BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 195 Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (5-1) Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 42.50
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Away L 35.52 11 51 3 47 ( 7- 3) Carthage -6.28 * -33.72
2 09/10/2016 Home W 52.18 14 9 3 166 ( 1- 9) Loras 10.38 -5.38
3 09/17/2016 Home L 27.32 27 55 3 120 ( 6- 4) Trine -14.48 -13.52
4 10/01/2016 Away W * 81.84 48 13 3 179 ( 5- 5) Wisconsin Lutheran 40.03 -5.03
5 10/08/2016 Home W * 33.39 28 26 3 226 ( 4- 6) Concordia IL -8.41 10.41
6 10/15/2016 Away L 34.08 14 38 3 127 ( 7- 3) Alma -7.73 -16.27
7 10/22/2016 Away W * 30.33 28 21 3 240 ( 1- 9) Rockford -11.47 18.47
8 10/29/2016 Home W * 38.88 20 19 3 208 ( 3- 7) Concordia WI -2.92 3.92
9 11/05/2016 Away L * 24.54 25 55 3 155 ( 7- 4) Lakeland -17.27 -12.73
10 11/12/2016 Home W * 59.95 28 27 3 108 ( 6- 4) Benedictine IL 18.15 -17.15
Averages 41.80 24.3 31.4
Best game: 81.84 = 35 point win over Wisconsin Lutheran
Worst game: 24.54 = 30 point loss to Lakeland
Team stdev: 17.82