BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Morgan St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 121 Conference: Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (3-8) Overall Strength =   82.75

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2016 Home    L    70.54  24  51   1B  90 (  4-  7) Holy Cross             -9.63    -17.37                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L    57.75   0  62   1A 126 (  3-  9) Marshall              -22.41 *  -39.59                      
  3 09/24/2016 Home    W *  86.55  28  24   1B 120 (  2-  9) Howard                  6.38     -2.38                      
  4 10/01/2016 Home    W *  77.75  20  17   1B 122 (  0- 11) Delaware St            -2.41      5.41                      
  5 10/15/2016 Away    L *  86.67  12  21   1B 107 (  5-  6) Hampton                 6.51    -15.51                      
  6 10/22/2016 Home    L *  97.57  17  21   1B  79 (  9-  3) North Carolina Centr   17.41    -21.41                      
  7 10/29/2016 Away    L *  77.03  14  27   1B 112 (  4-  7) Norfolk St             -3.13     -9.87                      
  8 11/05/2016 Home    L *  63.77  10  41   1B  98 (  4-  6) Bethune-Cookman       -16.39    -14.61                      
  9 11/12/2016 Away    L *  88.53  21  22   1B 115 (  4-  7) Florida A&M             8.37     -9.37                      
 10 11/19/2016 Away    L    79.32   3  60   1A  82 (  8-  5) Army                   -0.84 *  -56.16                      
 11 11/26/2016 Away    W *  96.30  35  24   1B 119 (  3-  7) Savannah St            16.14     -5.14                      
      Averages              80.16  16.7 33.6

Best game:   97.57 = 4 point loss to North Carolina Central
Worst game:  57.75 = 62 point loss to Marshall
Team stdev:  12.64