BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Illinois St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 12 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 127.43
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home W 121.33 50 13 1B 118 ( 4- 7) Valparaiso -5.60 * 42.60
2 09/10/2016 Away W 150.96 9 7 1A 32 ( 7- 6) Northwestern 24.03 -22.03
3 09/17/2016 Home L 109.11 21 24 1B 48 ( 6- 5) Eastern Illinois -17.81 14.81
4 09/24/2016 Away L * 114.62 31 34 1B 41 ( 4- 7) Indiana St -12.31 9.31
5 10/01/2016 Away L * 122.00 10 31 1B 1 ( 12- 2) North Dakota St -4.92 -16.08
6 10/08/2016 Home L * 119.05 6 20 1B 4 ( 12- 3) Youngstown St -7.87 -6.13
7 10/15/2016 Home W * 122.29 31 28 1B 29 ( 4- 7) Southern Illinois -4.63 7.63
8 10/22/2016 Away L * 121.53 24 27 1B 20 ( 4- 7) South Dakota -5.40 2.40
9 10/29/2016 Home W * 147.53 38 21 1B 6 ( 9- 4) South Dakota St 20.60 -3.60
10 11/05/2016 Away W * 128.83 31 26 1B 22 ( 6- 5) Western Illinois 1.90 3.10
11 11/12/2016 Home W * 143.00 37 0 1B 68 ( 4- 7) Missouri St 16.08 20.92
12 11/26/2016 Away L 122.85 24 31 1B 14 ( 10- 3) Central Arkansas -4.08 -2.92
Averages 126.92 26.0 21.8
Best game: 150.96 = 2 point win over Northwestern
Worst game: 109.11 = 3 point loss to Eastern Illinois
Team stdev: 13.20