BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Lafayette

Class: 1B Class Rank: 86 Conference: Patriot League Record: (1-5) Overall: (2-9) Overall Strength =   99.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2016 Away    W   113.12  24  10   1B 100 (  2-  9) Central Conn St        14.97     -0.97                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    L    93.26   6  24   1B  55 (  4-  7) Delaware               -4.89    -13.11                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L   118.91  31  35   1B  27 (  8-  2) Princeton              20.77    -24.77                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    L   108.31  14  31   1B  15 (  9-  4) Villanova              10.16    -27.16                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    L *  87.54  28  38   1B  90 (  4-  7) Holy Cross            -10.61      0.61                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    L *  93.36  34  58   1B  45 (  8-  3) Fordham                -4.79    -19.21                      
  7 10/15/2016 Away    L    81.32   7  62   1A  82 (  8-  5) Army                  -16.82 *  -38.18                      
  8 10/22/2016 Away    L *  82.04  17  42   1B  76 (  4-  7) Bucknell              -16.10     -8.90                      
  9 10/29/2016 Home    W * 108.69  17   3   1B  99 (  3-  8) Georgetown DC          10.54      3.46                      
 10 11/12/2016 Away    L *  97.20  17  38   1B  40 (  5-  5) Colgate                -0.95    -20.05                      
 11 11/19/2016 Home    L *  95.86  21  45   1B  25 (  9-  3) Lehigh                 -2.28    -21.72                      
      Averages              98.15  19.6 35.1

Best game:  118.91 = 4 point loss to Princeton
Worst game:  81.32 = 55 point loss to Army
Team stdev:  12.56