   5 ( 13-  1) Clemson                14.64    -21.64                      
  7 10/22/2016 Away    L * 119.85  13  54   1A   8 (  9-  4) Louisville            -26.77    -14.23                      
  8 10/29/2016 Home    L * 124.75  14  21   1A  78 (  7-  6) Boston College        -21.88     14.88                      
  9 11/05/2016 Home    L * 152.15  20  24   1A  13 ( 10-  3) Florida St              5.52     -9.52                      
 10 11/12/2016 Away    W * 148.45  35  20   1A  80 (  4-  8) Syracuse                1.83     13.17                      
 11 11/19/2016 Home    L * 139.67  13  27   1A  14 (  9-  4) Miami FL               -6.95     -7.05                      
 12 11/25/2016 Away    W * 159.71  28  21   1A  22 (  8-  5) North Carolina         13.09     -6.09                      
 13 12/26/2016 Neutral W   163.86  41  17   1A  56 (  6-  7) Vanderbilt             17.23      6.77                      
      Averages             146.62  27.0 22.8

Best game:  163.86 = 24 point win over Vanderbilt
Worst game: 119.85 = 41 point loss to Louisville
Team stdev:  14.55